USDJPY Long BiasThe USDJPY pair on the 4H timeframe is forming a bullish structure, showing signs of continuation to the upside. The price is currently trading above key moving averages and consolidating near a resistance-turned-support zone, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Additionally, the formation resembles an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. A successful break and retest of the 151.200 zone could confirm further upside movement, with the next key target around 156.700. However, failure to hold above the support zone may lead to a deeper retracement before resuming the uptrend.
JPYUSD trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 28, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
14:30 EET. USD - Core PCE Price Index
USDJPY:
On Friday, during the Asian session, the Japanese yen (JPY) fell to a near four-week low against its US counterpart. This was due to concerns that US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs could affect key domestic exports. However, the release of robust consumer inflation data from Tokyo provided a welcome respite for those anticipating a more hawkish stance from the Bank of Japan (BoJ), potentially paving the way for further interest rate hikes. The BoJ's opinion summary also indicates that a rate hike remains a possibility should the economy and prices align with forecasts.
Additionally, the prevailing risk-off environment, triggered by Trump's imposition of auto tariffs late Wednesday, has served to support the safe-haven yen, leading to a fall in the USD/JPY pair below 151.00 in the last hour. However, the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) dip buying could support the currency pair and help limit further losses. Additionally, traders may adopt a wait-and-see approach, preferring to observe the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index to ascertain the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cutting intentions.
Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.400, TP 151.750
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 151.23
1st Support: 149.91
1st Resistance: 152.23
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USD/JPY H4 | Falling to Fibonacci confluence supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance.
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Daily CLS I KL - Order Block, Model 3 Continuation setupHey Traders!!
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USD/JPY Nears 200-dma Re-Test After 150 DefenseUSD/JPY has continued to snag bears with several bear traps so far this year. While there was a series of lower-lows in the first part of March, as the USD was plummeting against most major currencies, USD/JPY has turned around over the past three weeks, and is now nearing a re-test of the 200-day moving average.
The 150.77 Fibonacci level held the highs on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, and that now becomes a spot of higher-low support potential for pullback scenarios. For next resistance, the 151.51 Fibonacci level is nearing confluence with the 200-day moving average, and the 151.95 level remains important. If bulls can stretch the move, that seems a logical area to look for a pause in the trend. - js
USD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing
But will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 151.466
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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USDJPY LongAussie Inflation and BOJ Decision in focuse
Dollar getting strong because of FED Decision:,,No-rates cuts!,,
2 ways to trade this:
aggressive entry
and conservative entry:Risk to enter the 2nd approach(That price comes back to the 2nd entry is 37,25% but higher reward-risk ratio
Risk management based on your risk appetite
USDJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
USDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDJPY
Entry - 150.88
Stop - 151.54
Take - 149.68
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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JPY/USD - Will we make a strong bounce?The JPY/USD is in a downward channel. Will it find support around 0.006 and rebound, or will it break below this key level?
The pair has nearly reached a major support zone—an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This level has historically acted as both strong resistance and support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
What do we want to see?
For a continuation to the upside, we need this level to hold as support. A bullish engulfing candle could signal a potential reversal.
If JPY/USD is to move lower, we need a clear break below support with high volume to confirm the breakout. In that case, lower prices could follow.
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USD/JPY Technical Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)Market Overview:
Trend: Bullish
Divergence: Bearish
Continuation Pattern: Bullish
Reversal Pattern: None
Harmonics: AB=CD Formation
Trade Plan:
You are taking a short-term long entry from point B to D based on the bullish trend continuation. A Buy Stop order is placed at 150.963, with a Stop Loss at 150.001 and Take Profit at 151.925 (Potential Reversal Zone).
Scenario Analysis:
Current Approach:
Entering a buy trade from B to D, following the bullish trend.
Watching price action closely as it reaches the Potential Reversal Zone (151.925).
Next Steps:
If the price continues to break higher above 151.925, you will reanalyze the chart for further trend continuation opportunities.
If the price shows reversal signs at the Potential Reversal Zone, you will look for a short (sell) setup, aligning with the bearish divergence and reversal pattern (AB=CD).
Conclusion:
For now, you are riding the bullish trend from B to D while keeping an eye on 151.925 as a key resistance level. If a reversal occurs at this level, you will evaluate a sell trade setup in the downtrend.
This approach ensures a disciplined trading strategy, adapting to market conditions.
USDJPY is Testing 150 AgainLast week, USDJPY got rejected from the cup&handle's 150 resistance, then break the 149 support, fell sharply. The recovery is in process but the broken trendline is a major hinderance in front of USDJPY bulls. Now the trendline and 150 resistance converged and USDJPY is trying another attempt towards this key resistance. As long as it holds, there is a good chance another downward reaction to begin.
Hovewer, after testing it 5 times, if USDJPY regain control of 150, the short term outlook might turn bullish.
USDJPY I Weekly CLS, KL - Monthly OB, Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
151.00 Cracks: Is USD/JPY’s Rally Over? Key Levels AheadFrom a fundamental perspective, the USD/JPY exchange rate retreated from around the 151.00 level. Despite the poor Japanese PMI data on Monday, investors bought the Japanese yen influenced by the hawkish outlook of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The minutes of the January meeting showed that policymakers tend to tighten policies when appropriate. The BoJ governor also stated that the degree of monetary easing will be adjusted once the 2% inflation target is achieved.
Technically, the overnight breakout above the 150.00 psychological mark and the 200 - period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4 - hour chart is a bullish signal. Indicators on the daily chart also support appreciation, and pullbacks may present buying opportunities. If the rate breaks below 150.00, it may accelerate its decline to support levels such as 149.30 - 149.25. Failure to hold these levels indicates that the rebound momentum has been exhausted and the trend may turn bearish. Conversely, if it stabilizes above 151.00, the upward resistance levels are successively 151.30, 151.75 (the 200 - day SMA), and it may even rise to 153.00.
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