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USD/JPY continue with the UptrendOn USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 156.210. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
USDJPY → Consolidating Before the Next Rally.Hello, dear friends! Ben here! USD/JPY is consolidating after a strong bullish run, fluctuating around the 157.75 level. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid wavering expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4 in December. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains near a two-year high, supported by the Fed's hawkish shift, further bolstering the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the focus is on the consolidation phase, which has been forming over the past few weeks. We have clear boundaries, trends, and key levels to guide our trading decisions. For me, the trigger lies at the 158 resistance level. A breakout and price consolidation above this level would confirm that the pair is ready to push higher. This rally is expected to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 159, completing wave 5 within the channel. Regards !
Long
by Bentradegold
3
USDJPYBelow is a comprehensive, actionable trading plan for USD/JPY, integrating the Weekly, Daily, and 4H analyses we conducted. It aligns higher‐timeframe bias with lower‐timeframe precision for entries and exits. 1. Overall Market Context 1. Weekly Bias • The long‐term trend is bullish, with price above the Weekly Ichimoku Cloud and all major SMAs sloping upward. • Key resistance is 160–162; price is hovering just below 160. If broken, it opens further upside. Otherwise, a pullback toward 153–155 could ensue. 2. Daily Bias • The Daily chart remains firmly bullish: higher highs/higher lows, price above the Cloud, and momentum indicators in positive territory. • Resistance near 158–160; daily support around 155–156 (Tenkan/Kijun/Bollinger mid). A deeper floor sits near 152–153 (50SMA). 3. 4H Bias • Intraday also bullish but facing local ceiling around 158. • Momentum turned positive again (MACD flipping green, RSI rising, CMF above 0). • A breakout above 158 would likely accelerate upside; failing that, price could retest 156 or 155 for a higher low. Overall: Bullish bias on all timeframes, but immediate overhead resistance near 158–160 could trigger short‐term pullbacks if not decisively broken. 2. Entry Strategy We’ll combine structure, Ichimoku, and momentum confirmations: 1. Aggressive Entry • Buy on Breakout: Enter long on a 4H or Daily close above 158 (or 158.2 for added confirmation). • Look for a bullish candle close above this resistance with supportive volume/OBV or a strong MACD histogram uptick. • RSI (4H or Daily) ideally > 55–60 as a momentum confirmation. • Reasoning: This signals a fresh push toward 159–160. The risk is a false break if resistance holds. 2. Conservative Entry • Buy on Pullback: Wait for a retest of 155–156 support (4H Cloud Region /Daily Bollinger mid / 4H 100SMA ). • Prefer a bullish price pattern (e.g., a 4H hammer or bullish engulfing) or a clear HL formation with RSI climbing above 50. • Reasoning: This offers a better risk–reward if price fails initially at 158 and returns to form a higher low. Additional Confirmations: • Ichimoku alignment (price above the 4H Cloud, Tenkan > Kijun). • RSI(4H or Daily) holding above 50–55 to confirm bullish momentum. • No significant bearish divergence on OBV or RSI as price pushes higher. 3. Stop Loss Placement (SL) 1. For Breakout Entry • Place SL below the last 4H swing low that formed prior to the breakout. Likely near 156 or a bit below the 4H Cloud (~155.5), to avoid minor wicks. • If more conservative, tuck it below 155 if you want to allow the trade room to breathe. 2. For Pullback Entry • After entering around 155–156, place the SL below the recent low (e.g., 154.5–154.8 area if that’s the structural HL). • This level is below the 50SMA / Cloud top confluence to protect against a minor stop hunt. Justification: • These stops are placed beyond critical support levels (HLs / Cloud boundaries) so that a break below them would likely signal a deeper trend change or at least a more substantial correction. 4. Take Profit Targets (TP) You can use a two‐tier approach to manage the position: 1. TP1 • Around 159–160, which is a known resistance zone on both Daily/Weekly. • Once price reaches this area, consider taking partial profits (25–50%). Move SL to breakeven to reduce risk. 2. TP2 • If price clears 160, watch for 161.5–162 (Weekly swing high / Fib extension zone). This region could be the next major stopping point. • If momentum remains strong above 162, additional upside is possible (e.g., 163–164). Dynamic Management: • After hitting TP1, you can trail the stop below each subsequent 4H HL or the Tenkan line to ride potential further gains. 5. Indicators to Monitor 1. Ichimoku Cloud (4H & Daily) • Price > Cloud, Tenkan > Kijun. If price dips into the Cloud or Tenkan crosses below Kijun, that’s a caution sign. 2. SMAs • Look for SMAs (10/50 on 4H, 24/50 on Daily) to remain bullishly sloped. 3. OBV • Should continue to grind higher; a clear negative divergence while price attempts new highs is a red flag. 4. RSI • Want RSI(4H/Daily) above 50 for bullish entries. If RSI fails to sustain >50 or forms lower highs while price tries to push up, that’s a warning. 5. MACD • Currently flipping bullish on the 4H. If it rolls back over or forms a bearish crossover at the key resistance (158–160), the breakout might fail. 6. Timing Considerations 1. Sessions • USD/JPY often sees strong moves during London–New York overlap. If you’re entering a breakout, watch for volume spikes in those sessions. 2. Major News Events • Beware of JPY or USD economic releases (e.g., BoJ statements, Fed rate decisions, NFP). Volatility can lead to whipsaws. • Check the economic calendar and avoid placing new trades just before high‐impact announcements if you want reduced risk. 7. Final Decision Checklist 1. Bias Alignment: Weekly, Daily, and 4H all bullish. 2. Key Levels: • Either a breakout above 158 (with a 4H close) or a pullback buy near 155–156. 3. Indicator Confluence: • Ichimoku bullish alignment, SMAs sloping up, RSI > 50, and MACD or Chaikin Osc in positive territory. 4. No Bearish Divergence: • Verify OBV/RSI are not diverging on new price highs. 5. Stop & Target: • SL placed below 155–156 if breakout entry; or below 154.5–155 if pullback entry. • TP1 ~159–160; TP2 ~161.5–162 or beyond. 6. Alerts: • Set an alert near 158 for breakout. • Set an alert around 156 for a potential retest. • Monitor economic calendar for major USD/JPY news. Only pull the trigger when these conditions line up with supportive price action. This ensures you’re trading in harmony with the broader uptrend while managing risk at logical structural levels. This plan should guide your USD/JPY trades by combining the macro (Weekly) bullish bias with near‐term (Daily/4H) triggers to optimize entries, exits, and risk management.
Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes More GainsMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes More Gains USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 158.00 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 156.50 and 157.30 levels. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 157.75 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 156.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 156.85 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 157.30. The pair climbed above 157.50 and traded as high as 157.77. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.87 swing low to the 157.77 high. The current price action above the 157.30 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 157.75. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 157.75. The first major resistance is near 158.05. If there is a close above the 158.05 level and the RSI moves above 70, the pair could rise toward 158.80. The next major resistance is near 159.20, above which the pair could test 160.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 157.30 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.87 swing low to the 157.77 high, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 156.85 level. If there is a close below 156.85, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 156.00 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 155.45 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0. At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading. Resistance levels: 158.1 Support levels: 156.74, 155.88 The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 156.12 1st Support: 153.39 1st Resistance: 160.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
4
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 157.39, which is a pullback support close to a 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 157.84, a swing high resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 156.87, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USDJPY, chartart Hi, posing here USDJPY patterns also the 12M levels and will continue to drill it down to smaller time frames patterns and levels u can print and frame the chart art, but certainly get some important informations in the below graphics my present, if u like old school of trading analysis, i will use here tls, channels and geometrical tools along with indicators BB,MAs and MACDS which i use to get direction in different timeframes right from 12M to 1 min, recently, I started using 36M & 60 M levels also but in very initial stage , though found success with my 12M levels and patterns completed two years of validation in most of the asset class hope u will like the chart art and chart patterns i 'm posting below, well it will take few hours thanks
by omvats1
USDJPY - looking to multi buys and hold until daily resistantHello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trade on what we see the price movement on chart. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position. This ensures every trading position is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
by QQGuo-Shane
USD/JPY Short using a GANN Fixed Square & Andrews PitchforksWe have an interesting short setup on the Daily. The highest candle printed was on the 26th Dec 2024 (UTC+2). Although it wasn't a nice 'Signal' candle it has traded sideways ever since. From a technical/geometric lens we can see heavy resistance against the angles and arcs of this perfectly scaled Gann Fixed Square including 2 median line touches and a "sliding parallel" exhaustion gap. Note: The 26th Dec from an Astro perspective has very interesting planetary alignments including a Price and Time Square Out, however, the details of this is beyond the scope of this idea. Inevitably the market will decide.
Short
by inflectionpointtrader
USDJPYYen continues to weaken as the BOJ is shifting to cut rates. They dont have the inflation or wage growth to promote more rate cuts. Their Debt burden is still to great to ever see any major growth out of the economy. HTF USDJPY is bullish. FOREX retail sentiment is heavily bearish indicating further upside. BOJ is unlikely to intervene at this time. Look for pullbacks into key demand and inline with HTF trend, then buys back to 160. Until the dollar tuns bearish or the debt markets see massive buying. Dollar pairs should continue to be strong in the near term.
Short
by SoapstoneCapital
5
USD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum Awaits Key ConfirmationUSD/JPY Analysis The overall trend remains bullish, but confirmation of the bullish scenario requires a 4-hour candle close above 157.980. If this occurs, the price is likely to target 159.820 and 161.820. On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes below 156.580, it signals a potential drop toward 153.980. A further break below this level could see the price decline to 151.780. Stability above 157.980 will reinforce the bullish momentum, with targets at 159.820 and 161.820. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 156.590 Resistance Levels: 159.40, 161.82, 163.20 Support Levels: 154.64, 153.43, 151.790 Trend Outlook Bullish: Above 157.980 Bearish: Below 156.580 Consolidation: Between 156.45 and 157.98 previous idea:
Long
by SroshMayi
1
USDJPY Detailed Analysis And next Week PredictionWelcome to this detailed trading analysis, where your passion for mastering the forex market is truly appreciated. Trading is not just a skill but an art that requires patience, strategy, and perseverance, and by being here, you're already ahead in the journey toward success. Let’s dive into the USDJPY pair, which is currently trading at 157.200. The target price is set at 163.00 to 164.00, offering a potential gain of 500 to 600 pips, making this an exciting opportunity for traders. The pair is following a support and resistance pattern and is currently in a consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next significant move. Before reaching the target, we are waiting for a clear bounce from the support level, accompanied by a surge in trading volume, which will confirm the breakout. This setup requires patience and discipline, but the potential reward is worth the wait. Stay sharp, trust the technicals, and remember that success in trading comes to those who prepare and remain committed to their strategies.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to WatchFX:USDJPY USD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Analysis: The chart shows the USD/JPY pair on a 4-hour timeframe with multiple indicators and annotations. The price is currently at 157.266, with recent highs and lows marked. The chart includes horizontal support and resistance levels, volume profile, RSI, and a momentum indicator. Price Action Analysis: The price has been in an uptrend since mid-October, forming higher highs and higher lows. Key resistance levels are at 157.406, 158.082, and 158.246. Key support levels are at 156.744, 154.120, and 153.877. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Break of Structure (BOS) annotations indicate significant price movements. The price is currently consolidating near the upper resistance levels, suggesting potential accumulation or distribution. ICT Elliott Wave Analysis: The price appears to be in the fifth wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, indicating a potential end to the current trend. A correction might be expected before a new trend begins. Indicators: RSI is at 51.93, indicating neutral momentum. The momentum indicator shows mixed signals with recent green bars suggesting bullish momentum. Buy Strategy: Entry: 157.300 (above current resistance) TP1: 158.082 (next resistance level) TP2: 158.246 (upper resistance level) SL: 156.744 (below recent support) Sell Strategy: Entry: 156.700 (below current support) TP1: 154.120 (next support level) TP2: 153.877 (lower support level) SL: 157.406 (above recent resistance) Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds VIP Signal: Buy: 157.300 158.082 158.246 156.744 Sell: 156.700 154.120 153.877 157.406 This detailed analysis incorporates multiple trading strategies, including Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave strategies to generate comprehensive buy and sell strategies. The indicators displayed on the chart, such as Fibonacci retracement levels, RSI, and volume profile, support the analysis and identify key levels for entry, take profit, and stop loss.
by Alexgoldhunter
USD/JPY Long-Term Sell IdeaThe chart indicates a rising wedge formation nearing the 161.518 resistance level, a strong bearish reversal signal. Fundamentally, the U.S. Federal Reserve may pivot toward rate cuts by late 2025 due to slowing inflation and economic growth, weakening the dollar. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan could tighten its monetary policy further as inflation gains momentum, supporting the yen. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 161.518 Support: 142.284 (short-term), 100.000 (long-term target) A break below the wedge could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the fundamental outlook. Consider scaling into short positions around resistance zones.
Short
by DreamsForx
USDJPY: Awaiting Breakout DirectionUSDJPY: Awaiting Breakout Direction For the past two weeks, the USDJPY pair has been oscillating within a broad trading range of 156.00 to 158.00. Currently, it appears to be accumulating, and given the ongoing bullish trend, a bullish breakout seems more likely. The market is also anticipating potential policy changes under the incoming Donald Trump administration on January 20th. This has led to positioning for a stronger USD in the coming days, which could further bolster bullish momentum for the USD. Nevertheless, the breakout from this pattern will determine the next price direction. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
by KlejdiCuni
1