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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPY: Bearish Break in FocusHello Traders, Below is my analysis of USDJPY currency pair from H1 perspective. Trend & Sentiment USDJPY is in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lows. The recent break below 153.819 confirms bearish momentum, with sellers firmly in control. Key Levels Resistance: 153.962 (Minor), 154.653 (Major) Support: 153.276 Possible Movement Bearish Continuation: Likely toward 152.466 (target) as long as the price stays below 154.653. Retracement Risk: Minor resistance at 153.962 may cap any short-term bounces. Reversal Signal: A break above 154.653 could shift momentum to bullish. Conclusion The outlook remains bearish with a focus on 152.466, while resistance at 154.653 defines the trend's invalidation point. Do let me have your thoughts. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
1
USD/JPY:Yen Recovers as Interventions and Geopolitical Tensions The Japanese Yen has gained some ground against the U.S. Dollar, leading the USD/JPY pair to settle at 154.30 on Friday. This recovery is fueled by speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the domestic currency. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions are providing further backing for the safe-haven JPY. Though the Yen is finding support, a slight decline in the U.S. Dollar is also helping to limit the upward movement of the currency pair. As noted in our previous discussion, the Dollar Index (DXY) appeared poised for a retracement. However, at the time of writing, the USD has managed to regain some strength against the JPY, trading around 154.72. Analysis from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggests a potential reversal in the market's direction. Furthermore, historical seasonality trends indicate a possible shift toward bearish conditions, reflecting patterns observed over the last decade. This raises the possibility of continued bearish momentum for the USD/JPY pair moving forward. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY"I am considering a short trade on the USD/JPY pair. On the chart, we can see a potential order block from which we plan to open the short position. Currently, the price is in Phase C of Wyckoff's model, and I am expecting a test of the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) zone. This implies that the price will likely reverse back to the order block, after which a price decline is expected. My target is set at the previous week's Tokyo session low. This is a high-risk trade, so I will allocate only 1% of the deposit. The stop loss will be tight. SP500 JPY/USD
Short
by TraderNo007_
Just an update of USDJPY LongBecause I decided to publish my "moves" now, there are positions that are live and developed further from entries. Im just trying to show my approach my reasoning and management. As for technical analysis goes. We had a break down of JPY strength With alot of LTF warnings but now even the daily gave us BOS. With this my confidance rank closed above 90% confirmig confluence with fundemental analysis and I took a long position. For the fundamental analysis the long USDJPY position is fundamentally supported by the policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ, stronger U.S. economic data, yield differentials favoring the USD, and the USD’s relative safe-haven appeal. If the BoJ maintains its accommodative policies and the Fed stays hawkish, USD/JPY could see further upside. so the update, technical analysis, yesterdays bear close did warn us, but thats pretty much it, one signal is just that a signal and nothing more, decisions to actually act need to be derived with confluence and proof. Fundamentals still support the Long position and so does the chart.
Long
by JureBrumen
2
USD/JPY rejection of lower prices On USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 153.790. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Fair Volume Gap (FVG) and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
UPDATE ON SUNDAY SESSIONS ANALYSIS USD/JPY 30M - As you can see the Sunday Sessions analysis that was performed has gone on to play out exactly as predicted. If you remember in the video I spoke about wanting to see price break structure to the downside initially and marked out the low. Once price broke structure I wanted to see price pullback trading into a relevant area of Supply before taking the next impulse to the downside, price has done exactly that, as you can see price has followed that exact path. This trade ran and took profit + 125 pips. (+ 6%) 6RR We saw price trade up and into the gap that was left over from the open back on Sunday evening, this is something that will typically happen should there be a gap left in the market. Price clearly traded up and into this broke lower after the penetration and offered us an area to enter from when it pulled back fractally. Having our SL above the zone and our TP above the last higher timeframe low allowed us to profit well.
Short
by Lukegforex
USDJPY - 15 Mins BUYKey Observations: Double Bottom Formation: The chart indicates the presence of a double bottom (labeled as "Bottom 1" and "Bottom 2"), a strong bullish reversal pattern. This signals that the market could be poised for an upward move after testing and rejecting the same support level. Support Zone: The Asian Low around 153.83-153.75 seems to have held, confirming this area as a significant support level. Price is currently hovering around this level and could be preparing for a bullish reaction. Accumulation and Manipulation Zones: The highlighted zones of manipulation during the London and New York sessions suggest smart money behavior. The price could now be accumulating for a potential upward breakout. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: 154.15 (mid-range resistance) and 154.72. Further upside targets could align with R1 (155.20) and beyond if momentum supports the move. Moving Averages: The shorter-term moving averages are flat, suggesting a consolidation phase. Break above these averages can serve as a confirmation for bullish momentum. Volume and Price Action: A retest and rejection of the support level with increasing volume or a bullish candlestick pattern can further confirm the buy setup. Potential Buy Strategy: Entry Point: Look for a buy entry near the support zone of 153.83-153.75, preferably after the price forms a bullish engulfing candle or shows signs of rejection. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the double bottom or support zone, around 153.55, to minimize risk. Take Profit Levels: First target: 154.15. Second target: 154.72. Extended target: 155.20 (R1) if bullish momentum persists. Confirmation: Wait for a breakout above the recent consolidation range and ensure the price sustains above 154.00.
Long
by tamrobert20
2
selling USDJPYHello traders lets jump into it Supply D1: We have a nice supply on D1 that gave us a very wonderful move, this is the base of our trade. Momentum on 4H: what we have here are steeper and steeper pullbacks (Note that line 1,2 & 3 are parallel), you can clearly see that the trend is losing momentum and I want to take adv of that. We also have a Lower High with indicates that this might be a reversal. This is what I'm dealing with I hope you take advantage of this.
Short
by Linkhive001
USDJPYThe currency will continue to break higher highs, however from this Friday (22 Nov 24) prices may drop to a level marked on the chats. prices are expected bounce back until the hit the current USDJPY highest price level. Buyers are advices to hold and sit back wait until prices play out like how it is mentioned above. sellers, especially Short term sellers, scalpers, can execute short positions and take maximum desired profits. however Risk management should be implemented. Trading is risky, you may lose all your capital, therefore Trade responsibly, and apply Proper risk management. -Mash Fx
by Glan_Cigger
1
USDJPY lowered due to the retreating dollar Increasing fatigue from strong dollar performance and reduced safe-haven demand due to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have halted the dollar's ascent. The Fed's indication of a potential end to quantitative tightening(QT) due to worries about declining market liquidity also limited the dollar's gains. JP Morgan forecasts that the Fed might conclude the entire QT in the coming months. Meanwhile, Japan's October services inflation stood near 3%, increasing the likelihood of the BoJ's interest rate hikes. Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted ongoing wage-led inflation, supporting the central bank's capacity to raise rates. After breaking below the ascending channel’s lower bound, USDJPY fell to 152.80. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78, indicating a shift to bearish momentum. If USDJPY breaks below the support at 152.70, the price may fall further to 150.00. Conversely, if USDJPY reenters within the channel and rises above both EMAs, the price could gain upward momentum toward 156.70.
by inkicho_exness
Yen Collapse Back on the MenuThe Yen benefited from the US rate cuts after the Bank of Japan was forced to intervene to prevent further collapse. They succeeded for now, just like in 2022 and other times before. However, recently US treasury yields have started to spike again, sending DXY higher and the Yen lower. TNX going to 5% seems inevitable, which wouldn't be good, but it will be a lot worse once it spikes up to 7-8% and potentially higher. Their can kicking campaign will soon come to an end. This has been decades in the making and this cycle is nearing the end, the Yen will eventually collapse and the BoJ can't do anything about it. They will most likely intervene again if we go back to 160 and they may succeed temporarily, but eventually judgement day will come. As for the chart, we have an ascending wedge that was broken to the downside, but has since reclaimed and will most likely go back to 160 in the near future. If it breaks that high from earlier in the year and moves above the upper trendline, that's when it gets scary.
Long
by AdvancedPlays