XAU/USD BUY $$$OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is bullish on all time frames, but I have two scenarios in mind:
First: It will continue its trend after hitting the order block area.
Second: It will continue its trend after taking liquidity from the Asian floor.
JPYUSD trade ideas
Will the Japanese Yen Continue to Strengthen?On Thursday, the Japanese Yen soared to a two-month high as investors increased their bets, that the Bank of Japan would raise interest rates again later in the year. Meanwhile, the market remains jittery over concerns surrounding new tariff threats from U.S President Donald Trump.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda mentioned that he had a routine meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to discuss the economy and financial markets, but the recent rise in long-term interest rates was not mentioned. Nevertheless, investors are already expecting a sooner-than-expected rate hike. This view has been bolstered again by domestic data suggesting that further policy tightening might be feasible.
From a technical analysis perspective, the MARKETSCOM:USDJPY pair has been in a bullish trend since mid-September, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, bearish momentum has regained control since mid-January, pushing the price downward within a descending channel, as indicated by lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, the price has broken below the support zone with significant bearish momentum. However, it is crucial to wait for the daily candle to close. If the daily candlestick manages to close within the support zone, it indicates that the support zone is respected, potentially allowing bullish momentum to regain control and drive the price upward. Conversely, if the daily candlestick fully breaks and closes below this support zone, the price is likely to move lower.
USD/JPY H1 Technical Analysis: Accelerated Bearish MomentumLooking at the H1 timeframe for USD/JPY, we're seeing a significant bearish momentum with several key technical developments:
Market Structure:
Strong bearish trend continuation after breaking below 151.00 support
All moving averages aligned bearishly with accelerating downward slope
Clear lower highs and lower lows structure
Previous support levels being broken with momentum
Key Levels:
Previous Support (Now Resistance): 151.229
Current Price: ~150.15
Next Major Support: 149.98
Critical Resistance: 152.25 (Trend Line)
Technical Indicators:
Volume showing increased selling pressure
Momentum indicators in strong bearish territory
Price trading well below all major moving averages
Trend line resistance remains intact from previous highs
Trading Considerations:
Strong bearish continuation in play
Watch for potential retest of 151.00 as resistance
Key psychological level at 150.00 could provide temporary support
Monitor for any intervention risk given rapid JPY strengthening
USDJPY peaked at 154.5!! Sell setup to 149’sBe prepared for strong sell sequence back down to 149$ handle as Yen resumes strengthening cycle.
SL placed at 155
USD/JPY - 4H Analysis & Trade Plan📉 USD/JPY - 4H Analysis & Trade Plan
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms a bearish trend.
✅ Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates potential reversals.
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) identified as areas of imbalance.
✅ Order Block (OB) at resistance, potential rejection zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Daily Demand Zone: 148.715 - 149.603 (Strong support, potential buy area).
✅ Retracement Levels: 150.97 - 151.85 (Fibonacci 0.382 - 0.786, possible resistance).
📊 Trade Plan:
🔹 Wait for confirmation in the 148.715 - 149.603 demand zone before entering a buy.
🔹 If price reacts positively, potential bullish move toward 151+.
🔹 If bearish continuation occurs, look for further downside targets.
#USDJPY #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #BOS #FVG #PriceAction #FXFOREVER
ANALYSIS ON UJOn of two things can happen.
We have a double top & double bottom (highlighted in red circles)
Only waiting for break and retest, good momentum and entry candlesticks.
USDJPY SellAccording to the daily bias ~ bearish (based on the previous analysis), I do anticipate that this price will continue with the bearish momentum.
The price has retracted towards the Volume Based Inefficiency and the price might target 151.2 and 150.93 Levels.
Long USD/JPYThe price is running in a middle term sideway channel, and it is touching the channel bottom line area. Time rhythm predicates a long action.
There could be two cypher patterns. and currently CD leg could start.
In 4 hours time frame, the SlowStoch is in over sell level, and MACD would generate a divergent pattern soon for long (Predicate)
Looking for long and stop under the sideway channel bottom line.
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts.
$151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).
On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside.
In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236. I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.
I opened a short position this morning.
Entry at $152.83.
Stop Loss: $155.145
Target 1: $149.52 (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level)
Target 2: $147.395
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Off the 161.8%?Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is currently at our buy entry level at 150.60, a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 151.24 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 149.92, below the 200% Fibonacci extension.
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The beginning of the carry trade unwind part 2?If we look at the chart, the current structure looks very similar to what happened right before the market decline in August.
We've formed a head and shoulders (albeit not perfect as it's slanted), and price seems to be breaking down.
If price action accelerates to do downside, it's likely to take the market with it just like it did the last time.
Paying attention to this over the coming weeks.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY fora selling opportunity around 151.800 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 151.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY - Feb 19 2025 Sell position- CLASSIC!Hey everyone!
It's been a while since I last posted—I've been busy refining my prop firm account this 2025.
Since January 9, USDJPY has been in a successful distribution phase, so I'm now shifting my HTF bias to a sell position.
- Currently riding sell positions targeting 1:2R, 1:3R, and 1:5R (intraday trades).
Check the charts for details—just a simple price manipulation setup. This time, though, London got manipulated instead of the Asian session. Classic 1:5RR move!
#consistency
#tradeforaliving
#rightpsychology
Bearish TRADE SIGNAL.. USD JPY SELL .. (jpyx buy)The price is at a critical supply zone, forming a bearish flag pattern, and the market is downtrending on the H1 period. Come sell with me and let's go.
USD/JPY - Possible longUSD/JPY long setting up, the DXY is looking as if it could be getting stronger on a short term basis, so this aids my idea.
We are also at an area of liquidity, and demand. If my order triggers I will trade up to 1.52
USD/JPY H1 | Heading into overlap resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 152.13 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 152.54 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 151.36 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DeGRAM | USDJPY continued growth in the channelUSDJPY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and a strong support level.
The chart is maintaining a harmonic pattern.
We expect the growth to continue.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USDJPY - Tuesday Recovery , BUY zone FiboPLAN : 18 Feb, 2025
USDJPY News:
🔆The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure during the early European session on Tuesday, though downside momentum is limited as markets increasingly expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to continue raising interest rates. Additionally, the recent decline in the US-Japan yield gap, driven by growing speculation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), helps cushion losses for the lower-yielding JPY.
Personal opinion:
🔆Short-term buying pressure at support zone helps USDJPY price recover
Analysis:
🔆support fibonaccy H1 frame
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉BUY USDJPY 151.600 – 151.400
❌SL: 151.100 | ✅TP: 151.900 – 152.300 – 152.600
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Turns RedMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Turns Red
USD/JPY declined below 153.00 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 153.00 and 152.50 levels.
- There is a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 154.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 153.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 152.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 151.50 and the pair traded as low as 151.23. It is now correcting losses and trading above the 50-hour simple moving average.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low at 152.05.
The first major resistance is near the 153.00 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low. If there is a close above the 153.00 level and the hourly RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 153.95.
The next major resistance is near 154.80, above which the pair could test 155.50 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near 151.60. There is also a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60.
The next major support is near the 151.20 level. If there is a close below 151.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 150.00 support.
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4-hr USD/JPY: The Dollar Could Drop Another 300 pipsThe US Dollar remains in a clear downtrend against the Japanese Yen. Despite a sharp 500-pip rally ten days ago, the bullish attempt failed to shift the overall bearish momentum, and sellers have regained control. A significant technical development occurred as a Death Cross, a well-known bearish signal, emerged precisely when USD/JPY was retesting a strong multi-bottom support around 151.20.
Following this, oversold conditions attracted short-term buyers, leading to a temporary 100-pip rebound. However, this recovery quickly lost steam and failed to break above the key 38% Fibonacci retracement, which has historically acted as a strong resistance level. With price rejecting this area, the downtrend appears to remain intact, and we expect further declines in the near term.
Given these signals, we favor entering a short position, anticipating a decisive break below the multiple bottom support at 151.20. If this level gives way, it could trigger an extended sell-off, potentially driving the pair lower toward the 148.50 region. Our strategy remains focused on aligning with the dominant bearish trend while leveraging key technical levels to optimize entry and exit points.
USDJPY set for 50 pip drop?USDJPY after 2nd liquidity grab from daily resistance has got a strong rejection. As of long term trend is down, the price may continue to drop daily support or lower. Upon pullback on 1hour chart, upon liquidity grab, A possible sell trade in USDJPY.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop top the 1st support.
Pivot: 152.85
1st Support: 151.21
1st Resistance: 153.74
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Analysis for this pairLooks to have a short buy move in this trade and may capture the liquidity there
