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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPY – Rejected at 146.00, downside risk growsUSDJPY reacted strongly at the 146.00 resistance area – a level where price was previously rejected. After a sharp rally, the pair has turned lower and is now heading toward the 144.00 support zone, which aligns with the EMA 34–89 on the H3 chart. The chart shows a small double top pattern forming around the recent highs. If USDJPY continues to struggle below 146.00 and breaks through the 144.00 support, a short-term downtrend may be confirmed, with the next target around 142.50. On the news side: The Japanese Yen is gaining some ground again after the BOJ signaled readiness to adjust its easing policy if inflation consistently exceeds its target. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as expectations grow that the Fed may keep interest rates steady in the upcoming meeting, due to cooler consumer data. Suggested strategy: Consider selling if bearish signals appear around the 145.80–146.00 area, with a short-term target at 144.00.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY Showing potential growthHi there, The USDJPY appears to have reached a support area and formed a demand zone. It is worth noting that the demand zone is not fully formed yet, as there is no clear higher low above it. However, the support area suggests that an upward movement might hold despite the bearish pressure seen on the weekly time frame. There is a resistance level at 143.158, and if the price rises above this resistance, the upward momentum could continue. The levels 143.667 and 144.508 are potential target areas, with a bias toward 145.109. Happy trading, K. Not trading advice
Long
by Khiwe
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction. Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly. Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high. The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term. Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates. According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation. Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months. Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY Breakout - Bullish reversal setup in progress...The price has once again respected the 142.100–142.500 support zone, showing strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal. 🔍 Market Structure Update: Break of descending trendline ✔ Higher lows forming ✔ Bullish breakout above 144.500 in progress ✔ 🔷Two Bullish Scenarios: 🔹Aggressive Continuation: Break and retest above 144.500 could lead to a sharp push toward the 150.700 resistance zone. 🔹Conservative Entry: A potential retest back into the support zone before the next impulsive leg up. Support Zone: 142.000–142.500 Target Zone: 150.700 Key Level to Break: 144.500 🚨 Watch for confirmation before entering. Always manage your risk and never trade without a plan! 📊 Let me know your bias in the comments – Bullish or Bearish? 👍 Like & Follow for more setups! #USDJPY #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BreakoutSetup #ForexCommunity
Long
by James-Pipstr
1
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview: Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward. This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative. 🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation) The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910. Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation. This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in. 💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up. 🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support. This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight. The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it. 🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves. 🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline. According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below. If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster. 🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup: Component Details Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone) Stop Loss Below 0.006890 First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction) Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone) 🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful: ✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry. ✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support. ✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves. ✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows. ✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion. 🏁 Final Thoughts: This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions. When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst? 💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2. EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators. Key Resistance Levels: 145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance. 146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets. Key Support Zones: 144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point. 143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY. BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY. Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair. 🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11. If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg. ⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE: Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through. Key Drivers: Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves. A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan. Technical Perspective: If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50. On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
by Blueberry
USD/JPY Bulls Awakening from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money AnalysUSD/JPY just bounced cleanly from a well-defined demand zone (140.550 - 144.206). This area aligns perfectly with volume accumulation and prior rejection zones, hinting at smart money activity. 🔰 Bullish Structure Confirmation: Double bottom formation at demand Bullish engulfing candle closing above minor resistance Price reacting to macro support & strong U.S. news expected 🇺🇸 --- 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Demand Zone: 140.550 – 144.206 🔹 First Target Resistance: 148.419 🔹 Main Supply Zone: 155.589 📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish 📉 Invalidation Zone: Break below 140.550 --- 🔍 What’s Fueling This Setup? Price entering fresh demand + volume spike Potential DXY strength pushing USD up Buyers clearly stepping in after a long corrective wave June data catalysts ahead (NFP, FOMC – shown with calendar icons) --- 🎯 Trading Plan: ✅ Buy entry: On 4H retest around 143.900–144.100 🎯 TP1: 148.419 🎯 TP2: 155.589 ❌ SL: Below 140.400 (outside demand box) --- 🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t chase price – wait for a clear retest or confirmation. Let the market come to you. Also, combine this setup with DXY analysis for stronger confluence. 💬 Are you riding this bullish wave or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your chart views or trade ideas 👇 🔔 Follow for more setups on USD majors and smart money analysis. --- #USDJPY #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #LuxAlgo #DXY #PriceAction #JPY #TradingView #ForexSignals
Long
by FrankFx14
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6