UsdJpy longGiven the completion of orders, the USD/GPY price is expected to rise from here and we will see a new high.
JPYUSD trade ideas
# USDJPY H4 DEMAND # USDJPY H4 DEMAND After LTF Valid Conformation then entry for a long and Beautiful target
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support.
The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50.
Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bullish USDJPYThis is a bullish counter-trend trade setup on USD/JPY, aiming to catch a reversal or retracement. The trader is betting on a short-term bullish move, with a good RRR and a TP just below the 200 EMA — a smart technical consideration. However, caution is advised since price is still under the EMA, indicating possible bearish continuation unless a strong breakout occurs.
USDJPY (Long Update)📊 Trade Breakdown: USDJPY
Caught a solid entry and finally seeing the trade work in our favor. I'm targeting the daily FVG (Fair Value Gap), which aligns perfectly with a massive untapped weekly wick sitting above current price.
✅ Entry Zone: Around the 143.1–144 region
🎯 Target Zone: Daily imbalance above 146.600 — expecting price to at least tap into 25% of that weekly wick, which historically gets filled when paired with daily inefficiency.
🔍 Confluences:
Daily FVG lining up with weekly wick
Want to see the daily close above previous day.
Momentum flipping after tapping key liquidity pools
📅 Setup is playing out exactly as planned — patience paying off.
The trend is reversing.Key Decision Points:
If price breaks above 144.500 before pullback, consider entering at market with same stop loss
If price consolidates between 143.000-145.000 for more than 48 hours, reassess the signal
Invalidation point: Price closing below 143.000 on 4H timeframe
Signal Expiration: 3-5 trading days
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 142.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 145.86
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data.
In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar.
Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
USDJPY BULLISH Technically:
USDJPY is printing bullish divergence
USDJPY is breaking bearish trendline
DXY is bullish 1H
UPDATE ON USDJPY Buy Bias Analysis – May 2025Earlier this week, I maintained a bullish bias on USDJPY after the price reversed from the weekly demand zone at 139.901 on April 21, 2025, supported by bullish seasonality and strong institutional positioning.
However, during the first three days of this week, USDJPY pulled back to around 142.814, moving below the initial point of interest. This short-term bearish move tested sentiment, but price has now reached a daily demand zone, where a bullish indecision candle is currently forming.
This candle signals a potential shift in momentum, suggesting that the bulls may be regaining control. With the seasonal trend, institutional long positions, and a technical support zone aligning, the setup remains valid — only delayed.
The Yen's recent strength, driven by its safe-haven appeal, is likely to fade as the USD begins to assert dominance once again. This sets the stage for a possible continuation of the broader bullish move.
I maintain my buy bias on USDJPY, with a focus on price action confirmation at current levels.
FOLLOW ME FOR WEEKLY BIAS.
usdjpy heading towards the resistance areaThis is a follow up from my previous ideas. Starting to head to the upside and take the resistance level above. Reacted nicely off the trendline and failed to make new low. These are all good signs it is now reversing and heading up.
Analysis of USD/JPYDuring the European session, USD/JPY recovered its early losses and traded flat near 143.50. After three consecutive days of declines, the US dollar attracted buying interest on Thursday, pushing the pair higher. Against the backdrop of rising safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen and a generally weak US dollar, USD/JPY had fallen to a two-week low. The yen also benefited from upbeat machinery order data, which overshadowed recession concerns and boosted hopes for an economic recovery. This provided support for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to further raise interest rates. Combined with sustained safe-haven buying, this has kept the yen strong.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
USDJPY H4 Bullish
Entry: 143.75- 143.30 (around current market or on a slight dip)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 145.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2) : 146.60
Stop Loss : 142.60
Risk Management:
(Briefly reiterate the importance of risk management.)
Example: Always manage your risk. Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any single trade. This is a high-probability setup, but markets can be unpredictable.
Usdjpy SCENARIO 19/05/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw hboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals
USDJPY UPDATEUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, validation of a continued upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with a number of trading partners.
ORIGINAL ENTRY PRICE = $140
Extra Buy Entries as of 5.21.2025 = $142 and 1hr tf closure above $144
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
Major Trend Change Ahead !We've been in a prolonged bearish trend, and now we've finally reached a major key level that could potentially signal a trend reversal.
On the 4H timeframe, we're waiting for a retest of the order block to confirm the level's validity.
On the 1H timeframe, we're looking for a Change of Character (ChoCH) in the macro structure to identify the best trade opportunity.
USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point:
Price: 143.373
The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price.
Stop Loss:
Price: 141.707
Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down.
Target Point:
Price: 148.674
The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry.
🟪 Support/Resistance Zones
The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles).
The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance.
📊 Moving Averages
Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance.
Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish (long position)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707)
Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674)
Approx. R:R = 1:3.17
Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance.
⚠️ Considerations
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY.
Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
JPY Hits 2-Week High as Dollar WeakensThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143 per dollar on Thursday, its highest in over two weeks, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook pressured the dollar. Fears that Trump’s proposed tax cuts could add over $3 trillion to U.S. debt weighed on investor confidence.
Japan’s Finance Minister Kato said he did not discuss currency levels with Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit.
Domestically, core machinery orders surged 13% in March, beating expectations of a 1.6% drop, while May PMI data showed continued weakness in both manufacturing and services.
USD/JPY H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend further?USD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 143.50 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 144.50 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 142.35 which is a swing-low support.
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USDJPYTHE 10 year Japanese's bond yield opens on bullish note while the 10 year us government bond yield dropping.
the JB10y opens on 1.546% and traded into London session at 1.587% before touching the supply roof ,yen is strong and dollar pull back will continue in a short term.
the US10Y open on bearish foot 4.607% and dropped into 4.572% London session reporting.
the yen dollar index demand and supply strategy disregarded as yield overflow keep yen on safe haven demand .
JB10 and yen exerting the same force across all pairs especially on united state dollar.
the pressure will continue.
#USDJPY - 8 Points? |157.24 or 137.07?Date: 19-05-2025
#USDJPY Current Price: 145.03
Mid-Point: 147.16
Upside Targets: 151.13, 152.92, 155.08 and 157.24
Downside Targets: 143.19, 141.39, 139.23 and 137.07
Support: 144.99
Resistance: 149.34
#USDJPY
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY is trading around the 143.00 level, and we’re now closely eyeing a potential breakdown. After a prolonged uptrend driven by policy divergence between the Fed and the BoJ, the pair appears to be losing bullish momentum. Structurally, the pair has formed a lower high, and sellers are starting to step in near resistance. A clean break below the 142.00–141.50 zone could open the path toward my downside target at 135.00.
On the fundamental side, recent data suggests a shift in sentiment. The US dollar is under pressure as markets increasingly price in a Fed pause or even rate cuts by the end of the year, following soft retail sales and labor market figures. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is gaining ground amid rising speculation that the Bank of Japan could adjust its ultra-loose policy sooner than expected. The BoJ’s recent bond purchase tapering and Governor Ueda's hints at tightening are starting to shift market flows back toward the yen.
Technically, USDJPY is at a critical juncture. The pair is testing a key trendline support that has held for months, but price action is showing signs of exhaustion. Volume is thinning on the rallies, and bearish divergence is visible on multiple indicators, including RSI and MACD. If the pair breaks below the current structure, we could see accelerated downside action toward the 135.00 target, which aligns with previous consolidation zones and fib retracement levels.
This setup offers a strong short opportunity with clear invalidation and solid risk-to-reward potential. The macro narrative is shifting in favor of the yen, and technicals are lining up with this view. I’ll be watching the coming sessions for confirmation of breakdown and potential entries. This could be the start of a broader correction after a strong bullish cycle.
