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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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UJ Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions. 📌 Key Technical Outlook: 🔹 Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback. 🔹 As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term. 🔹 A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure. 📌 Major Market Drivers: 🔹 Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported. 🔹 Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar. 🔹 Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year. 🔹 Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support. 📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week: 🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions. 🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction. 🗓 Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions. I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈 #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
by darcsherry
1
USD/JPY - Playing the Retracement SmartThe 4H is locked in a bearish structure, breaking a major recent low—confirming downside intent. But before further drops, I see a play. Liquidity needs to be grabbed, and that means a bullish retracement is on the table. Dropping to the 30M, I’m looking for confirmation to ride the bulls up into the 4H supply zone—the red zone where sellers are likely waiting. Precision over impulse, patience over noise. Let’s see how price delivers. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 149.96 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 148.72 Recommended Stop Loss - 150.69 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend. Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions. USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Support levels: 148.92 False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 149.408. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 147.585 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY SELL SETUP!!From a technical perspective, examining the USD/JPY chart, we might notice that prices are forming a lower high, which often indicates a potential downtrend. The price respecting Fibonacci retracement levels can also suggest that the market is reacting to key support and resistance levels. When traders see the price approaching these levels and behaving predictably, it can bolster their confidence in the direction of their trades. Overall, the expectation is for a continuing strength in the yen, especially if the market sentiment remains focused on potential rate hikes from the Fed. This scenario might lead to more bearish moves for the USD/JPY pair, making it important to watch for any significant economic data releases or comments from central bank officials that could signal changes in monetary policy.
Short
by ShinForex1
3
Charting the Path Forward: Key Levels to WatchPrevious Analysis: Successful Bullish Breakout In our previous analysis, we identified a Falling Wedge pattern accompanied by bullish divergence, forecasting a breakout above 147.807. The price hit our target, confirming the bullish momentum and reaching key Fibonacci levels. What’s Next: Upon analyzing the chart, we observe that price has found support at 147.535 after a pullback during the American session. We anticipate the price to reach our first target, and after consolidation and a possible pullback, we expect to hit our second target near the upper line of the channel. However, if the price declines from the first target and breaches support at 147.535, the next key support level is at 146.306. Remember to follow your risk management strategies to protect your capital.
Long
by SpicyPips
Yen Weakens Toward 150 on Weak DataThe Japanese yen weakened toward 150 per dollar, extending losses as disappointing business activity data overshadowed the BOJ’s hawkish stance. Japan’s private sector contracted in March for the first time in five months, with manufacturing shrinking for a ninth month and services slipping into negative territory. While the BOJ kept its policy rate at 0.5% last week and maintained a careful tone before Trump’s predicted April 2 tariff announcement, the central bank is still expected to raise rates later this year due to steady inflation and wage growth. Ongoing external pressures also continued to weigh on the yen. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USDJPY: Critical moment for the 2 month Channel Down.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.506, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 25.882) as it is on the tightest range possible between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. This consolidation is taking place at the top of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it holds, the trade is short, aiming for a -3.20% bearish wave (TP = 145.500). If the price crosses above the 4H MA200 though, go long, aiming for the R1 level (TP = 154.835). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope