USDJPYAS DXY continues its bullish rally into 2025 yen will continue to feel the impact, but on correction the next buy zone will be 154.840-155.130 zone based on our structure.
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends!
As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend.
Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
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USDJPY Swing Trading 1hr/4hrSL 156.46
TP1 160.19
TP2 161.67
R:R 1:5
My personal risk management for this trade is 15% of total capital risking 2-4%
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 157.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 158.89
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 155.83
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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2024 REVIEW MARKET STOCKS !! AND 2025 PROYECTIONS Why Stock Prices Tend to Rise Over Time
It's easy to get caught up in the ups and downs of the stock market, but zoom out, and you'll see a clear trend: stock prices generally increase over the long term. Here's why:
Economic Growth: As economies grow, so do corporate earnings. Companies expand, innovate, and become more profitable, which naturally pushes stock prices up.
Inflation: Over time, inflation erodes the value of money, but stocks can act as a hedge. As the price level increases, so do the nominal values of stocks.
Dividend Reinvestment: Many companies pay dividends, and when these dividends are reinvested into more shares, it compounds growth. This reinvestment can significantly boost the value of an investment over decades.
Market Sentiment: Optimism about the future can drive stock prices higher. When investors believe companies will do well, they're willing to pay more for stocks today.
Low Interest Rates: In recent decades, low interest rates have made borrowing cheaper for companies, fueling growth, and also made stocks more attractive than low-yield bonds or savings accounts.
Technological Advancements: Innovation leads to new industries and improves efficiency in existing ones, driving up stock values through increased productivity and new market opportunities.
USD/JPY Surges Higher:US Economic Strength Fuels Dollar MomentumThe USD/JPY exchange rate continues its upward trajectory, aligning with our forecast as robust US economic data bolsters the dollar.
The price movement reflects the strong momentum of the USD, with the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicating that commercial traders maintain a strong position, while retail investors are riding the wave. Our initial price target is set at 155.050, and beyond that, we anticipate a potential move towards 158.000, where a notable supply zone exists.
Recent US macroeconomic indicators point to significant growth in the fourth quarter. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement interest rate cuts in December. However, the Fed may emphasize the strengthening economic conditions and rising inflation, which could lead to a more hawkish stance in their forward guidance.
Conversely, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to maintain its current interest rate levels during Thursday's meeting. This comes after indications of a possible 25 basis point reduction just a week prior. Dovish comments from BoJ officials suggest that the bank will likely postpone any decisions until January to evaluate how US policies under the Trump administration might affect the Japanese economy.
Today's economic calendar highlights US Retail Sales, which are projected to reflect strong consumer spending. This, combined with positive services activity reported earlier this week, is likely to curtail any downside pressures on the US dollar, at least until the Fed meeting's outcome.
We are optimistic about a continued upward movement in the USD/JPY pair.
Our Initial Forecast:
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USD/JPY - Overbought, it is time for a little correction.Hi guys, moving on to our next opportunity USD/JPY , the pair has ben moving up quite a lot recently as we have seen by the Dollar Index that the dollar is siting in a very healthy strong corner. And on the other end the BoJ did not increase the Interest Rates in their last meeting that happened recently, so hence we have seen the weak JPY. Currently the pair went up a lot and i am looking into a short term correction.
Entry: 157.753
Target: 156.879
As always my friends happy trading!
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USDJPY, DailyUSD/JPY is trading around 156.88, showing bearish momentum.
Key support lies at 156.66, with resistance near 156.83. Indicators like the RSI at 30.06 and the stochastic oscillator in oversold territory suggest a potential reversal, while the MACD points to ongoing bearish pressure. Short-term moving averages signal a sell, while medium to long-term trends remain mixed, reflecting market indecision.
USDJPY Falling more Look for Selling Zone Around 157.200 USDJPY fell after trapping Long impulsively, still paying on Support and trying to convince Long of an emotional move for those selling from the top. for shot, the market look is mark area 157.200 of rejection
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios
This analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Key Levels:
Critical Zone: 155.47–154.75
This zone acts as a pivotal level for the continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the daily candle does not close below this range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Upside Targets:
The first resistance level is identified at 160.099.
A breakout above this level could lead to further gains, with the next target at 161.753.
Indicator Insights:
DTOsc (DT Oscillator):
The oscillator is moving toward the oversold region.
This could align with a price reaction from the key support zone, aiding the potential resumption of the uptrend.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios
This analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Key Levels:
Critical Zone: 155.47–154.75
This zone acts as a pivotal level for the continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the daily candle does not close below this range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Upside Targets:
The first resistance level is identified at 160.099.
A breakout above this level could lead to further gains, with the next target at 161.753.
Indicator Insights:
DTOsc (DT Oscillator):
The oscillator is moving toward the oversold region.
This could align with a price reaction from the key support zone, aiding the potential resumption of the uptrend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the 155.47–154.75 support zone holds and the daily candle closes above this range, the pair is likely to resume its uptrend toward the 160.099 and 161.753 targets.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 154.75 would invalidate the bullish outlook and may lead to increased selling pressure.
Conclusion:
USD/JPY is trading within a critical range, with the 155.47–154.75 level serving as a decisive zone for the continuation of the uptrend. As long as this level holds on a daily closing basis, the pair is expected to climb toward its higher targets.
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Weekly CLS, from Monthly OB, Model 1 - Target 50%Weekly CLS, from Monthly OB, Model 1 - Target 50%
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave Hunter ⚔
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 155.75 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 154.30 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 158.03 which is a swing-high-resistance.
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USDJPY - Short term bearish, long term bullish WEEKLY: Bullish posture. Price created an imbalance prior to breaking above HH
DAILY: Bullish posture. There is a level of demand that has yet to be retested along with an imbalance that has yet to be filled. 0.5 Fib level falls where Daily demand and Weekly imbalance meet.
4HR: Bullish posture. Buying pressure seems to be slowing down for retracement.
FUNDAMENTALS: Seasonality for the coming week is bearish. COT continues to buy USD over JPY.
I personally believe scenario B is more plausible. In either scenario, wait for price action to come into zone, show rejection off zone and confirmation for continuation back up.
PATIENCE PAYS WHEN DISCIPLINE IS AT WORK
Yen strengthens as Russia rejects Ukraine peace planThe USD/JPY pair is experiencing notable movements, with the yen strengthening against the dollar at 156.72. This yen appreciation is driven by its status as a safe-haven currency amid growing geopolitical tensions and potential instability in Eastern Europe, following Russia's rejection of Trump's Ukraine peace plan. While the robust US dollar, supported by rising Treasury yields, applies external pressure, the yen's appeal is bolstered by the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) recent considerations for a possible rate hike. As the BOJ continues to assess economic data, including wage growth and clarity on future US policies, the potential for such hikes further supports the yen's strength. Traders should monitor BOJ policy announcements and global geopolitical developments, as the yen's safe-haven status might attract more interest, balancing external pressures from US economic factors.
Could this happen for the USDJPY in 2025?
Hi
Is that possible?
It looks like we will continue to see the dollar strengthen against the Japanese yen and it looks like this will happen in the new year. What do you think?
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% and also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 23.6% and also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 154.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.,2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 157.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HOW TO USE PREMIUM AND DISCUNT Here in this video i show you how you can use premium and discount to make profit so you do not need to loss much and make more profit . Try to use money management
Bearish at the short term!* The uptrend line was broken
* The 4h green spinning top candle´s wick will be filled
* Could go further till the bottom of the purple line but I will close my trade at the TP
* If the 4h candle will close on the left side of the purple line, so close the trade on breakeven or the minimum loss and will be regarded as the end of short term bearish wave and the target for big bullish wave is also at the chart!
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
USDJPY: Bears Will Push
The recent price action on the USDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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USD/JPY - Trade series for next days & weeks As per economic outlook for Japan, and aggressive DXY strength
We can look for buy setup on USD/JPY
Entry scenario can be at higher low, or at breakout, price action will decide
RSI & Volume will confirm the time to enter for riding the bullish leg up
(We can see very sudden move outta nowhere , when sessions resume)
(JPYUSD) Analysis chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone with an anticipated downward move, as shown by the blue arrow. Key observations include:
Resistance Rejection: The price is struggling to break above the marked resistance zone, aligning with the downtrend's upper boundary.
Trend Continuation: The downward channel remains intact, implying the potential for the price to head lower if the rejection is confirmed.
Potential Target: The price may aim for the lower boundary of the channel, possibly testing support areas around 0.006300 or lower.
Are you considering entering a sell position here, or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know how you'd like Looking at the chart, here are potential targets based on the descending channel and price action:
1. **1st Target**: **0.006320** (near the middle of the channel and a minor support zone). FX_IDC:JPYUSD
2. **2nd Target**: **0.006300** (key support area aligning with the lower channel boundary).
3. **Final Target**: **0.006280** (bottom of the channel for a full move).
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the mid-channel zone; it could pause or bounce before reaching the lower levels. Would you like to adjust for risk management or trail the stop as the price moves?
