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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 145.18 1st Support: 142.56 1st Resistance: 146.70 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2 profit targets for USDJPYThe peak for this pair was around 160+ in Jun 2024 and it falls to a lower high to 157 on Jan 25. From here onwards, it has gone south in direction with the red bearish trend line remaining intact. A fake bullish candle on 12 May 25 took many traders by surprise and killed many shortists, including me, not once but twice. Now on the 4H chart, I present you 2 shorting opportunity with relatively good risk rewards ratio. The first one should touch the green bullish trend line and break down. Thereafter, we should witness it going down to around 142.90 level. Ideally, it should comes to the 140 support price level but let's take one step at a time....... As usual , please DYODD (Warning - This pair though liquid is volatile and may not suit beginners who want a peaceful night sleep. Your profits can quickly turn back to losses and vice versa within the days. Patience required and a strong heart)
Short
by dchua1969
USDJPY – The downtrend continues, channel still leads the wayLooking at the D1 chart, USDJPY remains firmly within the descending channel that has persisted since the end of 2024. Every time the price approaches the upper boundary of the channel, selling pressure reappears – and the recent touch around the 147.012 area is no exception. After being rejected at this strong resistance zone, the price has turned lower and is now forming a pullback structure within the prevailing trend. EMA34 and EMA89 continue to slope downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum. If the price gets rejected again around the 145–146 region, the correction pattern may complete, opening up room for a drop toward the support zone at 142.343, or even deeper toward the channel bottom near 137.168. In summary, the primary trend remains bearish – and the preferred strategy now is "sell on rally" when the price nears the upper resistance of the channel. Patience and watching for price action will be key.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY 4HR Technical & Fundamental AnalysisUSDJPY 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis The U.S. dollar has declined approximately 5% since April 2, influenced by: Fiscal Instability: Rising national debt and policy uncertainties have led to increased investor caution. Speculative Positions: Hedge funds have shifted to significant short positions on the dollar, reflecting bearish sentiment. Reuters 🔍 Technical Perspective On the 4H chart, USDJPY continues to display a bearish market structure, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. We identified a minor key support at 143.700, which was recently broken—marking the beginning of institutional-level accumulation (sell orders). After this accumulation, liquidity was swept within the zone, suggesting that institutions were hunting stops before preparing for a downward distribution phase. Although the initial entry is now late, a potential retracement back into the minor key zone may offer a trading opportunity. 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 143.550 🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 144.180 🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): Next minor support zone around 142.800 Meanwhile, rising bond yields in Japan have attracted institutional investors, challenging the popular carry trade strategy where traders borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding currencies. (Source: Business Insider) Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks have led investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven currencies—especially the yen. (Source: BPF News) 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support. The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50. Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38. ** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins ** Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY (Long Update)📊 Trade Breakdown: USDJPY Caught a solid entry and finally seeing the trade work in our favor. I'm targeting the daily FVG (Fair Value Gap), which aligns perfectly with a massive untapped weekly wick sitting above current price. ✅ Entry Zone: Around the 143.1–144 region 🎯 Target Zone: Daily imbalance above 146.600 — expecting price to at least tap into 25% of that weekly wick, which historically gets filled when paired with daily inefficiency. 🔍 Confluences: Daily FVG lining up with weekly wick Want to see the daily close above previous day. Momentum flipping after tapping key liquidity pools 📅 Setup is playing out exactly as planned — patience paying off.
Long
by MillionaireMind717
1
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 143.84 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 142.31 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 145.86 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
by TRADINGACPVIP
UPDATE ON USDJPY Buy Bias Analysis – May 2025Earlier this week, I maintained a bullish bias on USDJPY after the price reversed from the weekly demand zone at 139.901 on April 21, 2025, supported by bullish seasonality and strong institutional positioning. However, during the first three days of this week, USDJPY pulled back to around 142.814, moving below the initial point of interest. This short-term bearish move tested sentiment, but price has now reached a daily demand zone, where a bullish indecision candle is currently forming. This candle signals a potential shift in momentum, suggesting that the bulls may be regaining control. With the seasonal trend, institutional long positions, and a technical support zone aligning, the setup remains valid — only delayed. The Yen's recent strength, driven by its safe-haven appeal, is likely to fade as the USD begins to assert dominance once again. This sets the stage for a possible continuation of the broader bullish move. I maintain my buy bias on USDJPY, with a focus on price action confirmation at current levels. FOLLOW ME FOR WEEKLY BIAS.
Long
by CartoonForex
Analysis of USD/JPYDuring the European session, USD/JPY recovered its early losses and traded flat near 143.50. After three consecutive days of declines, the US dollar attracted buying interest on Thursday, pushing the pair higher. Against the backdrop of rising safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen and a generally weak US dollar, USD/JPY had fallen to a two-week low. The yen also benefited from upbeat machinery order data, which overshadowed recession concerns and boosted hopes for an economic recovery. This provided support for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to further raise interest rates. Combined with sustained safe-haven buying, this has kept the yen strong. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
by Ashbur
USDJPY UPDATEUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023. Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160. The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, validation of a continued upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with a number of trading partners. ORIGINAL ENTRY PRICE = $140 Extra Buy Entries as of 5.21.2025 = $142 and 1hr tf closure above $144 TP = $155 SL = $137.30
Long
by ambitiousjev
USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point: Price: 143.373 The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price. Stop Loss: Price: 141.707 Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down. Target Point: Price: 148.674 The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry. 🟪 Support/Resistance Zones The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones. The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles). The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance. 📊 Moving Averages Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance. Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal. 🧠 Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bullish (long position) Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707) Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674) Approx. R:R = 1:3.17 Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance. ⚠️ Considerations Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone. Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY. Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
17
JPY Hits 2-Week High as Dollar WeakensThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143 per dollar on Thursday, its highest in over two weeks, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook pressured the dollar. Fears that Trump’s proposed tax cuts could add over $3 trillion to U.S. debt weighed on investor confidence. Japan’s Finance Minister Kato said he did not discuss currency levels with Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit. Domestically, core machinery orders surged 13% in March, beating expectations of a 1.6% drop, while May PMI data showed continued weakness in both manufacturing and services.
by ChartMage