JPYGBP trade ideas
GBP/JPY – Bullish Flag Breakout Setup | wk-6We're observing a bullish flag pattern forming on the GBP/JPY 1-hour chart — a classic continuation pattern that often signals the resumption of the uptrend after a brief consolidation.
With price coiling tightly and momentum building, we are placing a Buy Stop trade setup just above the flag’s resistance to catch the breakout confirmation.
Trade Setup Details:
Pair: GBP/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Pattern: Bullish Flag
Trend: Bullish
Entry (Buy Stop): 195.687
Stop Loss (SL): 194.324
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 197.050 (1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 198.413 (1:2)
Lot Size: 0.12
Risk/Reward Breakdown:
Trade 1: Risk $100 / Reward $100 (1:1)
Trade 2: Risk $100 / Reward $200 (1:2)
Total Risk: $200
Total Potential Reward: $300
✅ Trade Rationale:
✅ Bullish Flag: Classic continuation pattern in a strong uptrend
✅ Breakout Entry: Buy Stop placed above resistance for confirmation
✅ Strong Risk Management: Two trades with calculated R:R ratios
✅ Momentum Aligned: Market conditions favor further upside
🔗 Hashtags:
#GBPJPY #BullishFlag #ForexBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #BuyStop #ChartPatterns #BullishContinuation #SmartTrading #RiskReward #TradingSetup #PriceAction #TradingView
A quick buy
GBP/JPY Buy Setup – Targeting the Next Leg Up from Key Order Block
The GBP/JPY pair is currently presenting a promising long setup on the 1-hour chart. After a strong bullish rally that broke significant highs, the market has pulled back and is consolidating near a previously defined bullish order block in the 193.865–193.418 region.
This zone aligns with an earlier accumulation area that fueled the breakout above the previous weekly high (PWH), making it a high-probability area for bullish continuation. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows intact. Below the order block lies a 4H liquidity-protected low around 192.878, further supporting the idea of a bullish defense at this level.
A buy from the order block area offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity. Potential upside targets include:
195.450 – minor resistance and potential TP1
196.736– secondary target (previous swing high)
198.022 – major target aligned with projected bullish continuation
As long as price respects the protected low and order block, buyers have control, and a move toward higher targets remains likely.
Note: Always manage your risk. A daily close below the order block or a break of the protected low could invalidate this setup.
GBPJPYGBP/JPY 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential
1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.77%, near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation 3.8%) and reduced expectations of Bank of England rate cuts.
The Bank of England’s official interest rate stood at 4.25% in May 2025, down from 4.5%, but markets now price in limited further easing for the rest of the year.
2. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield was around 1.52% to 1.55%, remaining near a one-month high amid improving trade data and cautious market sentiment.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy, with policy rates near zero, keeping yields low despite some inflationary pressures.
3. Interest Rate Differential (10-Year Bonds)
The yield spread between UK and Japan 10-year bonds is:
4.77% (UK)−1.53% (Japan)=+3.24%
This significant positive differential favors the British pound against the Japanese yen from a carry trade perspective.
4. Carry Trade Implications for GBP/JPY
The +3.24% yield advantage makes GBP/JPY attractive for carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding JPY and invest in higher-yielding GBP assets to earn the interest spread.
The wide differential supports GBP/JPY strength, assuming stable risk sentiment and no major shocks.
Technical momentum and macroeconomic factors such as UK inflation data, BoJ policy stance, and global risk appetite will influence the pair’s trajectory in the coming week.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY)
10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~1.53%
Interest Rate Differential +3.24% (GBP over JPY) —
Central Bank Policy Rate 4.25% (BoE) ~0% (BoJ)
Conclusion
From May 27 to June 4, 2025, the GBP/JPY pair benefits from a substantial 3.24% interest rate differential between UK and Japanese 10-year bonds, supporting carry trade flows into GBP. The Bank of England’s relatively higher rates and inflationary pressures contrast with the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative policy, underpinning GBP strength versus JPY.
GBP/JPY Short Currently GBP/JPY buyers are looking exhausted as it starts to enter a key sell zone on the Daily and Lower time frames. Expecting price to give a discount at 194.000 and bring big buyers back in. First Take profit I anticipate is 194.750, followed by 194.500. If these levels are reached price should react off this key support and resistence area and push for a higher highs on the lower time frames.
GBPJPY H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 193.49, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 192.83, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 194.19, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY Monday candle closed as bullish engulf..Buyers in controlMonday daily candle closed as bullish engulf hinting that this pair is starting to going up.
Where to enter buy?
Zoom in into smaller timeframe 4hr, 1hr, 15min and wait for the buy price action.
Personally, i would like to see the price to react at "Resistant become Support" zone that i marked in the chart.
No price action in lower TF, no trade.
Good luck.
calculate your own risk & reward.
GJ-Mon-26/05/25 TDA-Big range, possible scalping buy! Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
There are periods when price will push smoothly,
others when price give little pushes and not so
clean. Understanding and reacting to how good
the volume is and price readiness is important to
create a consistent edge in your system.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY: Weekly overviewThe fake breakout of 12th of May is a sign of more bearish days. However, as traders we should be ready to adapt with new conditions.
We are ready to long from the zone around 189.720.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPJPY: Weekly overview + Significant zonesHello dear traders,
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. I've doubled the short-term channel because it was so thin ;-).
* I don't use 189.663 zone to take short! There are too many moving S&R around it.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
**************************************
Important news that could change the direction of the trade:
Wed: Great Britain CPI of April.