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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USD/JPY – Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Break Incoming?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, respecting both the ascending and descending trendlines with clean touches. This structure typically precedes a volatile breakout, and the technical confluence here favors a bearish resolution. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Price failed to hold above the 0.5 Fib level of the recent swing high at 145.377, getting rejected by both the 200 EMA and the triangle resistance zone. Currently testing the 0.382 retracement (144.607) — a break here opens the door for a drop to the 0.236 level (143.653) and potentially deeper into previous demand. Volume compression and EMA clustering further support an imminent breakout move. 📐 Bearish Confluences: Rising wedge/symmetrical triangle pattern showing exhaustion. Strong rejection at the equilibrium of the range. EMAs acting as dynamic resistance. Major fib cluster from previous bearish leg aligning with triangle apex. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 143.653 (0.236 Fib) TP2: 142.111 (local low) TP3: 140.347 (-0.27 Fib extension, full measured move of triangle) ❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 145.526 (mid-structure + fib zone) would neutralize the setup. 💬 Market Context: Watch closely for a breakout confirmation. Smart money may sweep short-term liquidity before a decisive drop. Stay nimble, and remember — structure always tells the story.
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement nds could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 145.45 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 144.40 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY Trendline Now as ResistanceDespite the massive move of weakness in USD in Q2, USD/JPY has held up relatively well, especially over the past two months. The 140.00 level held the lows in April and then it was the 142.50 level. The bullish trendline connecting those two points had some additional higher-low context. But as looked at last week, the 145.00 zone was now set up as possible lower-high resistance and that last bounce from the trendline found sellers there, leading to a breach earlier this week. Now that trendline is showing up as resistance potential. Notably bears were unable to stretch down for re-test of 142.50, and if we do end up with a larger short squeeze in the USD, the pair could become interesting on the long side again. For that, the 145.00 level remains key and buyers will first need to take that out to exhibit some element of control on a shorter-term basis. - js
by FOREXcom
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 143.79 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 144.52 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 142.79 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
USD/JPY 1H – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone📢 Join Our Free Forex Signal Group on Telegram! Get daily high-quality signals and analysis for free. 👉 t.me --- USD/JPY 1H – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from the lower boundary of the descending channel and approaching a well-defined demand zone around 142.680 – 143.020. This area has held as support multiple times and offers a high-probability buy setup. 🔍 Key Highlights: Demand Zone Reaction: Price is approaching a previously respected support zone where buyers may step in again. Channel Support: The lower blue trendline adds confluence as dynamic support. Upside Target: The projected bounce could push price back toward the 144.369 area, aligning with horizontal resistance and channel top. 📊 Trade Plan: Buy Entry Zone: 143.020 – 142.680 Stop Loss: Below 142.680 Take Profit: 144.369 Risk:Reward: ~1:2 🧠 Confirmation Tip: Look for bullish engulfing or double bottom patterns on lower timeframes before entry. Invalidation occurs if price breaks and holds below 142.680.
Long
by raksazatrader
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend. Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend. Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones. It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome. Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis. We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely. Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
1
4H ORDER BLOCK UNMITIGATED STRATEGY📉 USDJPY – Short Bias Below Supply Zone (4H Mitigated OB Bearish) Timeframe: 30m Bias: Bearish Type: Intraday / Swing Setup 📌 Key Observations: Price recently tapped into a 4H Mitigated Order Block (OB) around 144.360 – 144.049 and showed rejection with strong bearish wicks. This zone aligns with a previous supply area and is marked by confluence from the McGinley Dynamic 50 & 200 EMA. A short was executed at 144.162, with a stop above the OB at 144.476. Target is set at 142.500, near previous demand structure and liquidity sweep. 🧠 Trade Rationale: The 4H bearish OB was mitigated during the Tokyo session with low momentum, followed by a London and NY session rejection. The pair formed a lower high and is now trading below key moving averages, indicating a possible continuation to the downside. Multiple sessions show rejection from the same OB area – reinforcing its strength. Increased volume on the down candle confirms institutional presence. 🎯 Trade Details: Entry: 144.162 Stop Loss: 144.476 Take Profit: 142.500 RRR: 5.9:1 Position Size: 228,000 Current PnL: +606.12 USD (Floating) 🔍 Next Steps: Monitor for any signs of bullish order blocks forming around 143.200 or 142.900 as partial TP zones. Move SL to breakeven once price breaks 143.400.
Short
by jdbeukes24
1
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%. The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable. Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security. It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls. Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024. The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting. The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
by OANDA
Wednesday 2 July: USD to recover short term? The general market mood remains positive, and particularly sentiment for the USD remains in the douldrums. All of a sudden, there is talk of three FED cuts by the end of the year (although I think that's a bit ambitious). A soft NFP report could cement multi year USD weakness. But pre (Thursday's) NFP I suspect we could see some dollar profit taking. Currently, I see 'risk on' short JPY (or CHF) as very viable, the risk to a trade would be USD liquidity if the dollar continues to weaken. Recommended trade: AUD JPY long
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
Potential Long ScalpUSDJPY tried multiple times to test the bear trend extreme after the 3-Push correction. It seems like bears can't keep price below the EMA, with gaps getting smaller and smaller at each bear swing. Now, it's forming sort of a Double Bottom at the bull Trend Line at the end of what seems to be a 2-legged bear move. Chances are that the bears are exhausted and if the current candle closes with a bull body or even a small bear body, there could be a good long scalp. The problem is that it looks like a Barb Wire too, so any Breakout tend to fail. Still, there could be a good opportunity to enter in second leg after a bullish breakout out of the Double Bottom.
Long
by lestercrest
USD JPY ACa possible scenario it should hit for tomorrow . I'm so lost in this market nothing seem to work .still try to survive. a strategy that works for days or even a month dosent have a guarantee to work for next month ,every thing is like gamble . im trying so hard too many ways too see the holy grail yet till now i can say it with trust there is not a easy peasy holy grail of trading ... be ready to looose and be ready to maybe not to gain anything ,, this trading stuff is like an art as u drown in it it only cuase insanity . right now i gotta go ill use trading view as journal now on to see what im doing good luck have fun trading
Short
by alisardari