USDJPY On The Verge Of A CollapseA simple trade setup with good risk/reward but with huge economic implications should this structure CRACK!
With all H&S patterns, the risk is that it head tests before breaking down.
We've seen this play out recently in NFLX
That is why it is important to wait for the CRACK! And not front-run the trade.
JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY Analysis 4H Time-frame Let’s break down the analysis in detail:
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1. Key Zones & Market Structure
You've identified important supply and demand zones:
Supply Zone (around 158.886):
Price hit this zone and sharply reversed. You've marked it with a yellow box, showing a strong area of sellers.
This is a major resistance zone that was tested twice, forming a possible double top structure.
Demand Zone (around 139.694 - 139.576):
This level previously acted as a strong support.
Price reacted here again, which might indicate bullish interest. You marked this zone well with a yellow box.
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2. Market Reaction & Rejection Points
In the second image, you circled:
Major highs and lows, showing previous price reactions.
These marks point out liquidity zones—areas where price likely took out stop-losses before reversing.
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3. Price Action Narrative
Here’s the likely narrative from your analysis:
Uptrend into Supply Zone (158.886) → Rejection → Strong bearish move.
Price finds support in Demand Zone (139.694) → Rejection wick → Signs of a bullish reversal.
Current Price (around 142.9) is pushing back into a potential minor resistance (possibly a breaker or previous support turned resistance around 143–145 zone).
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4. Timeframes Used
You're using both daily (1D) and 4-hour (4H) timeframes.
The 4H chart helps you zoom into entry confirmations (e.g., rejections, liquidity grabs), while the 1D gives you overall structure and key zones.
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5. Trade Opportunity Analysis
Based on this, a typical analysis conclusion could be:
> “The price of USD/JPY has reached a significant daily demand zone (around 139.7) where historical price action shows strong buying interest. Price has formed a potential higher low and is showing bullish signs, including a strong rejection wick and a recovery back above minor resistance. If price breaks and holds above the 143–145 zone, the next target could be the mid-resistance at 154.793, and eventually retest the supply zone around 158.886, depending on macro conditions and momentum.”
#USDJPY: 2050+ Pips Swing Buy| Trend Confirmed| Comment Views? **FX:USDJPY** A significant market movement has confirmed, indicating the potential for a substantial bullish swing that could reach approximately 2050 pips. Three targets have been identified, allowing you to select the one that aligns best with your analysis. The primary catalyst for this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a bearish trend. It is crucial to employ precise risk management techniques and exercise caution during this period.
Good luck and trade safely.
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USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 23rd I shared this idea "USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025📊USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025
🔹Current Price: 142.657
🔹Timeframe: 30M
📌Key Resistance Levels:
🔴143.685 – Major Intraday Resistance
🔴142.970 – Minor Structure Resistance (watch for breakout/rejection)
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢141.672–141.773 – Recent Bullish Breaker Block (potential reaction zone)
🟢139.635–140.722 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong support and reversal base)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating just below the 142.970 resistance level after a strong bullish rally. A clean breakout above this level could lead to a move toward 143.685. For safer buys, wait for a retest of the 141.672–141.773 zone.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price rejects from the 142.970 level and breaks below 141.672, expect a deeper correction toward the 139.635–140.722 HTF demand. Monitor for bearish structure shifts or strong rejections near resistance zones.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for a breakout + retest or confirmation candle
✅Use the 141.672 zone for possible long entries
✅Control risk around key levels with clear invalidation points
#USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #IntradaySetups #TechnicalAnalysis #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #JPY #YenTradeSetup
USDJPY - Possible Short USDJPY - Possible short position coming our way. The pair is currently trading below Daily Open price which is a strong indication for shorts. I'm currently sitting on my hands and waiting for a break either bullish or bearish. Once one of the trendlines is broken I'll be looking at FVG's to fill either my short or long position. PS. - Feeling shorts today, let's wait for confirmation before we enter.
Happy Trading
AsrielFX
USDJPY: This Pattern Shows Global Reversal USDJPY is on the brinks to trigger global reversal to the downside
as large Head & Shoulders reversal pattern has been built on the chart
Bearish Trigger is on the Neckline breakdown
Target is on 117 (height of the Head below Neckline)
Massive drop is expected
It matches the area (blue trendline) where the breakout to upside occured
Invalidation is above the Right Shoulder
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.82
1st Support: 140.15
1st Resistance: 144.52
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential "W" or double-bottom pattern forming on the USD/JPY 30-minute timeframe, indicating a possible bullish reversal setup.
Key observations:
Pattern Setup: The "W" pattern suggests price might retest the previous low and then bounce up.
Entry Zone: The potential buy zone is near the bottom of the right leg of the "W" (around the green support line).
Stop Loss: Positioned just below the recent low to manage risk.
Take Profit: Two targets are indicated:
The first around the middle horizontal resistance (interim TP).
The second at the previous swing high (full TP).
It looks like a long (buy) trade idea with a solid risk-reward ratio. Are you planning to enter this setup or just analyzing it for now?
Haven play: Long yen back in focusAmid growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. equities and the US dollar, investors could be returning to a traditional defensive strategy: going long on the Japanese yen.
While some analysts believe the recent yen rally is not yet overstretched, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has noted that Japan’s central bank is likely to push back the timing of further interest rate hikes, a factor that could limit the yen's potential to strengthen further. As such, we are looking at the support level of 140.00 and the bearish-yen sentiment seen today, and the potential resistance at 144.80.
Up next: a scheduled meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent later this week.
USD/JPY(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.82
Support and resistance levels:
144.93
144.14
143.63
142.01
141.50
140.71
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.63, consider buying, the first target price is 144.14
If the price breaks through 142.82, consider selling, the first target price is 142.01
USDJPY Breakdown? (Elliott Wave)USDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024.
Using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide, the model suggests a breakdown below the support shelf is looming nearby.
I'm keeping an eye on 144.55. Below this mark, the risk remains high of a breakdown in a wave (iii).
Even if 144.55 is hit to the upside, wave (iii) is the favored model we are following.
USDJPY is dancing on top of the support shelf now. May break below and revisit the support shelf from the underside. Once the break appears, downside targets are large.
128 becomes the first target with even lower levels possible.
EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, and AUDUSD appear to be reversing too. This means EURJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY, and AUDJPY may be ready to trend lower.
USD gain back the strengthYesterday candle shows buyer is controlling the market.
I'm expecting market will do a healthy pullback before it goes up again.
where to buy?
I'm waiting at H1 doji area. that is the sweetest spot to go for long.
monitor the lower timeframe price action and wait for the reversal sign is the best IMO.
Good Luck
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the long-term support level 140.00 (former multi-month low from September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous sharp downward impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (3) from February.
Given the strength of the support level 140.00 and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 144.65 (former support from the start of April).
DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING HEAD N SHOULDER TOP The chart posted should be viewed with the other chart I just posted on twitter .DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING .Can they reflate the system just enough to create a 5the wave super bubble ?? Not sure But the fact that the drop was perfect fib math and that the high was as well leads me to think I will wait just a little as I feel the world and the markets are at the crossroads of a final bubble or that the 2007 top is in place and we are bouncing back up in the ABC rally as we did in 2007 that rally was .618/66% and .786 in NYA See 2025 forecast so far it is 99% on target .Best of trades WAVETIMER
USDJPY INTRADAY Bearish below resistance at 144.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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