JPYUSD trade ideas
DeGRAM | USDJPY retesting the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Four consecutive higher-lows off 140.9 have carved a rising flag that presses the channel roof (144.8); flag depth projects to the April swing-top/ Fib cluster at 147.8 once 145 is cleared.
● Daily RSI holds above 50 and price is now trading back above the broken wedge-cap (142.9), confirming it as demand and tilting risk toward the 150.9 macro ceiling.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 2-yr yields stay >4.70 % after solid ISM-services prices, while BoJ minutes show members preferring “patient” normalisation; the widening policy gap keeps yen funding pressure intact.
✨ Summary
Long 142.9-144.0; break of 145 targets 147.8, stretch 150.9. Bull view invalidated on a daily close below 140.9.
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JPYUSD Smart Money VIP Analysis – Eyeing High-Probability Target📈 Market Context:
The JPYUSD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) is currently navigating through a critical structure phase where price is reacting to previously established institutional zones. Recent price movements reveal a clean and structured setup — one that aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and CHoCH (Change of Character) theory.
This 2H chart provides a roadmap for anticipating the next high-probability reversal, giving traders an edge in both short-term scalps and mid-term swing trades.
🔍 In-Depth Chart Analysis:
🧱 Resistance Zone (0.007020–0.007040):
This area has been tested multiple times in the past and acted as a strong supply zone. Institutional orders have previously caused significant bearish pressure from this level. Unless a strong bullish breakout occurs with volume, this zone is likely to hold again.
🔁 Next Reversal Zone (0.006975–0.006985):
Price is currently climbing from the SR Interchange Zone, heading toward this marked reversal area. Here's why this zone matters:
Confluence of past resistance and imbalance
Potential liquidity sweep above minor highs
Perfect setup for a bearish reaction to form a lower high
Traders should watch for signs of weak bullish candles, wicks, or a bearish engulfing here.
🔄 SR Interchange (Support-Resistance Flip):
This level held firm, showing buyer interest after a previous structure break. It signals a healthy correction phase — a typical SMC signature before larger moves occur. The market is offering a retracement opportunity.
🟡 CHoCH Zones:
Minor CHoCH (0.006900): A break and close below this level would invalidate bullish correction and confirm the shift in momentum.
Major CHoCH (0.006840): The final confirmation of bearish dominance. A breach here opens the door for new lows, targeting long-term support areas.
⚔️ Smart Money Playbook:
Current Move: Price is in bullish retracement from previous demand zone
Watch Zone: 0.006975–0.006985 (Potential Smart Money sell zone)
Reaction Setup:
Bearish structure forms (e.g., M pattern, liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing)
Price breaks minor CHoCH
Sell Entry: After confirmation, with stops above reversal zone
TP1: SR Interchange level
TP2: Major CHoCH zone
📅 Fundamental Triggers Ahead:
Watch for upcoming USD economic data (CPI, PPI, interest rate decisions) between June 11–14, which could act as catalysts for volatility and confirm technical setups.
🧠 Educational Note:
This setup is a classic example of market structure shift, liquidity engineering, and order block theory — concepts used by banks and smart money traders. Retail traders often get trapped on the wrong side of these zones. Your edge lies in anticipating the trap, not reacting to it.
🎯 Conclusion:
JPYUSD is offering a textbook Smart Money setup. The current retracement gives an opportunity to position early into a likely bearish continuation, provided structure confirms at the next reversal zone. Patience, discipline, and precise timing will be key to capitalizing on this move.
USD/JPY...1h chart pattern..Here's a quick summary of MY USD/JPY trade setup:
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Trade Idea: SELL USD/JPY @ 144.000
Entry Point: 144.000
Target 1 (TP1): 143.400 → +60 pips
Target 2 (TP2): 142.400 → +160 pips
Suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider setting a stop loss above recent resistance (e.g., 144.500 or 144.800) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
For TP1: 1:1 with SL @ 144.600
For TP2: ~2.6:1 with SL @ 144.600
Key Technical Zones:
Watch for support near 143.400 (TP1); possible bounce or consolidation.
142.400 is a deeper move — stronger confirmation needed (e.g., a break below 143.400 with volume).
Let me know if you’d like a chart analysis or updates on news that could impact this trade.
Sunday Report Last week ended with buyers pushing price upwards. Price is testing our key resistance of 114.784.
Targets:
Buy: 145.066 (open and close above)
Sell: 114.599 (open and close below)
Key takeaways:
Price is currently bullish in hour and four timeframes moving above 200 sma
Bearish in weekly and monthly
Our next report is going to be the Core Inflation Rate YoY which I will talk more about in my next post.
USD/JPYthis pair is on a bullish on a weekly to monthly time frame bearish on a daily
so it could go either way im looking for the price right now to hit a ristence like it already has to push down from the 144.859 to 143.999 to either retrace bullish as i do believe overal the market is bullish
HOWEVER
SHOULD The price go even more bearish to break past the 143.999 to furthur hit a major surport line 142.581 i would be waiting for a a big bullish move to head back towards the 144.000 mark i would set a risk to reward at 1:2 again and see where the market takes us
Week 23 USDJPY technical analysis 07062025On the daily time frame, I see price turn from 139.992 which I call support and resistance is 161.593. Market refused to travel up to this price level, making a stop at 158.498 which I can call my new resistance or supply zone. My immediate supply zone or the nearest bus stop price may turn is 148.162. Last week $:USDJPY was pulled back to 142.5 before resuming bullishness hitting the high of the week at 145.
Three scenarios are expected. Using Elliot wave, I can expect the price to do one of the following
Continue its bullish move to the next supply zone of 146.25
Pull back to at least 143.75 using Fibonacci. If dealers break above 145, pull back needs to be recalculated.
Hold price levels at 145 before playing scenario 1 or 2
Is UJ bullish? yes overall.
How to trade the pair? Wait for the pullback before buying. I am betting price may pullback to 143. If it does, I am ready to ride the baby up to 146 (300 pips baby)
If it doesn't pull back, buy stop from 145.1 - 146, stop loss 144.75
If you love my analysis, give it a boost to help others. If you disagree with my analysis, let me know what you think.
Disclaimer: Not a trading advice, educational purposes only.
usdjpy longThe Japanese Yen attracts sellers for the second straight day in reaction to disappointing domestic data. The optimism over the resumption of US-China trade talks further undermines demand for the safe-haven JPY. The divergent BoJ-Fed expectations should limit JPY losses and cap USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report.
USD/JPY Trapped in Consolidation QuagmireDuring the European session, the USD/JPY exchange rate oscillated around 143.10, extending the consolidation pattern triggered by the weak US dollar overnight. Influenced by the worse-than-expected US May ADP and ISM services data, the US Dollar Index fell to a six-week low of 98.60, and the USD/JPY rate also hit a low of 142.53. Subsequently, it rebounded slightly supported by the stable results of Japan's 30-year government bond auction and the decline in yields. Currently, the market is widely focused on the upcoming US May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is reassessing the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Thursday thoughts Not much to share here today more so waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls report before any serious movements.
Targets:
Buy open and close above 143.481
Sell open and close below 142.559
I'll post a recap of the week June 6th and more information on Non-Farm Payrolls
I hope anybody who took my calls this week locked in profits. If you are viewing my ideas, please follow. Ideally building a community is my main concern all of our ideas are important and would like to help anywhere I can.
USDJPY M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!