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USD/JPY Pulls Back After Testing Channel ResistanceUSD/JPY has slipped to 149.67, down 0.66% on the day after stalling near the top of a rising channel. The pair failed to reclaim the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which remain tightly aligned near 151.7, now acting as resistance. 🔺 Price is still inside a short-term rising channel, but today's bearish candle suggests waning momentum. 📉 MACD remains in bearish territory, and while it’s improving, there’s no crossover yet. 📉 RSI at 49.06 hovers at the midpoint, showing a lack of conviction either way. Key Levels: Resistance: 151.00–151.75 (confluence of moving averages) Support: 146.95 (61.8% Fib retracement), then 143.71 (78.6% Fib) A break below the channel could signal a return to the broader downtrend, while a close above 151.75 would shift the short-term outlook bullish. -MW
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Trade Setup & Analysis – Bullish Reversal from 200 EMAThe 200 EMA (blue line) at 149.701 acts as a strong support level. The 30 EMA (red line) at 150.458 represents a short-term trend guide. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Around 150.120 (near the 200 EMA). Stop Loss: Below 149.496, protecting against downside risk. Take Profit Levels: TP1: 150.287 TP2: 150.533 TP3: 150.886 Final Target: 151.377 Strategy: Buy Position: The expectation is for the price to bounce from the 200 EMA and move upwards toward the targets. Risk-Reward: Favorable, as the trade has multiple profit-taking levels.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USD/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 149.97 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.10 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EUR USD - Bias: Bearish - limit orderBias: Bearish Market Structure and Reasoning: The EUR/USD has been in an overall downtrend in recent days, forming successive lower highs and lower lows across multiple timeframes. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bearish momentum with price recently breaking below key support levels. On the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe a series of bearish candles with minimal retracement, indicating strong selling pressure. The 15-minute chart confirms this bearish structure with price trading below previous support zones. Trading Setup: The price is currently hovering around the 1.0788 level, which appears to be a weak support that has been tested multiple times. The overall structure suggests potential for continued downside movement. Entry: 1.0795 (Limit Order) Look to enter on a retracement to the 1.0795 level, which was previous support and may act as resistance on a retest. Stop Loss: 1.0830 Place stop loss above the recent swing high, limiting risk to 35 pips. Take Profit (TP1): 1.0760 First target at the recent low, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio. Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.0730 Second target at the psychological level which should provide stronger support. Order Type: Limit Order Wait for price to retrace to the entry level rather than chasing the current move. Alternative Scenario: If price breaks above 1.0830 with conviction, the bearish bias would be invalidated. In that case, wait for a potential shift in market structure before considering new positions.
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
1
USDJPY INVERTED HS PATTERN BREAKOUT 350 PIPS CAN BE EXPECTED In the event that a head and shoulders pattern develops in USDJPY, please refrain from risking more than 2% of your capital investment. It is crucial to perform your own research before making any trading decisions. To ensure the pattern's accuracy, it is advisable to use the premium version of the TradingView Auto Chart Indicator, as the free version may not offer dependable indicators for this pattern. While the free version can be used to check the auto chart pattern, it may not display it correctly. Those with access to the premium version are invited to share their observations in the comments section. Thank you All
Long
by profits2win
1
BUY opportunities on USD JPYRR 1:1 - conservative RR 1:2 - aggresive Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect. I encourage constructive feedback. If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another. Explanations: MIN - last minimum point MAX - last maximum point BOS - break of structure SMS - shift in market structure SL - stop loss TP - take profit RR - risk reward OB - order block OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
Long
by gabisuciu
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
Yen Weakens Toward 150 on Weak DataThe Japanese yen weakened toward 150 per dollar, extending losses as disappointing business activity data overshadowed the BOJ’s hawkish stance. Japan’s private sector contracted in March for the first time in five months, with manufacturing shrinking for a ninth month and services slipping into negative territory. While the BOJ kept its policy rate at 0.5% last week and maintained a careful tone before Trump’s predicted April 2 tariff announcement, the central bank is still expected to raise rates later this year due to steady inflation and wage growth. Ongoing external pressures also continued to weigh on the yen. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
UJ Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions. 📌 Key Technical Outlook: 🔹 Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback. 🔹 As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term. 🔹 A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure. 📌 Major Market Drivers: 🔹 Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported. 🔹 Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar. 🔹 Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year. 🔹 Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support. 📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week: 🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions. 🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction. 🗓 Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions. I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈 #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
by darcsherry
1
USD/JPY - Playing the Retracement SmartThe 4H is locked in a bearish structure, breaking a major recent low—confirming downside intent. But before further drops, I see a play. Liquidity needs to be grabbed, and that means a bullish retracement is on the table. Dropping to the 30M, I’m looking for confirmation to ride the bulls up into the 4H supply zone—the red zone where sellers are likely waiting. Precision over impulse, patience over noise. Let’s see how price delivers. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer