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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USD/JPY Breaks Out – Bulls Eye 149.35 Fibonacci TargetUSD/JPY surged nearly 2%, breaking above both its 50-day SMA and short-term downtrend line, signaling a potential trend reversal: 📈 Strong bullish candle, clearing the 146.50–147.50 zone 📊 RSI climbing through 60, showing accelerating bullish momentum 📉 MACD crossing the zero line, reinforcing the bullish signal 🔺 Next upside targets: 149.35 = 50% Fib retracement of the Dec–April decline 151.60 = 61.8% Fib and near 200-day SMA Staying above 146.30 keeps the bias bullish. A close above 149.35 would open the door for a potential run toward 154.80. -MW
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY 145 Support -> 148 ResistanceIt's a fast start to the week for the FX market and the U.S. Dollar recovery has shifted into another gear. CPI data headlines this week's economic calendar and that can certainly carry some punch, but the past two weeks have been big for USD/JPY with rate meetings out of both Japan and the U.S., with the net being a massive move in the pair after the test at 140.00 in late-April. The 148 level is big as this is a Fibonacci level that held the highs twice earlier in April. And from the four-hour chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern could be argued with that price playing a role as the neckline in the pair. This can keep the door open for breakouts, although the move is already quite stretched from shorter time frames as that resistance has come into play. For support, there's a few spots of interest, such as the 147.50 psychological level or the trendline projection that had held resistance into the end of last week, which currently plots around 146.20. Of course, 145.00 is of interest as well, although a 300 pip retracement might not be the most enticing lead-in for longs. For next resistance, the 150.00 level looms large as this was last in-play around the time of the 'liberation day' announcement. - js
by FOREXcom
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly? You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early. Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax. Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning. 🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy. And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close. 🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click Here’s how it usually goes: You spot a setup. You get excited. You skip the checklist. You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th. The market fakes out. You get stopped out. The market then does exactly what you expected — without you. Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing. 🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility) Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in. You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out. It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.” But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them. ⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind. The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.” The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts. The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close. Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management. 🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this: Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal? Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands? Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”? If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society. 👷‍♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax? Start with structure: Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question. Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions. Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase. Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity. And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge. 💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable. The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account. It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run. And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic. 💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking. But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for. So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification? Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L. 👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
34
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.The third chart you uploaded shows the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, as displayed on TradingView. Key observations: 1. Trend Reversal: The chart shows an initial downtrend (red line) followed by a strong bullish reversal (green line). The reversal started from a demand zone (gray box), where buyers stepped in and pushed the price up. 2. Bullish Momentum: The price has moved significantly upwards, breaking through resistance levels. The current price is around 145.902, and the chart shows a bullish continuation pattern aiming for a target of 146.500. 3. Moving Average Support: The blue curved line appears to be a moving average (possibly a 50 or 100 period), providing dynamic support during the upward movement. The chart indicates a strong bullish sentiment, with a clear target of 146.500. The momentum looks robust after the demand zone bounce. Would you like guidance on managing risk or identifying entry points in this scenario?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
US Dollar fall is far from over .......Don't let the recent US-UK deal tricks you into thinking Trump is winning in his negotiating. He chose a weak opponent to begin with . I won't pop the champagne yet ! The one must watch show is the one in Switzerland where his representatives meet up with the Chinese counterparts. Knowing his style, he will trumpet and exaggerate a thousand times even nothing is cast in stone. This guy loves the media and must say , he is manipulating them very well. People saw his plot yet few dares to call him out. As usual, please DYODD
Short
by dchua1969
1
Global Calm, Fiscal Storm: The Yen's Challenge?The USD/JPY currency pair has recently experienced a notable surge, driving the Japanese Yen to its weakest level against the US Dollar in a month. This appreciation primarily stems from a significant improvement in global risk sentiment, sparked by a breakthrough trade agreement between the United States and China. This deal, aimed at reducing the US trade deficit, has bolstered investor confidence and diminished the traditional safe-haven appeal of the Yen. Adding to the dollar's strength is the Federal Reserve's continued hawkish stance, signaling no immediate plans for interest rate cuts and reinforcing the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets amidst easing concerns about a US recession. Simultaneously, internal economic pressures in Japan significantly weigh on the Yen. The nation's public debt has reached an unprecedented high, driven by persistent increases in defense spending and social welfare costs due to an aging population. Government subsidies for energy bills and the need to issue more bonds to cover rising expenditures exacerbate this fiscal strain. This challenging domestic backdrop contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve's position, creating a widening divergence in monetary policy outlooks that favors the US Dollar through yield differentials, despite the Bank of Japan's cautious consideration of future rate adjustments. Furthermore, reducing global geopolitical tensions has contributed to the shift away from safe-haven currencies. Recent ceasefires and prospects for diplomatic talks in key conflict areas have encouraged a "risk-on" environment in financial markets. This increased appetite for riskier assets directly reduces demand for the Japanese Yen, amplifying the impact of fundamental economic factors and monetary policy divergence on the USD/JPY exchange rate. The pair's trajectory remains subject to evolving global dynamics, upcoming economic data releases, and central bank communications.
Long
by UDIS_View
USDJPY M,W,D BIAS Monthly Bias Bullish target 151.304 (monthly fvg) Weekly Price Currently trading on an imbalanced zone which im watching for a possible reversal zone. But if price closed through im looking at this weekly and daily impalance zone of 148.27 as possible draw on liquidity Daily Bias Bearish daily target 144.753 which happens to be a daily bullish fvg. I might consider this level to look for buys since order flow for me is is bullish if price does fall back for a correction 4Hour confirmation zone Please let me know your thoughts "trading is a probability game, its always best to have a plan"
by Junmadayag
2
Sell Opportunity🔵 USD/JPY Short Setup – Resistance Rejection with R/R 2.06 Price action on the 1H chart shows a clean rejection from the volume cluster resistance zone near 145.85–146.00, backed by Stochastic RSI turning down from overbought territory. 📉 Entry: 145.845 🎯 Target: 144.830 🛑 Stop Loss: 146.282 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.06 ⏱️ Timeframe: 18 hours projection 🔍 Technical Factors: Volume Profile Resistance: Strong supply area at 145.85–146.30 has capped upward momentum. EMA Pressure: Price retesting below the 50 EMA, with 200 EMA well below suggesting possible downside room. Stochastic RSI: Bearish crossover near 70 signals short-term exhaustion. Bearish Candle Structure: Rejection wick and bearish confirmation following attempted breakout.
Short
by GODOCM
USDJPY Bearish Reversal – Trendline Retest + Supply ReactionUSDJPY is reacting from a major confluence zone after breaking out of a descending wedge. Price has returned to retest the underside of the trendline while tapping into an FVG and historical resistance. This zone shows early signs of rejection on the 4H, with long wicks and slowing bullish momentum. I’m watching for confirmation of bearish intent — if structure breaks on lower timeframes, it could signal the start of a larger correction. Key structure zones and imbalance levels are in play. I’ll be monitoring for clean entries on the next pullback or confirmation candle.
Short
by PIPANALYTICA