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JPYUSD trade ideas

USD/JPY at a key support level tested multiple times🔻 USDJPY Sitting at Critical Support – Decision Point Ahead USDJPY is currently hovering around the 143.60–143.65 zone — a major support level that has held multiple times in the past. 🔍 Price just completed a clean Head & Shoulders breakdown, and this zone marks the neckline retest area. We're now at a make-or-break point: Break Below 143.60: Confirms bearish continuation, opens downside toward 143.00 → 142.20 Hold Above 143.60: Could lead to a short squeeze back to 144.20–144.50 zone 📊 Volume is rising as we test this key level — suggesting that big players are stepping in. Trend remains bearish overall with price trading below the EMAs and rejecting trendline resistance. ⚠️ This is not the place to guess — wait for confirmation. A strong candle close below or a fakeout rejection will show the path. Trade smart. Wait for the market to speak. No bias, just price action. 🧠
by SLPHOBIA
USD/JPY Bearish Gartley Pattern Completion - SELL SETUP 📊 Trade Overview Pair: USD/JPY Pattern: Bearish Gartley Timeframe: 15 minutes Direction: SHORT Setup Type: Harmonic Pattern Completion + FVG Confluence 🎯 Market Analysis The price is evidently bearish according to market structure, currently in a retracement phase, and I expect a bearish continuation at the 61.8 Fibonacci level of the wave. The harmonic pattern establishes an 88.6 Fibonacci ratio for bearish entry with a balanced and low-risk R/R of 1:1.82 (profit - risk).
Short
by oky_capriatto
back to daily support USDJPY touched 148 this morning ahead of US PMI. According to methodology 1. Resistance Zone: • The 0.125 level (147.820) acted as a resistance point where selling pressure overwhelmed buying pressure, causing the price to reverse downward. Since the price reached 148.000 (just above 147.820), it tested and failed to sustain above this level, reinforcing its role as a barrier. 2. Daily Support •The daily support trend line (yellow box) has been an area to watch as price continues to try and get over the 148 hump. Until then, this pair is going to wedge until a break confirmation.
by SlattYSL
1
SELL: USDJPY 144.75 Trade Recommendation – 1H Chart🎯 Trade Setup: Sell Entry Zone: 144.75 – 144.78 Stop Loss (SL): 145.15 Take Profit (TP): 142.60 Risk:Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:4 → Excellent for swing or intraday setups 📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown: 1. Strong Resistance Zone – High Reversal Probability: The 144.75–144.78 zone: A clear historical resistance area with multiple rejections in the past Converges with the SMA 89 (red line) → acts as a strong dynamic resistance Price has consistently formed lower highs around this region → showing selling pressure is building 2. Volume Analysis – Distribution Signals: Volume slightly increased as price approached the resistance but did not accompany a breakout No “breakout volume” → Indicates possible distribution phase, not accumulation → Favoring SELL positions 3. Price Action & Pattern: The structure is forming lower highs – a key sign of bearish momentum After the sharp rejection from the 145.22 zone (June 26), the market has shifted toward a bearish correction cycle 4. Target Area – Key Support: 142.60 is a well-defined support level: Matches a previous major low Corresponds with a high-liquidity zone from prior trading sessions Ideal area to take profit before any potential bounce ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Trade confirmation increases if you see bearish candlestick signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) in the entry zone Exit immediately if price breaks and closes above 145.15 with strong volume – that invalidates the bearish setup
Short
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
1
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300. There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
by VHT_Trader
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Continue Bearish TrendThis USD/JPY chart presents a short bias based on multi-timeframe analysis and structure: * **Trend Summary (Text on Chart)**: * **Weekly (W)**: Bearish * **Daily (D)**: Bullish * **12H**: Mixed (Bullish & Bearish) * **6H, 4H**: Bearish → Overall sentiment: **60–80% Bearish Bias** * **Technical Highlights**: * Price is forming a **rising wedge**, typically a bearish reversal pattern. * The pair is currently testing a **Daily Area of Interest (AOI)** near 144.665–144.963, suggesting potential resistance. * Price broke out of the wedge with a projected retest and continuation down. * Target zone is below **143.468 (Daily AOI)** and extends toward **142.823**, suggesting a potential short setup with a favorable risk/reward ratio. * Red and blue EMAs indicate price is below the 200 EMA and flirting with the 50 EMA, adding confluence to the short bias. This analysis implies an anticipated breakdown from the wedge with follow-through to the downside if bearish momentum continues. Multi-timeframe confluence is mostly bearish: Weekly, 6H, and 4H are clearly bearish. 12H is mixed, and only the Daily is bullish. This gives an overall 60–80% bearish bias. Rising wedge pattern: Price is forming a bearish wedge, typically signaling a reversal or breakdown. It's losing momentum near resistance. Price is near a Daily Area of Interest (AOI): The pair is testing a known resistance zone. It has failed to break and hold above it convincingly. Expecting a break and retest of structure: You're anticipating the wedge to break down, retest the structure or AOI, and then continue bearish. Target is aligned with a lower Daily AOI: You have a clear target near 142.800, where price previously reacted — offering good risk-to-reward for the short.
Short
by andreabiondo13
USD/JPY Bearish Setup: Target 144.309USD/JPY Technical Analysis (30-Min Chart) Current Price: 145.157 Chart Pattern: The chart shows a bearish structure forming after a sharp drop from the recent high near 147.9. The price is currently consolidating below a resistance zone. Key Resistance Zone: ~145.70 – 146.00 (highlighted by the orange box) Support Zone: ~144.30 (target area) Bearish Outlook: The price formed a lower high after the drop from the recent peak, indicating selling pressure. A potential bearish flag or lower high rejection is forming. The forecasted path suggests a downward move towards 144.309, aligning with the previous support area. Conclusion: The setup favors short positions if the price fails to break above the 145.70–146.00 resistance. Target remains 144.309, with a break below that possibly opening the way to 143.50. Watch for price action near the blue zone to confirm the downward continuation.
Short
by Olivia_Magnam44
UJ correlating with the dollar?We see price creating LL's and LH's heading to the downside. Structure retested at a LH with a perfect bearish engulfing printing right after the retest of support which turned resistance! Counter trend line was broken. I was also looking at multiple brokers & it looks like the 4hr bearish engulfing only printed on a select few brokers . . Although we did align on a 15 min which is lower time frame. Trade management is key, we shall see what happens next!
Short
by EliSantiago
Market next move 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario While the current setup points to a bullish continuation above the support zone (around 144.10–144.20) with a projected target near 144.60, here’s how a bearish disruption could unfold instead: --- 🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility: 1. Failed Breakout / Bull Trap: Price may fake a move upward to trap breakout buyers near 144.40–144.50, then sharply reverse. This would indicate a false breakout and potential reversal setup. 2. Rejection at Resistance: Repeated failure to close above 144.40 may signal exhaustion. Bearish divergence could form on momentum indicators (like RSI) as price rises. 3. Break Below Support Area: A decisive break below the red support zone (around 144.10) may shift momentum bearish. That would confirm a lower high and suggest downside continuation. 4. Next Bearish Target: Initial support lies at 143.85, with further potential drop toward 143.60.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USD/JPY Consolidation Triangle – Breakout WatchThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This structure typically forms when the market is in a phase of consolidation, with neither buyers nor sellers able to break the range. Price is compressing between a horizontal resistance zone (~146.50) and a rising support line (~143.50), indicating that a breakout in either direction may be imminent. This triangle has formed after a sharp downtrend, followed by a broad base formation. Such setups often precede a decisive move, especially if accompanied by volume. 🔼 Upside Breakout Scenario If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 146.50–147.00) with bullish confirmation, we can expect momentum to shift in favor of buyers. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward 150.00+, possibly even retesting the highs of 2024 near 152.00. This would be seen as a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. 🔽 Downside Breakdown Scenario Alternatively, if price fails to hold the rising trendline and breaks below the 143.00–142.50 support zone, it may confirm a bearish breakdown. This would suggest a continuation of the earlier downtrend with fresh bearish momentum targeting 140.00 and lower levels. 🧭 Trade Strategy Consideration Bullish Plan: Buy breakout above 147.00 with SL below 145.50 and TP near 150.50–152.00 Bearish Plan: Sell breakdown below 142.50 with SL above 144.00 and TP near 140.00–138.00 Neutral Bias: Wait for breakout confirmation; no trade inside the triangle This is a tight volatility setup where breakout traders should stay alert. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout move tends to be. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
by TradZoo