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JPYUSD trade ideas

Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 142.53 1st Support: 140.78 1st Resistance: 146.72 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?USD/JPY: Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction? Hello TradingView community! Today, let's focus on analyzing the USD/JPY pair, which is showing interesting developments after its recent correction. 🌍 Macro Overview: USD/JPY Under Current Pressures The market is observing shifts in the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair: UOB Group's 24-Hour View: The USD experienced a sharp decline from 148.02 on Monday to 144.49, despite being "oversold". This indicates a slowing in the downtrend, though caution remains. Retest Expected: According to UOB Group, there's a likelihood of USD/JPY retesting the 144.50 level before a more sustained recovery can be expected. Downside Limited: A drop below 144.50 cannot be ruled out, but based on current momentum, any further weakness is unlikely to reach 144.00. Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance levels are noted at 145.20 and 145.55. Overall, USD/JPY is in a phase of seeking equilibrium after a significant decline. 📊 Technical Analysis & USD/JPY Trading Plan Based on the USD/JPY chart (H4/M30) you provided: Overall Trend: The pair has undergone a relatively deep corrective decline after reaching a local peak, but appears to be seeking a strong support zone. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance (SELL Zone): Clearly at 144.894 - 145.178. This is an confluence area of Fibonacci levels and local highs where selling pressure could emerge strongly. Important Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 143.800 - 143.500. This represents a potential bottoming area where demand might be strong enough to push the price higher. Projected Price Action: After the sharp decline, USD/JPY might retest the 144.50 area. If it holds above key support levels, an upward move towards resistance zones is plausible, as indicated by the arrows on the chart. 🎯 USD/JPY Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: 143.800 - 143.500 SL: 143.400 TP: 144.000 - 144.200 - 144.500 - 144.800 - 145.000 - 145.200 - 145.500 SELL ZONE: 144.894 - 145.178 SL: 145.300 TP: 144.700 - 144.500 - 144.200 - 144.000 - 143.800 - 143.500 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: US and Japanese Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from both nations could significantly impact Fed and BoJ policy expectations. BoJ Policy Decisions: Any shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance will create strong volatility for the JPY. Global Risk Sentiment: Changes in overall market sentiment can also affect JPY crosses. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful USD/JPY trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could drop from this level to our tak eprofit. Entry: 144.96 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 146.11 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 142.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
demand zone spotted... LET THE HUNTING BEGIN!!!📉 USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Demand Zone Revisit Expected The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup: 1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints • The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift. • This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend. • Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction. 2. Supply and Demand Zones • Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000): This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts. • Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728): Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs. 3. Current Market Behavior • Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement. • The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction. ________________________________________ ✅ Trade Idea • Bias: Bullish from demand • Entry: Around 140.728 • Stop Loss: Below 139.740 • Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone) • Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4 This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles: • Structure shift via BOS • Entry at unmitigated demand • Exit just before major supply • Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long. NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep $$ represents liquidity bos represents break of structure CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
Long
by eaonimisi
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut. The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook. In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier. On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Rejection Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high. This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure. 2. Break Below EMA 200 Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback. 3. Bearish Projection The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips). The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure. 4. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75) Target: 139.955 Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.61 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 146.11 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 142.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY BULLISH SETUPThe USD/JPY daily chart indicates a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has been consolidating within a descending trendline and has recently bounced from a strong support zone around 140.000. The presence of multiple rejections from the lower support zone suggests buying interest. A breakout above the trendline confirms bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud is narrowing, indicating potential for trend shift. The market is eyeing a move towards the next resistance zone aligned near a previous supply area. Bullish confirmation with rising volume could fuel further upside. A break and hold above resistance may lead to further continuation in the coming sessions. Entry Point: 142.100/141.000 Target Point: 151.110 If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment. Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
Long
by Trend_logic
7
Usdjpy at key near-term support zone?The USD/JPY pair faces a sharp sell-off and slides to near 144.00 on Tuesday. The pair dives significantly as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms its peers after a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Easing geopolitical tensions diminish demand for safe-haven assets, such as the US Dollar. During European trading hours, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, slumps to near 98.00. The demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY) should have weakened too, given its safe-haven status. However, the Asian-Pacific currency is outperforming its peers, except antipodeans, due to the decline in oil prices. ( Dua, 2025) USD/JPY is trading below the 145.00 mark at the time of writing, during American trading hours, and staying afloat above its 100-day Moving Average, which remains a key near-term support zone.
Long
by TRADINGACPVIP
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support. Pivot: 144.67 1st Support: 143.07 1st Resistance: 145.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Market next move Disruption of the Bullish USD/JPY Analysis 1. Weak Bullish Momentum The current bullish attempt is showing small-bodied candles with low follow-through. Disruption: This suggests a lack of conviction from buyers. If there’s no strong bounce soon, it could indicate distribution rather than accumulation. 2. Volume Imbalance Notice the recent spike in bearish volume (red bars), especially during the last price drop. Disruption: Volume is supporting the downtrend, not the rebound. This suggests sellers are still in control. 3. Lower High Structure The price recently failed to form a higher high and continues forming lower highs and lower lows. Disruption: This pattern is a classic sign of a continuing bearish trend, contradicting the bullish target. 4. Fundamental Headwinds The U.S. economic icon (flag) suggests an upcoming high-impact event — likely NFP, GDP, or rate decision. Disruption: If U.S. data is weak or if there's talk of the Fed pausing rate hikes, USD could weaken, pushing USD/JPY further below 144.000.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3 Entry at Daily AOi Weekly Rejection at AOi Daily Rejection at AOi Daily EMA retest Previous Structure point Daily Around Psychological Level 145.000 H4 EMA retest H4 Candlestick rejection H4 Head and Shoulder Pattern, Retest of the neckline Levels 3.56 Entry 95% DUE TO H4 I WILL BE GOING 1/2 A % RISK TO SEE IF MY EDGE WILL WORK REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient : Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat! : Christ is King.
Short
by mobbie_zw
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.558. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 143.239 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY Profit Heist – Are You In or Missing Out?"🔥💰 "USD/JPY NINJA HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Style)" 💰🔥 🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Takers! 🌟 🚨 Thief Trading Alert: USD/JPY "The Ninja" is primed for a BULLISH HEIST! Based on our stealthy technical & fundamental analysis, we’re locking in a long entry strategy. The plan? Loot profits before the RED ZONE danger hits! Overbought? Maybe. Risky? Sure. But the real robbery happens before the bears wake up! 🏴‍☠️💸 🎯 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN! Buy Limit Orders: Swipe the dip on pullbacks or jump in at key swing lows. Aggressive? Enter now & ride the wave! 🛑 STOP LOSS (Thief-Style Escape Plan): Swing Low (5H TF): 143.600 (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!) Multiple orders? Scale SL wisely—don’t get caught! 🎯 TARGETS: Main Take-Profit: 151.000 (Or escape earlier if the trap triggers!) Scalpers: Only play LONG—trail your SL & lock in quick loot! 📢 SCALPERS & SWING TRADERS: Got deep pockets? Ride the wave now! Small account? Join the swing heist & rob the trend slowly! 📈 WHY USD/JPY? Bullish momentum + Macro/Fundamental tailwinds! COT Report, Sentiment, & Intermarket Analysis all hint at more upside! go ahead to check 👉🔗🌏 ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY! Avoid new trades during high-impact news! Trailing SL = Your best friend! Protect profits & avoid jail (stop-out)! 💥 BOOST THIS IDEA TO SUPPORT THE HEIST! More boosts = More robberies = More profits for YOU! Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🚀💰 🔥 Like, Share, & Follow for Daily Steals! 🔥
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY Trading StrategyUSDJPY is looking to break the resistance zone of 147,000. The current bullish force of USDJPY is too strong, so jumping in to catch the top at the present time will be quite risky. If you want a SELL signal, you must wait for the confirmation of the sellers jumping into the market by the confirmation of the red closing m30 candle. There will be a beautiful SELL signal if the h4 candle shrinks its wick below 147,000. If it closes above the SELL point, you must wait for 148,100, or if you want to BUY, wait for the retest and create a beautiful bullish wave in the small time frame. On the other hand, if the currency pair declines back to the support zone of 146,000 and 145,200, it will give us a long-term BUY signal. Support 146,000-145,200 Resistance 117,100-148,100
Long
by VHT_Trader
4
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bearish I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones. Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens. Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
by ForexLeague