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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

ANALYSIS OF USDJPYFundamental View Earlier on Wednesday, during a news conference, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank has no immediate plans to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). He also reaffirmed that the BOJ’s monetary policy is not intended to manipulate currency rates. He however declined to comment on U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks on Monday criticizing Japan and China as intentionally weakening their currencies. For the rest of the week, the economic calendar is packed with high important events that could drive significant market movements. Later Today at 5:15PM GMT+4, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be released, providing insight into private sector job growth. Meanwhile, 141k has been forecasted denoting a 42k decrease from the previous month of February. While At 6:45 PM GMT+4, the Final Services PMI is set for release, with expectations that it will remain unchanged from the previous month of February. Shortly after, the ISM Services PMI will be in focus, with a forecast of 52.5, slightly lower than the previous 52.8. On Thursday, markets will turn their attention to the U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims, a key indicator of labor market health. Finally, on Friday markets attention would be shifted to the U.S. Jobs Report for February, a crucial release that could set the tone for future Federal Reserve policy decisions. These data points have the tendency to drive markets hence causing volatilities, accompanied with potential risk and reward. Technical View The USD/JPY remains supported around the key 149 level, acting as a strong barrier. In the previous session, the pair briefly dipped to 148.09, but buyers pushed it back toward the 149 zone. A decisive break below this critical support could be triggered by a fresh market catalyst. Given the upcoming high-impact news releases in the cause of the week, if the United States dollar losses momentum further, bears could take advantage of this, hence driving the pair toward 147.36, followed by the 145 psychological level. Further downside pressure could see a move toward the 142 zone. Conversely, if the U.S. dollar strengthens, the pair could rally, with bulls targeting 151, a level where price previously faced rejection. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a push toward 154. Breakouts beyond these levels remain possible, depending on market dynamics. Meanwhile, the RSI sits at 38.24, just above the 30 oversold thresholds, suggesting there is still room for downside movement before testing overbought conditions. For now, the market remains relatively quiet, awaiting the next catalyst.
by CFI
USD/JPY: Short-Term Bullish Opportunity with Conservative RiskTrade Setup: Symbol: USD/JPY Direction: LONG Entry: 149.95 Stop Loss: 149.65 Target 1: 150.40 Target 2: 150.80 Risk:Reward: 1:1.5 (primary) / 1:2.8 (extended) Analysis: USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish momentum after consolidating near the 149.80 level. Price action on multiple timeframes indicates a potential upside break. The recent higher lows on the 15-minute chart, combined with decreasing bearish momentum on larger timeframes, create a favorable entry opportunity with controlled risk. Strategy: Enter long on a break above current consolidation, just below the key 150.00 psychological level. This conservative entry aims to catch the early momentum while maintaining tight risk parameters. The 30-pip stop loss protects capital while still respecting visible technical support levels. Risk Management: Move stop to breakeven after 20 pips of favorable movement. Consider splitting your position to secure profits at the first target while allowing the remainder to reach the extended target. Always be ready to exit if strong reversal patterns emerge, regardless of stop placement. Key Levels to Watch: 150.00: Psychological resistance 150.40: First resistance target 150.80: Second resistance target 149.65: Key support level Trade within your risk tolerance and adjust position sizing accordingly. Good luck!
Long
by ShlomoYahbes
USDJPY: Consolidating below the uptrend channel!Dear Traders! Recently, USDJPY has made a strong breakout, completely exiting the uptrend and stabilizing below a new support level, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart. The pair is currently trading around 149.20. This stability above the new support is driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have boosted risk-off sentiment and increased demand for the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset. However, expectations of a BoJ rate hike and concerns over a global trade war continue to support the Japanese Yen, keeping gains limited below the lower boundary of the previous uptrend channel.
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
USDJPY H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 149.29, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 151.39, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 148.08, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USD/JPY – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📌🚀 🔹 Asset: USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above 150.060 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 149.481 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 150.709 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: 151.582 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 150.060 - 149.481 = 0.579 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 150.709 - 150.060 = 0.649 (1:1.12 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 151.582 - 150.060 = 1.522 (1:2.63 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of a falling wedge, a strong bullish reversal pattern. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested 149.481 support and showed buying pressure. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above 150.060 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above 150.060, it could push toward 150.709, and further to 151.582. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 149.481 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 150.060 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 150.709 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 151.582 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above 150.060 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (150.060) after TP1 (150.709) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 150.709, let the rest run toward 151.582. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (150.060) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above 150.060 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above 150.060 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from 149.481 support suggests a potential reversal. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.12 to TP1, 1:2.63 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #ForexTrading 📉 #USDJPY 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #Trading 📈 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #ForexTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #ForexSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #ForexAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 🐂 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
Long
by ProfittoPath
1
USDJPY InsightHello, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has proposed the "REARM Europe Plan" to the leaders of the EU's 27 member states. This plan aims to secure at least €800 billion for increased defense spending by suspending EU fiscal rules. - In Germany, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Christian Social Union (CSU), and Social Democratic Party (SPD) have agreed to establish a €500 billion fund for infrastructure investment. - As of March 4, the U.S. has officially announced tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, with the affected countries responding with retaliatory tariffs. This Week’s Key Economic Events + March 5: U.S. February ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + March 6: ECB Interest Rate Decision + March 7: U.S. February Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Fed Chair Powell’s Speech USDJPY Chart Analysis The uptrend has been broken, leading to a downward trend. Recently, the price found support around the 148 level and successfully rebounded. There is a high probability of a rapid rise toward the 151 level. If 151 is breached, further gains toward 155 can be expected. However, if it fails to break through resistance, a drop toward 147 may occur, maintaining the current trend.
Long
by shawntime_academy
More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
by TRADINGACPVIP
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 150.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 148.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Dollar vs. Yen - Long Term Swing Trading Idea - 08-th Jan 25'USDJPY from 20-th Dec' 2024 to 6-th Jan 2025 created A-B-C-D-E formation which is 4-th wave. Then from 156.25 area till 158.55 created 5 waves and finished the trend. Our expectations for the next few days are the price to retrace at least 250 pips till zone of 156.00 and there will find support. Long term idea is to reach 153.00 level in period of one month. EURUSD is at weakest and creating a swing low at levels over 1.0250-1.0300. If EURUSD bounce back to 1.0600 that will confirm the USDJPY trading idea for weaker dollar in next few weeks. Trading idea parameters are as follows. Entry: 158.50 Stop 159.50 Target 153.20
Short
by TradingTie
4
USDJPY Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 147.640?OANDA:USDJPY is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone and may now pull back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as support and could now serve as resistance, aligning with a possible bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this zone, the price is likely to move downward toward the 147.640 target. However, a failure to reject this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
1