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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPY, the market continues downwards hoping to close fvgUsdjpy has been down and ranging this week, and the usd has suffered against major pairs since the reciprocal tariff announcement by Donald Trump. With the feds pressured to cut rates, the only hope for a rebounce of the Dollar is today's CPI and Jobless claims report, alongside the inflation report. USDJPY; The pair is currently at 146, looking to close the fvg at 144, and if it all goes right, we look for further downside, but in all this let's take into consideration the the high impact news reports coming later today, that will highly impact rest of the week.
Short
by ebidan
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 10, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) showed strength during the Asian trading session on Thursday, reacting to the release of producer price index (PPI) data that exceeded market expectations. This macroeconomic signal reinforced speculation about possible further monetary policy tightening by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), keeping the probability of an interest rate hike in the future. Additional support for the yen was provided by positive expectations of a potential trade agreement between Japan and the United States. Amid the weakening of the US dollar (USD), the USD/JPY pair showed a pullback and fell below the psychologically important level of 147.000, which was also supported by a limited correction of the US currency amid a general recovery in market confidence. The divergence in monetary expectations between the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve remains significant. While Japan is increasingly likely to tighten monetary policy, markets in the US are pricing in a scenario of multiple cuts in the Fed's key interest rate in 2025. This discrepancy has prevented the US dollar from maintaining momentum after an overnight recovery from a weekly low, prompting a reallocation of capital in favor of the more stable yen despite its status as a low-yielding currency. Improved global risk sentiment, driven by US President Donald Trump's announcement of a temporary suspension of retaliatory tariffs against key trading partners, may also help strengthen the yen as a safe haven asset, especially amid continued uncertainty in international markets. Trade recommendation: SELL 146.800, SL 147.400, TP 145.400
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Yen Climbs as Trump Softens Stance on Japan TariffsThe Japanese yen strengthened past 147 per dollar on Thursday, moving in a volatile range as trade tensions persisted. Markets reacted to President Trump’s 90-day pause on tariffs for non-retaliating countries, offering Japan some relief with a reduced 10% baseline tariff. However, tensions remained elevated as Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% in response to Beijing’s retaliation. The EU may be excluded from the pause due to its own countermeasures. Meanwhile, the U.S. confirmed plans to begin trade talks with Japan after Trump’s call with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
by ChartMage
Possible bearish movement from price level 147.300Setup Description: Price is approaching a major resistance zone between 147.200 – 147.530, which previously acted as a strong rejection area. Market structure shows signs of a lower high, indicating potential bearish continuation. No clear breakout above resistance, suggesting bulls are losing momentum. Entry Reasoning: Previous strong rejection from 147.530 Bearish market structure (lower high) Potential for large risk-reward if price rejects this zone Clean traffic down to next support zones
Short
by tshiamogumbo
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis read the Caption EA GOLD point update This chart is for USD/JPY on the 1-hour time frame,and it presents a bullish trade setup.Let's break down the idea Key Observations ; 1.Current Price; USD/JPY is trading Around 146.281. 2.Overall Bias Bullish setup expecting a bounce from demand into a higher target zone. 3.EMA 200; price is currently below the 200 EMA (147.942).which usually suggests a bearish trend _but this setup is aiming for a short-term Bullish retracement.
Long
by EA_Gold_Man
USD/JPY 4H Chart – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisUSD/JPY 4H Chart – Technical & Fundamental Analysis On the 4-hour time frame, price is in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. As the downward movement continues, we’ve identified a minor key resistance level at 148.800, along with two minor key support levels — one at 146.000 near the current price, and another at 140.400. Price has already broken below the minor support, triggering sellers’ pending orders. This also serves as an accumulation phase for market makers. As expected, price did not immediately continue pushing lower below the next support level. Instead, market makers aimed for a liquidity hunt — which has now occurred, pushing price upwards and liquidating sellers' stop-losses, creating a clear liquidity zone. Our current objective is to wait for price to break below the minor key level and then place a sell stop order at 145.920, with a stop-loss at 148.100 (above the liquidity zone), and take-profit at 140.960 — the next minor support. This setup offers a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Fundamental Outlook: USD/JPY remains under pressure amid a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by soft labor market data and heightened economic uncertainty. This week’s U.S. Unemployment Claims are projected at 223K, up from 219K, reflecting potential labor market softening. A higher-than-expected print may dampen expectations for additional rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, weighing further on the dollar. In contrast, the Japanese yen has strengthened on the back of improved domestic data and renewed safe-haven demand. Upward revisions to Japan’s GDP, along with stable inflation figures, have increased confidence in the yen. Furthermore, recent remarks from the Bank of Japan hinting at a more hawkish tone have added to the currency’s appeal. Global geopolitical risks — including potential trade tensions tied to former President Trump’s resurgence — are also reinforcing the yen’s safe-haven status. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
4
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 145.09, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 148.83, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is set at 143.98, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Another tariff u-turn: Oil overbought on news? President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for countries that have not retaliated, sparking a sharp rally in U.S. markets. The Nasdaq 100 led gains with a 12.2% surge. The U.S. dollar also strengthened against safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. Crude oil prices rebounded alongside equities, with oil futures rising more than 4% to trade above $62 per barrel. However, the strength of the oil rally may be overstated. China, one of the world’s largest oil consumers, was among the first to retaliate against U.S. tariffs. Tensions between Washington and Beijing have worsened, prompting the U.S. to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%. Adding to the caution, analysts at Goldman Sachs revised down their 2026 average price forecasts for Brent and WTI, citing rising recession risks. The bank now expects Brent to average $58 per barrel and WTI to average $55.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakdown – Eyes on 140.11 Support ZoneUSDJPY is showing signs of a bearish continuation, following a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The recent strong drop confirms a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with price now forming a bear flag just below a key structure. Key Technical Zones: Current Price: 147.78 Resistance Area (Invalidation Zone): 148.11 – 151.44 Support Targets: TP1: 142.87 TP2: 140.11 Technical Confluence & Patterns: ✅ Series of Rising Wedges followed by sharp breakdowns ✅ Bear Flag Pattern forming after recent drop ✅ Lower highs & lower lows confirming downtrend ✅ Volume spike during breakdown, low volume on pullback Trade Outlook: 📉 Bias: Bearish below 148.11 📌 Entry Zone: On confirmation of flag breakdown 🎯 Target 1: 142.87 – Previous horizontal support 🎯 Target 2: 140.11 – Major swing support / demand zone 🛑 Invalidation: Break above 151.44 (major resistance zone) Conclusion: USDJPY is set up for a potential bearish continuation as it respects a textbook flag breakdown setup. A close below 147.50 would reinforce bearish pressure with further downside toward 142.87 and 140.11. Traders should monitor momentum and structure confirmation before entering positions. Let me know if you want a short caption or video script version! 📉
Short
by ultreosforex
7
Yen surges to six-month high, BoJ cautiousThe Japanese yen continues to make inroads against the US dollar. In the North American session, USD/JPY is up 1.1% on Wednesday, trading at 144.60. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 143.98, its strongest level since Sept. 2024. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Wednesday that the central bank will have to determine the impact of US trade policy on growth and inflation in Japan. Ueda said that US tariffs had created new uncertainty and signaled that the BoJ might hold off on further interest rates until the situation became more clear. Ueda repeated that the BoJ would raise rates if the economy continued to improve, and currently, underlying inflation was rising and moving closer to 2% target. The uptake is that the BoJ is being very cautious with all the turmoil in the markets and is dampening expectations of a rate hike at the May 1 meeting. FOMC minutes - still relevant? The Federal Reserve will post its minutes of the March rate meeting. Investors scrutinize the minutes for policy clarity but global economic developments are unfolding so quickly that it's questionable if the minutes will be relevant with the massive market sell-off and the trade war between the US and China. Earlier today, the US lifted tariffs on China to an astounding 104% and China has retaliated with an 84% counter-tariff. The turmoil in the financial markets has nervous investors looking for safer shores, and are parking their funds in safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. In April, the yen has jumped 3.3% against the US dollar, while the Swiss franc has soared 5% against the greenback. USD/JPY has pushed below support at 145.46 and is putting pressure on support at 144.64 There is resistance at 146.79 and 147.61
by OANDA
#USDJPY:1351+ Bullish Move One Not To Miss| Three TPs| JPY has been bullish since the dollar strengthened, potentially leading to a trade war that would make the Japanese yen more valuable to global investors. However, we may see a strong correction on all XXXJPY pairs, potentially returning stronger with a major bullish correction. We’re not sure if the price will hit all three take profit zones, but we’re interested in how far it goes. Use accurate risk management. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only. Use your own knowledge and analysis before taking any entries. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
25