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Weekly FOREX Forecast: Wait To Buy JPY vs USD!In this video, we will analyze JPY futures and USDJPY. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The Yen is strong, and will outperform the USD in times of uncertainty. It is the worlds' safe haven of choice. Look for a small retracement before JPY pushes higher. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
USDJPY: Major turning point ahead?🧩 On the weekly and monthly timeframes, the structure of CAPITALCOM:USDJPY FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY remains highly ambiguous. The key question now is: are we on the verge of a long-term trend reversal and the beginning of yen appreciation, or is this just another phase in an ongoing uptrend? 📌 Why it matters: The Carry Trade Effect The yen has traditionally been a key funding currency in carry trades — a strategy where investors borrow low-yielding yen to invest in higher-yielding assets abroad. However, the unwinding of the carry trade, which started in August 2024 and continues today, is leading to yen strength and broad risk-off across global markets, from equities to crypto. 📊 What does the technical picture say? Looking at the structure since 2022, we see a series of zigzag formations that collectively resemble a triangle or other corrective pattern. 📌 Base scenario: We're likely in the development of wave C of a triangle. This wave could extend to the 140–138 area, where we find: key trendline support 200-week moving average high volume support zone (VPVR) or 📌 Alternative view – Ending Diagonal If the current structure turns out to be an ending diagonal, it may signal a full trend reversal and the start of a deeper cycle of yen strength. This remains an alternate view for now, but one worth tracking. ⚠️ Fundamental triggers for yen strength: Aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2025 Rising geopolitical risks Institutional unwind of carry trades Continued hawkish stance from the BoJ (dependent on inflation metrics) 📍 Bottom line: This is a pivotal moment. The decision of large players here could define the trend for years to come. Watch the 140–138 zone and volume reactions. A breakdown below this area would confirm the beginning of a strong yen trend.
by shakatrade1_618
USDJPY - Bearish Momentum Points to Further Downside PotentialBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, the higher probability move appears to be to the downside. The pair has established a clear downtrend since early February, with lower highs and lower lows, and recently broke below the significant support level around 144.00. The recent steep decline from late March to early April shows strong bearish momentum, with price now hovering near 143.50 after a modest retracement. The charted projection suggests further downside movement with potential targets around 142.00-141.00 in the short term, while the highlighted support zone around 142.00 and major support at 139.64 could attract price action. With resistance firmly established in the 147.00-148.00 region and the overall bearish structure intact, sellers appear to have control of this market for the foreseeable future. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
USDJPY AnalysisThis chart displays a 1-hour candlestick chart for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) as of April 13, 2025, using data from OANDA on TradingView. Let’s break down the key elements and provide a technical analysis: 🔍 Chart Overview • Current Price: Around 143.47 • Trend: The market has been in a clear downtrend from the 151.5 level to around 143. • Key Tools/Indicators Used: • BBandLE/BBandSE: Bollinger Band-based Long/Short Entry signals. • Support & Resistance Zones: Highlighted by the red/purple rectangular zones. • Risk-to-Reward Trade Setup: Shown using the green (profit target) and red (stop loss) shaded areas. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels 1. Resistance Zones: • ~151.5 (significant sell-off zone) • ~147.8–148.3 (where multiple BBandSE entries occurred) 2. Support Zones: • ~143.0–142.9 (price bounced here recently) • ~141.9 (potential final support from April 11th) 🔄 Buy Signals Multiple BBandLE (Buy entries) occurred at: • ~146 • ~144 • Most recent one around 143, suggesting a potential bottom/reversal. These coincide with the support zone around 143–142.9, indicating possible accumulation or institutional buying. 📉 Sell Signals • Several BBandSE (Sell entries) occurred around: • 151.5 • 148.5 • 147.5 These acted as strong resistance, confirming the bearish momentum that led to the current low. 🧮 Trade Setup From the chart: • Entry: Around 143.4 (current level) • Stop-loss: ~142 (below recent support) • Target zone: ~147–148.3 (resistance level) • Risk-to-Reward: Estimated at around 1:3, making it a favorable setup if the reversal holds. ⚠️ Risks • False breakout risk below 143: Could test 141.9 support or fall further if broken. • Yen intervention or USD-related economic data could cause sudden volatility. • Current market sentiment is still bearish, so early entries might need tight management. ✅ Conclusion • Technical Bias: Short-term bullish reversal potential, but overall trend still bearish. • Strategy: Ideal for a short-term counter-trend long trade, with tight stop-losses and partial profit-taking near the 147–148 zone. • Confirmation needed: Wait for a higher high above 144.5–145 to confirm the reversal.
by ThizizAlex
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators Used: EMA (30-period) – Red line EMA (200-period) – Blue line Chart Features: Downward channel (declining trendline) Identified entry point, stop loss, and target Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple 🟢 Trade Idea Summary: 🔹Entry Point: 143.126 🔹Stop Loss: 142.702 🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249 🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ Bullish Breakout Signal Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure. The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move. 📈 Moving Average Analysis EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum. EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case. 🔁 Support and Resistance Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone). Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250. 🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion: Go Long at or near 143.126 Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702 Target 148.249 for profit Reasoning: This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds. ⚠️ Watch For: Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level Increased buying volume to confirm breakout Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Too Many Bullish Clues — Greed Activated📍Current Price: 143.437 TimeFrame 30Min Bullish Reasons: + Strong Support + Psychological Level + Tweezer Bottom + Bullish RSI Divergence + Channel Bottom = Potential Bullish Reversal Support & Resistance Levels: • 142.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level • 140.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level • 148.000 – Psychological Level + Price Target • 150.000 – Psychological Level "Trade smart – always follow your risk management. Protect your account first, profits will follow. Happy trading!"
Long
by SpicyPips
Gold's Final Push?Multi Time Frame Analysis: 1. Monthly Chart; • RSI: Extremely Overbought at 84.66 • Volume: Declining – signals weakening buying pressure 2. Weekly Chart; • Historical Volume Spike • RSI: Overbought at 78.26 3. Daily Chart; • Price near Upper Channel Line • R2 (3246.25): Resistance/Trend Continuation Zone • MML +2/8 (3281.25): Extreme OverShoot zone (POI) • R3 (3315.96): Exhaustion Zone • Gap at 3177.260 still unfilled • RSI: 71.24 – overbought • Pattern: Rising Wedge 4. 4H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • No Valid Correction 5. 2H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • MACD Histogram: Fading • MACD Lines: Near Crossover • Volume: Declining 6. 1H Chart; • MACD Crossover occurred, histogram below zero • Volume: Weakening • Price: Still rising despite momentum loss 7. 30-Min Chart; • MACD Downtrend but price pushing up • Histogram below zero, divergence forming • Volume: Dropping • Near R2 Pivot Gold appears to be in a trend exhaustion phase. Across higher and mid-timeframes, RSI is extremely overbought, volume is consistently declining, and the MACD is losing momentum. Price is approaching a critical zone between R2 (3246.25) and MML +2/8 (3281.25)—our points of interest (POI) for potential reversal. If 3246.25 holds, we may see a correction. However, if price breaks above this level, the final resistance could be 3315.96 (R3 Exhaustion Zone). Any signs of inducement or fake breakout could trap buyers at the top (FOMO entry). Confirmation signals to watch: • Reversal Candlestick Patterns: Shooting Star, Evening Star, Bearish Engulfing, or multiple Doji formations. Final Thoughts: Gold is currently trading at elevated levels, showing signs of exhaustion across nearly all timeframes. With the RSI reading at an extreme 84.66 on the monthly chart, and volume drying up as price continues to rise, this suggests that the market is driven more by momentum and emotion than sustainable buying pressure. The presence of an unfilled breakaway gap at 3177.26, combined with key resistance zones approaching at R2 (3246.25), MML +2/8 (3281.25), and R3 (3315.96), indicates that Gold may be entering a Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) phase, often marked by impulsive buying and the final surge before a correction. Patterns like the Rising Wedge, MACD divergence, and consistent overbought RSI across MTFs reinforce the likelihood of a potential reversal. However, due to the nature of FOMO-driven moves, the price could still spike before reversing—this is where inducement traps often catch late buyers. It’s crucial to remain patient and wait for proper confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick formations, MACD crossovers, or strong rejection wicks at resistance levels. If price reacts at these zones without breaking through decisively, it could be an ideal setup for short opportunities. Always protect your capital with a solid risk management strategy, use clearly defined stop-loss levels (preferably just above R3), and avoid emotional trading decisions. The technicals are aligning for a significant correction—what remains is the right trigger. 🎯 Potential Targets: • Support Zone 1: 3210.75 • Gap Fill / 26.60% Fib: 3177.26 • Support Zone 2 / 38.20% Fib: 3131.00 • Support Zone 3 / 50% Fib: 3101.50 • Support Zone 4 / 64% Fib: 3052.79 • Final Target / 78.60% Fib: 3022.52 • Demand Zone: 2961.00
Short
by SpicyPips
USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
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