BRAIT confirmed upside and high probability analysis target R1.8Inv Head and Shoulders formed over the last two months. This broke above the downtrend and it formed a Medium probability trade until two days ago, Now it's set for a High probability analysis with Price> 20 and 200 Target R1.81Longby TimonrossoPublished 1
Our opinion on the current state of BRAIT(BAT)Brait (BAT) is an investment holding company which owns 78% of Virgin Active, 93.7% of Premier, and 18.5% of New Look (a clothing retailer in the UK). It sold its stake in Iceland Foods for R2.4bn in June 2020 and used the proceeds to pay down debt. It is itself 46% owned by Christo Wiese's company Titan. The company's most important performance measure is its net asset value (NAV). The NAV was impacted by a change in the valuation multiple for Premier, which was reduced from 12.4 times to 11.4 times. The turnaround at New Look is very important to the group. In January 2019, Brait announced that it had come to an agreement which would see its holding of New Look reduced to just 18.5%. This was done through a debt-swap which takes New Look's debt down from GBP 1.35bn to GBP 0.35bn. The news of this capitulation saw Brait's share price drop by over 20%. Virgin Active is 65% of the Brait portfolio and has been battling with the impact of COVID-19. Business Day (14/11/22) reported that Brait will have a cash pile of R2.1bn after the Premier listing. Technically, Brait had a series of falling tops at around R170 in 2015 and 2016 that would have scared any private investor. This was followed by a collapse of the share price down to 231c in March 2020. Since then, the share has been moving sideways but spiked up on its latest results. The announcement of the R3bn rights offer in its latest results did not please the market, and the share fell over 10%. In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported that its net asset value (NAV) had fallen from 706c per share a year ago to 652c. The company said, "Virgin Active’s strong performance and operational turnaround has continued with all territories now EBITDA positive. Robust operating performance across key territories with active membership increasing to 1.021 million over the past twelve months combined with 10% average yield enhancements across the portfolio." The company's headline loss for the year was 13c per share, following a 70c loss in the previous year. We feel that Brait has lost some of the appeal that it once had, and Christo Wiese is under a cloud since the collapse of Steinhoff. In our opinion, this share is not a buy at the moment. The share has become a penny stock trading for less than 100c and has been trending down since 2021. Technically, it needs to break above resistance at 500c before it becomes interesting - and that is a long way away.by PDSnetSAPublished 1
Brait is not looking good and ready for another 50% crash?Inv C and H has formed, the price not only opened below the brim but opened with a Run away bearish gap. The price is below both 20 and 200SMA> ANd looks like the next target is set to 51 cents. Not great but the charts don't lie. Shortby TimonrossoPublished 0
Our opinion on the current state of BATBrait (BAT) is an investment holding company that owns 78% of Virgin Active, 93.7% of Premier, and 18.5% of New Look (a clothing retailer in the UK). It sold its stake in Iceland Foods for R2.4bn in June 2020 and used the proceeds to pay down debt. It is itself 46% owned by Christo Wiese's company Titan. The company's most important performance measure is its net asset value (NAV). The NAV was impacted by a change in the valuation multiple for Premier, which was reduced from 12.4 times to 11.4 times. The turnaround at New Look is very important to the group. In January 2019, Brait announced that it had come to an agreement which would see its holding of New Look reduced to just 18.5%. This was done through a debt-swap which takes New Look's debt down from GBP1.35bn to GBP0.35bn. The news of this capitulation saw Brait's share price drop by over 20%. Virgin Active, which constitutes 65% of the Brait portfolio, has been battling with the impact of COVID19. Business Day (14/11/22) reported that Brait will have a cash pile of R2.1bn after the Premier listing. Technically, Brait had a series of falling tops at around R170 in 2015 and 2016 that would have scared any private investor. This was followed by a collapse of the share price down to 231c in March 2020. Since then, the share has been moving sideways but spiked up on its latest results. The announcement of the R3bn rights offer in its latest results did not please the market, and the share fell over 10%. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023, the company reported active membership up 10% and "Continued strong performance in HY24, with EBITDA growth of 24% to R1 billion (LTM EBITDA of R1.9 billion), driven by strong growth across all divisions except for the Mozambican business." The company's net asset value (NAV) fell 3% to 684c per share, and headline earnings per share was 1c compared with a loss of 32c in the previous period. In a pre-close trading update, the company said, "Revenue in the MillBake business continued to see inflationary price increases that were delivered during the period. ... Virgin Active South Africa increased its active membership base from 606k as at 30 September 2023 to 625k as at 29 February 2024... against the backdrop of a soft and competitive UK retail market, New Look had a reasonable Christmas Quarter." We feel that Brait has lost some of the appeal that it once had, and Christo Wiese is under a cloud since the collapse of Steinhoff. In our opinion, this share is not a buy at the moment. The share has been trending down and needs to break above resistance at 500c before it becomes interesting - and that is a long way away.by PDSnetSAPublished 1
Our opinion on the current state of BATBrait (BAT) is an investment holding company which owns 78% of Virgin Active, 93,7% of Premier and 18,5% of New Look (a clothing retailer in the UK). It sold its stake in Iceland Foods for R2,4bn in June 2020 and used the proceeds to pay down debt. It is itself 46% owned by Christo Wiese's company Titan. The company's most important performance measure is its net asset value (NAV). The NAV was impacted by a change in the valuation multiple for Premier which was reduced from 12,4 times to 11,4 times. The turnaround at New Look is very important to the group. In January 2019, Brait announced that it had come to an agreement which would see its holding of New Look reduced to just 18,5%. This was done through a debt-swap which takes New Look's debt down from GBP1,35bn to GBP0,35bn. The news of this capitulation saw Brait's share price drop by over 20%. Virgin Active is 65% of the Brait portfolio and has been battling with the impact of COVID19. Business Day (14/11/22) reported that Brait will have a cash pile of R2,1bn after the Premier listing. Technically, Brait had a series of falling tops at around R170 in 2015 and 2016 that would have scared any private investor. This was followed by a collapse of the share price down to 231c in March 2020. Since then the share has been moving sideways, but spiked up on its latest results. The announcement of the R3bn rights offer in its latest results did not please the market and the share fell over 10%. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company reported active membership up 10% and "Continued strong performance in HY24, with EBITDA growth of 24% to R1 billion (LTM EBITDA of R1.9 billion), driven by strong growth across all divisions except for the Mozambican business". The company's net asset value (NAV) fell 3% to 684c per share and headline earnings per share was 1c compared with a loss of 32c in the previous period. We feel that Brait has lost some of the appeal that it once had, and Christo Wiese is under a cloud since the collapse of Steinhoff. In our opinion, this share is not a buy at the moment. The share needs to break above resistance at 500c before it becomes interesting - and that is a long way away.by PDSnetSAPublished 1
$JSEBAT - Brait Plc: How Much Lower Can It Go?The last time i covered Brait was in 25.10.2022 and the forecast was for wave 5 after the triangle consolidation in wave 4, link below. Wave 5 was short and swift and created a double top with the peak of wave 3. The share is down 43% from the 510 high and there are no signs of a reversal yet. The crucial level to watch is 230 as a break below it would reset the whole wave count. by Loyiso_BlaqueSoros_MpetaPublished 0
TRADE UPDATE: BRAIT Plc great company but still coming downLarge Bear Box Pattern formed and the price broke below. The signs were showing downside to come. But it's been a slow trade. 200 > 21> 7 - Bearish RSI <50 Bearish Target remains at R2.50 ABOUT THE COMPANY Brait SE was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. The company has a diversified portfolio of investments in various sectors, including healthcare, food, retail, and financial services. The company has investments in several well-known brands, including Premier Foods, Virgin Active, and New Look. The company has a market capitalization of approximately R4.4 billion as of April 2023. Brait's largest shareholder is Christo Wiese, a South African billionaire businessman. Brait's current CEO is John Gnodde, who has been with the company since 2014. In 2015, Brait acquired a 90% stake in Virgin Active, one of the largest health and fitness club operators in the world. Shortby TimonrossoPublished 2
BRAIT showing strong downside to come to R2.50Large Bear Box Pattern formed over the last year with Brait. And unfortunately it gets worse. The Highs have become lower and lower accompanied by bearish indicators. 200 > 21> 7 - Bearish RSI <50 Bearish Target R2.50 WARNING: The breakout was definitely not a strong one. So, if there are strong prospects and investors want to protect the company, it could very well be a fakeout. Until then it's bearish until the trend turns. ABOUT BRAIT BRAIT SE (Est. 1995 in Stellenbosch, South Africa) is an investment holding company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and the Euro MTF market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange. BRAIT invests in a diversified range of businesses, including consumer goods, health and wellness, and technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sectors. BRAIT has a global presence, with investments in South Africa, Europe, and the United States. Here are some companies BRAIT has major investments in Premier Foods - a leading food manufacturer in South Africa, producing a range of products under popular brands such as Blue Ribbon, Snowflake, and Manhattan. Virgin Active - a global health and fitness club chain, with over 200 locations in the UK, South Africa, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Australia. Iceland Foods - a UK-based frozen food retailer, known for its value and convenience, with over 950 stores across the UK.Shortby TimonrossoPublished 1
Brait - Another potential breakoutBrait has held onto long term TL support (blue solid line) and at todays levels, is breaking its downtrend (yellow) for the 4th time. It has pulled back heavily since its last up move, so might be worth a bite here for another move to a possible R5? Stop loss on a close below the solid blue TL support. Longby Trad3r_16Published 6
BAT BoxBrait (BAT) has been trading in a consolidation box between R3.60 and R5,00 for the last year or so, I breakout should be pretty close around the corner.by T2TWELLPublished 3
BRAIT straight to the moon!W Formation - breaking as we speak. One more candle above and it's systems go for this one. Falling Wedge broken as of last week - Bullish Price target R4.8 CONCERNS: 7 And 21 MA is still below the 200MA showing the trend is still sideways. Longby TimonrossoPublished 0
$JSEBAT - Brait PLC: Triangle Creates Bullish ExpectationsWatch the QuanTechMental analysis using this link youtu.be Brait has undergone some restructuring of its business over the past three years and has seen the share price drop from lofty heights to hitting a bottom in March 2021 at R2,30. The rally to R5,10 unfolded in a clear impulsive manner which i have labelled wave 1 to 3. Since hitting the R5,10 the share has traded sideways. Consistent with the wave principle, sideways consolidation tends to be a triangle or a combination pattern with a triangle. As long as price holds above R3,49 this outlook remains valid and a break below R3,49 will prompt a re-assessment of the pattern unfolding. Trade recommendation buy @ 420 zac stop-loss @ 348 zac Longby Loyiso_BlaqueSoros_MpetaPublished 1
BraitBrait building a good base on the #weeklychart in the form of a Cup & handle chart formation, which need to break the 500c level to be confirmed.Longby InnocentmapondePublished 1
$BAT Brait Turning profitBrait reported a profit of R446 mil yesterday. The share jumped 14%. Brait has been trading in a defined range for more than a year now 234-429 Quite a bit of upside potential here is you look at the double bottom Target is 429c - Top of channelLongby KoosKanmarPublished 0
$JSEBAT Brait Double bottom ?Brait formed what looks like a double bottom. Possible upside could be the top of the channel once again around the 400-430 levels. by KoosKanmarPublished 6
Buying Opportuniy on BATBAT Daily Time-frame. Possible buying opportunity. My reasons: Market got rejected from the lower resistance level (red zone) and broke out from the trendline..it also retested the trendline and got rejected there as well. Market also got rejected from the blue resistance level. I would have my targets at the dark green zone, anywhere between 400c and 440c..this is on a daily timeframe so it might some time for it to get there. I would enter now(@283c) and if the market goes against me, i'd cut my losses at around 200c. This is all based off of technical analysis, use it with some fundamentals to get a clearer picture if where the market might go.Longby StonksInsiderPublished 1
$JSEBATBrait might just finally end the downtrend. This is a good reopening trade.Longby UnknownUnicorn1416836Published 4
$JSEBAT Brait. Bottom of channel testRejection at the bottom of the channel and channel player scan add some in anticipation of another test of the top of the channel 400- 430 in the future. Stop loss below channel break 250 on the daily chart. by KoosKanmarPublished 1
BAT looking like short on 1Dinverted teacup SL @ 408 tighter SL @ 366 entry below 326 TP @ 250 showing BAT looking to take it's journey back home to previous lows at 250, what do you think?Shortby wearethearxUpdated 0
BATThis note is an extract from my weekly research report Brait (BAT) | On Friday, volume was substantially higher at 5.38m shares traded versus it's 50-day average of just over 1 million shares. The share also traded close to 2 std deviations below it's 200-day linear regression and also developed a long candle wick on the day, suggesting strong buying interest off the lows. I'm look for the share to start developing a base around these levels with a medium term move toward the mean between 360c and 380c. by LD_PerspectivesPublished 115
BAT worth a look at these levelsBecause we had a close above local highs on 13th October, the probability of price coming back to its origin and popping off from there is fairly high. We might have already tested this level now for continuation but I'd like a little lower. Since we can't tell the future we take trades that have higher probability than normal using price action, so its worth the risk.Longby PonziCandlePublished 1
BAT - 1D - BRAITStochastic 5 overbought and ATR showing sell signal in long term downward trend. Brait has also been infected by Covid it seems.Shortby AWPEARCE1Published 0