Our opinion on the current state of AVENG(AEG)The once-massive construction company, Aveng (AEG), which traded at R69 a share in 2008, was reduced to a penny stock. This sad demise was brought about by a number of factors.
Among these, the reduction in construction spending following the sub-prime crisis has been critical. The government ceased infrastructure development after the 2010 World Cup, which had a further detrimental impact. This was then followed up by the Competition Commission's R1,4bn fines in the construction industry.
The difficult operating environment was made worse by losses on various construction contracts, which have required extensive write-downs and impairments. Its objective has been to focus on McConnell Dowell in Australia and the mining contractor Moolmans, both of which are now profitable.
On 26th January 2021, the company announced the terms of a fully underwritten rights issue to raise R300m by selling about 20 billion shares at 1,5c each. Shareholders were offered 103.122 rights for every 100 shares held. This obviously substantially diluted the existing shareholders.
On 12th October 2021, the company announced a 500-for-1 consolidation effective 8th December 2021, which resulted in the share price rising to around R28. The company announced the sale of Trident Steel on 3rd May 2023 for R1,2bn - which effectively leaves the company debt-free.
The company announced its intention to report in Australian dollars in the future, not rands, because it said 91% of its income was now received in Australian dollars.
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2024, the company reported revenue slightly down at A$1,4bn, with a headline loss per share of A$26,7c compared with a profit of A$8,8c in the previous period.
The company said, "Aveng's revenue contracted 8.1%, in line with previous guidance, to A$1.4 billion (R16.6 billion) in the interim period ended 31 December 2024 (December 2023: A$1.5 billion (R18.6 billion)), following an expected softening of infrastructure markets in Australia and New Zealand."
Prior to this, the share had been moving up since mid-May 2024 and looked to be in a new upward trend. The latest results have seen the share lose most of its gains.
AEG trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of AVENG(AEG)The once-massive construction company, Aveng (AEG), which traded at R69 a share in 2008, was reduced to a penny stock. This sad demise was brought about by a number of factors. Among these, the reduction in construction spending following the sub-prime crisis has been critical. The government ceased infrastructure development after the 2010 World Cup, which had a further detrimental impact. This was then followed up by the Competition Commission's R1,4bn fines in the construction industry. The difficult operating environment was made worse by losses on various construction contracts, which have required extensive write-downs and impairments.
Aveng's objective has been to focus on McConnell Dowell in Australia and the mining contractor Moolmans, both of which are now profitable. On 26th January 2021, the company announced the terms of a fully underwritten rights issue to raise R300m by selling about 20 billion shares at 1,5c each. Shareholders were offered 103.122 rights for every 100 shares held. This obviously substantially diluted the existing shareholders. On 12th October 2021, the company announced a 500-for-1 consolidation effective 8th December 2021, which resulted in the share price rising to around R28.
The company announced the sale of Trident Steel on 3rd May 2023 for R1,2bn, which effectively leaves the company debt-free. In its results for the six months to 31st December 2023, the company reported revenue of A$1,5bn and headline earnings of A$11,3m. The company also announced its intention to report in Australian dollars in the future, not rands, because it said 91% of its income was now received in Australian dollars. Headline earnings per share improved from 5,2c to 8,8c.
The company said, "At 31 December 2023, Aveng grew its revenue from continuing operations, which excludes Trident Steel, by 39% to A$1.5 billion. In the current period, McConnell Dowell accelerated their repayments and repaid A$10 million of the term debt facility. The remaining balance of A$13 million is expected to be settled by June 2024."
In a trading statement for the year to 30th June 2024, the company estimated that it would report a positive HEPS compared with the loss of 61,6c (A$) in the previous year. The company said, "McConnell Dowell is expected to report a positive performance for the year ended 30 June 2024. Operating earnings are expected to reflect an improvement on the prior year. Moolmans is expected to report marginal operating earnings for the year ended 30 June 2024. Operating margins remain under pressure, primarily associated with the Tshipi contract."
Technically, the share has been moving up since mid-May 2024 and looks to be entering a new upward trend.
Our opinion on the current state of AEGAveng, once a prominent player in the construction sector, experienced a dramatic decline from trading at R69 a share in 2008 to becoming a penny stock. This downturn was driven by several critical factors, including reduced construction spending following the sub-prime crisis, a halt in government infrastructure projects post-2010 World Cup, and hefty fines from the competition commission totaling R1.4 billion. These challenges, compounded by significant losses on various construction contracts necessitating major write-downs and impairments, significantly impacted Aveng's financial health and market position.
In an effort to recover and stabilize, Aveng shifted its focus towards its more profitable operations, McConnell Dowell in Australia and the mining contractor Moolmans. This strategic pivot began to yield positive results, evidenced by the company's decision to undertake a fully underwritten rights issue in January 2021 to raise R300 million by issuing approximately 20 billion shares at 1.5c each, substantially diluting existing shareholders. A significant share consolidation followed in December 2021, which helped elevate the share price to around R28.
A notable development in Aveng's recovery journey was the sale of Trident Steel for R1.2 billion in May 2023, effectively rendering the company debt-free. For the six months ending December 2023, Aveng reported revenue of A$1.5 billion and headline earnings of A$11.3 million, marking a significant improvement in its financial performance. The decision to report financial results in Australian dollars reflects the company's revenue structure, with 91% of its income now sourced from Australian dollars.
The recent financial results highlight Aveng's resilience and strategic realignment, with revenue from continuing operations (excluding Trident Steel) growing by 39% to A$1.5 billion. Additionally, McConnell Dowell's accelerated repayment of its term debt facility further strengthens Aveng's balance sheet, with full settlement expected by June 2024.
Despite these positive developments, Aveng's share price has continued to face downward pressure. Investors are advised to exercise caution and monitor for a clear upward trend before considering investment, particularly looking for a break through the long-term downward trendline. This could signal a more robust recovery and potentially offer a more favorable entry point into the stock. Aveng's turnaround story, while still unfolding, suggests cautious optimism for the company's future, albeit within a highly volatile and competitive construction sector.
Our opinion on the current state of AEGAveng, once a towering presence in the construction sector, experienced a dramatic decline, transforming from a stock valued at R69 a share in 2008 to a penny stock. This downturn was influenced by several critical factors, including reduced construction spending following the sub-prime crisis and the subsequent cessation of government infrastructure development post-2010 World Cup. Further exacerbating the company's challenges were the R1.4 billion fines levied by the competition commission on the construction industry and significant losses on various construction contracts necessitating considerable write-downs and impairments.
In a strategic pivot, Aveng focused on bolstering its profitable entities, McConnell Dowell in Australia and the mining contractor Moolmans, steering the company towards a more sustainable path. A pivotal moment in its restructuring efforts was the announcement on 26th January 2021 of a fully underwritten rights issue aimed at raising R300 million by issuing approximately 20 billion shares at 1.5c each, resulting in substantial dilution for existing shareholders.
On 12th October 2021, Aveng undertook a 500-for-1 share consolidation, which saw its share price adjust to around R28, marking a significant restructuring of its share capital. The sale of Trident Steel for R1.2 billion, announced on 3rd May 2023, significantly bolstered the company's financial position, rendering it effectively debt-free.
For the fiscal year ending on 30th June 2023, Aveng reported a 28% increase in revenue but acknowledged a "disappointing operational performance," culminating in a headline loss per share of 753c, a stark contrast to the profit of 252c reported in the previous year. The trading statement for the six months ending on 31st December 2023, however, projected an increase in headline earnings per share (HEPS) of between 65.4% and 75%, signaling a potential turnaround in its financial health.
In a strategic move reflecting its operational focus, Aveng announced its decision to switch its reporting currency to Australian dollars, given that 91% of its income is now generated in that currency. Despite these efforts, the company's share price has continued to experience downward pressure. Investors are advised to exercise caution and consider waiting for a decisive upward breach of the long-term downward trendline before committing to the stock, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment and the company's market performance.
Aveng W Formation nearly time for a Breakout at R11.25We see a W Formation, with the price moving and completing the right Double Bottom.
Once we get a breakout to the upside, we could see major upside to R11.25.
Right now and it's a wait and see but the fundamentals look good.
UPDATE:
On February 16, 2024, the company announced an expected 45% increase in revenue for the six months ending December 31, 2023.
This good news reflects the strong performance of Aveng and its significant progress through its divisions, McConnell Dowell and Moolmans.
Following this announcement, Aveng's stock price jumped by nearly 15%, showing that investors are really optimistic about the company's future.
AVENG Cup and Handle and up it goes to R11.28Cup and Handle has formed on Aveng after a long term downtrend.
The price has broken above the brim level and so momentum is leering up.
Price = 200MA
RSI>50
Target R11.28
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Aveng Group is a diversified infrastructure and engineering company based in South Africa.
Diversified Operations: '
Aveng Group is involved in various sectors, including construction, engineering, mining, manufacturing, and steel.
Establishment:
The company has a long history, dating back to its establishment in 1944.
International Presence:
While based in South Africa, Aveng has expanded its operations internationally, with projects and subsidiaries in other African countries and beyond.
Construction Expertise:
Aveng is known for its expertise in construction and infrastructure development, undertaking projects such as roads, bridges, and buildings.
AVENG continues its slow walk to nowhereAVENG is in a long term range bounded area.
It's been coming down for years on a slow and steady declination of a trend.
I've even put the time frame on weekly because daily is just not active.
By the looks of it, the next target could ease down to R4.00 then R3.50.
Not a traders haven choice and many platforms do not even offer this.
Aveng short potential symmetrical triangle - Target R8.08Symmetrical Triangle has formed on Aveng... With the property prices on the way down with the global crash, we can expect the price to drop further... However, as traders we need to wait for a breakdown first, to confirm...
This could very well break up and we could have a Reversal Bull Symmetrical Triangle.
But right now the bias is bearish with a target at R8.08
Aveng Back to recoverySince the Aveng stock split trading view was struggling to display the stock split, happy to see this corrected
What I see
Past 7 years a consistent down trend, with possible reversal now in 2021.
Rounding bottom a great reversal or short term bullish pattern with statistically excellent results
Local top in October 2021 followed by a pull back. Pullback hitting the golden pocket zone R15.50 or 0.618 fib level
Based on work on hand of close to R30 billion, and hitting the 0.618 fib level I believe R15.50 is a support level.
MY price target is as follows
R30 at the 0.618 Fib level (Most likely target after earnings report)
R48 at the 1.618 Fib level (I believe this is an achievable target if they decide to start declaring dividends)
Aveng AnalysisAveng this past week finally managed to break the 4c barrier which drove excitement across the market as this was an instant 25% jump for those who managed to get in at 4c per share, I being one of them. In terms of earnings and operations, the company seems to be at the turnaround point especially after posting profits after years and years of negative returns.
Immediately when the share broke the mammoth 4c resistance, we saw a massive surge in trading activity. Buyers probably wanting a piece of massive potential.
I should also note that when I bought into Aveng, the rewards out weighed the risks and it was a comfortable amount invested in terms of my portfolio. But the higher the share price goes the riskier it becomes especially for new investors.
At this point for new investors buying in at 5c, price movements will fluctuate at 20%. By this I mean you stand to lose/gain 20% for every cent movement.
At this point in time I'm confident we might see 6c by the end of this month and possibly 9c by the end of the year. This for me is an extremely long term investment and hopefully over 5 -10 years should yield exponential growth.
50x you money??? "Absolute no brainer" - Mr Chris"Aveng is btc in 2009.
I found an article talking about how everyone thinks its a cosntruction company that has crashed and is thus writing it off, but its actually changed into a mining company in Aus, Asia and West Africa.
and its making profit.
They traded at R33 in normal times (after 2010 boom and dip)
I did a rough back of the hand - this company could be profitable and 33x smaller than it was that makes it R1 a share.
Like as a company - they are making money and have a solid order book
its basically a free share" - Mr Chris (Covid believer and 2020 Aveng enthuesiast)
So there you have it folks, straight from the horses mounth. Get it while its hot, get it while its low. Make them dollar bills printer go brrrrrrrrrr.