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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Sellers become active.1. **Price tapped into the 143.700–143.800 resistance zone**, just as expected. 2. **Strong bearish reaction followed immediately** after testing that zone: * Long upper wick. * A strong bearish candle closed under the previous bullish body → **rejection confirmed** ✅ 3. Current candle is now **hovering around 143.600**, showing hesitation. * This is **normal** after the initial rejection, and could form the **right shoulder** of a micro top structure.
Short
by Milad_ansari
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support, a pullback level. Pivot: 144.37 1st Support: 141.94 1st Resistance: 146.17 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that os slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.27 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 143.36 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 146.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY completed a consolidation, violating a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame. I believe that it provides a strong bullish confirmation signal. The price will most likely go up and reach 146.0 level next week. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USDJPY Elliott Wave Forecast: Bearish Trend Set to ResumeThe USDJPY pair has exhibited a bearish sequence since its high on July 3, 2024, signaling potential for further downside. In the near term, the cycle from the May 13, 2025, high is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure, a complex corrective pattern. From the May 13, 2025, peak, the initial decline, labeled wave ((a)), concluded at 144.91. It is then followed by a corrective bounce in wave ((b)) to 146.1. The subsequent drop, wave ((c)), completed at 142.10, finalizing the larger wave W, as illustrated on the 1-hour chart below. Following this, the pair entered a corrective phase, wave X, structured as a zigzag. From the wave W low, wave ((a)) advanced to 144.46 and wave ((b)) pulled back to 143.84. Wave ((c)) rallied to 146.28, completing wave X in the higher degree. This zigzag correction temporarily halted the bearish momentum. The pair has now turned lower, initiating wave Y, which is also unfolding as a zigzag structure with sub-waves ((a))-((b))-((c)). From the wave X high, wave (i) of ((a)) declined to 142.37, and the corrective wave (ii) of ((b)) reached 144.39. The pair is expected to continue lower in wave (iii) of ((a)). As long as the pivot high at 146.28 remains intact, any rally is likely to fail in a 3, 7, or 11 swing pattern, setting the stage for further declines. A break below the wave (i) low at 142.37 and the wave W low at 142.10 would reinforce the bearish sequence from the May 29 and May 13 peaks, respectively. Such a move would further confirm and validate the bearish outlook, strengthening the case for continued downside in the USDJPY pair.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Currency Risks in International Stock InvestmentCurrency Risks in International Stock Investment In the realm of international stock investment, understanding and managing currency risks is pivotal. This risk can substantially influence the returns on global investments, making it essential for investors to grasp its nuances and develop strategies to mitigate its impact. Today, we’ll delve into different types of currency risks, factors influencing these risks, and effective ways to manage them. Understanding Currency Risks Currency risks, sometimes known as foreign currency exchange risks, are inherent in international stock investment. This currency exposure risk arises when the value of a foreign currency fluctuates, affecting the position’s value when converted back to the domestic currency. To use an example of currency risk, consider an American investor who buys stocks in a European company. If the euro weakens against the US dollar, the value of these stocks in USD decreases, even if the stock's price in euros remains unchanged. It's crucial for investors to understand these risks, as they can significantly impact the returns on global investments. Effectively managing this exposure may help in protecting and potentially enhancing returns in a globally connected market. Types of Currency Risks Currency exposure in the context of global investments encompasses various types, each impacting assets differently. Understanding these is crucial for investors engaged in international trade or stock markets. Transaction Risk This arises from the fluctuation in exchange rates between the time a deal is made and when it's settled. For instance, a US investor purchasing shares in a Japanese company faces transaction risk if the Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar before the trade is completed. The investor would have to spend more dollars to buy the same amount of yen, illustrating currency exchange rate risk. Translation Risk This is relevant for investors holding foreign assets or stocks. It occurs when the value of these assets changes due to market fluctuations, affecting the domestic value of these assets. For example, a British investor holding stocks in a Canadian company will face translation risk if the Canadian dollar weakens against the British pound. Such a devaluation would reduce the value of the Canadian shares when converted back to pounds. Economic Risk This broader risk involves changes in currency value driven by macroeconomic shifts in a foreign market. A German company investing in Brazil may face economic risk if Brazil’s downturn leads to a devaluation in the Brazilian real. This would lower the returns on the position when converted back to euros. These aspects collectively define the currency risk in international trade and investment, highlighting the importance of managing exposure. Factors Influencing Risks Several factors contribute to risks in global investments, each playing a significant role in fluctuating prices. Exchange Rate Fluctuations Prices are primarily influenced by supply and demand dynamics in the foreign exchange market. Factors like trade balances, economic strength, and investor sentiment often cause exchange rates to vary, impacting investments denominated in that currency. Interest Rates Central banks' monetary policies, particularly interest rate adjustments, are a key driver. Higher interest rates in a country typically strengthen its currency by attracting foreign capital, seeking higher returns. Inflation Rates Generally, a country with lower inflation sees its currency appreciate as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies, affecting the return on investments in countries with differing inflation rates. Political Stability and Economic Performance Political events, government policies, and the overall economic environment of a country influence investor confidence. For instance, political instability or economic downturns may lead to a currency devaluation. Geopolitical Events Global events, such as conflicts, trade agreements, or sanctions, might create uncertainty in the market, leading to volatile market movements. Managing Currency Risks Effectively managing risks is crucial for investors involved in global markets. By understanding and employing various strategies, one can mitigate currency risk and protect potential returns from adverse price movements. Hedging Strategies - Forward Contracts: These are agreements to buy or sell a currency pair at a future date at a predetermined price. By locking in exchange rates and hedging foreign currency risk, investors can protect against potential unfavourable shifts in prices. For example, an investor fearing a devaluation of the euro against the dollar in the coming months may enter a forward contract to sell euros at today's value, mitigating the exposure to future devaluation. - Hedging through Inversely Correlated Assets: Investing in assets or securities that have an inverse relationship with the currency can also be a strategy. For instance, holding stocks that are likely to appreciate when the local currency depreciates might serve as a natural hedge. Diversification - Diversifying a portfolio across different currencies and geographic regions can dilute the impact of fluctuations. Holding a global mix of equities, bonds, and other assets may balance out losses in one region with gains in another. - Investing in multinational corporations that operate and generate revenue in multiple currencies can also be a form of diversification, as these companies are often less affected by price volatility in any single market. By employing these strategies, investors can mitigate the overall impact of price fluctuations on their international investments. However, it's important to note that while these methods might reduce exposure, they can also limit potential gains. The Bottom Line In conclusion, astutely managing these risks is fundamental for success in global stock investment. By understanding the types, factors, and strategies to mitigate this exposure, investors can navigate global markets more effectively. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Short
by okako_trading
USDJPY – Supply Zone Rejection Incoming?June 6, 2025 | Short-Term Bias: Bearish USDJPY is currently trading around 144.16, testing a key supply zone between 144.25 – 144.45. This area has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing signs of exhaustion after a solid bullish run from the 142.90 demand zone. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Price is inside a high-probability supply zone, with clear historical rejection at this level. A strong bearish risk-reward setup is in play, with the target at 142.90 and a stop above 144.456. The volume profile shows high activity around 144.00–144.25, hinting at possible consolidation or distribution. Previous structure confirms this level has served as a seller’s stronghold. 📉 Bias: Leaning bearish as long as price remains below 144.456. A break and close above that level would invalidate this setup and shift the bias to bullish, targeting the 145.00+ area. 📌 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Entry: Current level (~144.16) SL: Above 144.456 TP: 142.90 Let’s see if sellers step in again here, or if bulls are ready to break through. ⚔️ Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Short
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 142.40 1st Support: 139.58 1st Resistance: 148.45 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
The Japanese yen may face further downward pressure.The USD/JPY has trended higher in a volatile manner this week, rising 0.56% on a weekly basis and closing at 144.87 on Friday, marking the second consecutive week of gains. The Japanese yen, as a safe-haven currency, showed weakness this week, reflecting market concerns about Japan's economic outlook and the impact of Trump's tariff policies. The remarks of Kazuo Ueda (Governor of the Bank of Japan) reflected worries about the effects of the trade war. Market expectations indicate that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain a dovish stance in the short term. If next week's GDP data is weak, the yen may face further downward pressure. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
Stop loss for USDJPYNow , if you have not followed the story of this pair, USDJPY, please go read my strategy here That is the big big picture, like looking at the forest from the helicopter view. Now, let's go into the woods to see clearer. In the 4H chart, we can see that we are now locked in a range between 142.46 and 144.48 price level. Assuming you want to short after you are convinced of my take on US dollar story and safe haven assets like Yen, Euro,etc , then where would you put your SL ? 25 May and 4 Jun - there were two resistance points where price fails to break above. Now, our price is going to revisit this resistance zone again. If you based on the high of 29 May candle as the point to place your SL, it appears too high. It was a false breakout on hindsight. I am placing my own SL on the 3rd red candle around 145.433. I calculated I can short 0.8 contract with a 50 points SL and I would need to pay around 189 . This fulfils my 2% per trade principle based on 1000 capital. With this in mind, to add on to my winners, I would have to make sure that I do not allow my emotions of greed and fear to magnify my SL nor increase my position size unnecessarily. This is very important. No matter how confident you think the market is going with you, anything can happen in the market and if you are WRONG, how much are you willing to pay? If you do it on impulse with pre calculation, then your emotions will take over especially if you get stopped out and wanted to do a revenge trade. Oh, tell me about it, so many times I have done that and lost money ! Hope this is useful for some of you.......
Short
by dchua1969