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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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#1 USD/JPY Technical Analysis 11/24Analysis based on my own SMC Version. 1. In Daily Time price , Bulls still in charge. Price Already create Choch + BOS as part of bullish continuation sign in 4H TF. 2. Price manage to break through 0.5 1D Equilibirium fibo area, and break nearby supply, suggesting price might still have chance to retest Previous High in Daily/Weekly basis (Latest Sell OB) 3. In 4H TF, Price create a solid typical Bullish price action , where impuls create bos- retest on demand- impulse -> bos. 4. As the current we can see price is in 4H FVG and create 15 m Choch + Bullish Engulf on 4H TF. This give confirmation to continue trading buy 5. Open Price buy with target nearest High Liquidity at 155.229, stop loss at 154.09 (Adjust to your preference The trade can be considered as High risk because overall price is in Daily Previous Bearish Choch. Usually price react to some degree in respons to Choch area. Regardless on safe side Price might revisit 4h Demand area at 152.120-153.3 area. Find Lower TF Confirmation such as Dominant breakbuy/ Choch etc before entry in the area This optimize entry point and better RR compared to trade above which is more high risk
Long
by erickwang18
USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid WeakUSDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Weak U.S. Dollar and Safe-Haven Yen Demand 27/11/2024 Introduction The USDJPY pair is anticipated to hold a slight bearish bias today as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors weigh on the U.S. dollar while favoring the Japanese yen. With falling U.S. Treasury yields, dovish Federal Reserve expectations, and steady demand for safe-haven assets, the yen gains a tactical advantage over the greenback. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors shaping the USDJPY outlook for today. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY 1. Weaker U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets digest weak economic data, including slowing consumer confidence and subdued retail sales. These reports reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance on monetary policy, limiting the dollar’s upside potential. 2. Strengthening Japanese Yen The Japanese yen (JPY), often seen as a safe-haven currency, is benefiting from subdued risk sentiment in global markets. Investors seeking refuge amid lingering uncertainties in economic recovery and geopolitical tensions are turning to the yen, bolstering its value against the dollar. 3. Falling U.S. Treasury Yields Declining yields on U.S. Treasuries continue to exert downward pressure on USDJPY. The 10-year yield has dipped as markets price in lower growth prospects and anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. This reduces the appeal of the dollar in yield-sensitive pairs like USDJPY. 4. Japan’s Steady Economic Data Japan’s economy shows resilience, supported by consistent industrial output and improving labor market conditions. These factors strengthen the yen’s position against the dollar. --- Technical Analysis Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral but trending toward the oversold region, suggesting potential for further downside. MACD and Key Levels The MACD indicator remains in bearish territory, highlighting sustained downward momentum. Key support is observed at 147.00, while resistance lies at 148.30. A breach below 147.00 could accelerate bearish momentum toward the next major level at 145.80. --- Conclusion USDJPY is poised for a slight bearish bias today, driven by the weakening U.S. dollar, safe-haven yen demand, and falling U.S. Treasury yields. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from the U.S. and Japan, as well as any shifts in global risk sentiment, which could influence intraday movements. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenStrength - #USDWeakness - #USDJPYtoday - #ForexMarketOutlook - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USD/JPY 1H AnalysisThe pair is currently in a downtrend, and we’re approaching a small support zone. If this level breaks, there’s a high probability the price will move down to the next key support zone (green). ✅ What I’m watching for: A clean breakout below the small support zone, with confirmation from increased selling volume or bearish candlestick patterns. 🚨 Plan: If the breakout is confirmed, the next target is the green support zone. Stay cautious and manage your risk carefully! 👉 Follow me for more updates and trade ideas!
by rebenga93
USDJPY: Bearish Break in FocusHello Traders, Below is my analysis of USDJPY currency pair from H1 perspective. Trend & Sentiment USDJPY is in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lows. The recent break below 153.819 confirms bearish momentum, with sellers firmly in control. Key Levels Resistance: 153.962 (Minor), 154.653 (Major) Support: 153.276 Possible Movement Bearish Continuation: Likely toward 152.466 (target) as long as the price stays below 154.653. Retracement Risk: Minor resistance at 153.962 may cap any short-term bounces. Reversal Signal: A break above 154.653 could shift momentum to bullish. Conclusion The outlook remains bearish with a focus on 152.466, while resistance at 154.653 defines the trend's invalidation point. Do let me have your thoughts. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
1
Technical Breakdown, What's Next for the Pair?OANDA:USDJPY - 1 Hour Chart Current Price: 154.281 Upon analysing the 1-hour chart, we observe that the price has recently rejected a strong resistance level and is now trading below Resistance (R2) at 154.688. The RSI is currently at 31.83, which is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating weak momentum. Given the strong resistance at R2 and the weak RSI, we anticipate a potential decline towards the S1 support level at 153.125. Although there is strong support at S1, a price pullback or consolidation around this area is possible. However, due to the weak RSI and the fact that other USD-related currencies are in an extreme oversold condition, we expect the price to break through S1 and potentially test the S2 support level at 151.563. A further decline could eventually bring the price to the 150 psychological level. On the other hand, if the price manages to break above R2, we could see a move towards 156.250. Key Levels: R1: 156.250 R2: 154.688 S1: 153.125 S2: 151.563 psychological level: 150.000 Reminder for traders: Always follow your risk management rules. Ensure you’re using appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizing for your trades. Market conditions can change quickly, and staying disciplined is key to long-term success. Good luck with your trades!
Short
by SpicyPips
1