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JPYUSD trade ideas

Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 149.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 150.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 150.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 149.62 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY H4 | Falling to Fibonacci confluence supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
UJ ideaGot an early buy during NY PM and got out before london (asian extension) 50-60 pips once i established the minor bullish order flow.. I have been away dealing with Research stuff. However, I see more push to pre4v days high which is my bias for this week unless suggested otherwise but for now ima take the cake piece by piece. New order block identified and it is suggested smart money are positioned there for more buys LQ needs to be generated. But watch out londons#/NY continuation to tackle previous sessions high (London and Asian) u can use same indicators i use),,, Goodluck guys as this is my only watch for the week...
Long
by ThunderFX
USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession. In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies. 🕯Technical Analysis USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500 SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400 BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
by TVS-Trader
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations. Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken. Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY. Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USD/JPY 30-Minute Trade Setup: Bullish Reversal from Key SupportEMA (30, close) - Red Line: 149.488 (shorter-term trend) EMA (200, close) - Blue Line: 149.862 (longer-term trend) Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Around 149.000 (marked by the purple support area) Stop Loss: 148.698 (below the key support level) Target Point: 150.275 (potential profit level) Analysis: Price is currently testing a strong support zone (purple area), suggesting a possible bullish reversal. The 30 EMA (red) is acting as local resistance. The 200 EMA (blue) is positioned above, which may act as further resistance if price moves up. The price action suggests a potential bounce from support, leading to a target around 150.275. Risk-to-Reward Consideration: Stop loss is placed slightly below the support zone for risk management. Target price provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. Conclusion: A long (buy) trade is expected if price holds above the support zone. If price breaks below 148.698, the bullish setup could be invalidated. A break above 149.862 (200 EMA) would confirm a stronger bullish continuation.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USD/JPY Nears 200-dma Re-Test After 150 DefenseUSD/JPY has continued to snag bears with several bear traps so far this year. While there was a series of lower-lows in the first part of March, as the USD was plummeting against most major currencies, USD/JPY has turned around over the past three weeks, and is now nearing a re-test of the 200-day moving average. The 150.77 Fibonacci level held the highs on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, and that now becomes a spot of higher-low support potential for pullback scenarios. For next resistance, the 151.51 Fibonacci level is nearing confluence with the 200-day moving average, and the 151.95 level remains important. If bulls can stretch the move, that seems a logical area to look for a pause in the trend. - js
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Amid Structural ShiftDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions. Initially, I planned to go long on USD/JPY based on the bullish momentum observed in the 4-hour time frame. However, the external structural high struggled to break, signalling potential weakness. Soon after, price action began forming lower lows, confirming a shift in structure to the downside. A solid change of character (ChoCh) occurred following a liquidity sweep on the opposite side of the chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Given this shift, I adapted my strategy accordingly, favouring a short position. Additionally, unexpected news from the Eurozone impacted USD pairs, accelerating price movements beyond my anticipated entry. This volatility was likely driven by macroeconomic factors, including a Dow Jones report on tariffs that may have influenced broader USD sentiment. Key Takeaways: Bearish Structural Shift – Lower lows formed after failure to break external structural highs. Change of Character (ChoCh) – Liquidity sweep indicated a momentum shift. Fundamental Influence – News from the Eurozone and tariff-related updates impacted USD pairs. I'll be monitoring further price action to confirm bearish continuation and potential re-entry points. #USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure
Short
by clever_jeph
USDJPY Technical AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment! Let’s master the market together. Please share your thoughts and encourage us to do more by liking this idea.
Long
by dkb14246
1
USD/JPY... 4H pair...Here’s a structured analysis and actionable plan for the *USDJPY* trade idea based on the bearish flag breakdown and key technical levels: --- ### *Trade Setup Overview* - *Pattern Identified*: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. - *Key Resistance*: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. - *Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag’s lower boundary near **149.300*. - *Targets*: - *TP1: 148.30* (100 pips, aligns with the flag’s measured move). - *TP2: 146.60* (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). - *Stop Loss: **150.00* (70 pips risk, above the flag’s upper boundary and recent swing high). --- ### *Critical Technical Factors* 1. *Bearish Flag Dynamics*: - The flag’s "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of *~148.30* (TP1). - A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. *Confluence with Moving Averages*: - The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. - A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. *Key Support Levels*: - *148.30*: Near-term target (previous swing low). - *146.60*: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- ### *Risk Management* - *Risk-Reward Ratio*: - TP1: *1:1.4* (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). - TP2: *1:3.8* (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). - *Adjust Stops*: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- ### *Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor* 1. *Fed Policy*: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. *BOJ Intervention*: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. *Risk Sentiment*: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- ### *Execution Plan* 🔽 *Sell Entry*: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). 🎯 *TP1*: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). 🎯 *TP2*: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). 🚫 *Stop Loss*: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- ### *Will the USD Continue to Decline?* - *Yes, but with caution: The bearish flag and MA resistance favor downside, but JPY’s inherent weakness (BOJ’s ultra-loose policy) may limit sustained USDJPY declines. Focus on **TP1 (148.30)* as a high-probability target, while TP2 depends on broader USD trends and macro drivers. *Key Takeaway*: Trade aligns with short-term momentum, but remain agile given JPY’s sensitivity to central bank policies and risk sentiment.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
USDJPY --> Retesting key level. Attempting trend reversalFX:USDJPY during the correction phase, the market is retesting the boundaries of the downward trend channel that price previously broke through. The market is attempting to shift its trend based on the dollar's adjustment. The dollar faces challenges due to economic and geopolitical nuances related to the United States, as well as high inflation. Theoretically, the index could continue deeper corrections, with prolonged interest rate cut rhetoric potentially putting pressure on the market. Technically, this currency pair has attempted to overcome the previous downward trend resistance level and succeeded, but this alone is insufficient for a trend change - it requires confirmation. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Focus remains on 148.92 - 149.5, if buyers maintain their defensive position above these levels, we have excellent opportunities to catch up with the trend change. This would signal readiness to approach the resistance threshold in the 150.16 range, and a breakthrough of this level with price fixation above it would confirm the trend reversal.
Long
by AdrianBennett
USDJPY 1H – Rejection from Supply Zone, Short Bias ActivatedHey traders 👋 Here's a setup I’m currently watching on USDJPY. We just saw price react sharply from a clear supply zone around 149.90 – 150.00, which aligns perfectly with a previous structure and imbalance area. After a solid bearish rejection candle, I entered short with the expectation of a continued drop, targeting the 148.40 support zone. The RR is decent on this one. Setup details: Entry: ~149.58 SL: Above the supply zone (~149.95) TP: ~148.42 Bias: Bearish RR: ~3.5R I’m keeping a close eye on how price behaves around the 149.00 psychological level – any strong reaction might warrant partials or tighter management. Let me know what you think! Are you shorting too or waiting for confirmation?
Short
by StMartino
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY INTRADAY capped bearish below 151.20 awaits tariff dataThe USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 151.21 (critical level), 152.20, 153.04 Support Levels: 149.17, 148.26, 147.22 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the 151.21 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 149.17, with extended declines targeting 148.26 and 147.22 over the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 151.21 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 152.20, followed by 153.04. Conclusion: The market sentiment remains bearish, with 151.21 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY 4H AnalysisUSDJPY Trade Idea: Bearish Flag Breakdown and Key Technical Levels Trade Setup Overview Pattern Identified: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. Key Resistance: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag's lower boundary near 149.300. Targets: TP1: 148.30 (100 pips, aligns with the flag's measured move). TP2: 146.60 (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). Stop Loss: 150.00 (70 pips risk, above the flag's upper boundary and recent swing high). --- Critical Technical Factors 1. Bearish Flag Dynamics: The flag's "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of ~148.30 (TP1). A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. Confluence with Moving Averages: The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. Key Support Levels: 148.30: Near-term target (previous swing low). 146.60: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- Risk Management Risk-Reward Ratio: TP1: 1:1.4 (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). TP2: 1:3.8 (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). Adjust Stops: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor 1. Fed Policy: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. BOJ Intervention: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. Risk Sentiment: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- Execution Plan Sell Entry: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). TP1: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). TP2: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). Stop Loss: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- Your trade plan is now structured and polished for sharing. Let me know if you need any tweaks!
Short
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5