JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY Long – Deep Sweep Reversal from 196.786 Sellside Liquidit
Price swept major sellside liquidity at 196.786, forming the deepest leg of a broader structural draw during London session. Entry followed a clean W pattern formation and bullish reaction from deep discount territory. This setup aligned with structure, liquidity engineering, and session timing. Trade captured a reversal opportunity with price lifting from the sweep zone and targeting EQ/premium within the intraday box.
GBPJPY ENTERED IN BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREGBPJPY ENTERED IN BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE.
Lower low confirms bearish trend structure in market.
Market is expected to remain bearish in upcoming trading sessions.
On lower side market may hit the target levels of 196.300 & 194.300.
On higher side 198.900 can act as a major resistance level for the market.
GBPJPYPrice action trading is a methodology where traders make decisions based on the interpretation of actual price movements on a chart, rather than relying primarily on lagging indicators. It involves observing and analyzing candlestick patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and volume to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk. The focus is on understanding the story the market is telling through its price behavior.
Bearish continuationI am expecting price to continue lower from here for the short term. Since we have already mitigated the HTF bullish continuation demand zone this is a medium probability setup. Often this types of setup works best when applied with the LTF confirmation. Also there is a strong spike after the mitigation of daily demand zone so that is a good indication of big money buying pressure.
Can the pound-yen maintain its uptrend?Fundamental:
BoE Governor Bailey signaled potential rate cuts ahead, with markets expecting a 0.25% rate cut in Aug. Political uncertainty persists as UK PM Starmer scaled back on welfare reforms amid a party rebellion, adding to fiscal caution. Trade tensions intensified as US President Trump threatened new tariffs on Japan and demanded greater agricultural access.
Technicals:
GBPJPY retreated from recent highs following a break above the ascending channel's upper bound. If GBPJPY rebounds from the support at 196.50, the price could extend its rally to the psychological resistance at 200.00. Conversely, a break below 196.50 could prompt a decline to the following support at 193.80.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
GBP/JPY H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 196.78 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 195.60 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 198.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
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GBPJPY- Sell on rallies The GBP/JPY lost its shine on board-based yen buying. It hit an intraday low of 197.01 and is currently trading around 197. Intraday trend is bearish as long as the resistance at 197.75 holds.
The GBP/JPY pair is trading below 34 and above 55 and 200 EMA (Short-term) and 365 EMA (long-term) on the 15-min chart, confirming a bearish trend. Any violation below 196.70 indicates the intraday trend is weak. A dip to 196/195/194/193.70 is possible. Immediate resistance is at 197.75 a breach above this level targets of 198.35/198.80/200/202.
Market Indicators (15 min chart)
CCI (50)- Bearish
Directional movement index - Bearish
Trading Strategy: buy on dips
It is good to sell on rallies around 197.18-20 with SL around 197.75 for a TP of 195.
"GBP/JPY: High-Risk Pips Grab – Escape Before Cops! 🏴☠️ GBP/JPY "Dragon Heist" – Bulletproof Bullish Raid (High-Risk, High-Reward) 🚨
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(Day/Swing Trade Plan – Long Entry Focused)
🔑 Entry Zone (Vault Cracked!):
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Buy Limit Orders: Layer entries near 15M/30M swing lows (wick/body). DCA-friendly!
Thief Pro Tip: Scalpers ride long-only waves. Swing traders? Stack slowly, escape rich.
🎯 Target (Escape Routes):
200.600 (or bail early if cops (resistance) swarm!)
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4H Swing Low/High (Wick-based) – Adjust for risk/lot size!
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GBPJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 197.551.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 196.207 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Long – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Shift from Discount Pric
Price swept key sellside liquidity at 197.489, forming a clean external W pattern in deep discount territory. A bullish engulfing candle followed, closing above the internal shift point and reclaiming structure just beneath 198.012 (yesterday’s low). Entered long on confirmed shift with TP set at box equilibrium (EQ) and stop loss placed below the pattern base. Setup aligns with liquidity theory, structure reclaim, and smart money accumulation.
GBP/JPY Trades Lower After Breaching 198.0 SupportGBP/JPY declined from recent highs, currently trading around 197.3. The break below Friday’s 198.0 low intensified the downtrend, with the pair nearing a key support at 196.9.
A temporary rebound toward 198.0 is possible before the downtrend resumes toward 196.0. The bearish outlook is invalidated if GBP/JPY breaks above 198.9.
GJ-Mon-30/06/25 TDA-Near end of month candle closureAnalysis done directly on the chart
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Journal down consistently, so you keep track of your progress
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Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
demand zone spotted short sell for long bullish continuation📉 GBP/JPY 4H Analysis – Liquidity Grab + Demand Zone Anticipation
Price action on GBP/JPY is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish move, and this pullback presents an interesting setup based on institutional footprints.
1. Structure Break (BOS) & Shift in Momentum
* A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred after price broke above the previous swing high, confirming a bullish trend direction.
* Following the BOS, price retraced into an imbalance (Fair Value Gap - FVG), and responded with aggressive bullish momentum — a classic SMC footprint suggesting institutional buy orders being filled.
2. Current Price Action – Short-Term Bearish Retracement
* Price is currently rejecting the 197.894 resistance zone, and showing signs of weakness with bearish candles.
* This correction is likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows and a return into the demand zone for potential long opportunities.
3. Demand Zone & Buy Setup
* A well-defined **Demand Zone** sits between **194.000 – 194.600**, which aligns with the previous consolidation and origin of the last major push up.
* This area is also aligned with the unmitigated FVG area — making it a confluence zone where institutional orders are likely to rest.
📍 Trade Plan
Short-Term Bias: Bearish into Demand
Long-Term Bias: Bullish continuation
* Entry: 197.894 (already tapped)
* Stop Loss: 199.123 (above recent highs/supply)
* Take Profit: 194.618 (just above the demand zone to secure profits early)
* Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3
If price enters the demand zone and forms bullish price action (engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG), I will be looking to **flip long** with a target back toward **197.800 – 198.900**.
✅ Conclusion
The current move looks like a healthy retracement to fill imbalances and grab liquidity before the next impulsive leg. This setup provides a high-probability trade opportunity using clean smart money principles.