Our opinion on the current state of INVLTD(INL)Investec (INL) operates as a specialist bank and asset manager in South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and several other countries. Over the past four years, Investec shares have faced pressure due to Brexit in the UK. However, the decision to separately list its asset management division as Ninety-One has unlocked shareholder value, which is becoming more evident as the pandemic is brought under control. One of Ninety-One’s major challenges has been to convince investors of its international asset management capabilities, beyond being seen as primarily a South African play.
Investec is targeting high-net-worth clients with annual incomes of at least GBP300,000 and assets of at least GBP3 million. The company currently has about 6,000 such clients and aims to grow this to 9,000. Investec distributed 15% of its shares in Ninety-One to shareholders and retained 10%.
In its results for the year ending 31st March 2024, Investec reported a 13.4% increase in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue of GBP2.09 billion, up from GBP1.99 billion. Assets under management (AUM) grew by 5.5% to GBP20.9 billion, and the company repurchased R6.8 billion worth of its own shares on the market.
In a trading statement for the six months to 30th September 2024, Investec estimated that headline earnings per share (HEPS) would range between 1.4% lower and 3.5% higher than the previous period. The company stated that the prior period's results were positively impacted by the net gain from the UK Wealth & Investment combination with Rathbones, which was partially offset by the effects of Burstone's deconsolidation and the amortisation of intangible assets related to the Rathbones combination in the current period.
Technically, Investec shares are in a strong upward trend, which is expected to continue. Trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.72 and offering a dividend yield (DY) of 4.81%, the share is considered under-valued among blue-chip companies listed on the JSE. It is expected to continue performing well going forward.
INL trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of INVLTD(INL)Investec (INL) does specialist banking and asset management in South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and a few other countries. Brexit in the UK has put pressure on Investec shares over the past four years. The decision to separately list its asset management division in the form of Ninety-One has unlocked shareholder value, which is becoming more apparent now that the pandemic is coming under control. The new listing's major challenge has been to convince investors that it is not a South African play but has international asset management capability.
The company is going after clients with an annual income of at least GBP300,000 a year and assets of at least GBP3 million. So far, they have about 6,000 clients but plan to increase this to 9,000. The company distributed 15% of its shares in Ninety-One and retained 10%.
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up 13.4% and revenue of GBP2.09 billion, up from GBP1.99 billion. Assets under management (AUM) increased 5.5% to GBP20.9 billion, and the company bought back R6.8 billion worth of its own shares in the market. Technically, the shares are in a strong upward trend, which we expect to continue. Trading at a P:E of 7.62 and a dividend yield (DY) of 5.10%, we believe that this share is undervalued among blue chip companies trading on the JSE and that it will continue to perform well.
Our opinion on the current state of INLInvestec (INL) operates as a specialist banking and asset management firm with a global presence spanning South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and several other countries. Over the past four years, the company has faced pressure on its shares due to the uncertainties surrounding Brexit in the UK. However, Investec's decision to separately list its asset management division as Ninety-One has been instrumental in unlocking shareholder value, a trend that is becoming increasingly apparent as the effects of the pandemic subside.
The separate listing of Ninety-One posed a significant challenge for Investec, particularly in convincing investors of its international asset management capabilities rather than being solely reliant on the South African market. To expand its client base, Investec targets individuals with an annual income of at least GBP300,000 and assets exceeding GBP3 million. Currently, the company has approximately 6000 such clients and aims to increase this number to 9000.
In its latest financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2023, Investec reported a notable increase in headline earnings per share (HEPS) by 15.3%. Additionally, the company raised its credit loss impairment by 57.7% and conducted a share buyback worth R6.8 billion.
In a pre-close update for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Investec projected a further increase in HEPS ranging between 4.8% and 10.6%. The company highlighted that its UK business, including Rathbones Group, is expected to achieve adjusted operating profit growth of at least 15.0% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, the Southern African business anticipates adjusted operating profit to be at least 10.0% higher in Rands compared to the prior year.
From a technical standpoint, Investec's shares are on a strong upward trend, which is anticipated to continue. With a price-to-earnings ratio (P:E) of 7.62 and a dividend yield (DY) of 5.11%, the company appears undervalued among blue-chip companies trading on the JSE. Given these factors, Investec is poised to continue its strong performance in the market.
Our opinion on the current state of INLInvestec (INL) does specialist banking and asset management in South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and a few other countries. Brexit in the UK has put pressure on Investec shares over the past 4 years. The decision to separately list its asset management division in the form of Ninety-One has unlocked shareholder value, which is becoming more apparent now that the pandemic is coming under control. The new listing's major challenge has been to convince investors that it is not a South African play but has international asset management capability. The company is going after clients with an annual income of at least GBP300 000 a year and assets of at least GBP3m. So far, they have about 6000 but plan to increase this to 9000. The company distributed 15% of its shares in Ninety One and retained 10%. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 15,3% and increased its credit loss impairment by 57,7%. The company bought back R6,8bn worth of its own shares. Technically the shares are in a strong upward trend which expect to continue. Trading at a P:E of 7,3 and a dividend yield (DY) of 5,33%, we believe that this share is under-valued among blue chip companies trading on the JSE and that it will continue to perform well.
Our opinion on the current state of INLInvestec (INL) does specialist banking and asset management in South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and a few other countries. Brexit in the UK has put pressure on Investec shares over the past 4 years. The decision to separately list its asset management division in the form of Ninety-One has unlocked shareholder value, which is becoming more apparent now that the pandemic is coming under control. The new listing's major challenge has been to convince investors that it is not a South African play but has international asset management capability. The company is going after clients with an annual income of at least GBP300 000 a year and assets of at least GBP3m. So far, they have about 6000 but plan to increase this to 9000. The company distributed 15% of its shares in Ninety One and retained 10%. In its results for the year to 31st March 2023 the company reported operating income up 14% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 25,3%. The company said, "Funds under management (FUM) decreased 4.5% to £61.0 billion (FY2022: £63.8 billion) largely reflecting the unfavourable market movements. Net inflows were £377 million, with £810 million inflows in discretionary FUM partly offset by £433 million net outflows in non-discretionary FUM". In an update on the 5 months to 31st August 2023 the company reported the rand fell by 19% against the GBP and the company spent R6,7bn on a share buy back scheme. In the 6 months to 30th September 2023 the company estimated that HEPS will be between 14% and 17,2% higher. The company said, "Revenue growth was supported by continued success in our client acquisition strategies, a higher interest rate environment and balance sheet growth". Technically the shares are in a strong upward trend which expect to continue. Trading at a P:E of 8,02 and a dividend yield (DY) of 5%, we believe that this share is under-valued among blue chip companies trading on the JSE and that it will continue to perform well.
$JSEINL - Investec Ltd: How Much Bigger Can The Correction Get?See link below for original analysis.
Two things played out since my last coverage:
1-the market topped out not too long after the analysis.
2-we got a clear MACD divergence between wave (3) & (5).
The correction hasn't been aggressive and I am looking at it as a potential zigzag pattern.
Wave (A) & (B) look complete so now the question is how much lower can wave (C) go?
This zigzag outlook will be invalidated by a break above 11828.
Our opinion on the current state of INLInvestec (INL) does specialist banking and asset management in South Africa, Australia, Europe, the UK, and a few other countries. Brexit in the UK has put pressure on Investec shares over the past 4 years. The decision to separately list its asset management division in the form of Ninety-One has unlocked shareholder value, which is becoming more apparent now that the pandemic is coming under control. The new listing's major challenge has been to convince investors that it is not a South African play but has international asset management capability. The company is going after clients with an annual income of at least GBP300 000 a year and assets of at least GBP3m. So far, they have about 6000 but plan to increase this to 9000. The company distributed 15% of its shares in Ninety One and retained 10%. In its results for the year to 31st March 2023 the company reported operating income up 14% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 25,3%. The company said, "Funds under management (FUM) decreased 4.5% to £61.0 billion (FY2022: £63.8 billion) largely reflecting the unfavourable market movements. Net inflows were £377 million, with £810 million inflows in discretionary FUM partly offset by £433 million net outflows in non-discretionary FUM". In an update on the 5 months to 31st August 2023 the company reported the rand fell by 19% against the GBP and the company spent R6,7bn on a share buy back scheme. In the 6 months to 30th September 2023 the company estimated that HEPS will be between 6% and 12% higher. The company said, "Revenue growth was supported by continued success in our client acquisition strategies, a higher interest rate environment and balance sheet growth". Technically the shares are in a strong upward trend which expect to continue. Trading at a P:E of 7,88 and a dividend yield (DY) of 5,09%, we believe that this share is under-valued among blue chip companies trading on the JSE and that it will continue to perform well.
INL: price action tests key levelA price action above 10300 supports a bullish trend direction.
Further confirmation for a break above 10700.
The target price is set at 112000 or its 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop-loss price is set at 9800.
Remains above its 200-day simple moving average.
Upcoming earnings make the trade idea risky.
Investec looking strong for upside to R126.66W Formation formed (small but evident).
The price has broken above the neckline, showing strong buying and demand.
The indicators look good for upside on the peripheral.
7>21 - bullish
Price>200MA
RSI>50
1st Target R126.66
ABOUT:
Investec Limited was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Investec is a diversified financial services company, offering a range of products and services including asset management, wealth management, and specialist banking.
The company operates in three main geographies: South Africa, the United Kingdom, and Australia.
Investec has a strong reputation for innovation and has been recognized for its entrepreneurial approach to financial services.
In 2020, Investec had a revenue of ZAR 23.3 billion (approximately USD 1.7 billion) and employed over 10,000 people worldwide.
TRADE UPDATE: Investec Plc not looking good but the 200MA ...Cup and Handle formed on a larger scale.
21>7 - Bearish
Price >200SMA - Bullish
RSI >50 -lower highs - Cautious
1st Target R142.49
Unfortunately, it's not looking good for the trade. It's close to the Stop loss.
It's for this reason I lowered the stop loss level below the 200MA. An order block formed which created Sell Side LIquidity. This is where Smart Money comes in and sweeps in all the sells (Buyers - stops) and Shorters (entries).
So if Smart Money is buying into this, we could get some upside. But like I said the trend has turned down and we mustn't get our hopes up.
INL: bullish price action unfolding?A price action above 11200 supports a bullish trend direction.
The ideal price entry is also as close as possible to this level.
Increase exposure for a break above 11500.
The target price is set at 11800.
Stop-loss is set at 11100.
Remains a risky trade.
The expectation is for the price action to progress to the upper range of the inclining channel pattern.
$JSEINL - Investec Ltd: Be Wary Of The Five Wave AdvanceInvestec has had a stellar run since bottoming in March 2020.
Group results for the six months ended 30 September 2022 (1H2023) saw revenue growth of 18.9% which benefitted from rising global interest rates.
Investec also had a positive outlook for 2H2023 and I will be keeping a lookout for trading statements and updates as the company approaches its financial year end.
While it is difficult to keep track of all key fundamental drivers, one thing we can certainly do is look at the charts for clues about the future.
The market structure for Investec is textbook Elliott Wave.
Wave (1) was a small rally and wave (3) was extended, followed by a strong correction for wave (4).
Investec is currently in the fifth and final wave of an impulse advance and as much as the share can keep going higher, one needs to exercise caution now.
The MACD has yet to make a new high relative to wave (3) and looks to be decelerating, creating a potential bearish divergence setup.
It is too early to call a top but there are early signs that it is close.
INL - Time To Consider Reducing?The majority of my research insights are published for clients and occasionally highlighted on this platform. To become a regular recipient of my research, including trade ideas, get in touch with me today for a brief discussion.
This post was first published on my website, earlier this evening:
The weekly and monthly charts have played a pivotal role in helping me assess the bigger picture and find long term trading/investment opportunities.
Two years ago, during February 2021, my analysis of Investec's weekly price chart suggested potential for upside over the medium term. My target price was conservative, taking the position of 'under-promise and over-deliver'.
From a price of 4109c at the time, we have since seen the share appreciate by 182% over the 24 months.
The original slide (timestamped) from my report has been added below:
Reviewing the chart this past weekend, I have noticed the following:
The share continues to trend higher, having emerged from it's multi-year base, while the upward momentum has been very strong.
What I have also noticed is the share price distance from it's 200-week moving average. At current levels, the share trades 83% above the 200w SMA, while is the most extended level since 2007. Also note the minor bearish distance divergence i.e. a higher high on the price vs a lower high on the MA.
Investec still showing great upside to come to R120.57 Falling Wedge is still in play with Investec.
We see 7>21 SMA - Bullish
Price >200SMA - Bullish
RSI >50 -lower highs - Cautious
1st Target R120.57
General Info:
Investec is a South African-based financial services company listed on the (JSE) in 2002.It operates not only in SA but also in the United Kingdom, and Australia and has a wide range of services including banking, wealth and investment management, and asset management.
There are also investment options including equity and fixed income funds, private equity, property and infrastructure funds.
INL - 1D INVESTEC LTDInvestec has had a good run, and although stochastics shows overbought i think it still has some way to go. Short term EMA'S have crossed as well as the MACD. It has closed on a new high on the weekly chart, and if it opens the week in strength i will enter a trade targeting the 120 - 121 region. Stop at 103.