Don't be a still trader!“Timon, I’ve been following your trading tips for the last 12 years and I STILL haven’t taken my first trade." But I will soon trade...
Soon?
Like tomorrow? Next week or in the next 12 years?
Procrastination is the thief of time. I hate clichés but I love that saying.
#1: STILL not ready for losses
I think most people don’t want to take losses.
They are seen as small failures or small fractures to a person’s pride and bank account.
Whether you’re running a business, a household or a trading portfolio – there are going to be oopsies.
So how do we deal with the idea of taking losses?
Well, don’t think of them as losses.
Think about them as costs…
When you run a business you have to pay costs – equipment, stock, admin, salaries, legalities etc…
When you run a household you have to pay costs – electricity, water, take the trash out, taxes and repairs.
When you run your trading account you have to pay costs – Losing trades and drawdowns…
You pay costs with everything in life, and so it shouldn’t be any different with trading…
Instead of calling them losses – call them ‘costs of trading’. Helpful?
#2: STILL no right system
This one is common.
You don’t know what the right system is for you.
You’ve tried a couple of moving averages, indicators, price action even volume.
Nothing seems to work for you yet… I don’t have a correct answer for you, but I can tell you with how I found my system.
I wanted something that didn’t require too much thinking, little indicators, worked on all time frames, was easy to back and forward test and is timeless.
And it took me years until I finally found a system that you see here in TradingView.
So ask yourself exactly what you want in a system and drill down each detail that matches your current lifestyle and times…
Just maybe, the answer will stand out for you better.
#3: STILL Not making money
Now this is ambiguous.
If you end up positive for the year, you’re making money.
If you’re not happy with how much money you’re up for the year, that’s different.
It’s all relative.
Step one is to make sure your portfolio is positive by the end of the year.
Then it’s a numbers game as to what your portfolio should be to make more of an income.
But first make sure you’re in the positive before you play with Mr Market.
#4: STILL Making excuses
The only thing I can add to this is the wonderful comfort zone of doing nothing.
It’s safe, it’s consistent and we’re used to it.
But if you are constantly thinking of wanting to trade and build your wealth on a regular basis – it tells me you’re ready but not ready to leave your comfort zone.
You got to pull up your socks and just START. The hardest step to trading is taking your first step.
I hope these tips will help you shake off the STILLness that’s lurking inside you, so you can achieve greatness.
J200 trade ideas
Why is trading NOT working for me?!Even with the right markets, time frames, systems, rules and ideas…
Trading is just not playing out you the way you thought it would.
It’s not growing your portfolio at the rate you wished…
It’s taking forever to get right…
It’s overwhelming and you don’t know which strategy to choose…
From my experience this is because of one reason.
You’re not treating trading for what it is…
Let’s REMIND you…
TRADING IS… A fun hobby
Trading isn’t a tiring job where you need to sit for hours countlessly looking at a screen.
It’s also not a job where you need to be cramped up in a cold room, sitting on an uncomfortable chair, wearing a suffocating ‘noose’ I mean tie, around your neck while you’re waiting for the next pay-cheque.
If that was the case, I would have stopped trading 19 years ago.
Trading should be treated as a fun hobby.
With this hobby…
You don’t need a lot of time (half an hour a week will do just fine).
You don’t need a lot of effort. (Just a few click of the buttons and a few simple grade-8 maths calculations).
You don’t need to worry and stress yourself out. (Opportunities come every day, you can manage your own risk and no one is watching over your shoulder.)
In other words this is one opportunity which will give you:
More free time, Less work and a hobby that will consistently pay you.
TRADING IS… A patience game
When you’re enjoying a hobby, you look forward to doing it the next day.
It’s like anything you enjoy…
Watching TV, playing sports, eating your favourite snacks or even having sex…
You’ll adapt, incorporate and most importantly look forward to the next time you do it.
And the more you do it, the more you’ll improve, the better you’ll get and the easier it will become.
Trading is a patience game.
The longer you spend the time and days working on it and improving, the faster, better, and more powerful of a trader you will become.
And this will lead to one outcome – Financial Independence.
TRADING IS… Ever evolving
This isn’t your run on the mill, rat-race kind of hobby.
This is one heck of an interesting, exciting and thrilling activity that changes so quickly.
Every day, week, month and year you’ll to learn a ton of trading tips and lessons.
That’s because the markets are always, changing, evolving, adapting and are even suprising…
They evolve with:
Ever-changing market conditions.
New financial markets added to the exchanges.
New created instruments to incorporate i.e. Crypto- currencies, ETFs, CFDs etc…
New mega-trends driving new global demand i.e. AI, Machine learning, Electric cars, Cannabis, NFTs, Smart contracts and Extended Mixed Reality.
TRADING IS… A lonely journey
This is one hobby, where YOUR success entirely depends on YOU.
This won’t work if you’re asking your family, friends, dogs and even strangers for their opinions on what to buy and sell.
This won’t work if you’re listening to the random billionaire analyst on Bloomberg talking about what they have in their portfolios.
This won’t work if you’re scrolling on Facebook for an individual’s trading prediction. (INCLUDING MINE).
No! With your system, your money and your time – You need to trade alone and on your own terms…
You know what will make you money?
Taking more trades according to YOUR criteria.
Listening to YOUR rules according to YOUR strategy.
Spending more of YOUR time, improving on executing trades well.
Notice the word YOUR… Not others, not him, not her – YOU…
So take trading for what it is and enjoy the process.
TRADING IS… A fun hobby
TRADING IS… A patience game
TRADING IS… Ever evolving
TRADING IS… A lonely journey
Don't let Captain Hindsight mess with your tradingCaptain Hindsight is bound to get in your head.
Whether you’re just starting out or you’ve been trading for the last 10 years or so.
He is going to question you with two simple words.
And these two words, can really cause a negative impact on your trading portfolio.
In this short article, I’m going to warn you about how he’s going to uppercut your mind and most likely cause havoc with your trading.
This way, you’ll know what to watch out for.
A dangerous two word question to interfere with your trading
What if?”
Here are some…
“What if the market is in a bubble and I buy too high?”
“What if I’m wrong about this trade?”
“What if my trading strategy worked then, but won’t work now?”
“What if the market is in a period where I’m just going to take losses?”
Whenever the captain whispers these questions, you’re going to feel vulnerable and start second guessing your trading system, strategy and skills.
Succumb to the Captain and he’ll be back stronger and more powerful than the last time.
Here are THREE ways to beat Captain Hindsight before he returns
ACTION #1:
Extend your back-testing
So you have a trading system that you believe works… Prove it.
Go back and re-test different markets and jot down every time the system lined up.
Record every trade, including the costs and the statistics and prepare yourself for what is to come.
The more you back-test your system, the more markets and environments it would have weathered and endured. If it came out with all time highs on your portfolio, it’s a winner.
Captain Hindsight – won’t have anything on you – with a decent track record…
ACTION #2:
Drop your risk
The most common way for a trader to feel emotional, is when they have a lot to lose.
The larger your trading position, the more desire to win and the more fear you’ll have to lose.
This is why greed, fear and panic are the most ongoing reasons for traders to annihilate their portfolios.
Trading is a get rich slowly but surely game. And when you accept the gains and losses, you won’t care what the Captain has to say.
ACTION #3:
Step away from the screen
Not only will Captain Hindsight creep in before you take a trade. He’s bound to enter your mind while you’re in the trade.
“What if you’re wrong about this one?”
“What if you get out of your trade now while you’re in a profit?”
“What if you take a small loss, because it looks like this trade is a loser?”
The best action to take, when you’ve entered your trade with your trading levels (Entry, Stop loss and Take profit), is step away from your trading account.
Distract yourself by getting a drink, water your garden, take a drive or do other work.
The less you’re glued to the screen watching your trades, the less you’re going to feel worried about the small moves that happen in the day.
Always remind yourself…
“My trading strategy will REWARD me for following it.
My trading strategy will PUNISH me for NOT following it.”
These three actions will eventually help you beat Captain Hindsight for good, as it did for me over 20 years ago.
25 Metrics to a Perfect Trading Journal First let’s begin with…
What is a trading journal?
This is a log book where you plot every trade you make with the metrics to show how your portfolio is performing and will continue to do so.
I’m going to briefly list the items you’ll need to track your trading performance.
25 Items to plot in your trading journal…
The trade No.
The market traded (stock, index, crypto…)
The entry date for your trade
The exit date for your trade
No. of days held
Current portfolio value
Max risk per trade (currency)
Max risk % per trade
Initial margin per instrument (CFD Spread betting)
No. Volume traded
The reason for entry
Total margin paid
Type of trade (Long / Short)
Entry price
Take profit price
Stop loss price
Closing price
Risk in trade (Entry – Stop loss)
Move in trade (close)
Interest costs
Brokerage costs
Gearing
Trade exposure (In and Out)
Gross P+L
Net P+L
Don’t waste your time with calculations. Make sure you have the journal and log book with all formulas in each item. …
When you record these details, you’ll be able to keep up to date with whether your portfolio is profitable and sustainable for the long run and where it’s lacking.
Hope that helps!
What is Holding You Back Trader?So you want to trade, but just not taking action.
You’re on the computer and so close to taking a trade or opening an account with a broker.
The button is right there.
And yet, it feels like there’s a wall between your finger and the button.
I get it.
It’s a big step to take when you know you’re entering into uncharted financial waters.
You know risk is involved… You know time is needed. And you know education is crucial.
And yet you’re still hesitant.
In this article, we’ll pinpoint what is holding you back from creating your financial freedom as a trader.
REASON #1:
You’re talking more than doing
This is a big one.
Maybe you’ve been reading trading and investing articles for years now.
And yet, you keep finding excuses to not take action.
1. “I’ll start next month”
2. “I’ll wait for the market to correct before I trade”
3. “I’m stressed with work and family”
Listen…
Life is going to continue with new problems, stresses and issues.
And this will extend your delays and increase the number of excuses you’ll make with any new hobby.
You just need to start doing, and the rest will take care of itself.
And you’ll find you’ll feel more accomplished and proud of the fact, you took action.
REASON #2:
You’re concerned of the short term
Every trader I know wants their first trade and month to be profitable.
I was the same. In 2003, I bought a bunch of Anglo Gold shares.
I felt so much panic because I wanted it to be a winner. I didn’t think of the long term effects.
Let me tell you, I don’t even remember my first winner. I’ve taken thousands of trades and I’ll tell you, the first trade is over looked and felt.
When you have a proven trading strategy, you lose interest in what a few trades will do for your portfolio.
You keep your eye on the long term rewards.
REASON #3:
You are scared of losing
This is one humble game, where the market takes a little and gives back to you and then some.
It’s all down to one simple method – Risk and reward.
You’re in a calculations game now, where you need to lose in order to win.
Embrace the losses and own them as you would with any business costs or overheads.
REASON 4#:
You’re waiting for the right time
What does that mean?
Are you waiting for enough money?
You never start with a lot of money as a trader. You test, you learn and you gain experience.
I guarantee you blow more money on a holiday, on petrol and at restaurants than the amount you’ll lose as a start up and humble trader.
Are you waiting for the right time?
There are thousands of markets that are either in uptrend, downtrends or sideways trends everyday. There is never the right time to get into trading.
Why? Because it’s always the right time.
REASON 5#:
You’re too busy to start
I’m sure this article has helped open your eyes to a new spectrum of reasons why you’re holding back.
Stop talking, start doing.
You do have enough money to start trading.
You have more than enough time
You need to lose, to win.
Nobody is ever too busy to not pursue their dreams and create their freedom.
Got it? So stop holding back and listening to some imaginary voice inside your head
Risk Less money in Drawdowns. More money in winning streaksA drawdown is a period of decline in the value of a portfolio. This is where you take a number of trades, and the losses drop the portfolio at a marginal level (if you know what you’re doing).
During these times, the market is typically more volatile (jumpy) and unpredictable.
And so you have a higher chance to risk money in unfavourable times.
Risk less with drawdowns
When your portfolio drops 6%, 8% or even 11% - This is where you’re not sure when the market will become more favourable.
This is the time where you decide to risk less money per trade.
You would drop the risk from 3%, 2% to 1.5% or even 1%.
Then keep trading until the markets pick up and start to favour your portfolio…
Once you’re out of the drawdown then…
Risk more money with the winning streak
During the winning streaks, the market is typically more stable and predictable, and the chances of making a profit are higher.
You can then pump up the risk back to 2% or 3% (if you’re a risky biscuit).
When do you do this?
When your portfolio is either BACK to an all-time-high. Or when you can see the market has broken out of the sideways consolidation and volatile period.
Risk management is an important aspect of successful investing, and adjusting the amount of money being invested based on market conditions is one strategy that can help investors achieve their financial goals.
By risking less money during drawdowns and more money during winning streaks, you as the trader can lower your potential losses and maximize your potential gains.
Humble yourself or the markets willAs a trader, you must approach the market with humility and an understanding that you are at its mercy.
And so you need to remember that the market, doesn't know you, doesn't care about you, and doesn't work to reward you.
Let’s break that down.
The Market Doesn't Know You
The financial market (Mr. Market) is a complex and dynamic system that is influenced by a multitude of factors.
These factors are beyond our control and are pretty much impossible to predict.
As a trader, you need to remember that the market doesn't know you, isn’t out to get you and that your success or failure is not a personal reflection of your worth.
The Market Doesn't Care About You
It can be tempting to think that the market is out to get us and that every loss is a direct result of our own mistakes.
However, the market doesn't care about us as individual.
They don’t have some personal vendetta against us.
Every trade is simply a result of supply and demand dynamics along with risk, reward and probabilities.
We must accept that sometimes the market will work against us, no matter how skilled or experienced we are.
The Market Doesn't Work to Reward You
There is such high competition with trading.
This environment is very high-pressured.
It sometimes feels like we are in some race to make as much money as possible.
However, it is important to remember that the market doesn't work to reward us.
As a trader, you must be humble and understand that success in the markets takes time, patience, and you must be willing to learn from your mistakes.
Also need to approach each and every trade with a level-headed and open-minded perspective.
Focus on this, and you you’ll make which will help us to make better decisions and increase our chances of success.
Why You Need Humble Pie as a TraderHere's why you need to be a humble trader.
REASON #1:
Humility is required for losing
I’ve mentioned this for the last 20 years. And nothing has changed.
We are NOT in the trading game to be right.
We are in this process, to follow a proven and winning strategy in order to grow our trading accounts over time.
Not in a week, not in a month and not even in a quarter.
It is our job to take the trades, bank the medium sized gains and take the small losses along the way.
There should be no ego with expecting a trade or a sequence of trades to be right.
If you want to be right, go become a lawyer, accountant, swimmer or find another hobby.
REASON #2:
Humility betters your trading strategy process
It can also be tempting to try to change the system. This is where you act on impulse, bank a premature winner or cut a loss quickly.
This does nothing to your strategy except turn it into a discretionary, non-tested and a temporary winner in the short term.
But in the long run, when the markets rectify and become more favourable your winning, your strategy will stop working.
Instead, rather focus on your system, improve on your entries, look for conducive markets and master execution.
Your portfolio’s results will then take care of itself.
REASON #3:
Humility is not trying to avoid drawdowns
You need to be humble enough to believe your carefully proven strategy ‘knows’ better than your short-term ‘wise-guy’ ideas.
It’s not your job to avoid drawdowns (sequence of losses).
It is your job to manage your drawdowns with structured and consistent methods.
I have three strategies with drawdowns:
1. Trade your Equity Curve (portfolio) to know when to pause trading
2. Drop the level of risk per trade
3. Look for only high probability trades on other markets
REASON 4#:
Humility highlights your weaknesses
You have to be honest as a trader.
You can’t keep thinking you’re best at every aspect of trading.
Break down the processes including (Markets allocation, Methods and systems, Money and risk management and Mind and psychology).
Then ask yourself…
Where am I weak with trading and why?
Dig into your personality, traits and preferences.
Become vulnerable so you can see the truth where you may be lacking in your success.
Here are some thoughts:
Do you convince yourself your trades are going to be winners?
Do you look for confirmation signals that you don’t need to worry, when your trades move against you?
Are you scared your ego will be hurt from taking losses?
Are you only looking at a few markets because you’re scared to branch into international markets?
Are you feeling old to the point you don’t have time to make slow money as a trader?
Find your vulnerabilities, then look for solutions or research on how to improve them.
Treat the market with respect and you’ll find the answers you need to win.
Final words:
Trading is not a race – work on your own time line.
Trading might sound like an easy hobby, and it is.
But you first need to overcome your demons in order to streamline the process.
I tell you this because…
You need to be humble as a trader, or the markets will humble you!
1 Sentence that will RUIN you as a traderWhat if I told you, it can take one sentence to blow it as a trader.
Say it once and you’ll set a ripple effect.
Before you know it, you’ve given up and leave the trading journey with pure frustration…
Wanna know what this one sentence is?
“I’ll take the next trade”.
Yep that’s it!
When you have a winning trading strategy, with strict entry, risk and exit levels – you are no longer the boss.
You are a worker. And your job is to follow your job description or risk losing your job.
Think about it… The system works with or without you. And if you follow it, you’ll generate a stable and consistent income.
So, it is not your place to decide which trades you feel you want to take or not.
Think about your back and forward tested statistics. Do you think there’s a robot that says…
“Mmm let’s skip that trade my feelings tell me it’ll be wrong.”
No, it records each and every trade one the criteria lines up.
Here are some ridiculous examples of where traders don’t take trades.
“It’s my birthday and I don’t want to lose money”.
“I have banked 5 winning trades and I feel the next trade will be a loser’.
“I’m on a losing streak and I don’t feel like taking another loser”.
“Oooh I’m not going to take a trade, Elon Musk just tweeted ‘stock trading is over rated'”.
And I can go on and on…
So why will that one sentence ruin you as a trader?
Here it is again: “I’ll take the next trade”.
Reason #1:
You’ll keep looking for the perfect trade
Not only will you choose the trades you take, but you’ll also lose the confidence in the trading system and yourself whenever the next trade lines up.
Reason #2:
You’ll do it again and again
You’ll set a precedent for not following your trading setups in the future.
Reason #3:
You won’t be able to keep a strong track record
You won’t be able to jot down your trades with accuracy in your trading journal.
Reason #4:
Your emotions will get the better of you
You’ll start thinking that you know better and refuse to accept the inevitable losses that come with trading.
Remember, nothing in life that is rewarding comes without some degree of risk.
By taking every trade your strategy yields, you’ll get to the point where you’ll enter into a long-term state of certainty and confidence with your trading.
10,000 Hours to Master Trading?Welcome to another Trading Myth Buster’s episode.
This is where I take the old adages and see if we can bust them or not.
Today’s adage goes to…
“You need 10,000 hours to master something”.
Let’s first break this up into how many days this will take.
If you practise an art of something for 30 minutes a day…
10,000 hours equates to 300,000 minutes.
We then divide that by 30 minutes and of course we get 10,000 days.
Divide that by 365, and here’s how long it will take you to master something…
Drum roll…
27 years!
However, most professionals practise 8 to 10 hours a day – hence them being able to master the art in a short time.
This is definitely plausible if you want to be a professional ballet dancer, golfer, cricketer, rugby player and even a chess champion.
But no ways in hell, should it take that long to learn how to trade.
I am just the exception but it’s because of what was available when I started…
So please bear with me, on this side note…
In 2003, when I started, it took me 10s of thousands of hours and years and years, to learn how to be a successful trader.
This is because of a number of reasons:
I spent two years studying both technical and fundamental analysis
Each year I learnt and adapted a new trading strategy
I back-tested and forward tested countless systems
I had no one to show me the way
I made unnecessary and timely mistakes
Charting platforms and education were extremely limited
I traded from morning up until 4am trading different markets
I went back to the drawing board trying to find what works, year in and year out
I entered into limbo mode for three years living in doubt and thinking trading was a scam
So as you can see, I wasted thousands of hours of finding out HOW NOT TO TRADE…
Made countless mistakes and wasted a ton of money – without having someone to direct me.
But I pushed through it all and eventually found my feet one day.
And so, yes it took me a lot longer than what it should have.
So how many hours do you need to learn HOW TO TRADE?
If a trader follows a path of a successful trader and method, it should not take more than 10 months to get their feet off the ground.
Here’s how I calculated this time for learning to trade:
#: 1 Month – Learn the basics to advanced theory
#: 1 Week – Adapt and learn a proven and trusted trading strategy
#: 1 Week – Back-test and journal 20 trades with different markets
#: 4 Months – Forward test 20 trades with the proven strategy using a demo-account
#: 4 Months – Real test 20 trades using a proven trading strategy with a LIVE (real money) account
Here’s how to follow the foot-steps of successful traders
The above is how to master the art of trading on your own…
But having said that, you’ll still most definitely need to learn the mechanics of:
How to trade CFDs
How to take a trade
How to adapt money management rules
How to develop the mind of a successful trader
This is a subjective and introspection journey that you need to run your own marathon. Take your time, go with your own energy and day by day you'll get closer to achieving your trading goals.
And the more you do it, the quicker and more effortless it will become.
How to be a LASER Trader!Rinse and repeat.
That’s it…
It’s one simple little acronym you’ll never forget…
Ready?
LASER your TRADES
1: Look
The first thing you’ll need to do, is to go through your watchlist very quickly.
A watch list is a list of markets you’ll LOOK through when finding trades.
These markets can range from anything including shares, indices, commodities, currencies and crypto-currencies.
When you have your watch list, you’ll go through the list and get a feel for how the markets have moved for the day.
Example:
Before I trade anything, I LOOK at the JSE All Share 40 stocks that are in my watch list.
I then run through them briefly to see how the markets are performing.
2: Analyse
The second round of going through your watch list, is where you’ll look for specific trading setups.
Whether you trade using price action, patterns, indicators, volume etc…
This is where you’ll ANALYSE the charts individually.
Also with this step you’ll write down potential trades that are lining up.
3: Setup
The third step is to go back to the markets that you’ve written down – which you’re looking to trade.
You’ll then do your simple trading calculations and place your chart SETUPS so you can see where your trading levels are.
EXAMPLE:
If I see a trade that’s lined up, I’ll draw horizontal levels showing where my entry, Stop loss (risk) and take profit (reward) levels are…
I like to use:
Blue for entry
Red for stop loss
Green for take profit
4: Execute
You’re ready to JUST TAKE THE TRADE!
And then you’ll place your entry, stop loss and take profit levels. You’ll choose how many CFDs you’ll need to buy according to your money management rules.
And then hit trade!
5: Record
As soon as you’ve successfully taken the trade, head over to your journal (excel document) and record your trade transaction.
That’s how to be a LASER Trader…
And on a daily or weekly basis, you’ll repeat those steps…
JSE40: Finally it has runout of steamJSE40 has run made gains of 9.67% in January, the average yearly gain is 12%. It's way to early for the current gains, RSI is extremely overbought and the rising trendline is too steep. I expect a significant pullback over the next few days. We already went short at 75144 and we expect a minimum of 3000 points.
Investing and Trading Should be Easy!My Background
I was a young man working for an Insurance company and being a quiet trouble-maker with a healthy affinity for analysis of numbers, I was thrust into a position that fed this desire to the max. My boss then told me, "Runya in this job you must have a sixth sense, insurance agents earn commission and if they get a chance to falsify numbers to get paid they will do it, you are the gate keeper". Those days insurance agents would put fake business through, get paid and the claw back (recouping paid commission) would be few months later. Some would then abscond starting a lengthy process or using current commission to recover the monies. It was at this point that I also became interested in representing workers, Zimbabwe at the time was going through hyper-inflation so salary increases were a seriously contested area, the employees needed me for my analytical skills, to corner the employer and show why they could afford the 100-200% salary increase. It is in the debates with company executives that we always ended up scrutinizing what money was invested and where. The bulk was in the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange, those days shares were moving hundreds of percent. With our meagre salaries we jumped into the money making machine, everyone was trying to beat inflation and beat the exchange rate. Buy today, sell a week later with 2000% profit and hope by time funds cleared you would be able to buy the US dollar making a gain. I remember the adrenalin rush, it was insane. Often we lost the battle waiting for funds to clear forcing us to buy again.
The Money Lesson
See as a child my father died, I could tell at his funeral that he was a notable employee at the national airline, pilots, general managers all came to pay last respects. Later I learnt he had worked hard, to each child he left a sizable amount of money. We all had bank accounts where funds were put, the bank was called Post Office Savings Bank (POSB). In today's money it would have been several thousands. We let that money sit in a savings account and at that time the economy was undergoing structural adjustment guided by IMF, inflation was ravaging this money so much that within 2 years it was all gone. What followed was substantial suffering to near destitution. Though I was young, the experience from plenty to nothing was rather intriguing. Trauma leaves a mark on all of us, with me being introverted meant I digested things long after they had reason to be at the back of my mind.
Back to insurance, I was now able to piece together how money worked. The confusion of childhood was now finding answers. It was like the universe conspired to put me in a place where my confusion would be solved. I also got a front row view of the monster called inflation and the unfairness of the pension and retirement management companies. While we argued to be paid fairly, management would tell us the money sitting on the balance sheet was for policy holders. On the other hand the same policy holders who had put hundreds of dollars, some from as far back as 1980s, were being told their policy value was not enough to afford a loaf of bread. Many would not travel to claim the matured policies for they would spend more in transport charges that the payout. So it happened that insurers saw the paper obligation go to zero, while the assets purchased by premiums from those paper contracts multiplied to match inflation. Long story short, policies got wiped out, insurers gained assets with no obligations tied to them, it was a sad situation.
Into the Markets
I started doing analysis, the very basic, buy low and hold, sell at a profit. I have analyzed some great opportunities where I could have turned $200 into $20,000. But I saw them and said I would act on them later, later I never got the change but serious regret as that money would have saved me a recession. I lost my job abruptly during the Great Financial Crisis. By 2017 I went back to the markets, I knew my greatness was in there, I strongly believed I could teach people to be careful, to think of their pensions and manage them differently especially in Africa. I put a lot of time into studying, listened to many hours of Anton Kriel, he sounded convincing being an ex-Goldman Sachs employee. I listened to the likes of Lance Beggs who traded by the minute and the likes of Rayner Teo whose ways were an adrenalin rush. I thought I was ready, read the candle patterns and bed on them. It didn't turn out so well, I lost something close to $10,000. Being an introvert, adrenalin was not doing me good, blood pressure spiked. I was losing more than I was gaining, everything was complicated on the right side of the chart, history is easy to read, telling the future was a wild animal, untamable.
The world of trading is complicated, one must find where their personality fit, some prefer to be glued to many screens constantly. I was not cut out for that clearly. I wanted some certainty so I can relax and not bother what price was going, if ever I did I would look quickly and finding a convincing reason why things were so. I started learning cycle analysis, I began solving for time rather than price. The things I learnt through earlier traders were great, I credit Lance Beggs for his comprehensive tutorial and candlestick patterns. But I felt I arrived when I came across Malcolm the cycle analyst. It was hard learning cycle analysis, having had many failed attempts, I was skeptical. The more I dug into it, the more it made sense. Today I use mostly cycle counts to determine price direction. In my trading ideas, I simplify it leaving out technical jargon so that the man on the street or just starting can follow, confirm and profit from the ideas.
Conclusion
The goal is to build a trading and investing system that anyone can use especially the financially illiterate. The misfortunes I suffered, I am certain I can save many from that kind of calamity. I have spent the past 3 years building data into Google Sheets, some semi-automated updates here and there. I like what I am building and by end of 2023 I want to be covering JSE, NYSE, ASX & LSE (FTSE). I believe what big corporates have made a complicated process, we must make it simple and if possible make money from there. In Africa money must not be dormant, it must not be subjected to buy and hold where one does Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) & pray after 10 years it will be twice or more. In Africa one must ensure money is always on a voyage, moving from profit in one market and into cheaper alternatives but ready to move towards profit. This is because the challenges in Africa tend towards economic bust, if one can use the limited time to build a war chest spread across major bourses, they can save themselves and many from poverty. I believe in innovation and that it can lift Africa somewhat from poverty, however only when we can turn our dollar into ten dollars can we think of putting five dollars into innovation. It begins with getting good returns relative to time. Slow but sure can work for others, we need speed to catch up. The ideas I share, I usually go over them and ensure I share where confidence levels are high. I used to share ideas before I was good, I saw many were not going as planned, I quit. It is great discomfort to share something that can lose a person money. So stay tuned as we try to disrupt the markets for Africa's sake. It's possible!
5 Reasons why others trade VS why I tradeIn the last 20 years, I always love asking this one question.
“Why do you want to trade?”
Have you ever written down the reasons why you want to become a trader and what your true motivations are?
When you answer this question, only then you’ll become more clear with the goals you wish to achieve and how to achieve them.
Here’s one clichéd answer, I don’t want you to write down…
“I want to make money”.
This answer is lazy, impersonal and it tells you and me nothing about who you are truly, deeply and emotionally.
If you think trading only teaches you one aspect of your life… I believe your eyes are still yet to be opened with the incredible possibilities that trading will bring you.
And so, in this article I’m going to share a few reasons for why people want to trade.
And then, I’ll share a few reasons why I trade…
Here are 5 reasons why people want to trade…
Reason #1: Diversification
“I want to diverse my portfolio with different asset classes. This way I can produce a stream of income through long-term investing via stocks and property, short term trading with Premium MATI Trader and medium term investing through index ETFs.”
Reason #2: Hobby
“I have spare time and money. And what better way than to spend my time trading and making an extra income while doing something I love?”
Reason #3: Monetizing my ‘down-time’
“I’ve earned the same income for the last seven years and now I want to earn an extra income during my off-hours too. For the first time in my life, trading has helped me make money while I’m watching Netflix and spending time with my wife”.
Reason #4: Invest for my family and kids
“Most people depend on portfolio managers and hedge funds to invest their money for their family. I’ve decided to trade the funds I have for my kids instead and take control of the growth of their inheritance through trading.”
Reason #5: Keeps me sharp and well-informed
“Trading might not be making me super rich yet, but I got to tell you this. It is keeping my brain sharp, well-informed and helps with my skills with decision making.”
These are some of the reasons I’ve heard, which have stuck.
Now I want to share with you five extra reasons why I trade…
5 Reasons why I trade!
My reason #1: FREEDOM – Earn your own income when you want
I want the freedom to trade and build an income stream on my own terms, times and conditions.
My reason #2: Independence – Be your own boss
Trading gives me the platform where I am responsible for my own trading results. This gives me full independence where I take pride with my own financial decisions.
It gives me the place where I can grow my portfolio in a way that suits my personality and risk profile to a T.
My reason #3: Extremely fun – New career
Trading is not a job… This means, you don’t have to do it… But rather it’s an extremely productive and fun hobby to make your free time work for you.
This hobby is not like sports or gym where your reward is more on the physical side.
Trading is where you gain many different mental skills and bank a consistent income once you get it right.
My reason #4: Mind control – Control your emotions
Trading well means you have to lose at times. and when you do, you need to be able to cut out the ego and ‘baby tantrum throwing side’ away.
You learn to grow up, develop a thicker skin and become a mature trader.
This is one of the greatest benefits to learning to trade. It gets to the point where, after you’ve taken hundreds of trades, whether you take a loss or bank a profit, you’ll stay content.
You embrace failure with open arms, because you know that it’s one step towards winning.
My reason #5: Life skills – You learn risk, rewards and probabilities
Once you have mastered the four elements to trading success (Markets, Methods, Money and Mind) you develop a very strong understanding of concepts like:
Risk & reward management and probabilities.
This won’t only apply to trading but to almost every aspect in your life. You start taking accountability of events into your life.
Predictions turn into probabilities.
Risk evolves into calculated acceptance. And you start to see things as they are, rather than what you want them to be…
SO WHY DO YOU WANT TO TRADE?