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JPYUSD trade ideas

USD/GPY chart Analysis 1hour sell possible This is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen) 1-hour trading chart from TradingView. The chart appears to show a downtrend with a descending trendline (blue line) and a marked sell zone (red area). Here’s what it suggests: 1. Downtrend Confirmation: The price has been declining, forming lower highs and lower lows. 2. Resistance Zone: The red-shaded area is identified as a sell zone, where price previously faced resistance (failed to break higher). 3. Rejection Points: The red arrows mark key points where the price attempted to rise but got rejected, reinforcing the sell zone. 4. Possible Trade Setup: Traders may look for short (sell) positions when the price reaches this zone again, anticipating another rejection and continuation of the downtrend. Would you like help with trading strategies based on this?
by DavidHills110
USDJPY analysis week 7🌐Fundamental Analysis USD/JPY fell sharply to 151.300 on expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue its tightening policy. Data showed that nominal wages in Japan increased by 4.8% in December - the highest level in nearly 30 years, while real wages increased for the second consecutive month, reinforcing the prospect of a BoJ interest rate hike. At the same time, the Japanese services PMI index reached 53.0 - the highest level since September 2024, continuing to support the JPY. Meanwhile, the USD weakened on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep its easing policy. 🕯Technical Analysis USDJPY is reacting at the important support zone of 151.000, waiting to see if the fluctuations at the beginning of the week can push the price up from this support zone. If this zone cannot hold, buyers will accept and wait at the price zone of 149.400. The best signals for next week are waiting for the buyers to jump into the market and push the price up to the old breakout zones around 153.700, which is a very strong selling zone and overwhelms the buyers, and the highest zone to watch out for is at 155.800. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 153.700-153.900 Stoloss 154.300 BUY USDJPY 149.400-149.200 Stoploss 148.900
by TVS-Trader
1
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends! As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend. Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart. If you find this idea insightful, don’t forget to leave your thoughts in the comments below and share it with your network. Your support gives me immense motivation to continue sharing valuable experiences and strategies in the forex market. Let's conquer this journey together!
Short
by Bentradegold
USDJPY POSSIBLE BUY?Overall direction is to the upside based on Monthly and Weekly perspective. The market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.61 & 0.786 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
USD/JPY: Support Break and Potential Continued Decline?Hello all! The USD/JPY pair has broken the 154 support level and is heading toward the next support zone around 150-152. However, this support level doesn’t seem significant, and with U.S. labor market data coming out on Friday, we might see continued downward movement. 📉 Main support level: 149-149.50, where we expect the week to close. We’re keeping an eye on developments and preparing for potential moves within these zones! #USDJPY #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Finance
Short
by AUREA_RATIO
USSJPY Breakdown the decsending channelUSD/JPY Breakdown Alert – Sell Opportunity 1. The USD/JPY pair has broken down from the descending channel, signaling a strong bearish move. 2. Prior to this, the price had already broken the trendline, further confirming downside momentum. 3. After the trendline breakdown, the pair consolidated before making another bearish move. 4. The breakdown of the descending channel now provides a fresh selling opportunity. 5. The recommended sell entry level is 150.600, based on current price action. 6. Target Level 1 is set at 148.660, marking the first key support zone. 7. Target Level 2 is set at 146.370, aligning with the next major support level. 8. The EMA 50 on the 4-hour timeframe supports the bearish outlook. 9. Price is currently trading below the EMA 50, confirming the downtrend continuation. 10. A sustained move below 150.600 will increase selling pressure. 11. The bearish structure remains intact unless price reclaims 150.600. 12. A stop-loss can be placed above 151.200 to manage risk effectively. 13. The recent price action shows lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the bearish bias. 14. If the pair fails to hold 148.660, it could accelerate toward 146.370. 15. The descending channel breakdown indicates a shift in market sentiment. 16. Fundamental factors, such as U.S. economic data, may further influence movement. 17. Traders should monitor volume levels for confirmation of the sell-off. 18. RSI and MACD may provide additional confirmation of bearish momentum. 19. Patience and proper risk management are key while executing this trade. 20. Stay updated with market developments to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
Short
by professionalman088
1
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 151.27 1st Support: 149.66 1st Resistance: 152.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY - SELL - 75% Lower Probability Estimate for USD/JPY to Move Lower Given the current strong bearish sentiment on USD and JPY USD/JPY lower: 70% Factors Supporting the 70% Probability of a Drop COT Commercials Traders are what drives the market to a large degree and are usually correct in the Medium to long term. They are heavily short USD and Closing shorts in JPY. Reversal signals in JPY suggest commercial traders expect JPY strength ahead. USD long interest is dropping, meaning fewer buyers to support the pair. "Leaning now days towards Dollar Cost Averaging as this can be a better strategy if price reverses, as long as you keep the initial entry lot size low compared to your total Account. Many traders use better Semi automated or Fully Automated management position trading tools these days." Better than an getting Stopped Out Stop Hunted all the time no matter how good u are unless u have a massive account like the Hedge Funds and have Massive Stops and Take Profits we are the meat in the middle, their lunch, just like the Pacman Video Game we just get munched up. : )
by NZ_Shareman
UJ sell ideaAhead of Friday's expected BOJ rate hike (0.25% to 0.50%), USDJPY is at a critical juncture. Technical Insights: 1. Price found support on the 50-day moving average. 2. Lower time frames indicate a bearish bias, following the break of the ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Trade Plan: 1. Waiting for price reaction between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. 2. Aiming to sell on a confirmed bearish setup within this zone. 3. Alternative sell opportunity: Daily supply zone. Key Levels to Watch: - 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels - Daily supply zone PS: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice so remember to always practice good risk management.
Short
by phoenixwicks9
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Why Morgan Stanley and MUFG back JPY? Morgan Stanley and MUFG both see the Japanese yen as the strongest G10 currency in 2025. They expect it to gain value as U.S. interest rates fall and Japan’s central bank raises its own. On the daily chart, USD/JPY oscillators are still away from being in the oversold zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance could to the downside. MUFG predicts further yen gains, especially against the euro, and has set a target of 150 for EUR/JPY, down from 157. Morgan Stanley also favors the Australian dollar. Meanwhile they believe the New Zealand dollar will appreciate but underperform the Australian dollar due to a weaker domestic outlook.
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/JPY Selling Opportunity🔽 USD/JPY Selling Opportunity 🔽 📌 Take Profit 1: 148.96 📌 Take Profit 2: 148.38 📌 Stop Loss: Above 150.35 💡Reasoning: The USD/JPY pair has recently shown signs of weakness, with a potential reversal forming after hitting resistance around the 150.35 area. With key technical indicators suggesting a bearish momentum, we are anticipating a move down towards the support levels at 148.96 and 148.38. The risk of further upside seems limited unless we see a break above 150.35. Make sure to manage your risk and trade carefully. Stay updated for more insights!
Short
by Charts_M7M
USD/JPY 1-hour timeframe with technical analysis applied.1. Downtrend Confirmation: The price has been declining after reaching a peak (marked by a red arrow and yellow circle), suggesting a strong resistance level. 2. Trendlines and Channels: The black and red trendlines represent resistance levels. The blue and green trendlines indicate possible support zones. The price has been moving within a descending channel. 3. Current Price Level: USD/JPY is at 150.021, continuing the downtrend. 4. Possible Scenarios: If the price breaks below the lower trendline, further downside movement could occur. A breakout above the black/red resistance trendline might indicate a bullish reversal. 5. Resistance at 155.203: If the price recovers, the 155.203 level could act as a major resistance. This analysis suggests that USD/JPY is in a bearish phase unless a breakout occurs. Would you like help formulating a trade idea based on this?
by DavidHills110