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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

As Goes USD/JPY, so goes the USD USD/JPY continues to drive impact in broader USD themes and given the fact that there's still considerable carry remaining in the pair, the consequences of a deeper sell-off could bring impact to several macro markets. USD/JPY is about 40% above the early 2021 lows when the carry trade began to build on the back of stronger US inflation, and even as US rate cuts started last year and BoJ rate hikes began, the carry trade only started to unwind - until the bounce from 140.00 in Q3 of last year. That same 140.00 level was back in action in April, right around the time that the USD bounced from a big spot of support on its own chart. And the four weeks that followed showed similar bounces in both markets. The pain for bulls last week was, similarly, felt in both markets. But this week has shown a different tone as a higher-low has held in USD/JPY around 142.50 and for DXY, around the 98.98 Fibonacci level. As looked at in the USD post, there's now the possibility of a monthly doji and if that completes, there's turn potential for the US Dollar. This would need to be supported by continued recovery in USD/JPY and for that, we're likely going to be looking for continued softening in longer-dated Japanese yields. Or else - as the divergence between Japanese and US rates continues to narrow, so too could the motivation for hedges and carry trades to close, putting downward pressure on the pair and the US Dollar. In that scenario, I think USD/CAD and GBP/USD could remain as attractive venues for USD-weakness to play out. But in the opposite, with USD-strength showing, I'm still favoring EUR/USD for USD-strength to continue playing out. And also for the Yen, USD/JPY has been 'trappy' on both sides and I'd instead look to work with Yen-weakness against the British Pound (GBP/JPY) and Yen-strength against the Euro. - js
by FOREXcom
USDJPY | Smart Money Long Setup – Deep Fib + OB Reaction💴 USDJPY | Institutional Long Play with Perfect OB + Fib Confluence Price gave us an aggressive push off the demand zone, showing clear Smart Money accumulation behavior. This setup is high probability based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). 🔍 1. Technical Breakdown Strong impulse move upward Clean pullback into the Order Block Confluence with 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone Price respected the OB zone and printed higher highs That reaction was institutional — no cap 🧢. 🧱 2. Bullish Confluences 🔥 Order Block (OB): Purple demand zone = unmitigated 📐 Fib Sweet Spot: 70.5%–79% = institutional re-entry levels ✅ Strong Wick Rejection: Shows absorption of sell-side liquidity 📈 Market Structure Shift: Break of structure to the upside 🎯 3. Trade Plan Entry: 142.89 (within OB + 70.5%) Stop Loss: 142.00 Take Profit: 145.49 zone This setup targets the -27% fib extension — a classic institutional TP level. ⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio) 💰 Entry: 142.89 🔒 SL: 142.00 📍 TP: 145.49 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:2.9 Solid intraday-to-swing play with clean structure. 🧠 5. Key Confirmation Points Break and close above 144.36 = confirmed bullish intent Price respecting 143.44 OB = bulls still in control SL below OB = protected by demand block 💬 Comment “SMC Long Sniper 💹” if you caught this move! 🔄 Share this if you love OB + fib sniper entries 📌 Save this setup for your next demand zone playbook
Long
by ChartNinjas88
2
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 143.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback supoprt level. Take profit: 145.88 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY Breakout - Bullish reversal setup in progress...The price has once again respected the 142.100–142.500 support zone, showing strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal. 🔍 Market Structure Update: Break of descending trendline ✔ Higher lows forming ✔ Bullish breakout above 144.500 in progress ✔ 🔷Two Bullish Scenarios: 🔹Aggressive Continuation: Break and retest above 144.500 could lead to a sharp push toward the 150.700 resistance zone. 🔹Conservative Entry: A potential retest back into the support zone before the next impulsive leg up. Support Zone: 142.000–142.500 Target Zone: 150.700 Key Level to Break: 144.500 🚨 Watch for confirmation before entering. Always manage your risk and never trade without a plan! 📊 Let me know your bias in the comments – Bullish or Bearish? 👍 Like & Follow for more setups! #USDJPY #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BreakoutSetup #ForexCommunity
Long
by James-Pipstr
1
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview: Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward. This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative. 🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation) The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910. Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation. This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in. 💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up. 🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support. This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight. The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it. 🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves. 🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline. According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below. If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster. 🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup: Component Details Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone) Stop Loss Below 0.006890 First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction) Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone) 🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful: ✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry. ✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support. ✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves. ✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows. ✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion. 🏁 Final Thoughts: This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions. When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst? 💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2. EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators. Key Resistance Levels: 145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance. 146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets. Key Support Zones: 144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point. 143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY. BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY. Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair. 🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11. If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg. ⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE: Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through. Key Drivers: Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves. A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan. Technical Perspective: If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50. On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
by Blueberry
USD/JPY Bulls Awakening from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money AnalysUSD/JPY just bounced cleanly from a well-defined demand zone (140.550 - 144.206). This area aligns perfectly with volume accumulation and prior rejection zones, hinting at smart money activity. 🔰 Bullish Structure Confirmation: Double bottom formation at demand Bullish engulfing candle closing above minor resistance Price reacting to macro support & strong U.S. news expected 🇺🇸 --- 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Demand Zone: 140.550 – 144.206 🔹 First Target Resistance: 148.419 🔹 Main Supply Zone: 155.589 📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish 📉 Invalidation Zone: Break below 140.550 --- 🔍 What’s Fueling This Setup? Price entering fresh demand + volume spike Potential DXY strength pushing USD up Buyers clearly stepping in after a long corrective wave June data catalysts ahead (NFP, FOMC – shown with calendar icons) --- 🎯 Trading Plan: ✅ Buy entry: On 4H retest around 143.900–144.100 🎯 TP1: 148.419 🎯 TP2: 155.589 ❌ SL: Below 140.400 (outside demand box) --- 🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t chase price – wait for a clear retest or confirmation. Let the market come to you. Also, combine this setup with DXY analysis for stronger confluence. 💬 Are you riding this bullish wave or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your chart views or trade ideas 👇 🔔 Follow for more setups on USD majors and smart money analysis. --- #USDJPY #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #LuxAlgo #DXY #PriceAction #JPY #TradingView #ForexSignals
Long
by FrankFx14
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.02, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 145.03, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.09, a swing low support High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 144.85 1st Support: 142.56 1st Resistance: 145.85 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets