CPI long opportunityJSE:CPI looks like it may be gearing up for an upward move. After a recent pretty successful Cup and Handle pattern it has retraced downwards to the top of the cup, tested that level and then bounced back up again. If it breaks above the high created on Friday, I think we could see it moving upward to at least the highs of mid-June, if not higher.
CPI trade ideas
Capitec Bank - After a 6.2% and 14.9% Gain, Reduce Some- Currently fluctuating around R1592-R1594
- After my 05-May idea to buy, CPI is higher 6.2%
- From my initial, 29-March idea, it is higher by 14.8%.
- The price action remains strong, but for conservative traders: Reduce some of your position at these levels.
29/03 idea (trading view link):
05-May idea (trading view link):
Cup & Handle on CapitecJSE:CPI has formed a great cup and handle pattern on the day chart. It goes all the way back to December 2019 with the top of the cup being formed on the all-time high that was reached in December 2020. If we successfully break this high, I think we could see a really nice upward move from there.
Capitec BankCurrent Price: R1499
I understand that you may 'hate' the share. I also understand that it's strength is perplexing amidst a potentially excessive fundamental valuation. I'm also NOT trying to be smarter than you as a fundamentalist who has a deeper understanding of the business but the chart structure suggests a consolidation base and the potential for a break to the upside. Note the price trading on it's Pivot (P), with a bull flag (some work to do) where prior resistance of R1450 has turned to support. A daily close above R1520 sets us up for the next level while a close below R1440 invalidates the idea. Both the RSI and MACD are in bullish regimes while the price has started to shift 'away' from it's near-term 50-day EMA. Traders can also go long on a break of the bull flag, with a target range of R1610 to R1640 and R1700 at an extension. Stop-loss: R1422
Capitec Analysis Capitec seems to have hit a cap at R1500 and is currently caught between R1500 resistance and R1300 support. Its holding up pretty well as compared to the previous time the share price was at this level. It seems there is a general consensus in the market that this is a comfortable price level for the share. A decent time to buy as well. Better to buy in closer to the R1300 mark though. If the previous are anything to go buy, we should eventually break R1500.
My thinking is Capitec is getting ready to leave the station. Capitec has been sitting on the bench at the station for a long time in its bull flag formation. Parhaps a close above 140 would mean its ready to buy its tickets and leave on the long road?
* Weekly
- Stochastic has short period crossing, as well as MACD
* Daily
- Just Just touching the trend line - first real break attempt (Don't know if we need a little more oomph to pull it off)?
- MACD Already crossed - yet in the negative half still
- Stochastic is moving up.
I would wait for a clear breakout.
Please, guys - this is my very first idea, please comment and help with the analysis - as I'm still very new at this!
Would love to hear your thoughts?
B