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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USD/JPY Trendline Now as ResistanceDespite the massive move of weakness in USD in Q2, USD/JPY has held up relatively well, especially over the past two months. The 140.00 level held the lows in April and then it was the 142.50 level. The bullish trendline connecting those two points had some additional higher-low context. But as looked at last week, the 145.00 zone was now set up as possible lower-high resistance and that last bounce from the trendline found sellers there, leading to a breach earlier this week. Now that trendline is showing up as resistance potential. Notably bears were unable to stretch down for re-test of 142.50, and if we do end up with a larger short squeeze in the USD, the pair could become interesting on the long side again. For that, the 145.00 level remains key and buyers will first need to take that out to exhibit some element of control on a shorter-term basis. - js
by FOREXcom
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.36 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 146.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slight above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 144.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPYUSDJPY Exchange Rate USDJPY: 144.495(July 5, 2025) The pair has been trading in the 144.0–145.0 range in early July, reflecting recent yen strength and a broadly weaker US dollar and japan economic outlook. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Country 10-Year Yield Date Japan 1.45% US 4.31-4.38% Yield Spread (US10Y - JP10Y): 2.86 percentage points (US yield higher) Policy Interest Rates Country Policy Rate Japan 0.50% US 4.25–4.50% Key Insights USDJPY: The yen has strengthened in 2025, with USDJPY falling from above 160 earlier in the year to the mid-144s in July. This reflects narrowing yield differentials and shifting global risk sentiment. Bond Yields: The US 10-year yield remains elevated at 4.31-4.38%, while Japan’s 10-year yield is at 1.45-1.43%, since 2019 jp10y is on the rise ,reflecting japan strong economic outlook Yield Differential: The US-Japan 10-year bond yield spread is 2.86%, favoring the US dollar. However, this spread has narrowed from earlier highs, contributing to recent yen strength. Interest Rate Policy: The Federal Reserve maintains a 4.25–4.50% target range, with markets expecting possible cuts later in 2025. The Bank of Japan holds its policy rate at 0.50%, the highest since 2008, but remains cautious about further hikes due to growth and inflation uncertainties. Summary Table Metric US Japan Differential Policy Rate 4.25–4.50% 0.50% 3.75–4.00% 10-Year Bond Yield 4.31% 1.45% 2.86% Market Implications USDJPY Direction: The narrowing yield spread and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pressured USDJPY lower, supporting the yen. Bond Differential: The still-wide, but narrowing, US-Japan yield gap remains a key driver for capital flows and currency moves. Interest Rate Outlook: Any shift in Fed or BOJ policy will directly impact both the yield spread and USDJPY direction in the coming months. #usdjpy
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 146.18 1st Support: 145.01 1st Resistance: 147.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY What Next? SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on USDJPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 146.88 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 145.35 Safe Stop Loss - 147.68 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
USDJPY Forecast – Bullish Roadmap with Key Retracement LevelsUSDJPY is currently sitting around 144.658. From this level, I’m anticipating a short-term retracement down toward the 143.800 zone, which may act as a demand area or liquidity grab before a bounce. From 143.800, price is expected to climb back to 144.646, potentially breaking slightly above into 144.652, where intraday liquidity or stop hunts might occur. If bullish momentum remains strong, a slight retracement into the 145.132 region could follow — possibly retesting a breakout zone or OB — before a final bullish continuation*targeting 147.353. > 🔽 Short-term pullback zone: 143.800 > 🔼 Initial bullish target: 144.646 – 144.652 > 🔁 Expected mid-level retracement: 145.132 > 🎯 Final bullish target: 147.353 > 📍 Current price: 144.658 I’ll be monitoring each key level closely for reactions such as W formations, bullish engulfing candles, or break of internal structure to confirm momentum shifts. 📌 Risk Management Note: This is not financial advice. Always use strict risk management: ✔️ Risk no more than 1–2% per trade ✔️ Use proper **risk-to-reward setups (min 1:2 RR) ✔️ Wait for **clear confirmations before entering ✔️ Protect capital — consistency beats intensity
Long
by The-ultimate-trader
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 145.22 1st Support: 144.17 1st Resistance: 145.91 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break 0ut.USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break below the ascending trendline and Ichimoku cloud support, suggesting a bearish continuation. Key Bearish Targets (Based on the chart): 1. First Target Zone: 📉 140.88 This level aligns with previous structure support and is marked as the initial target on the chart. 2. Second Target Zone: 📉 138.85 – 139.00 This is a deeper support zone and is indicated as the next bearish leg if price momentum continues downward. Summary: Current Price: ~142.74 Trend: Bearish (Breakdown from trendline + Ichimoku bearish signals) Target 1: 140.88 Target 2: 138.85 Let me know if you want SL (stop-loss) or entry suggestions.
Short
by Money_Magnet5
7
USD/JPY and what’s expected from the NFP?The USD/JPY hasn't dropped like the other dollar crossed yet, but could we potentially see a clean break down below 142.50 support? Well, we will need to see a big miss on the NFP print for that to potentially happen. The consensus is for a 110K increase in non-farm payrolls, but recent data has been less than convincing. The ADP private payrolls figure released yesterday registered its first decline in over a year, stoking concerns that today’s number might fall short of expectations — potentially even slipping below 100K. On the unemployment front, a slight uptick to 4.3% is anticipated, up from 4.2%, while Average Hourly Earnings are seen rising 0.3% month-on-month vs. 0.4% increase the month before. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.869. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.699 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1