JPYGBP trade ideas
GC1! Gold Futures Weekly Outlook. Expecting Mid week reversalCOMEX:GC1!
Expecting a massive meltdown on Gold after $3400. On the Daily Internal Range Liquidity.
Trading All Time Highs is different compare to trading when you have a data on the left. Very volatile conditions on GOLD. I will buy from a 4H orderflow upto $3400. Then would short from $3400 CME_MINI:NQ1!
Buy-the-Dip Setup on GBP/JPY with Target at Previous HighGBP/JPY is currently trading at 188.85, within a corrective move but still preserving its bullish structure, as long as price remains above the 178.00 support floor. The zone between 184.57 and 178.03 marks a strong weekly demand area, which aligns with previous consolidation and demand before impulsive moves.
The price is below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A: 190.90, Span B: 192.93), indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, this could simply be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, especially since the market has not yet broken structure to the downside.
Trend Strength Index (TSI) readings show a clear loss of momentum:
TSI(10): -0.62
TSI(20): -0.56
These values are near oversold levels, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reversal, especially within a key demand zone. Liquidity above recent local highs may serve as fuel for a breakout if bulls reclaim key levels near the cloud base.
If price confirms support at 184–178, the bullish setup targets a return to the previous swing high at 208.11. This would offer a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the invalidation clearly placed below 178.00.
Trade Setup Summary:
Long Entry Zone: 184.57 – 178.03
Stop Loss: Below 178.00
Target: 208.11 (previous high)
Structure Bias: Bullish above 178.00
The British pound remains relatively strong as the Bank of England signals caution before cutting rates, contrasting with Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. While the yen remains fundamentally weak, there is always potential for temporary JPY strength due to risk-off flows. However, unless the BoJ surprises with policy shifts, GBP/JPY continues to favor upside on both structural and macroeconomic grounds.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 189.600 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
CONTINUATION OF DOWNTREND OR THE BEGINNING OF NEW UPTRENDAfter a downtrend has been broken up, we can see then price forming higher lows and eventually forming a triangle pattern. I have put the arrows to show if price breaks either sides of the triangle we will place trade according to the direction of the price. if price closes below then TPs will be the previous lows.
Lingrid | GBPJPY short-term BULLISH move from the SUPPORTThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:GBPJPY price is making higher low and higher highs showing bullish trend on the 1H timeframe. The market seems to be moving sideways below the psychological level at 190.000, which means that the market may retest the zone above it because the prices tend to consolidate at key levels before the breakout. Furthermore, the price moved above the previous month's low after massive sell off in the market. I think the price may spike upward to retest the trendline and previous week high. My goal is resistance zone around 190.000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GJ-Fri-18/04/25 TDA-GJ testing your patience, watch out!Analysis done directly on the chart
Don't force trade in the middle of range,
in a bad market position. It's way to harder
to manage and most of the time price will
just take up and down liquidity.
Yes, you might get lucky to get some wins
But can you be consistently good at taking
wins or was it just luck? What do you think?
Keep it simple!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
THOUGHTS ON GBP/JPYGBP/JPY 1H - With this market we have seen price break structure to the upside after price traded down and into the area of interest we have marked out below, this tells us enough Demand has been introduced.
Enough Demand has been introduced to flip the S&D balance in doing so it gives price a new direction to trade in. Since we have seen price do this we have seen that price has continued to respect areas of Demand, giving us further confluence to suggest bullishness.
I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I would have liked price to trade down and into, giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market with a refined entry. It seems as though there is enough Demand in the market already though.
Should price correct itself deeper, we may see a penetration of this zone and this is where I would be looking to get involved in this market with long positions. As you can see though price looks to be setting a new move to the upside, I will be waiting for further confluence before I get involved at all.
GBPJPY Bullish Continuation Case StudyTo share the GBPJPY case study, where I only took +1RR from +2RR possible return.
Reason:
1. Price moved from downtrend to uptrend
2. Demand with huge bullish candle after it (imbalance above demand) not yet re-test
3. Multiple supports above demand zone
4. Price tapped to demand zone, looks aggressive but demand was strong enough to hold and price bounces from it
This is textbook setup, targeting 2RR from this setup is achievable. Please do not trust me! I do not have big capital to support my statement.
One thing is certain is that, if you trade one setup or strategy, and collect data and watch how it work, you can achieve a profitable trading journey.
DeGRAM | GBPJPY Broke Down Triangle📊 Technical Analysis
GBP/JPY continues to move within a triangle, staying below the 189 level.
The 189.00 level remains a strong ceiling; rejection here signals continued downside.
If pressure holds, price may retest support around 184.75.
✨ Summary
Technical weakness + soft UK data + JPY strength = bearish setup. Below 189.00, GBP/JPY may target 184.35.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
GBP/JPY: Poised for Gains Above 189.15GBP/JPY gained slightly after forming a minor bottom around 187.46. It hits an intraday high of 189.03 and is currently trading around 188.94. Intraday trend is bullish as long as support 186.50 holds.
The GBP/JPY pair is trading above 34 and 55 EMA (Short-term) and below 200 EMA (long term on the 15-min chart, confirms a bullish trend. Immediate resistance is at 190,a breach above this level targets of 191/191.75/192.30/193. Downside support is at 188 with additional levels a 188.45/188/187.46/187.10/186.45.
Market Indicators
CCI (50)- Bullish
Directional movement index - Bullish
Trading Strategy: Buy on dips
It is good to buy above 189.15 with SL around 188.40 for a TP of 192.
GJ-Thu-17/04/25 TDA-More consolidation, easier breakouts!Analysis done directly on the chart
Sometimes all you need to do is to be patient
Nothing more, nothing less. Not everyday is
a good trading day. Learn to step back is part
of a good trading skill of every good trader.
Do you know when to really step back? Think
about it.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/JPY Structure Analysis (H4)Let’s break this GBP/JPY chart down and walk through it step by step, based on price action and structure. 👇
🧠 1. Current Structure Analysis (H4)
• Support zone (blue box): Very clean and respected. You’ve marked that demand zone well—from around 185.20 to 186.50, and price has already reacted multiple times.
• Rejection wicks: Recent candles show strong wicks rejecting from that zone—classic accumulation behavior.
• Double bottom / fakeout: There’s also a fakeout below the zone that immediately got bought back up. That’s a bullish signal—liquidity sweep followed by aggressive buying.
🔍 2. What’s Happening Now?
• Price bounced from demand and is now retesting that breakout region around 188.00.
• But we’re not seeing a higher high yet, just some consolidation.
✅ Is There a Buy Entry?
Yes—but not right this second. You want to wait for confirmation, unless you’re playing a deep swing from the bottom.
🔹 Buy Scenarios:
1. Safer Buy:
• Wait for a bullish break above 188.80–189.00, then catch the retest of that broken resistance.
• That’s your confirmation of a shift in structure.
2. Aggressive Buy (if you’re a sniper):
• You can buy on a retest of 186.80–187.00, only if:
• Price prints a bullish engulfing or strong rejection candle there.
• RSI divergence or volume spike confirms strength.
🎯 Targets:
• First: 189.20
• Second: 191.20 (previous structure highs)
• Stop loss: below 185.00
❌ Is There a Sell Entry?
Right now, selling is riskier because:
• You’re in a bullish reaction zone.
• Bears had their chance with the drop, but bulls defended the zone hard.
Only consider selling if price fails at 188.80–189.00 with strong bearish rejections and returns back inside the range. Then it might target 186.50 again.
✍️ My Take
No rush. Let the structure guide you. If we break 188.80 cleanly, I’m buying the retest.
Your zone is gold. Let price come to you.
GBP/JPY testing critical zoneThe GBP/JPY is testing a critical resistance area between 189.20 to 190.00. For as long as this area holds as resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Should the selling resume from here, we could see the Guppy trade down to test the key support range between 185.00 to 186.00 again.
However, if the GBP/JPY breaks decisively above the 189.20 to 190.00 range, then that could potentially pave the way for a short-squeeze rally towards the next major resistance in the 193.00 to 194.20 range, where we also have the 200 day MA converging.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBP/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup–Eyeing Breakdown from Supply Zone1. Supply Zone (Resistance Area) 🟦 Supply Zone:
Located around 189.500–190.000
🔺 Price got rejected here multiple times — strong selling pressure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
📈 Trendline connecting higher lows (marked with yellow dots)
🟡 Support tested multiple times, acting as a rising wedge structure.
3. EMA (7) — Exponential Moving Average
⚫️ EMA (black line) is currently near price — indicating short-term trend stalling.
4. Bearish Breakout Setup
🔻 Anticipated price drop shown with red/orange arrows
📉 If price breaks below trendline:
🎯 Target Point: 186.600
⬇️ Expected drop: ~1.51%
5. Price Movement Outlook
🔁 Possible minor pullback before breakdown
⛔️ Bearish signal increases if the trendline fails.
Summary (with emojis):
📍 Entry Idea: Short near resistance zone (189.500–190.000)
⛓ Trigger: Break of trendline support
🎯 Target: 186.600
⚠️ Stop-loss: Above 190.000 (above supply zone)
GBPJPY Q2 FY25 FORECASTim expecting a big dip then reversal at any of the marked price levels
fundamentally if i were to gauge which one id look at the following factors
GBP
M1 Money Supply: As of November 2024, the UK's M1 money supply stood at £2,221,455 million.
M2 Money Supply: In the same period, the M2 money supply was £3,067,494 million, marking an increase from £3,062,782 million in October 2024.
The modest month-over-month growth in M2 suggests a cautious approach by the Bank of England (BoE) towards monetary expansion. This restraint may indicate efforts to control inflation and maintain currency stability. However, the overall high levels of money supply reflect the substantial monetary interventions undertaken in previous years.
JPY
M1 Money Supply: In December 2024, Japan's M1 money supply reached ¥1,096,496.5 billion, up from ¥1,091,290 billion in November 2024.
M2 Money Supply: During the same period, the M2 money supply increased to ¥1,257,683.8 billion from ¥1,254,910.3 billion.
The incremental increases in both M1 and M2 indicate a steady, albeit slow, expansion of Japan's money supply. This aligns with the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) longstanding accommodative monetary policy aimed at combating deflation and stimulating economic growth.
So..
The UK's relatively stable M2 growth suggests a balanced approach, potentially leading to moderate inflation and a stable GBP. In contrast, Japan's slow money supply growth reflects its ongoing struggle with low inflation and economic stagnation, which may continue to exert downward pressure on the JPY.
Outlook
If current trends persist:
The BoE's measured monetary expansion may support the pound's stability. However, vigilance is required to manage inflationary pressures that could arise from external factors or supply chain disruptions.
The BoJ's continued accommodative stance suggests that the yen may remain weak, especially if inflation remains subdued and economic growth lags.
In short, the UK's cautious monetary policy may bolster the GBP's position, while Japan's persistent low growth and inflation challenges could keep the JPY under pressure. Monitoring these monetary indicators will be crucial for anticipating future currency movements.
now since im all for the dxy crashing i decided to factor that in
these are my takeaways
If DXY collapses slowly, GBP and JPY both rise, but GBP/JPY stays relatively stable as usual
If DXY collapses sharply due to a crisis, JPY outperforms massively, and GBP/JPY drops sharply
If the BoE cuts rates aggressively, GBP weakens, while JPY gets even stronger
If the BoJ tightens monetary policy while DXY crashes, JPY surges, and GBP/JPY could plummet below 180.
like comment follow tip gift collab
Pound-yen consolidates above ¥187The latest British job report on 15 April was generally quite positive with growth in earnings remaining high and claimants increasing less than expected. The focus for the yen remains on upcoming trade talks between Japan and the USA while monetary policy still seems somewhat uncertain. The Bank of Japan is likely to continue with ‘wait and see’ although some participants expect a hike in September.
¥186 seems to be the main short-term support based on the fairly strong reaction on 9 April. However, that hasn’t been clearly sustained since then although that day’s upward engulfing candlestick would have suggested possible ongoing gains. Japanese balance of trade late on 16 April GMT is unlikely to have a significant influence on the chart unless it’s particularly surprising. The 20 and 50 SMAs just below ¥191 probably mean resistance in that area. Upcoming British data like PMIs and retail sales could usher in a clearer direction.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.