Target hit. Rectangle intact. Short.TP = 12.700 hit as the price completed the bullish 1D leg within the 1W Rectangle (RSI = 49.145, Highs/Lows = 0, Ultimate Oscillator = 50.485). After hitting the 12.845 Resistance, the pair is expected to move towards the 12.000 support. We are short again with TP = 12.200.
JPYSEK trade ideas
Target hit. 1W Rectangle extended lower but intact. Long.TP = 12.283 hit on SEKJPY as the 1W Rectangle declined and even marginally crossed the 12.050 Support to form a new base at 11.973. This doesn't alter our support-long/ resistance-short strategy, as the pair is showing significant bullish reversal bias on 1D (overbought STOCHRSI, Williams, CCI, ADX = 22.908, RXO = 2.123). Going long, TP = 12.700.
Target hit. Rectangle continuation on 1D. Short.TP = 12.792 hit as SEKJPY continues the very controlled sideways trade on the 1D Rectangle (RSI = 52.414, STOCH = 49.962, CCI = 9.9279, Highs/Lows = 0). We continue to trade within its ~ 12.100 - 12.850 range, opening a short now, TP = 12.283. Even 1W is neutral on RSI, Highs/Lows, Ultimate Oscillator.
SHORT SEKJPY DURING STERILIZATION BY CENTRAL BANKSAfter reaching the upper medium term band for 15 % width of band as permitted by the monetary policy, the Swedish central bank and the BOJ undertook market sterilization to slower the strengthening of SEK in the market. Accordingly, short on the sterilization (short term band) is feasible with the following details:
Short at 13.60 or the current rate 13.40
Stop loss at 13.80
Target T1. 13.20 T2. 12.70
Duration: 2-3 months
Risk Management:
After breaking the 13.20 manage the stop loss to entry rate for risk free trading position management
Note:
To follow and to evaluate the performance of this analysis please click the chart periodically and then >, to include any updates as may be made on this analysis during the trading.
THE BOJ AND THE NORDIC CENTRAL BANKS STERILIZE NORDIC CURRENCIESAfter reaching 15 % + 1 % width of medium term bands as permitted by the applicable regulation, the BOJ and the Nordic's central banks (Sweden, Danish and Norwegian) undertook central banking market sterilization to slower the strengthening of SEK, DKK and NOK by the JPY.
The sterilization will bring those pairs to central band/central parity in short term (short term band is central banking market sterilization). Short the current sterilization is very feasible.