Get started

Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Overal we can see strong bearish sentiment in the COT. and price will most likely continue lower - in the longterm. Because those short must be closed one day and it will be below the lows. Also if Market makers wants to build longs they will be also doing it below the lows. For new there is forming counter trend buy setup which I will probably take but its not point of this sentiment analysis. This is bigger picture view and if Market makers are bearish my longs countertrend trades will be taken with 1/2 risk than usually /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
26
USDJPY – Potential Volatility AheadUSDJPY started the week with a 1.3% fall on Monday, where it fell from opening levels around its weekly highs at 143.88, to a low at 141.92 and has since stayed relatively quiet. However, that could all change as we move through towards Friday, as FX markets move into a 3-day period packed with important scheduled events. Risk sentiment towards US assets, and USDJPY in particularly, could be impacted by todays preliminary US Q1 GDP release at 1330 BST, which could indicate whether the US economy experienced a bigger slowdown at the start of 2025 than initially anticipated. Then, later in the day the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the PCE Index is released at 1500 BST, and this is followed by the earnings updates from US technology giants Microsoft and Meta later in the evening. If that wasn’t enough to potentially increase USDJPY volatility, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will post its interest rate decision early on Thursday morning. Although no change is expected due to the current uncertain tariff impacted climate and on-going trade deal negotiations with the US, the press conference led by BoJ Governor Ueda could contain some market moving commentary. This all culminates on Friday’s US Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST, where all eyes may well be focused on the unemployment rate print, currently 4.2%, to see if the US labour market is weakening, which if it is, could open the possibility of Fed rate cuts. Technical Update: 144.06 Resistance Holds Latest Recovery Having approached 139.58, the September 16th 2024 low trade, USDJPY has seen a recovery in price. However it could be argued, this appears a reaction to what were likely over-extended downside conditions, in place after the 7.50% decline from 151.21, the March 28th 2025 high. Importantly, latest price strength has been held and so far, reversed by 144.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March 28th to April 22nd weakness, which traders are likely to continue to focus on, as a potential resistance. The BoJ announcement and data releases this week have potential to be important sentiment drivers for USDJPY, and we must be aware of support and resistance levels that may help us gauge the next direction of future price moves. Resistance Levels: As we have said, so far, recent recovery themes have been unable to break above 144.06 retracement resistance, which will likely be an area that needs to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. While much will depend on the market’s reaction to up and coming events and future price trends, 144.06 closing breaks might suggest scope towards 145.43 the higher 50% Fibonacci level, even 146.80, the 62% retracement. Support Levels: Having seen Monday’s decline, price activity is back to what might be a support focus for traders at 142.00, equal to half recent strength. Closing breaks of 142.00 may be an indication of potential for further declines, although it is possible the 139.58 September 16th 2024 low may need to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of increasing downside pressure on price. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
USDJPY UPDATED Technical Elements Observed Bullish Reversal Setup: There’s a greyed box indicating a potential bullish setup. A projected “W” pattern (double bottom) is drawn within the red zone, implying a reversal formation. Support Zone (Red Area): Range: ~143.791 to 144.486 The chart suggests a possible bounce off this zone. This is the critical demand/support area. Resistance / Target Zone: Target price: ~147.056 This implies a ~200-pip upside move from the support area. Stop-Loss Indication: Below the red zone: ~143.700 This is a conservative stop-loss based on the chart setup. Trade Idea Summary (Based on Drawing) Buy Zone: 144.486–144.000 Stop Loss: ~143.700 Take Profit: ~147.056 Risk:Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 or better
by YUKIOTRADER90
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan (Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! Place buy limit orders most recent or swing, low level for Pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (138.500) Day/Swing trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 147.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets & Overall Score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Buy Opportunity📈 USD/JPY LONG IDEA – Potential Bullish Reversal USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential recovery after finding strong support at the 141.50 zone, where previous demand and a volume node converge. Price has rebounded off the support and is now looking to reclaim lost ground. 🟢 Entry: 142.812 🎯 Target: 148.157 – Retest of major resistance and volume imbalance above 🛑 Stop Loss: 141.424 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.87 📆 Estimated Target Date: May 6, 2025 📈 Projected Move: +3.74% or +5.345 points 🔍 Indicators: Momentum histogram shows fading bearish pressure. Bullish MACD-style wave forming a potential reversal. Price holding above value area low (yellow/blue volume zones). 📌 Key Resistance to Watch: 144.072 A break above this could accelerate the move higher toward the 148 zone.
Long
by GODOCM
Complete Mapping Analysis — USDJPY (H1 Chart)Strategy Focus: Elliott Wave (Impulse) + AO Divergence + Fibonacci Extensions 🔍 1. Current Wave Structure (Elliott Wave Count) You’ve identified: A completed Wave 3 (impulse). A completed or nearly completed Wave 4 correction. Now projecting Wave 5 to complete the 5-wave impulse. Substructure breakdown: Wave 1-2: Clean impulse and pullback. Wave 3: Strong rally with AO confirming higher momentum peaks. Wave 4: Corrective move, breaking below the internal trendline (initial break), signaling potential end of correction. Wave 5 (projected): Final push upward to complete the motive wave. 📊 2. Fibonacci Extension Targets From Wave 0–3 and Wave 4 retracement: 2.618 extension: ~146.50 2.886 extension: ~146.78 4.236 extension: ~148.22 (Aggressive top for a possible extended fifth) These are possible Wave 5 termination zones. Confluence with previous supply zones increases likelihood of reversal here. 📉 3. Momentum Confirmation — Awesome Oscillator (AO) You're watching for: Bearish Divergence on AO: Wave 3 had a strong momentum peak. Expect Wave 5 to push higher in price, but AO shows a lower high, signaling weakening momentum. This aligns with classic Wave 5 behavior — price extension with momentum exhaustion. 🧭 4. Entry Strategy Setup: Long entry at Wave 4 bottom. Entry trigger: Initial break → minor pullback → bullish confirmation candle. AO: Turns green after red bars = first sign of momentum recovery. Optional confirmation: Break of short-term structure high (micro Wave 1 in Wave 5). 🎯 5. Take Profit Plan Layered take-profit strategy based on Fibonacci and AO: Target Zone Price Area Action TP1 (Safe) ~1.618 (145.44–145.72) Take partial profit (30–50%) TP2 (Primary) ~2.618 (146.50) Secure majority of profit (80%) TP3 (Max/Stretch) ~4.236 (148.22) Optional final push / runner 🛡 6. Stop Loss Strategy SL placement: Below Wave (4) low (~143.73 zone) or below structure break. Use structure break or strong bearish engulfing as a reason to exit early if momentum fails. ⚠️ 7. Divergence & Reversal Monitoring Once price enters your TP2–TP3 zone: Look for: AO divergence (price high vs. AO lower high). Bearish engulfing candles or microstructure breaks. Weak volume or extended wick rejection. These may indicate Wave 5 completion and the start of Wave A (correction) or a reversal. 🔄 8. Next Play After Wave 5 Completes If divergence confirms and reversal begins: Map corrective structure (ABC). Short from: Break of rising wedge/trendline. AO flips red + break of microstructure. Target retracement: 0.382 to 0.618 retracement of the full Wave 1–5 impulse. Target zone: ~144.80 – 143.70 ✅ Summary: Strategic Flow ✅ Identify Wave 4 completion → Confirm via initial break + minor pullback. ✅ Long entry for Wave 5 → Enter on bullish candle or structural break. ✅ Track AO → Expect divergence at Wave 5 peak. ✅ Use Fibonacci for TP zones. ✅ Exit with confirmation of divergence and reversal signs. ✅ Option to reverse short post-Wave 5.
Long
by Candydreamz
Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger DollarThe Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan. Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. AUD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. USD/CHF Long Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. USD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
USDJPY, Bullish TrendFundamentally JPY is on bearish side COT data shows highest long positions opened in JPY dovish remarks by central bank positions JPY on bearish side Expected stable rate of USD in coming FOMC rise bulls in USD seasonality shoes USD bullish in MAY while JPY sideways Current scenario of trump being lenient on tarrifs also bring momentum in risk off scenarios i.e lower participant interest in JPY On technical, USDJPY hit its strong weekly support level Look for buy setups 68% fib retracement completed Trendline support intact currently sideways buy in parts buy 1. CMP at small risk buy 2. upon closing above 144.296 Stoploss below 143.5
Long
by itsrohansaeed
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 144.942. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 148.284 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
USD/JPY holds within trend line - positive NFP news supports USD🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news: ➡️ USD/JPY price decreased to 143.80 due to the weakness of the USD after the US employment report decreased compared to the previous month and Average Hourly Earnings m/m decreased slightly, However, NFP was better than the previous forecast, so this is probably support for the USD Personal opinion: ➡️ USD/JPY is still maintained in the trend line, the buyers have returned after the RSI almost entered the oversold zone and there are signs of slowing down of the sellers. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Personal plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 143.80- 144.00 ❌SL: 143.40 | ✅TP: 144.50 – 145.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the chart: Pattern Identified: An inverse head and shoulders pattern, often seen as a bullish reversal signal. Support Zone: The green horizontal zone near 142.870 suggests strong buying interest; price has tested and bounced from it multiple times. Entry Point: Indicated by the last green arrow (right shoulder bounce), suggesting a long (buy) position. Stop Loss: Below the support zone (highlighted in red), protecting against a downward breakout. Take Profit Levels: First at approximately 144.750 (minor resistance). Final target at around 145.856, which aligns with a previous high. This setup aims to capitalize on the bullish reversal pattern with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Would you like help calculating the exact risk-reward ratio for this trade?
Long
by money_magnet2
USDJPY: Detail Technical Analysis and USDJPY CharacteristicsIn this long video, I go through USD/JPY short idea in 2 parts: Part 1: Detailed Technical Analysis and Elliott Waves 1. Head and shoulders - daily 2. Completion of Elliott Waves 3. Breaking down of A-B-C 4. Measurement rules on profit targets. Part 2: USDJPY as a product (characteristics) 1. It's a flight-to-safety product similar to Gold 2. thus also a short equity markets product. 2. It is a short dollar product.
Short
by yuchaosng
USDJPY Tuesday AMThe overall weekly direction is quite bearish as there has been a recent bullish days retracement. If by 9:30 AM Eastern standard time we see this pair break internal liquidity by the time the market opens then we can expect this pair to go for more shorts. But given the timing of the week with the news, I’m expecting this pair to build momentum to take buyside liquidity before stamping through lower price. I expect to see this pair range a bit until Wednesday’s news.
Short
by abbeyxo617
2