JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY(20250502)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
144.67
Support and resistance levels:
147.49
146.44
145.75
143.58
142.90
141.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.75, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44
If the price breaks through 144.67, consider selling, the first target price is 143.58
USDJPYThe technical analysis shows a bullish outlook for the USDJPY pair on the 4-hour timeframe, summarized as follows: The price was within a descending channel and broke upwards. After the breakout, a strong bullish impulse occurred. The price broke a previous structural level (price structure) and is currently retreating to form a pullback.
USDJPY: TGIF setupafter news yesterday, USDJPY made the strong spike and did a liquidity swipe on late buyers at Tokyo open. well, the whole week see bullish in play, leaving some FVG in HTH, very ideal for TGIF setup.
As soon as I see the bearish candle in H1 TH, enter 100% lot size with expectation of retracement to 20-30% fib, as ICT's textbook.
#propfirm #100k
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart illustrates a bullish trade setup for USD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Pattern: The price appears to be forming higher lows and higher highs, suggesting an uptrend.
Green Arrows: Indicate points of price support and potential entry zones.
Orange Circles: Highlight pullbacks or corrections within the trend.
Green Trendline: Shows an ascending support line, supporting the bullish outlook.
Entry Point: Around the current price near 145.260, aligned with trendline support.
Stop Loss: Set just below the recent support zone (~144.134) to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Targeting the upper green box near 147.493, aligned with previous highs.
This setup seems to be a buy-the-dip strategy in an uptrend.
Do you want help analyzing the risk-reward ratio or confirmation signals?
USDJPY... 4H chat partternThe 140.166 level on USD/JPY appears to be a historical support level. If price action previously bounced around this area, traders might be watching it as a key zone where buying interest could re-emerge.
To evaluate this level properly, consider:
1. *Past price reactions*: Did price previously reverse or consolidate around 140.166?
2. *Volume profile*: High volume near this level might strengthen its significance.
3. *Indicators*: Are RSI, MACD, or moving averages signaling oversold or potential reversal near this level?
4. *Fundamentals*: Watch for Bank of Japan and Fed policy signals or geopolitical developments, as they heavily influence USD/JPY.
Positive US talks are supporting the USD🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ USD/JPY recovered to around 142.70 during the Asian session on Tuesday as positive risk sentiment undermined safe-haven assets such as the Japanese Yen while boosting the US Dollar. However, further gains appear limited amid weak trading conditions due to a holiday in Japan.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Positive news on tariff negotiations is emerging more and more, and the parties are also easing trade tensions. This is supportive for the USD and could cause USD/JPY to rise slightly in the coming time
➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/JPY 143.20 - 143.30
❌SL: 143.70 | ✅TP: 142.70 - 142.20
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 01, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is trading with small losses, hovering around the mid-143.00s after disappointing US economic growth data and weak Japanese economic reports caused a divergence in sentiment between the two currencies. The US economy contracted 0.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025, the first contraction since 2022, missing growth expectations and highlighting the impact of rising imports and government spending cuts. At the same time, Japan released weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales data, limiting the yen's gains even as global risk appetite declined.
On the macroeconomic front, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real GDP contracted 0.3% in Q1, missing the market forecast for a 0.4% increase and slowing sharply from the 2.4% growth in Q4 2024. The contraction was primarily driven by a 41 per cent rise in imports and lower government spending. Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, fell to 2.3 per cent year-on-year, in line with expectations and below February's 2.5 per cent. Other data showed a slowdown in job creation, with the ADP report showing just 62,000 new jobs in April against expectations of 108,000.
Despite the softer data, personal spending remained flat in March, rising 0.7%, while incomes rose 0.5%. However, market sentiment turned cautious, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling more than 200 points to stagnate around 40,300.
In Japan, the yen weakened 0.5% against the dollar as industrial production and retail sales data disappointed, highlighting the fragility of the domestic economy.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.20, SL 144.00, TP 145.00
Trade Idea: Buy USDJPY from the highlighted demand zone (around The market has recently revisited a key demand zone highlighted around the 142.195 level on the 1-hour chart. Price previously reacted strongly to this area, suggesting the presence of institutional interest. After a sharp decline, the pair found support within this zone and has since shown a bullish push, indicating renewed buying pressure.
Zone to zone The market broke out our weekly zone ,I'm predicting that it will go up to the next nearest zone . Currencies moves slowly this move might even take days, but I advise that once you hit your target close your trades or move your stop loss to protect your profits .
Remember this is not a financial advice but this is a suggestion of mine
USDJPY H1 | Potential pullback supportBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price could potential make a pullback to our buy entry level at 142.76, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 144.01, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 141.94, a swing low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 30-minute trading setup. Here's a breakdown of what's shown:
Downtrend: Price drops sharply from around 143.95 to a support zone just above 141.80.
Double Bottom Pattern: Two lows are marked with orange circles, suggesting a potential reversal.
Entry Point: Marked by a green arrow where price bounces off the support zone.
Take Profit Zones:
First Take Profit: Around 143.25, near previous resistance.
Final Take Profit: Around 143.95, retesting the previous high.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support zone (~141.70), minimizing risk if the setup fails.
This is a classic reversal setup using a double bottom pattern, targeting previous resistance levels.
Are you considering trading this setup or analyzing it for learning purposes?
USD/JPY Retests Support Zone as Kato-Bessent FX Talks UnfoldOverview Summary:
USD/JPY has reached a structurally significant weekly support/demand zone (140.0–142.0), where price has historically found support and initiated bullish reversals. As price consolidates in this zone, we are also seeing critical macroeconomic shifts unfold, mainly surrounding 'Japan-U.S. FX policy negotiations' and diverging central bank strategies.
Key Macroeconomic Drivers:
1. BOJ Policy Outlook:
The Bank of Japan has held rates near zero while inflation creeps above target. Despite global tightening trends, BOJ remains dovish and is cautious about hiking too soon. This supports further JPY weakness unless a shift occurs.
2. Kato-Bessent FX Meeting:
Japan and the U.S. held their first bilateral currency discussion in 2025, with Kato emphasizing Japan’s economic conditions and wage data. While the U.S. issued no formal statement, the absence of joint commentary adds uncertainty around potential FX alignment or future intervention strategies.
3. U.S. Treasury Talks with Japan:
U.S. and Japan are back at the negotiation table regarding FX stability and trade policy. While both affirm free-market rate setting, growing U.S. trade deficits with Japan are pressuring the Yen higher and inviting political attention.
4. U.S. Trade Pressures & Currency Realignments:
With the U.S. trade deficit with Japan widening and USD strength persisting, policymakers face rising pressure to address competitiveness. If unchecked, this could trigger direct currency commentary or coordinated action in future meetings.
5. Global Currency Realignments:
With USD strength persisting on rate divergence and geopolitical flows, Japan’s export competitiveness may cause either policy changes or FX intervention if the Yen weakens too far.
Technical Analysis:
- Weekly chart shows a clear support/demand zone between 140.0–142.0 , previously acting as a reversal area multiple times since 2023.
- We’re currently seeing early signs of consolidation and wick rejection, a potential setup for a bullish bounce if macro factors align.
- Break below 140.0 opens downside to 128.00 and 122.00 , both historically significant zones.
Trade Setup (If Support Holds):
Entry Zone: 140.00–142.00
Target 1: 150.00
Target 2: 158.00
Invalid Setup: Daily Close Below 139.50
Final Take:
USD/JPY is currently at a macro + technical inflection point. If support holds and Japan refrains from policy tightening, we could see the pair bounce sharply back into the 147–150 range. However, any unexpected BOJ hawkishness or coordinated U.S.-Japan currency intervention would flip this narrative quickly. Stay tactical, monitor policy headlines, and size positions with volatility in mind.