Reason for SELL (USDJPY M30)1. [Strong Resistance Zone
Price reached a key resistance (red zone) that was rejected multiple times before.
JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.574.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.101.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPYUSD (DXY-based futures):
➤ +1,402 → modest net-long position (buying bias)
JPY (Japanese Yen futures):
➤ +144,595 → extremely net-long, near record levels
What This Means:
USD +1,402 = Mild bullish sentiment — large traders are slightly buying USD, but not aggressively.
JPY +144,595 = Very strong bullish sentiment — hedge funds and institutions are heavily buying JPY, suggesting they expect it to strengthen.
This gives a bearish bias for USD/JPY:
If JPY buying continues, USD/JPY may decline.
Bias: Short USD/JPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses.
Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
145.32
Support and resistance levels:
146.35
145.96
145.72
144.93
144.68
144.30
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96
If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
usd/jpyTRADE 1 im still running on this trade from yesterday but new entry level is here retracment on the fib is bang on 61% so could be looking to retrace to a new lower low lets see where this takes us tommorow
USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 145.513, with a slight increase of +0.074 (+0.05%). The chart shows price movements over the past 2-hour period, with a notable upward trend followed by a recent decline, as highlighted by the shaded area indicating a potential resistance or reversal zone. Key levels such as 145.701 and 145.106 are marked, along with the current time of 04:00.
USDJPYThere is an opportunity for a sell. Usdjpy has been following our analysis recently but lets wait and see.
USDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 145.43
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 144.58
Safe Stop Loss - 145.90
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPYUSDJPY Trading Plan.
"Now let’s look at the Smart Money Concept behind USD/JPY.
A classic liquidity grab took place in the 142.8 to 143.0 zone — triggering stop-losses and then sharply reversing upward. This is a textbook example of institutional accumulation after sweeping retail traders."
"We also see a bullish order block and a fair value gap forming in the same area on both the daily and H4 charts. That makes this zone a high-probability entry point for smart money traders."
"A change of character is clearly visible as the price structure on H4 and H1 shifts from bearish to a more consolidative and bullish tone — especially after a strong reversal candle near the FVG support."
"In summary, institutions are quietly building long positions around 142.8 to 143.0 — and it’s a highly favorable entry zone, with a logical stop-loss just below 142.3."
USDJPY – Fed Meeting Ahead With Range Highs In FocusYesterday’s Bank of Japan meeting saw the central bank act as expected. They kept interest rates unchanged and slowed the pace at which they will decrease monthly JGB purchases by half to help ensure market stability. This eventually assisted USDJPY to push higher and touch a peak early this morning at 145.44, matching a monthly high set on June 11th (145.46).
So far, this move to June range highs has been met with fresh selling, but there is still a lot for FX traders to consider moving into the Friday close, including an escalating conflict in the Middle East that has seen Israel and Iran exchange fire for six days in a row, and more importantly for wider financial markets, has drawn the full attention of President Trump and his national security team. How this situation evolves across the remainder of this week could influence the direction of USDJPY.
Also important could be the outcome later this evening of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision (1900 BST) and Press Conference (1930 BST). No change to interest rates is expected as policymakers, including Chairman Powell have been clear that they are currently in wait and see mode before making their next move, however their updated projections for US inflation, growth, and rate cuts may provide some extra volatility for USDJPY prices if these deviate from market expectations.
We shouldn’t forget it is also a holiday in the US tomorrow so liquidity could be reduced, so assessing the technical outlook, including relevant support and resistance levels may be useful.
Technical Update: Balanced Range Extends into Fed Meeting
Little has changed in USDJPY price activity from a technical perspective following Tuesday’s Bank of Japan meeting, and the focus now shifts to Wednesday’s Fed meeting in the US as the next potential sentiment driver for price.
As the chart above shows, the latest USDJPY activity has been held within a sideways range marked by potential support at 142.11, the May 27th session low, and potential resistance at 146.29, the May 29th session high.
This latest price activity may be an indication of trader uncertainty as to the direction of the next move and possibly the need for prices to ‘breakout’ and establish where the next directional risks might lay.
Of course, nothing is guaranteed and a closing break above resistance or below support might not see a more sustained phase of price movement, however being prepared is important.
Let’s consider the potential levels traders might find useful to watch if a breakout from the current sideways range is seen.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Successful closing breaks above 146.29 might be viewed by some as opening scope to higher levels and may possibly lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
It’s at this time that the focus for traders may shift to the next potential resistance which could be at 148.65, the May 12th session high, even 151.21, the March 28th peak.
Potential Support Levels:
Equally possible within the current more balanced sideways price activity, is that a closing break under support provided by the May 27th low at 142.11 might well develop and be viewed as a potential negative breakout from the current sideways price range.
If closes below support at 142.11 are seen over the coming sessions, it might reflect for moves to even lower levels in price, with traders potentially shifting their focus to the April 22nd low trade at 139.89 as the possible next support.
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We will be a seller again.* **Key Level**: 144.500 is the trigger zone. If broken downward, a sell becomes high probability.
Break out and retest strategyOn the 4 hour time frame shows an uptrend, of which it has provided the third touch marking a buy. And it has been in an uptrend that has been creating higher lows. It has provided a breakout on the H4, and on the 30 minute timeframe it gave a support level markin a buy set up amd entry. Sculping to take first take profit and second
USDJPY - BEARISH TRIANGLE PATTERN ? hi everyone
this is just a information
not a signal
please be smart
here what i see , and i do 3 scenario :D
highrisk
medium
and
low risk
enjoy
please be smart
save your money
make a reset and do your own analysis
wish all get profit today
USDJPY 1H – 5-WaveHello awesome traders!
USDJPY (1H) is shaping up beautifully with a textbook 5-wave structure into a potential reversal zone.
After completing the 5th wave at 145.442, we’re seeing a controlled pullback targeting the TARGET ZONE 1, which aligns perfectly with:
127% Fib Extension of the last impulse
161.8% Full Projection
200 SMA Dynamic Support
We’re watching closely for price to reach this high-confluence area (144.471 – 144.207), which also aligns with the previous Wave 4 region and the trendline break. If buyers step back in with strong price action, we’ll look to long from this zone toward a retest of 145.255, and possibly beyond if structure shifts bullish again.
Key Outlook:
🔸 Short-term retracement into value
🔸 Bullish continuation possible from PCZ
🔸 Patience pays — let the setup complete
We'll monitor the TARGET ZONE 1 for signs of accumulation and a fresh breakout setup.
🔥 Structure. Patience. Execution.
🟠 Follow for more clean structural setups and trade-ready charting ideas
TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros.
CHECK USDJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAINTrade Setup Details (USD/JPY):
Entry Price: 144.965 (marked in grey)
Current Price: 144.934
Stop Loss: 145.330🔻
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: ~144.350
TP2: ~144.880
Last Target: 143.290 🎯
USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 141.669 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY Trade Setup – 1H Timeframe- Wk 9We are currently observing the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart, and the trend remains strongly bullish. There is no divergence present, which confirms trend continuation. A bullish flag pattern has formed, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside.
The pair has recently completed a healthy retracement and tested the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which further supports our bullish bias. Based on this setup, we are executing an instant buy trade with a well-calculated risk-to-reward strategy.
🔹 Pair: USD/JPY
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: Bullish Flag
🔹 Fibonacci Level: 0.5 Tested
🔹 Entry Point: 144.942 (Instant Buy)
🔹 Stop Loss: 144.345
🔹 Take Profit 1: 145.539
🔹 Take Profit 2: 146.136
🔹 Lot Size: 0.24
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 and 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $300
🎯 Outlook: Expecting bullish continuation.
📌 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BullishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciRetracement #BreakoutSetup #ForexStrategy #RiskRewardRatio #ForexTradeIdea #1HChart #ForexMarket #FXTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts
USD/JPY Follow the ascending bullish from demand zone 143.000FX:USDJPY Analysis – 1H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its bullish ascending channel, gaining strong momentum from the key demand zone at 143.000.
🔹 Technical Targets Ahead:
🔸 1st Target: 144.100 – Minor Supply Zone
🔸 2nd Target: 144.900 – Key Supply Zone
🔸 3rd Target: 145.900 – Strong Resistance Level
Momentum remains in favor of buyers as long as price holds above 143.000. Watch for reactions at each target zone for potential short-term pullbacks or breakout continuation.
📊 Trade smart – manage your risk!
👇 Like, follow, drop a comment, and join us for real-time updates & setups!
— Livia 💹😜
Nite Pairs among the 10 Elite PairsVery long video but Educative.We are Expecting Gold to Shoot up(Bullish). You can follow us for more Analysis(Images and Videos) with Precise definition of the Financial Market.ENJOY!!!
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS I'm expecting a small push to the down side if price respects our zone just aim for 1:2,1:3,1:4rr then close. I believe it should be a short sell
USD/JPY: Yen Continues to Lose Ground Against the U.S. DollarOver the past three trading sessions, USD/JPY has risen by more than 1%, favoring the U.S. dollar, as the yen continues to weaken steadily. The bullish bias has persisted, supported by a rebound in dollar strength. The DXY index, which measures the dollar's performance against other major currencies, has been climbing in the short term and is once again approaching the 100-point mark, signaling growing confidence in the dollar’s movements. If this dollar strength persists, buying pressure in USD/JPY may become increasingly dominant.
Consistent Downtrend
Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern.
Neutrality in Indicators
At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
145.470 – Short-Term Barrier: A level where potential bearish corrections could emerge, especially as price remains near the downtrend line under conditions of neutrality.
148.012 – Major Resistance: This corresponds to the recent multi-month highs. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the prevailing bearish trend.
142.367 – Critical Support: A level aligned with the lowest prices of recent months, which has been repeatedly respected, increasing its strength in the short term. A breakdown here could trigger a renewed bearish bias, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
usd/jpyjust a quick look to see where its going to go my beleif is it will hit restitance and start to come back down until a break out occurs, catch good moves on U/J just got to sit and wait TAKE PROFIT AND STOP LOSS BOTH ON DECK
