JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 144.56 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 145.11
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview:
The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows.
The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation
A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs.
This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers.
📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone
Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before.
This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area.
The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance.
📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance)
Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange).
Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it.
This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again.
📌 4. Break & Retest Structure
As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline.
This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions.
🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels:
💼 Bearish Scenario
Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone.
🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense:
✅ Multiple Confluences:
Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern.
Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection.
SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest.
Retest confirmation = high-probability entry.
Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure.
🛑 Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest.
Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation.
Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries.
📊 Summary:
This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering.
🔔 What to Watch:
Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary.
Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over?
Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks).
Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news.
✍️ Final Thoughts:
This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers.
The price went way below a recently broken resistance.
With the absence of impactful fundamental news,
the market may continue falling for now.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily.
Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance.
I will look for selling from that.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher.
3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Before an Australian interest rate decision at night,
the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan.
I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
I think that growth will resume soon
4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭
The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start
of a new bullish wave.
A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally.
Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa.
USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
Hanzo / USDJPY 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 USD/JPY – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 144.550
👌Bearish After Break Out : 144.050
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
USDJPY? recap
Made a call 145.000
Now 144.200
It did went up.. but 145.000 cannot stand pressure
IN THE NEWS
Finance Minister talked about possible increase in rates in the +ve territory
Note the word POSSIBLE
Speculation started since then.. next coming months we'll have stronger YEN.
My 2c point: Market moves on SPECULATION ; especially by head of government/governor speeches.
All the best
Not a guru
USDJPY: Very Bearish Setup ExplainedI spotted a lot of bearish confirmations on 📉USDJPY on a 4H time frame:
A significant head and shoulders pattern was formed, and its neckline is broken.
As the right shoulder formed, a distinct horizontal trading range emerged, which also saw support being violated.
The neckline serves as an important horizontal support, and the market has broken through all of these levels.
We can expect further declines, with the next support level at 143.
The USD/JPY pair is at a critical junctureThe USD/JPY pair is at a critical juncture within a broadening formation. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely. A break below support may signal further downside, while a move above resistance could indicate a bullish reversal. Given the current indicators and economic data, a cautious approach with well-defined risk management is advisable.
USDJPY| Momentum Shift in MotionCaught that 4H Lower High flip, shifting structure bullish and throwing a big signal-we might be running it up.
Zoomed into the 30M to catch the continuation move. Refined structure showing its hand. Now it's all about patience...
I'm letting that internal order flow do its thing. Just waiting on the right area to get tapped for my next execution.
No hype. Just flow. I don't chase- I wait for price to clock in and pay me.
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 USD/JPY Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹Current Price: 144.832
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 144.650–144.750 – High-interest buy zone; multiple rejections with strong wick reactions, showing demand buildup.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario:
🔸 If price holds above 144.750 and breaks 145.350 with volume, clean upside to 146.021 is on the table
🔸 Liquidity resting above previous highs – ideal for a liquidity sweep entry
📉 Risk Scenario:
🔸 If price closes below 144.650 on 15M with strong bearish momentum, intraday structure may shift bearish
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Intraday structure remains bullish above demand
✅ Look for CHoCH or BOS on 5M before early entry
✅ Set alerts near 145.35 for breakout continuation
#USDJPY #ForexUpdate #PriceAction #DemandZone #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #FXFOREVER #BreakoutPlan #ScalpingFX
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1146.73, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.35, an overlap support.
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USDJPY – Short Setups ActivatedUSDJPY – Short Setups Activated
🔻 Bearish Bias | ⏳ 15-Min Chart
• Entry: Market is open and I’m already in at ~144.88
• Targets: 1️⃣ 144.86363 (first reaction) → 2️⃣ 145.11192 (full fill)
• Hold horizon: ~1 week
Price stalled at the 145.15554–145.46188 zone and rolled over into our sell area. If you plan to join, be prepared to hold through the week for a complete move lower.
⚠️ Not financial advice – trade your own plan.
#USDJPY #Forex #ShortSetup #SwingTrade #TradingView
USD/JPY - A trendline break on the 4 hour will signal bearish
On the weekly, the USD/JPY has a strong level of support in which price has touched 3 times and reversed. A failed head and shoulders reversal pattern can be seen on the third touch of this strong support. Price is right now forming the beginnings of a descending triangle which signals a break on the downside once the pattern is complete. However, there is a possibility for triangles to turn into rectangles when given enough time so what appears to be the beginnings of a descending triangle could turn into a rally upward to complete the formation of a rectangle.
On the 4 hour, a two touch point trendline can be observed. The long term trend on the weekly is not assisting us in determining what the trend is. The short term trend is currently upward and is being supported by this trendline. Until there is a decisive break below the trendline and a retest of the line, the current sentiment is to remain in long positions and place stops an adequate distance below the line.
USD/ JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of 4-hour for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen). Here's the breakdown of the idea
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1. Bullish Structure
The market is moving within a rising channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows support the uptrend.
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2. Key Zones
Support Zone (Demand Area): Around the 144.500–145.000 level, price has reacted positively here multiple times — it's marked as a strong support level.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.000 — this level is marked as an obstacle before reaching the final target point.
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3. Indicators & Confluence
EMA 200: Price is currently testing just above/below the EMA 200 — a key dynamic support/resistance level.
RSI: Showing a bullish divergence or a potential recovery from oversold zone (both RSI lines are turning upward).
MACD-style Oscillator (Custom): Showing signs of a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum.
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4. Projection & Target
The expected move is a bounce from support, followed by:
A retest of resistance around 148.
A continuation to the target zone at 150.864 — marked as the final target point.
The potential move is approximately +592 pips (4.19%).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bullish continuation setup, expecting price to maintain above the support zone and ride the trendline and channel toward 150.864. The confluence of RSI, structure, and EMA adds strength to the idea.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY → Support retest. Is the trend continuing?FX:USDJPY is storming key support within the local downtrend. Pressure is intensifying the dollar's decline...
The dollar index is beginning to fall, which is also reflected in the currency pair.
Selling pressure is intensifying. A local downtrend is forming, with an attempt to break through key support at 144.82, below which the path to 143.4 - 142 opens up. Consolidation of the price below 144.82 could intensify the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07
Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35
Global and local trends are downward, and the fall of the dollar can only provide additional resistance, which will intensify the sell-off. A break of key support and consolidation of prices below 144.82 will trigger further sell-offs.
Best regards, R. Linda!