ABG trade ideas
ABG: first pullback then another leg down?A bearish trend is applicable below 10900. Crossing above this level will negate the bearish stance.
Downside price potential supports the bearish trend.
RSI leaves enough room for further downside price potential.
Trend strength indicates a strong trend gaining strength.
ABG Daily Close above 15900 resistanceManaged a daily close above 15900 for the first time since End-November 2019.
Bumped into the 15900 area in second half of 2021 but failed to have a daily close above this level.
Looking at two targets.
Target range 1: 17000 - 17500
Target range 2: 18200 - 18700
Big 4 SA Banks - 1W Channel Breaks I would have thought that bearishness in the SA banking sector is a thing of the past, with earnings showing bank balance sheets & prospects to be more robust than feared in the Covid sell-off. However their consistent grind higher since call it Jun/Jul last year looks to have stalled, with the Big 4:
- Showing channel breaks on their 1W charts,
- All trading in the no mans land between 15 EMA & 200 DMA,
- Negative momentum (RSI,MACD)
- Strong $ / weakening ZAR not positive for their outlook
Never thought I'd say it so soon into the recovery but, in a short term time frame, time to short SA banks? Or, if you have time to sit it out and an appetite for drawdowns, a good buying opportunity here?
Not shown is 1W the Capitec chart - with a few spinning tops that one could go also either way IMHO
JSE:FSR JSE:SBK JSE:NED JSE:ABG JSE:CPI
Absa - Support At RiskMassive pullback since I highlighted the medium term supply via the monthly chart (31-Aug post attached at 15796c). Peaked the following day. Traded into the declining 8-day EMA providing an intraday short/sell but looks like there's a bigger move at play here.
A break below 13800c-13950c could see the algo's going along for a short.
ABSA downward move potentiallyJSE:ABG formed a bearish harami on the 4th of October which is a top reversal signal. This week, the momentum has been confirmed by the crossing downwards of the stochastic. The MACD and the EMAs look like they are on the verge of crossing down too which will be a further confirmation of the downward move.
ABSA - Bearish Engulfing off of Ascending ResistanceJSE:ABG formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on 1 September which is a top reversal signal. What makes the signal stronger is the fact that it it coincides with the resistance level from the current longer term up-trend.
The MACD, Stochastic and now the EMA's are also showing signs of downward momentum. I think we could possibly be looking at a move down towards the 13500 area before turning back up again.