#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description
Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
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JPYUSD trade ideas
Bearish Momentum Eases at 141.70 Support in USD/JPYFenzoFx—The USD/JPY currency pair resumed its bearish trend after breaking below 144.56 but steadied at the 141.70 support level. Indicators show sideways movement, reflecting a lack of momentum.
With the price below the 50-period moving average, the bearish outlook persists. If the pair stabilizes below 141.70, the downtrend may deepen, while surpassing 144.56 could pave the way for a rise toward 148.20.
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USDJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 142.79
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 143.26
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
[_] ONENTRY### **USD/JPY - ‘2FIB Strategy’ by ONENTRY**
**Timeframe:** 30 Minutes
**Session:** London & New York
### **Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range**
- Mark the **high** and **low** of the price range between **00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT)**.
- Wait for a **clear breakout** with a candle *closing* above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range.
- Wait for at least one reversal candle.
### **Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels**
- After the breakout, use the **Fibonacci retracement tool**:
- **Anchor Point 1:** Start at the *close* of the last impulse candle wick.
- **Anchor Point 2:** Drag to the *start* of the impulse move - first candle wick of the range.
- Key level for entry: **0.5 and** **0.35 retracement**.
### **Step 3: Trade Execution**
- **Entry:** Enter on a pullback to **0.5** and **0.35 Fib level** after the breakout.
- **Stop Loss :**
- *Long trades:* Below the **low of the breakout candle wick.**
- *Short trades:* Above the **high of the breakout candle wick.**
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** 1.0 Fib
- **TP2:** 1.25 Fib extension.
- TP3: 1.6 FIB extension
- **TP4:** 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
### **Step 4: Trade Management**
- Move SL to breakeven when price hits **TP1**.
- Close the running trade before midnight.
Always Test The Strategy
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a technical analysis setup for USD/JPY on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it’s indicating:
Support Zone (Green Box at Bottom): Price has reached a support level around 141.98 – 142.00 (marked by the green arrow). This is where buyers previously stepped in.
Stop Loss (STP LOSS): Placed just below the support zone, minimizing risk in case the price breaks lower.
Take Profit Levels:
USDJPY Buy Trade Setup – 4H TimeframeI have taken a buy position on USDJPY based on a confluence of technical factors supporting a bullish bias:
🔹 Key Weekly Support Zone: Price recently bounced from a strong weekly support level, which has held well in the past, indicating buyers' interest.
🔹 Bullish Daily Candle: On the daily timeframe, a strong bullish candlestick closed above the support level, signaling a potential trend reversal or short-term upside move.
🔹 Trendline Support: On the 4H chart, price is respecting a clear ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
🔹 RSI Indicator: RSI is recovering from the oversold zone and showing signs of bullish momentum buildup, supporting a possible upward move.
🔹 200 EMA (Resistance): While the price is still trading below the 200 EMA, this trade targets a move toward that level as the next potential resistance.
🎯 Entry: Near 143.00
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 142.20 (just under recent wick lows)
✅ Take Profit: Around 144.80 (just before the 200 EMA)
Risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, and this setup aligns with higher-timeframe support and confirmation from bullish price action.
USD/JPY: Bearish Trend Remains StrongUSD/JPY: Bearish Trend Remains Strong
In our previous analysis, USD/JPY tested the resistance zone and responded as expected. The market is still uncertain regarding Trump's tariff policies, but as long as the price respects the 144.40 resistance level, the downward trend is likely to continue.
It may take time, but based on current data, the direction remains bearish. Potential targets for further declines are 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NEW UPDATES ANALYSIS CHART (USDJPY M30)
**Trade Idea for USD/JPY (30-Minute Chart)**
- **Entry Point:** Around 142.061 – 142.211
- **Trade Setup:** The market has shown a downtrend followed by a potential reversal pattern near the support zone. A bounce from the support area (marked as the entry zone) indicates a bullish opportunity.
- **Confirmation:** Wait for a bullish candlestick pattern or confirmation before entering the trade.
- **Target Point:** 143.589
- **Risk/Reward:** This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a previous resistance zone.
**Strategy Summary:**
Buy near the support area after confirmation and aim for the resistance zone at 143.589. Monitor price action closely for any sign of trend reversal or consolidation near the entry zone.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Good morning all.
It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long.
As per, that does not mean LONG blindly.
Two set ups illustrated.
1) 15' Break of structure
2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break.
Trading is risky.
Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you?
Lets see how price actions plays.
FRGNT X
USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
Usdjpy reversal coming 15 April 2025Using wave pattern, we can see that price is ranging in what appears to be a triangle
After which, there is a high probability price spike down lower towards 141 region to complete the waves.
Once the pattern is completed, price may start to reverse and retest previous high around 148 region. Hope this works and benefit your trades
Good luck.
Safe-haven currencies gain in uncertain trade landscapeFinancial markets continue to navigate a complex landscape shaped by evolving U.S. trade policies and global economic dynamics. U.S. dollar weakness is at the centre of attention as investors reconsider the greenback’s safe haven status in a world of trade wars.
There has been some relief on the tariff front—at least for now—allowing U.S. and global equities to recover in recent sessions. The Swiss franc and euro have gained significant ground as safe haven flows bolster confidence, while the pound has remained resilient, supported by solid UK economic data and expectations for a more stable Bank of England policy outlook.
In Asia, the yen continues to attract bids, reflecting Japan’s firm stance in upcoming trade talks with the U.S. Overall, markets remain cautiously optimistic, balancing hopes for trade de-escalation against persistent uncertainty from erratic U.S. policy moves.
Looking ahead, key calendar standouts include German wholesale prices, UK employment data, Eurozone industrial production, German and Eurozone ZEW sentiment readings, Canadian inflation, U.S. import and export prices, Empire manufacturing, and various Fed speeches.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
USDJPY Analysis — Bullish Setup in Progress
🧠:
During the current Asian session, I expect the market to **grab some liquidity** below recent lows before initiating a bullish move.
From a broader perspective, USDJPY is setting up for a **bullish continuation** over the next few days. My directional bias is supported by a combination of key factors:
🔍 **Key Elements of This Analysis:**
- **Market Structure:** The current downtrend has started to show signs of exhaustion, and a **change of character (CHOCH)** has been observed in lower timeframes.
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** Price is consolidating around a clear imbalance zone. A pullback into this FVG is expected to act as a springboard for the next bullish leg.
- **Liquidity Sweep:** The market is likely to sweep lows for liquidity before pushing higher, aligning with typical behavior during the **Asian range**.
- **Trend Context:** The higher timeframe structure still favors a bullish retracement or reversal, especially if price holds above the lower key level at **141.75–141.67**.
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🎯 **Key Levels:**
- **Liquidity Zone:** 142.09 – 141.67
- **Bullish Target Zones:**
- TP1: 144.15
- TP2: 147.38
- Final target: 149.08
🛡️ Risk Management
My stop is placed below the identified liquidity zone, maintaining a clean **risk-to-reward structure** that aligns with my daily bias.
This trade idea aligns with my daily execution model combining **trend, liquidity, FVG zones**, and **CHOCH** confirmation. As always, manage risk and stay sharp.
— Emerson Massawe
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 15 April 2025
- USDJPY reversed from long-term support level 142.00
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the long-term support level 142.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2023), support trendline of the weekly down-channel from January and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous intermediate impulse wave (3) from last month.
Given the strength of the support level 142.00 and the oversold weekly Stochastic, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 144.65.
Potential Breakout for a Long Opportunity
The price is currently consolidating within a defined range (marked by the purple box).
Anticipating a bullish breakout above this range to initiate a long position.
2. Entry Condition:
Enter a long trade only after retesting middle of box followed by the 4-hour candlestick closes decisively above the upper boundary of the purple box (approximately above 143.75 based on the chart).
USD/JPY - What to expect as price consolidates above support?Introduction
The USD/JPY pair has been in a clear daily downtrend, marked by a bearish market structure and strong downside momentum. Sellers remain firmly in control, consistently driving prices lower as the pair respects the prevailing trend. Each failed recovery attempt only reinforces the bearish structure, suggesting that the path of least resistance continues to be to the downside.
FVG
Following the most recent drop, the pair is now consolidating just above a key support level. A short-term relief bounce toward the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) wouldn't be unexpected. This particular FVG, formed during the last leg down, remains unfilled — and such gaps are often revisited before the trend resumes.
Confluences
Notably, this FVG aligns with the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618–0.65), adding further confluence and making it a potentially strong resistance area. If price does retrace into this zone, it could face significant selling pressure and resume its move back toward the daily support zone.
Conclusion
While a bounce from daily support is possible, I expect USD/JPY to encounter resistance at the 4H FVG level. This could cap any recovery attempts and signal a continuation of the broader bearish trend.
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USDJPY (1h) Potential SellAll major time frames indicate this pair will keep going down.
3 point confluences:
1. Created lower highs in both long term & short term tend failing to break the trendlines
2. We've just got a CHoCH (change in character)
3. Sell order block has formed after going sideways for a couple of days which means price is most likely to revisit it before exploding down.
Entry strategy:
Wait for a pullback into the recent sell order block then enter when the stochastics indicator is overbought to help give us a tighter stop-loss.
Alternatively you can set a sell-limit order on the entry price (green line)
Note: price could keep travelling down without doing a pullback
GoodLuck!