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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USD/JPY 4H Timeframe AnalysisUSD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: The USD/JPY pair is currently in an uptrend, having successfully broken key minor resistance levels, including 156.800, which has now turned into support. This break signals the continuation of bullish momentum, confirmed by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the pair broke the 157.500 minor resistance, further indicating that buyers have stepped in. The price action is now moving towards the next major resistance level at 160.900. Additionally, price action has shown signs of manipulation or liquidity grabs at key levels. The price briefly dipped below support, hunting stop losses before reversing direction. This has set up the potential for a continuation of the uptrend, as the market clears out stop losses and accumulates liquidity for the next leg up. Price Action Expectation: We are observing liquidity being formed below the 156.800 support level. We are now waiting for a breakout above 157.500 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. The plan is to place a buy stop order at 157.690, just above the minor resistance, to enter the market once this level is broken. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity zone at 156.500, a strategic location to manage risk. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 157.690 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout) Stop Loss: 156.500 (below the liquidity zone) Take Profit: 160.900 (next minor resistance level) Additional Considerations: The current bullish setup remains valid, but traders should be cautious of any potential reversal signs if the price fails to break above 157.500. If price action shows signs of rejection at these levels, a shift in trend could occur. Monitoring any significant news events or economic releases will also be important to avoid unexpected market moves. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by the technical breakout of key resistance levels. As the price moves toward the next resistance at 160.900, careful risk management is crucial. Traders should be prepared for possible pullbacks or consolidations around key levels while maintaining a focus on trend continuation. Economic events and market sentiment can still influence the strength of the USD against the JPY, so staying alert to these factors is essential.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
USD/JPY price action: breakout rally after hawkish FedThe USD/JPY pair has surged over 2% to reach 157.51, marking the yen's weakest level in four months. This significant rally follows recent interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Despite the Fed's 25bps rate cut, the US dollar has gained strength due to the market's anticipation of only two rate cuts in 2025, contrasting with earlier expectations of four. This decision maintains the interest rate differential between the US and Japan, benefiting carry trade strategies. Meanwhile, the BoJ has kept its short-term rate steady at 0.25%, its highest since 2008, with potential rate hikes forecasted if economic conditions align. The US's optimistic economic projections, with rising GDP, inflation, and job growth, further bolster the dollar's appeal. As global economic uncertainties and political changes unfold, traders should monitor central bank signals to navigate the USD/JPY's trajectory and carry trade opportunities.
by tastyfx
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context: The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend. 4H Perspective: The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement. Updated Trade Plan: Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup. If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend. 💡 Key Takeaway: Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
USD/JPY hits 5-mth high after BoJ holds ratesThe Japanese yen continues its rapid descent and is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.82, up 1.3% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened to 157.14, its lowest level against the US dollar since July 22. The Bank of Japan didn't have any surprises up its sleeve on Thursday as it maintained the benchmark interest rate at 0.25%. The BoJ has kept rates steady since July but has signaled that it intends to normalize policy and raise rates. The central bank has been guarded about the timing of a rate hike and there was some speculation that it might raise rates at Thursday's meeting. The decision to hold rates was not unanimous, with 8 members voting in favor and one member voting for a 25-basis point hike. The rate statement did not shed much light on the BoJ's plans but Governor Ueda said at his press conference that the BoJ could afford to move slowly on raising rates since underlying inflation was only increasing at a "moderate pace". The markets expect another rate hike in the first quarter of 2025. Ueda also noted that there was uncertainty over the policies of the  incoming Trump administration. Trump has declared he will impose tariffs on US trading partners, which could affect global inflation. Interestingly, the BoJ holds its next meeting on Jan. 24, a day after Trump takes office. The Federal Reserve's quarter-point rate cut was widely expected but the market was surprised by the Fed's updated rate-cut forecast. In September, the Fed projected four rate cuts in 2025 but this was halved to just two cuts at the Wednesday meeting. US stock markets were sharply lower in response but the US dollar shined and rose sharply on Wednesday against all the major currencies, including 0.85% against the yen. At his follow-up press conference, Fed Chair Powell said he was "very optimistic" about the strength of the US economy but he was less rosy about inflation, which has stalled above the Fed's 2% target. Powell said, "we have been moving sideways on 12-month inflation", a signal that the Fed may take a pause from its easing cycle until inflation resumes its downswing. USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 155.38 and 155.92 and is putting pressure on resistance at 156.98 154.32 and 153.78 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USD/JPY Approaching Key Fibonacci ResistanceChart Analysis: The USD/JPY pair has extended its rally and is now approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 157.19, a critical resistance zone for the current uptrend. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement: The 78.6% retracement of the downtrend from 161.80 to 138.00 aligns near 157.19, making it a key area for traders to watch for potential reversals or a breakout continuation. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The pair is comfortably above this level at 152.50, highlighting strong short-term bullish momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 152.21, confirming the broader upward trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 68.44, nearing overbought territory, suggesting a potential slowdown or consolidation in the short term. MACD: Bullish momentum remains strong as the MACD line trends higher, signaling continued buying pressure. What to Watch: A breakout above 157.19 could open the path for a retest of the 161.80 highs. If the pair stalls at Fibonacci resistance, traders may look for support around the 50-day SMA near 152.50. USD/JPY is at a pivotal resistance zone. While the trend remains bullish, momentum indicators suggest caution as price approaches critical levels. -MW
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month HighUSD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month High According to the USD/JPY chart today, the US dollar has climbed to 157 yen. This movement was driven by monetary policies of both countries' central banks. The Federal Reserve took a hawkish stance, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting the possibility of fewer rate cuts in 2025 than earlier expected. On the other side, the Bank of Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda, as reported by Reuters, made "surprisingly dovish" remarks. He delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy following the central bank’s decision to maintain its interest rates unchanged. He emphasised that: → Real interest rates remain very low. → New risks are emerging due to trade policies proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump. Technical analysis of the 4-hour USD/JPY chart shows that: → The pair moves in an upward trend, but based on pivot points (marked in red), the slope of the ascending channel might shift. → The RSI is at a multi-month high, and the black trendlines highlight significant demand strength in the market throughout December. We can suggest that the US dollar is significantly overbought relative to the yen. Could a pullback, such as to the lower black trendline, be expected? Given the importance of fundamental factors such as central bank decisions, any potential pullback might not threaten the continuation of the current uptrend through the end of the year. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USDJPY Continues Consolidation Above Key Support!Dear Friends! USD/JPY is trading sideways around 154.00 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair was weighed down by Japanese comments and a softer risk-on tone. However, a fresh rally in the US Dollar limited the pair's losses ahead of the US November Retail Sales report. From a technical point of view, USDJPY remains in an uptrend with the trendline, EMAs and price channel still favoring buyers. In the short term, keep an eye on the upper limit of the channel, which could provide fresh upside momentum for USDJPY. Wishing you happy and profitable trading.
Long
by Trader-Briannnn