BULLISH IDEA ON USDJPYThe DXY is bullish and the JXY is bearish this means we can get to see good bullish momentum in this pair. USDJPY has been in an uptrend for a long time now and we recently saw a divergence that played out yet the higher low still has not been broken so this can be a good buying opportunity as price is at a good support level. Stoploss placed just below the higher low.
JPYUSD trade ideas
The Rise of the US Dollar Pressures the Japanese Yen!The US dollar has regained its upward momentum recently, supported by market optimism following the mutual US-China agreement to reduce tariffs. One of the most notable currencies to weaken against the US dollar is the Japanese yen.
The USD/JPY pair has risen, forming a series of higher highs. The recent movement highlights three key levels to watch closely.
The 145.644 level is considered a positive signal for a renewed upward move, targeting the 147.755 level.
Meanwhile, the 144.822 level serves as a key support to maintain the bullish outlook. A drop below this level and a daily or 4-hour close beneath it would indicate a shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
JPY retracement?Make or Break Zone
145.370 (just above 0.382 Fib)
145.760 (a minor resistance cluster)
It’s a Critical Zone:
This zone sits right around:
0.5 Fibonacci level (145.467): Often a strong inflection point.
Previous structure resistance turned potential support.
🟢 If Price Holds:
Bullish continuation is likely.
Next targets: 146.220 (0.618) → 147.292 (0.786) → retest 148.658 highs.
🔴 If Price Breaks Down:
Expect further downside toward:
0.382 (144.714) and then
0.236 (143.783) or even 142.277 (Fib swing low).
USDJPY... 4H CHAT PATTERN Let's break down your **USDJPY** trade idea and analyze the setup:
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### **📈 Long Trade Setup (Buy Now)**
* **Entry:** 145.80 *(Assuming this is meant to be 145.80, not 1458, since USDJPY trades in the 100s range)*
* **Stop Loss (SL):** 145.10
* **Targets (TP):**
* **1st Target:** 147.10
* **2nd Target:** 148.50
---
### **📊 Risk-Reward Analysis**
| Target | Potential Gain (pips) | Risk (pips) | Reward\:Risk Ratio |
| ------------ | --------------------- | ----------- | ------------------ |
| 1st (147.10) | +130 pips | 70 pips | \~1.86:1 |
| 2nd (148.50) | +270 pips | 70 pips | \~3.86:1 |
---
### **💡 Notes**
* This setup has a **strong risk-reward profile**, especially with the 2nd target.
* Reaching the 1st target provides nearly **2:1** reward-to-risk, which is often a good benchmark.
* Consider **moving your stop to breakeven** after hitting the 1st target to protect gains.
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounce off an overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 145.87 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.33 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 148.67 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.944.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 146.291 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDJPY SHORT📉 TRADE IDEA – SHORT USD/JPY
🗓️ May 14, 2025
🔻 Position: Short
📍 Entry: 148.164
🎯 Target: 145.414
🛑 Stop Loss: [Set based on your risk — e.g., 148.189
Reasoning:
Rejection from resistance zone above 148
Bearish structure forming on the 4H and daily charts
Possible shift in sentiment around JPY with BoJ pressure mounting
USD weakening as Fed rate expectations tilt dovish
📉 Targeting a drop toward key support at 145.414 — a clean level on the daily chart.
This is a short- to medium-term swing trade based on technicals + macro shifts.
Risk managed, watching upcoming Fed & BoJ commentary closely.
📊 Let the trade play out.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 145.78
1st Support: 144.62
1st Resistance: 148.21
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Fundamental Market Analysis for May 14, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against its US counterpart for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and reacted weakly to the Producer Price Index (PPI), which was largely unchanged. Aggressive comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shin'ichi Uchida on Tuesday keep the door open for further policy normalisation and continue to serve as a tailwind for the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, continues to be threatened by weaker US consumer inflation data released on Tuesday, which raised the odds that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at least twice this year. This is seen as another factor putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.
Meanwhile, optimism about a 90-day tariff truce between the US and China continues to keep the market upbeat. This may deter traders from aggressively bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the diverging policy expectations between the BoJ and the Fed indicate that the path of least resistance for the low-yielding Yen lies to the upside and support the prospects of further downside for the USD/JPY pair. In the absence of any market-relevant economic data from the US, traders will focus on speeches from influential FOMC members. In addition, broader risk sentiment may give the currency pair some momentum.
Trading recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 147.30, TP 146.10
USD/JPY(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
147.76
Support and resistance levels:
148.83
148.43
148.17
147.34
147.08
146.68
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 147.76, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17
If the price breaks through 147.34, consider selling, the first target price is 147.08
usdjpyusdjpy movement prediction using fibs.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.25
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 145.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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