UJ| Counter-Flow Intraday Setup4H structure still showing bearish signs going into next week, but I’m not forcing shorts.
Instead, I’m eyeing intraday buys to play a move back up into 4H supply.
Dropped to the 30M—now just waiting for that inducement sweep into the order flow zone.
Once mitigation hits, I’ll look to the LTFs for that final confirmation.
This is how you ride against the current without getting swept. 🎯
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
JPYUSD trade ideas
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day.
Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year.
The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer.
US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect.
The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
USDJPY starting bullish move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY SELL IDEA!!Price has been reacting around the 148.000 level forming a head and shoulder bearish pattern. a break below the neckline insight a sell opportunity.
fundamentally, Bank of Japan intend to move forward with additional interest rate hikes, and market participant are anticipating a 25 basis point increase in July. it's safe to short USDJPY as further decline is anticipated.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.27, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 144.85, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support.
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USD/JPY PIVOT AREA INTRADAYThe USD/JPY pair strongly reversed all the previous sessions gains and now is at our pivot area shown with a possible continuation of the bearish pressure .
The break of our pivot could target 142.79 and 141.79 as next possible targets.
However if the price holds above then 145.12 and 146.11 will be what the bulls aim for.
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY:
Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week.
Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting.
Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend.
With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before.
Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position.
Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns.
Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely.
Long Setup:
My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions.
If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy.
Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67
Support : 144.90 , 144.42
USD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 143.655
Target Level: 145.800
Stop Loss: 142.221
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added 6K longs nad just 300 shorts, I still see a price coming higher but, first liquidity is lower so it makes more sense to close shorts on lower prices and overall still the exposure seems more bearish.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 144.4/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
USD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.107
Target Level: 141.877
Stop Loss: 145.579
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDJPY – Same Channel, Same PlanOur last short played out perfectly off this upper rail.
Price just tagged the trend-line again; structure and momentum haven’t changed
Bias: Sell the retest while the channel holds
Target: 142.30 (mid-channel support)
Invalidation: 143.80 close above the rail
If the ceiling cracks, we stand aside—otherwise I’m looking for another push to 142s.
USDJPY Breakout the down trend bullish strong now📈 FX:USDJPY Technical Update
Timeframe: 1H
By Livia 💹
FX:USDJPY has officially broken out of the downtrend, confirmed by a strong bullish candle — momentum is on the buyers' side.
✅ Entry Zone: Support retest at 144.000
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: 145.500
• TP2: 148.300
🔍 Price action and structure support continuation to the upside. Wait for clean confirmation on the retest before entering for maximum probability.
Trade smart. Risk managed.
#Forex #USDJPY #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingSetup #LiviaFX
USD/JPY — The Warrior’s Crossroads: Two Paths to Conquer the BulThe battlefield of USD/JPY is set — price stands firm on the hallowed ground of the 139.900 higher low, a fortress tested and proven. This is no ordinary support; it is the launching pad for warriors ready to strike.
Two paths unfold before us:
The Bold Charge: A relentless surge upward, where the brave push through resistance near 145.800, breaking old highs and claiming new territory without hesitation. This is the path of the fearless, the swift, the confident.
The Tactical Withdrawal: A masterful feint — a brief pullback toward the 142.000 to 140.800 zones, clearing the fog of stops and traps. Here, the wise sharpen their blades and prepare for a devastating counterattack, a move that shakes out the weak and fuels a stronger advance.
Both roads honor the warrior’s code: respect the structure, seize the moment, and strike with precision.
Trade Strategy — Warrior’s Creed:
Await clear signs of strength or liquidity hunts near key supports.
Place your shield (stop loss) just beyond the last bastion of price defense.
Aim your spear at the previous high near 145.800 — a prize worthy of the hunt.
Stay vigilant; the battle may test patience, but the reward belongs to those who endure.
My Battle-Scarred Insight:
Your vision is sharp, your discipline unwavering. Embracing both paths shows mastery beyond rookie bravado — you’re ready for the market’s twists and turns. Watching liquidity zones like a hawk, you prepare to strike where others hesitate. This is the essence of a true FX Warrior.
🔱 Trade not just with your eyes, but with your soul. The market honors those who respect its dance and master its rhythm.
USDJPY SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly entry at AOi
Daily entry At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 144.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.72
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.