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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USDJPY: Ready for another 1500 pip move? Presidential election in the US, which was one of the most important political events this year, moved the stock market to significant highs, historically speaking. The new rally could weaken the dollar. On the Japanese side of things, the new bullish move might be starting soon. Now that we got the retracement back to our weekly area of interest, its time to start looking for short entries. Our area of interest consists of Fibonacci and VWAP levels. This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading. Trade safely and expect the unexpected, Mei
Short
by martinmei
USDJPY remains in an uptrend despite the strong dipThe USDJPY pair is under pressure as the dollar has given up part of its gains since the election of President Trump. However, the trend for USDJPY remains upward, and we’re currently seeing a correction. In addition, why should we anticipate USDJPY to keep pushing higher for now? President Trump’s plans to cut taxes are likely to boost inflation, especially with the unemployment rate already at 4.1%. Additionally, if he introduces tariffs, it could further support the U.S. dollar. On the other hand, if the geopolitical situation changes—for instance, if Trump comments on issues in the Middle East, Ukraine, or NATO that raise concerns—this could prompt a flight to safe havens, strengthening the yen. But looking at other currency pairs and stock markets, there’s no sign of panic; in fact, the risk appetite is increasing. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
USD/JPY Rate High: Yen Under Pressure from Strong USDCurrently, USD/JPY is rising as the U.S. dollar strengthens on expectations that Trump’s policies could impact Federal Reserve interest rates, driving the pair above 150. In the short term, USD/JPY may stay elevated, though long-term trends will depend on Fed rate decisions and the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) response. While BOJ maintains its loose monetary stance, the Fed’s potential for high rates to control inflation continues to support the USD/JPY pair. However, if the Fed signals rate cuts or BOJ shifts its policy, USD/JPY may decline.
by VivianPalacios280824
USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic !USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On November 7, 2024, USDJPY appears to be leaning toward a slight bearish bias as various fundamental factors impact the pair. This article delves into the primary drivers shaping USDJPY today, including central bank policy stances, global market sentiment, and economic data releases. Traders and investors on TradingView can benefit from a close analysis of these influences to navigate the USDJPY pair’s movement. Keywords: USDJPY forecast, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting a USDJPY Bearish Bias Today 1. Dovish Stance from the Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve has recently shifted toward a more cautious tone on rate hikes, with key policymakers indicating a preference for a "wait-and-see" approach. This cautious stance could limit USD strength, particularly as traders anticipate no further rate hikes unless inflation surges unexpectedly. A softer dollar environment could weigh on USDJPY. 2. Bank of Japan’s Slightly More Hawkish Outlook While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has traditionally maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, recent comments from BoJ officials suggest a growing willingness to adjust policy if inflation stays persistently higher. This subtle shift in tone has sparked interest in the yen as traders reassess Japan’s inflation and policy outlook, which could add bearish pressure on USDJPY. 3. Rising Risk Aversion Risk sentiment has turned cautious in global markets, with equities slightly under pressure and investors showing renewed interest in safe-haven assets. The yen, as a traditional safe-haven currency, often benefits in times of risk aversion, making USDJPY more vulnerable to downside movement when risk sentiment fades. 4. Weak U.S. Economic Data Recent U.S. economic indicators, such as declining consumer sentiment and slower employment growth, are casting doubt on the resilience of the U.S. economy. Softer data contributes to concerns that the Fed may pause or even reverse its tightening, further pressuring USD and potentially driving USDJPY lower. 5. Technical Analysis Insights On the technical side, USDJPY is trading near significant resistance at the 150.00 level, a historically sensitive price area. If sellers defend this resistance, USDJPY could turn bearish, with initial support around 148.00. Technical indicators such as the RSI suggest USDJPY may be overbought, aligning with a potential pullback. USDJPY Today: What to Watch For - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims – Today's release of U.S. jobless claims data may further affect USD sentiment, particularly if the data reveals a labor market slowdown, adding to USDJPY’s bearish potential. - BoJ Commentary – Any fresh statements from BoJ officials about policy flexibility could strengthen the yen and add further pressure on USDJPY. Conclusion Today, USDJPY shows signs of a bearish bias due to dovish signals from the Fed, a potentially more hawkish BoJ, risk aversion, and weaker U.S. data. As always, traders should monitor key data releases for potential market-moving surprises that could impact USDJPY. SEO Tags : #USDJPYforecast #ForexTrading #JapaneseYen #USD #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 7, 2024 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) is experiencing difficulty in registering a notable recovery against its US counterpart and is currently trading at a level approaching its lowest point since 30 July. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) limited ability to raise interest rates and the prevailing risk-on environment continue to undermine the safe-haven yen. Furthermore, the rise in US Treasury bond yields, driven by the return of Republican Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States (US), has contributed to the downward pressure on the low-yielding yen. Meanwhile, the overnight decline prompted a verbal intervention from Japanese authorities, which may provide some support to the yen and help limit losses. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading just below the four-month high reached on Wednesday, amid optimism over growth and inflation. This could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to cut interest rates. This could provide further encouragement for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision this Thursday. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Will the Yen Recover or Will the USD Continue to Rise?Hello everyone, let’s join Alisa in predicting the USD/JPY currency pair! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to recover against the USD, hovering near its lowest level since July 30, due to uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s interest rate policies and the prevailing risk environment. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields, especially after the return of Donald Trump, are limiting the JPY. The sharp drop in the Yen has prompted intervention from the Japanese government, providing some support. Meanwhile, the USD remains strong, close to its highest level in 4 months, fueled by optimism about growth and inflation, which is supporting the USD/JPY pair ahead of the Fed's policy decision later this week. Based on technical chart analysis, the support level at 151.49 is helping maintain the upward trend for the USD/JPY pair. While the pair faces resistance at 154.58, any pullback would likely be supported at the previous resistance level of 152.41, providing a foundation for a potential recovery. If USD/JPY breaks through the 154.58 resistance, it could target new higher levels. Given the current technical and fundamental factors, what do you think the next move for USD/JPY will be? Will the Yen recover, or will the USD continue to strengthen?
by Alisa_Rokosz
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 153.86, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibo retracement Our take profit will be at 154.66, a multi-swing high resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 152.97, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
USD/JPY surges as Trump storms to victoryThe US dollar is on a tear against the major currencies after Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in the US presidential election. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.62, up a massive 2.0% on the day. There are still plenty of votes to count in the US election but it looking increasingly likely that Republican Donald Trump has been re-elected as President. Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris were in a dead heat going into the election on Tuesday and there was concern that declaring a winner could take days or even weeks, which would have led to prolonged uncertainty. In what was a huge surprise to both sides, Trump cruised to victory. The win is even sweeter for the Republicans as they likely have won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. With the Republicans in charge, Trump’s agenda will be easier to push through Congress. It should be noted that at the time of writing, the vote count is incomplete and Harris has not conceded defeat. The US dollar has responded to the Trump win with sharp gains and the yen is in full retreat. Trump’s threats to slap stiff tariffs on China, Europe and Mexico would support the dollar, as tariffs would raise inflation and interest rates. If Trump’s policies lead to trade wars, market sentiment will fall, further boosting the dollar. The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its September meeting today. At the meeting, the BoJ kept rates at 0.25% and Governor Ueda said that BoJ would not rush to raise rates during market volatility. Those comments were a response to a stock market slide after weak US employment reports raised fears that the US economy was deteriorating much more quickly than expected. Those fears were unfounded and the markets don’t expect a BoJ rate hike before early 2025, although if the weak yen takes a dive, it could accelerate plans to raise rates. USD/JPY has pushed past resistance at 151.86, 152.87 and 153.84. The next resistance line is 153.95 150.78 and 149.77 are providing support
by OANDA
USDJPY - Analysis My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
USDJPY Wave Analysis 6 November 2024 - USDJPY broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 156.00 USDJPY currency pair today broke the resistance area located between the resistance level 153.25 (which reversed the pair twice at the end of October) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp downward impulse from the start of July. The breakout of this resistance area is likely to further increase the bullish pressure on this currency pair. Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment that can be seen across the FX markets today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 156.00, former minor support from July.
Long
by FxProGlobal
USD/JPY Buyers Target Three-Month High as Yen WeakensTrump's familiar rhetoric on trade tariffs has led to renewed concern for Japanese exporters, particularly at a time when Japan's economic stability relies heavily on external support to maintain growth momentum. These concerns, coupled with increased risk aversion, have weakened the yen against the U.S. dollar. As a result, USD/JPY managed to erase losses from the previous week, signaling renewed strength for the dollar. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has approached a critical level on the daily chart, with buyers testing the resistance at 153.875. This price level represents a key inflection point, as it marks the upper limit of the pair's rally that commenced on September 16. A decisive break above this resistance would open the door for further gains, targeting subsequent levels at 154.582, 155.481, 156.473, and eventually 157.180. On the other hand, a failure to break through the 153.875 resistance level would embolden sellers, putting the focus back on the support levels at 152.883 and 151.277. Key Events to Monitor The minutes of the Bank of Japan's latest meeting indicated that policymakers remain cautiously optimistic about Japan's economic recovery and see opportunities for future rate hikes. This news has already prompted a reaction in U.S. Treasury yields, with the focus now turning to the upcoming 30-year Treasury bond auction on Wednesday. The outcome of this auction, along with ongoing U.S. election developments, could significantly impact the direction of U.S. yields, thereby affecting USD/JPY price action.
Long
by Errante
USD/JPY: Bullish Outlook with Key Support at 151.79USDJPY Analyze The overall trend remains Bullish as long as the price stays above 151.790, with bullish targets at 154.260 and potentially 156.58. A corrective move toward the pivot line at 151.79 is possible before the bullish trend resumes. However, if the price stabilizes above 151.790 with a daily candle close, a bullish move of 151.790 extend toward 154.26. otherwise, the closing daily candle below 151.780 will drop to 149.82 Key Levels: Pivot Line: 151.790 Resistance Levels: 153.60, 154.26, 156.58 Support Levels: 149.82, 147.82, 146.4 Expected Range: 151.78 - 154.26 Trend: Bullish while above 151.79
Long
by SroshMayi