15m outlook 15 minutes also bearish.
If the 15 min high is broken we might see price trade higher to the 4h OBs.
Also keep in mind that all TFs are aligning so possibility for GJ selling at the 15min Supply is also high.
JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY BUYSWe are will bullish on GBPJPY, price is currently rejecting off an AOI around 192.41. We will ignore the London open trade as theres is no visible level of entry, we will how ever prepare for NYC open. where we will see price take out the London lows for a continuations of the bullish rally.
GBPJPY BUY NOW!!GBPJPY formed a bullish rectangular on the 2h time frame and price have already made a strong rejections from the sell side by sweeping liquidity am in now on buy holding watching to see price take out the buyside to create new highs
JOIN AND ENJOY
Lets know your thoughts on this...........
GJ-Thu-3/04/25 Top down analysis-GJ wide htf consolidation!Analysis done directly on the chart
Just like back in second week of March, GU
started to create wider and wider range. This is
the time where GJ has been consolidating high
time frame until clearer structure is formed.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY Buy Setup – Bullish Momentum Building From 4H SupportPrice has respected the 4H support zone around 192.300 and is now showing bullish signs on both the 1H and 23m charts, with MACD shifting upward. A break and close above 193.000 could confirm a bullish push.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: Break & retest or strong bullish close above 193.000
• TP1: 193.751 (1H Resistance)
• TP2: 194.907 (4H Resistance)
• SL: Below 192.200 (structure break zone)
Watching closely for volume and momentum confirmation. Let’s see if bulls take control.
#GBPJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #MACD #SupportAndResistance #BreakoutSetup #Scalping #SwingTrade
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY)
🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact)
Bank of England (GBP)
The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation.
Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets.
Bullish for GBP/JPY.
Bank of Japan (JPY)
BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates.
Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports.
Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP).
📊 Institutional View:
Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads.
GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows.
🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off)
GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety.
If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise.
If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall.
Current Market Sentiment:
Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet.
Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation.
📊 Institutional View:
Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high.
🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows)
Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions.
Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside.
📊 Institutional View:
Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe)
📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance.
📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00
📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00
🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00.
🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe)
📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel
📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00
🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure.
🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe)
📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00
Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support)
📊 Institutional View:
Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00.
3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction)
Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support).
Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone).
Stop-Loss: Above 193.50.
Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
GJ-Wed-2/04/25 Top down analysis-Trade safe, Trade carefullyAnalysis done directly on the chart
Learn the skill rather than relying on someone to give signals.
The among of people that succeed in trading is already low,
long term without a proper education you won't make it.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Wed 2nd Apr 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Short trade
Day TF overview
Sellside trade
Fri 28th March 25
9.00 am (NY Time)
NY Session AM
Structure Day
Entry 4Hr
Entry 194.679
Profit level 192.079 (1.34%)
Stop level 195.101 (0.22%)
RR 6.16
Reason: Trade Rationale:
PD Array for Bias & Price Range:
Using the Premium/Discount (PD) Array, suggesting entry from a premium zone for a short trade.
The bias aligns with sell-side liquidity targeting the double button (liquidity pool) on the day TF.
GBPJPY Sell idea/analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a downtrend forming by having a Lower high and a low that has been broken, and I can see a rejection off of the low that can be a confirmation for a downtrend to shape. The uptrend trendline is broken, and the downtrend trendline has been respected so far, so these are enough confirmations for me to take this trade.
Potential GBPJPY Trade Setup
News event for the week
JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index at Tuesday 350am (Over)
Long-term Chart
Major long-term trendline (Jan 23 - Current) uptrend line is still holding
Shorter trendline: LH and LL have been set since Oct.
Technical analysis
Prices are currently in no-man's land and there's no reason to enter from a technical perspective now
I want to enter Long positions if they reach 191-190 price range
-- Daily level SL: 188
-- Daily level TP: 195
Price Action for entry
-- Price to hit zone, then breakout to the downside out of the zone. To take trade on the retracement candle with SL above the highs within the zone.
-- TF to view candle: H1
And I want to enter a Short position if price reaches around 196 and does not have a strong volume breakout to the upside.
-- Daily level SL: 198 (Top of zone + Daily ATR)
-- Daily level TP: 190.6 (Major trendline level)
Price Action for entry
-- Price to hit zone then breakout to the upside of the zone. To take trade on the retracement candle with SL below the lows within the zone
-- TF to view candle: H1
Fundamental
Divergence in monetary policies, favouring a downtrend of the GBPJPY. This is THE major driver, and until economic news changes this, I favour selling GBPJPY whenever it reaches a premium level.
BOE expected to continue to cut interest rates due to bad economic outlook
JPY expected to continue to hike interest rates to strengthen the yen
Overall
If price reaches SHORT zone. I expect to hold the trade longer to take advantage of the fundamental downtrend. And I may scale into the trade if price starts a major downmove.
If price reaches the LONG zone and Price Action permits, I expect to have a scalp of the Long position(s) to take advantage of the supply zone. I do not want to hold a Long position in GBPJPY for an extended time.
This is under the assumption that the monetary policy divergence holds.
Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
GBPJPY, SELLThe forex signals provided are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any signals provided. Any trading decisions you make based on our signals are made at your own risk, and we shall not be liable for any financial losses incurred.
You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before engaging in forex trading. By using our signals, you acknowledge and accept the risks associated with trading and agree to hold us harmless from any liabilities
GPTJPY WAIT FOR SELLSoon ill be GBPJPY
I will wait have a tight stop loss and be ready to have TP1 TP2 AND TP3
Correction Given the price behavior within the current support range, a continuation of the downtrend to the specified support levels is possible.
Three Consecutive action conceptAfter years of trading, I noticed a pattern where the market forms three consecutive highs before reversing. The third high often acts as a liquidity grab, trapping buyers before price drops.
How It Works:
First High – Establishes resistance.
Second High – Confirms liquidity above.
Third High – Triggers a stop hunt, followed by a reversal.
If the second high’s order block wasn’t mitigated, price tends to return to it before the drop. This pattern works best when combined with liquidity sweeps, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and market structure shifts (MSS) for confirmation.
🔸 Disclaimer: This is based on my personal observations and may not work in all market conditions. Always trade with caution, backtest thoroughly, and use risk management.
GJ SHORTS?price delivered effectivly from weekly zone where we got daily liquidity raid, now i am waiting for price to test the point of interest as marked and confirm my shorts. Trade safely
GBPJPY - Short - 1hr setup on daily structure!Forecasting quite a move on this and other yen pairs, due to an expectation of yen strength for the coming weeks.
The early bird gets a seat in first row, i.e. the best risk to reward ratio, if you keep the trade all the way to the end.
Levels on the chart,
trade with care.
JPY/GBP - Potential Reversal SetupHey traders! Today we’re diving into a high-probability setup on the JPY/GBP pair with up to 22% upside on the monthly chart. I’ll cover the technicals, fundamentals, and exactly how to trade it.
📉 Chart pattern
Looking at the chart, we’ve got a textbook falling channel stretching back from mid-2020. This descending structure has been consistent, but right now, we’re testing the upper boundary - and that could signal a trend reversal is coming.
Momentum indicators back it up too. The RSI is rising off oversold levels, sitting around 41. And check out the MACD: bearish momentum is fading. Classic setup for a bullish breakout.
📌 Trade setup
Wait for a monthly close above the upper channel , ideally between 0.00530 to 0.00535. That’s your breakout confirmation. You can place a buy stop just above the breakout zone.
Set your stop-loss below the recent swing low - about 0.00490 - to protect against false moves.
Now for the profit targets :
* First target: 0.00580, that’s 12% above current levels.
* Second target: 0.00630, that's 22% upside potential.
That gives you a potential risk-reward ratio of up to 1:4 - solid.
🌐 Fundamentals
On the macro side, this setup makes even more sense. Japan is finally stepping away from ultra-loose monetary policy, possibly hiking rates. Meanwhile, the UK looks set to pause or even cut rates in 2025. That shift could give the Yen the edge over the Pound, driving this move higher.
🛎️ Now, smash that like button if you found this helpful, and subscribe for more trade ideas.
GBPJPY Long Entry Set UpConservative Entry Set Up:
1. Mitigate Swing Low
2. Sweep Liquidity just below swing low
3. Break of Structure/Market Shift
4. Short pull back to 1/5/15min D.Z. for conservative entry
See Friday's Aggressive entry set up on chart.
My Directional Bias on GBPJPY for the long run {29/03/2025}Educational Analysis says that GBPJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - FXCM
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
1) Break of structure on weekly range is down trend for the long run period of 10 years, may be it switch to new character or change its direction to bullish.
2) External pushback structure is the trading range where it trades on the smaller time frame,
On this structure range market on inside trading or smaller time frame is bullish towards fib of 1.618 and make turn to fill the fair value gaps of it.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
GBPJPY | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| Will GJ fly to the SKY?GBP/JPY has been riding strong volatility, reacting to both BOE and BOJ policy shifts. As we head into the new month, the pair is testing a critical resistance zone near , with momentum signaling a potential breakout or rejection.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a strong , with price respecting the as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Resistance at , support at . A break above could open the door to .
🔹 Technical Outlook: RSI divergence hints at possible exhaustion, while Fibonacci retracements suggest key reaction zones around .
Will GBP/JPY continue its bullish momentum, or are we looking at a deeper correction? Share your insights below! 📉📈 #GBPJPY #ForexForecast #MarketAnalysis
