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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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BoJ Core CPI climbs to 2.2%, yen declinesThe Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday.  In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.25, up 0.16% on the day. What is the best performing G-10 currency against the US dollar this year?  Surprisingly, the Japanese yen is the winner, with gains of about 5% against the greenback.  This is a remarkable turnaround from 2024, when the yen plunged 11.4% against the US dollar and sank to its lowest level in 38 years. The yen's newfound strength is largely due to expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year, unlike the other major central banks that have been lowering rates.  The BoJ has been raising rates slowly but with inflation indicators moving upwards, even the cagey BOJ has signaled that it will continue to raise rates. Japan's CPI hit 3.2% in January, a 19-month high, and this week's January inflation numbers are also pointing upward.  The producer price index jumped to 3.1%, up from 2.9% in December.  BoJ Core CPI climbed to 2.2% in January, up from 1.9% in December and its third consecutive acceleration.  Next up is Tokyo Core CPI on Friday. In the US, consumer confidence shocked with an unexpectedly weak report.  The Conference Board consumer confidence index slipped to 98.3 in January, well below the revised December reading of 105.3 and shy of the market estimate of 102.5.  The seven-point drop was the sharpest month-to-month decline since August 2021.  The report found that more consumers are expecting a recession.  Retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in December, the biggest decline in a year.  If consumer data continues to deteriorate, the Federal Reserve will have to consider accelerating the pace of rate cuts. USD/JPY is testing resistance at 149.30.  Above, there is resistance at 150.03 There is support at 148.30 and 147.57
by OANDA
USDJPY - JPY strength continues below 152.20 The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to appreciate against the US Dollar (USD) as market expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain momentum. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USDJPY currency pair, which remains aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. A potential oversold rally towards this level, followed by a rejection, could reinforce the bearish outlook, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a confirmed breakout above 152.50, coupled with a sustained daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, opening the possibility for further rallies, with resistance levels at 154.30 and 155.70 acting as potential upside targets. The price action around the 152.50 level remains pivotal in determining the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY AnalysisPotential Pullback Before Bearish Continuation USDJPY is currently in a downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. Price is approaching a key supply zone (151.00 - 151.50), where a potential reversal may occur. A short-term bullish correction could push price into this resistance area before continuing the overall bearish trend. If price rejects this level, we could see a drop towards 148.00 - 147.00. Bias: Bearish Key Levels: 📉 Resistance: 151.00 - 151.50 (Supply Zone) 📉 Target : 148.00 - 147.00 (Potential Downside) Watch for rejection patterns in the supply zone before entering shorts. What’s your outlook? Drop your thoughts below!
Short
by HAAADY
USD/JPY Correction Could Offer Shelling OpportunityIn my USD/JPY analysis last week, I mentioned a high probability of the pair breaking support and continuing its decline. That scenario has played out, with USD/JPY dropping below the key 151 support zone and now trading around 149.50. An upside correction may be next, potentially providing traders with an opportunity to enter short and ride the downtrend. Conclusion: Rallies around 150.50 should be seen as selling opportunities, and as previously stated, I expect a further drop to 146. 📉 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
USD/JPY: Liquidity Grab Below Weekly LowThe chart shows that the price has grabbed liquidity below the weekly low, potentially triggering a bullish reaction. Analyzing the current USD/JPY situation, recent economic data highlights bearish pressure on the dollar due to declining consumer confidence in the U.S. and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while the yen is strengthening on the back of more solid economic indicators. Technically, the price has rejected a key demand zone and remains below the psychological threshold of 150.00, which acts as a crucial resistance. If the price confirms a bullish structure on lower timeframes, we could see an upward move towards the 152.00-152.50 area, aligning with a supply zone and moving average confluence. However, a close below recent lows could invalidate this outlook, paving the way for a further drop toward the next support at 146.00.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USD/JPY Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 USD/JPY Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📊 Current Price: 149.563 🔍 Market Structure: Bullish Bias 📌 Key Levels: 🟢 Demand Zones (Support): 148.715-149.603 📈 Entry Plan – Long Setup 🔹 Buy Zone: 148.715-149.603 (Fib 0.618 - 0.786) 🎯 Target: 150.727 ⚠️ Key Observations: • BOS confirms bullish momentum. • Fair Value Gaps (FVG) align with support zones. • Break below 148.715 may lead to a liquidity grab before reversal. #FXFOREVER #USDJPY #SmartMoney #SMC #Liquidity #OrderBlock #Forex #Trading
by FXFOREVER_87
Short opportunity ?There is a strong line of support and resistance at 148.65 area,    I have a short position I opened a few weeks ago.  I am still patiently waiting for the price to break below this level.   In October 2024, the price tried to break above the same support and resistance area and it took three weeks to properly break above and start the bull trend.  (see blue box in the chart) At the time, the price consolidated in the ascending parallel channel and the momentum indicators were showing clear hidden divergence which is the continuation of the trend. I think the same scenario is unfolding right now.  The price is moving inside the descending parallel channel and RSI is starting to show the hidden divergence.   My overall bias for USDJPY is bearish so I am looking for an entry to short. When the price hit the upper parallel channel and rolle over to the downside, it might be a good place to open a short position.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
4
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Rise Based on the M15 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 148.94, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 149.53, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% fibo retracement. The stop loss is placed at 148.56, a swinglow support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Dollar weakens amid growing economic uncertainty Persistent tariff threats from the Trump administration and rising concerns over the U.S. economy are weighing on the dollar. Trump reaffirmed his commitment to implementing tariffs on Mexico and Canada according to schedule and reiterated the need for reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, weak consumer confidence data further rattled investor sentiment, as the February CB Consumer Confidence Index plunged to 98.3 from 105.3, marking its lowest level since June last year. In Japan, accelerating inflation increases the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Japan’s January CPI rose 3.2%, the largest increase since June 2023. Bloomberg noted that with Japan's inflation among the highest in the G7, the BoJ may continue scaling back stimulus and shifting toward a more restrictive policy stance. After breaking below the ascending trendline, USDJPY shows a persistent downtrend. After EMA21 death-crossed EMA78, it widens the gap and reinforces the bearish momentum. If USDJPY breaks below the support at 148.20, the price could extend its decline toward 145.00. Conversely, if USDJPY tests the resistance at 150.80, it may gain upward momentum toward 153.40.
by inkicho_exness