JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY ready for another drop?After daily break of structure USDJPY just has managed to form another head and shoulder with strong liquidity grab has started to move in the major direction of the trend. After yesterdays drop, price today so far has done pullback and formed another possible bearish market structure.
As of upcoming USD and JPY news may push that price back to the support as shown in sketch.
A sell trade is high probability
USDJPY sell (h4)Price is oversold in the h4 time frame according to the stochastic indicator which mean it is most likely going to pullback into the sell order block or liquidity zone then potentially travel down.
safe entry idea:
wait till price enters the liquidity zone (sell orderblock) and wait for the stochastic indicator to be overbought then enter.
or you could set a pending order for when price touches and rejects the sell orderblock
Good Luck!
USD/JPY : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we observe that due to the sharp drop in the Dollar Index, the price has reached the 140.850 level. This decline was very strong and impulsive; however, as seen on the chart, the price has now approached a significant demand zone between 139.6 and 141. If the price manages to close and stabilize above this area, we can expect a further bullish move from this pair.
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USDJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
I see a very bearish price action on USDJPY:
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern after a test of
a key daily/intraday resistance and violated its neckline
and a rising support of a rising wedge pattern.
The next strong support is 141.75
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
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USD/JPY Bullish ReversalUj has been bearish since March with bulls dominating the market for the past week and considering persisting bullish momentum, I will be looking long with my stop loss below Monday's low as I target the 147.972 daily resistance level. The overall trend is bearish, hence the need to remain conservative with our long positions till major structural levels are broken to give us added confluence for our bullish reversal.
USDJPY: Will the Yen Weaken Against the Dollar?
In the previous analysis, we accurately highlighted the pair’s decline toward the key 140 support level. After testing this support, the dollar has started to gain against the yen. With several key events lined up this week, the expectation that the Bank of Japan will maintain its interest rate policy could lead to yen weakness and support our bullish scenario. However, any resurgence in risk-off sentiment may reopen the door for a decline and reactivate the bearish outlook.
USDJPY SELL 4H/1H TradeAm looking for USD Sells as this discounted prices are coming in upside
correlation USD -2D/-5
CORRELATION JPY -2D/+1
I had 3 pair to look for but i saw that AUDUSD was in a range to the upside without any trend and GBPUSD was showing the most strength but its momentum was dying on every move upside and USDJPY came up to be showing strength in opposite where its momentum is off to upside and signs that seller are back in selling. correlation shows that all products are sold off daily but USD is coming from strength and JPY was very weak just coming up to strength.
am watching the upcoming news in New York open and am targeting the lows of the previous range
USD/JPY(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
142.62
Support and resistance levels:
144.52
143.81
143.35
141.89
141.43
140.72
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.62, consider buying, the first target price is 143.35
If the price breaks through 141.89, consider selling, the first target price is 141.43
Yen Under Pressure Ahead of BOJ DecisionThe Japanese yen edged closer to 144 per dollar on Monday, continuing last week’s decline as global trade sentiment improved and the dollar strengthened. Markets responded to a private meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, during which both parties stressed the importance of ongoing discussions on currency matters. Meanwhile, Japan’s trade negotiator is set to visit Washington this week, as the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain interest rates at 0.5%, amid concerns over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
USD/JPY 4H Chart - Buy Entry AnalysisTrend & Momentum:
RSI (14, close) currently shows a range between -7.25 to 35.47, indicating potential oversold conditions (RSI below 30-35 often signals a reversal opportunity).
The Average YoY data suggests moderate volatility, with Q2 at 0.558 and H1 at 0.555, hinting at a stable uptrend bias.
Price Action:
Support Levels: L1 at 0.499 and C1 at 0.498 act as strong support zones. A bounce from these levels could confirm a buy signal.
Resistance Break: A0 at 0.8 (despite a slight dip of -0.025) is a key level to watch. A breakout above this with volume could reinforce bullish momentum.
Entry Strategy:
Ideal Buy Zone: Near 0.498-0.499 (L1/C1) with RSI recovering from oversold territory.
Confirmation: Wait for a 4H candle close above 0.555 (H1) or a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 0.498 (C1) to limit downside risk.
Targets: Initial TP at 0.555 (H1), extended TP at 0.8 (A0) if momentum sustains.
Conclusion:
USD/JPY shows a potential buy opportunity on the 4H chart, supported by oversold RSI and key support levels. Enter near 0.498-0.499 with strict risk controls, targeting a rally toward 0.555-0.8.
LONG POSITION SCALPING USD/JPY🔵 Technical Analysis for USD/JPY:
We are observing a key rebound support area at the current levels.
Entry Zone: Around 142.48
Rationale for the Trade:
Price is positioned at a strong order block area on the 1-hour timeframe.
Expecting a bullish corrective move from the current support zone.
First Target for the Correction: Aiming for the 144.00 level as an initial resistance and profit-taking area.
Stop-Loss Level: A break and close below 141.44 would invalidate the setup.
Note: Proper risk management is essential, as this is a speculative corrective move within a broader market trend.
USD/JPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) oscillates in a narrow trading band at the start of a new week and remains close to a two-week trough touched against its American counterpart on Friday. Mixed signals from the US and China temper hopes for a quick resolution of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies, which, in turn, offers support to the safe-haven JPY. Moreover, expectations that Japan will strike a trade deal with the US turn out to be another factor underpinning the JPY.
Meanwhile, investors have been scaling back their bets for an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) as rising economic risks from US tariffs overshadow signs of broadening inflation in Japan. This holds back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, the divergent BoJ-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations should cap the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 142.09, which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 144.01, which is an overlap resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 140.89, which is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers!
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Key Points
- Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with CNBC, “Since China exports five times more to the U.S. than the U.S. does to China, I believe the easing of tensions is up to China.”
- Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jia-kun denied Trump’s claim of a phone call with President Xi Jinping, saying, “As far as I know, there has been no phone call between the two leaders.”
- The Dallas Federal Reserve reported that the general business activity index for Texas manufacturing in April plunged by 19.5 points from the previous month to -35.8. The U.S. Treasury also announced that, excluding the impact of the debt ceiling, its second-quarter borrowing estimate would be $53 billion lower than previously forecast.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 29: U.S. March JOLTS Report
+ April 30: Germany Q1 GDP, Germany April Consumer Price Index, U.S. April ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, U.S. March Core PCE Price Index
+ May 1: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
+ May 2: Eurozone April Consumer Price Index, U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. April Unemployment Rate
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The price rose up to the 144 level but faced resistance in that zone as expected. In the short term, a small range between 140 and 144 is likely to form. With the current pullback, we expect a retest of the support level near 140. If this level holds, another upward move toward 144 can be anticipated. The future direction will be determined by whether the pair breaks out of this range to the upside or downside.