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"USDJPY | Smart Money Premium Trap | Mitigation Block Rejection"⚡ USDJPY Analysis – 30M Timeframe | April 30, 2025 📊 Price Action Summary: USDJPY has aggressively tapped into the Premium Zone, aligning perfectly with a Mitigation Block and Fibonacci 61.8% golden pocket. We’re seeing early signs of Smart Money rejection — time to stay sharp! 🧐 🔥 Key Moves: Premium Zone Entry: Price retraced right into the 61.8–70.5% fib region. Mitigation Block respected: A known Smart Money zone where trapped sellers from previous moves get wrecked. Liquidity Build-Up Below: Eyes on the unprotected lows — Smart Money LOVES to grab those. 🧠 What’s Really Going On Behind the Scenes: Retail traders: "It’s bouncing! Let’s go long!" 🟢💸 Smart Money: "Perfect… let’s trap them for liquidity." 🧊📉 This move screams classic Premium Trap — draw them in, then nuke it. ☠️ 🧩 Why This Setup Matters: Mitigation Block + FVG combo = High-probability rejection zone Sellers are likely reloading positions here The Strong High has been established — room to target Weak Lows below 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Entry: Inside or just below the Mitigation Block (confirmation from bearish rejection) Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~142.813) Take Profit Zones: TP1: Mid-discount (~141.400) TP2: Weak Low (~139.899) — the real liquidity target 🎯 💬 Pro Tip: "Mitigation blocks are the sniper’s nest for Smart Money. Get in, get out, get paid." 🎯 Watch the reaction closely inside the purple zone. It’s not just a block — it’s a liquidity recycling station. 🚀 Summary: ✅ Price entered Premium ✅ Mitigation Block tested ✅ Liquidity below waiting ✅ High RRR bearish setup aligning 🧘‍♂️ Be patient. Wait for confirmation. Let Smart Money leave the trail — then follow. ✍️ Save this chart and study how Mitigation Blocks get respected over and over. It’s not magic — it’s mechanics. ➡️ Comment "SNEAKY SHORT" if you're watching the block trap unfold! ➡️ Tag a trader who still doesn’t believe in Premium/Discount theory. 😂📉📈
Short
by ChartNinjas88
DeGRAM | USDJPY Keeps the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● USD/JPY has broken the falling-wedge top and is holding above the 142.20 breakout line; that keeps 144.03 → 147.5 in scope. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. March retail sales surged 1.4 %, underscoring resilient demand. ✨ Summary A wedge breakout plus firm U.S. data, a hawkish Fed and a dovish BOJ favour more dollar strength; holding above 142.20 keeps USD/JPY on track for $144.03–147.5. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Trend Exhaustion SignalsTrend Exhaustion Signals: How to Know When a Trend is Losing Steam Every trend eventually runs out of fuel. Knowing when momentum is fading can give you the edge to exit early, avoid late entries, or even prepare for a reversal. This article dives into key signs of trend exhaustion and how to trade around them. 🔵Understanding Trend Exhaustion Trends can persist far longer than expected, but they don’t last forever. Trend exhaustion occurs when the driving force behind a trend—be it buying or selling pressure—starts to weaken. Recognizing this shift is crucial for: Protecting profits Avoiding bad entries Spotting early reversal opportunities 🔵1. RSI and MACD Divergence A classic signal of trend exhaustion is divergence between price and momentum indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but the indicator makes a lower high. Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but the indicator makes a higher low. This suggests that although price continues in the trend's direction, momentum is lagging—a red flag for potential exhaustion. 🔵2. Volume Dry-Up Volume is the fuel of trends. When volume starts to shrink during a strong move, it often signals that the crowd is losing interest or that institutions are offloading positions. In an uptrend, a series of green candles with decreasing volume = caution. In a downtrend, falling volume can signal seller fatigue. 🔵3. Long-Wick Candles at Extremes Candlestick patterns offer visual clues of exhaustion. When you start seeing long upper wicks at the top of an uptrend (or long lower wicks at the bottom of a downtrend), it means price is being rejected from continuing further. Common exhaustion patterns: Shooting Star (bearish) Inverted Hammer (bullish) Doji at highs/lows These patterns are more reliable when they form near resistance or support zones. 🔵4. Structure Break: CHoCH and BOS Market structure tells a deeper story than indicators. Two key terms here: CHoCH (Change of Character): The first sign of reversal—a higher low broken in an uptrend, or a lower high broken in a downtrend. BOS (Break of Structure): The confirmation—a key swing point is broken, confirming a new trend. Traders can watch for these breaks to anticipate when the current trend is ending and a reversal is forming. 🔵5. Parabolic Price Action & Overextension When a trend becomes parabolic—with steep, accelerating price movement—it often signals the final stage of the trend. This is when retail traders usually enter, and smart money begins to exit. Warning signs: Sudden vertical moves Price far above/below moving averages Lack of consolidation or pullbacks Parabolic moves are unsustainable. Look for reversion to the mean or a sharp correction. 🔵How to Trade Around Trend Exhaustion Tighten Stops: If in a winning trend trade, consider locking in profits or trailing your stop. Avoid Chasing Entries: Late entries into exhausted trends are high-risk, low-reward. Prepare for Reversal Setups: Watch for confirmation (CHoCH, divergence, candle patterns) before entering counter-trend positions. Use Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Exhaustion on the 1H chart may just be a pullback on the 4H. Always zoom out for context. Trend exhaustion is a natural part of market behavior. Recognizing the signs—such as divergence, fading volume, long wicks, structure breaks, and parabolic moves—can help you time exits better and avoid late trades. Instead of reacting after the fact, you’ll be prepared in advance. Add these tools to your trading routine and stay one step ahead of the crowd.
Education
by BigBeluga
28
USD/JPY: 145.00, Trendline ResistanceThe net result of the Bank of Japan rate decision has been Yen-weakness, with USD/JPY initially showing an explosive move with a breakout beyond 145.00. That move couldn't hold, however, with an assist from the underside of a bullish trendline helping to cap the weekly highs, leading to a push back-below the 145.00 handle. For next week there's remaining bullish structure, which a recent higher-low at 144.00 that bulls need to defend to retain control. But given the broader backdrop of USD-strength going into FOMC, USD/JPY has bullish continuation potential, with levels at 148.00 and 150.00 as the next significant waypoints overhead. - js
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (143.000) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 147.000 💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 144.50 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 142.26 My Stop Loss - 145.51 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY 4h Long Setup | Low Risk High Reward Market broke the descending structure with strong bullish impulse followed by higher lows respecting new trendline Price retested the previous resistance now turned support zone with a bullish reaction Entry is taken after confirmation of the retest holding and bullish continuation signs Entry : 142.494 SL : 140.676 TP : 148.270 RR 1 : 3.2 Price action aligned with short-term bullish reversal structure and clear demand zone defense Let price do the work
Long
by wolfchemist
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Breakout ahead of NFPThe U.S. Dollar plunged more nearly 12% off the yearly high against the Japanese Yen with USD/JPY rebounding off support at last week near the 2024 low. Initial resistance now in view at the 100% extension of the recent advance at 146.11 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement at 147.14- both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Broader bearish invalidation is eyed at the 1.6185% extension / 2022 weekly high close at 148.67/73. Ultimately, a break / daily close below 140.25 is needed to mark downtrend resumption with the subsequent support seen at the March high-day close (HDC) / March high at 137.35/91 and the 78.6% retracement at 134.65. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 147.14 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 140.25 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area. - Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge. - Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn) - Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here. Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it. I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck! Here is the close up look of the wedge:
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
4
USDJPY SELL 4H/1H TradeAm looking for USD Sells as this discounted prices are coming in upside correlation USD -2D/-5 CORRELATION JPY -2D/+1 I had 3 pair to look for but i saw that AUDUSD was in a range to the upside without any trend and GBPUSD was showing the most strength but its momentum was dying on every move upside and USDJPY came up to be showing strength in opposite where its momentum is off to upside and signs that seller are back in selling. correlation shows that all products are sold off daily but USD is coming from strength and JPY was very weak just coming up to strength. am watching the upcoming news in New York open and am targeting the lows of the previous range
Short
by malikhass69
USDJPY | Testing Supply & Trendline Resistance at 145.40USDJPY 4H Analysis Price has rallied back into a confluence zone: • Descending trendline resistance • Key supply zone around 145.40 This area has rejected price multiple times in the past. I’m watching closely for: Bearish Setup: • Rejection candle or wick above 145.40 • Entry on confirmation below zone • Target 143.20–141.50 Bullish Breakout Scenario: • Clean close above trendline + 145.50 • Retest of broken structure • Target: 147.80+ RSI and momentum tools will help confirm the move.
by charliee93
USD/JPY 4H Chart - Buy Entry AnalysisTrend & Momentum: RSI (14, close) currently shows a range between -7.25 to 35.47, indicating potential oversold conditions (RSI below 30-35 often signals a reversal opportunity). The Average YoY data suggests moderate volatility, with Q2 at 0.558 and H1 at 0.555, hinting at a stable uptrend bias. Price Action: Support Levels: L1 at 0.499 and C1 at 0.498 act as strong support zones. A bounce from these levels could confirm a buy signal. Resistance Break: A0 at 0.8 (despite a slight dip of -0.025) is a key level to watch. A breakout above this with volume could reinforce bullish momentum. Entry Strategy: Ideal Buy Zone: Near 0.498-0.499 (L1/C1) with RSI recovering from oversold territory. Confirmation: Wait for a 4H candle close above 0.555 (H1) or a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing). Risk Management: Stop Loss: Below 0.498 (C1) to limit downside risk. Targets: Initial TP at 0.555 (H1), extended TP at 0.8 (A0) if momentum sustains. Conclusion: USD/JPY shows a potential buy opportunity on the 4H chart, supported by oversold RSI and key support levels. Enter near 0.498-0.499 with strict risk controls, targeting a rally toward 0.555-0.8.
Long
by The_Trading_G3ek