Our opinion on the current state of LIGHTHCAP(LTE)Lighthouse Capital (LTE) (previously Greenbay) was one of the Resilient group of REITs (real estate investment trusts) along with Resilient itself, Rockcastle, and Fortress. These companies were the subject of a damning report by 36One Asset Management, which stated that their share prices were too high due to their cross-shareholdings. Consequently, Lighthouse's share price (after a 20-for-1 consolidation in November 2018) fell from 5420c in December 2017 to as low as 688c in February 2019.
The CEO, Stephen Delport, indicated that going forward, the company will focus about 80% of its capital on owning market-beating investments in Europe. Clearly, by changing its name, Lighthouse is attempting to distance itself from the Resilient group of companies and establish itself as an independent property company. The Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) found that Lighthouse had not been involved in any price manipulation in the Resilient group. Later in September 2019, the FSCA found that there had been no wrongdoing by any of the members of the group at all.
Lighthouse held 882m shares in Hammerson worth about 405m euros on 3rd May 2021. On 14th May 2021, Resilient announced that its shareholding of Lighthouse had passed 35%, prompting a mandatory offer for the balance of Lighthouse's issued shares at 713c per share. On 12th August 2021, the company announced that it had raised R2,6bn in an oversubscribed bookbuild. The funds were to be used to purchase four shopping malls in France.
In its results for the year to 31st December 2023, the company reported a distribution of 2.7 euro cents compared with 3.25c in the previous period. The company's net asset value (NAV) was 42 euro cents compared with 40.5c in the previous period. The loan-to-value (LTV) was 14%. The company stated, "Lighthouse forecasts a distribution of 2.40 to 2.50 EUR cents per share for FY2024. The macroeconomic landscape continues to improve with inflation abating and short-term interest rates anticipated to decline during 2024."
In a pre-close update for the six months to 30th June 2024, the company said, "During 1H2024, Lighthouse concluded the acquisition of two malls, Salera (50% share) and H2O. Lighthouse's 50% share of Salera was acquired for EUR 87.25 million (inclusive of transaction costs), which represented a net initial yield of 7.7%. These acquisitions were funded by the disposal of Hammerson shares and have resulted in Lighthouse's loan-to-value ratio increasing from 14.0% at FY2023 to 20.3% at 25 April 2024."
Technically, the share has been in an extended sideways market and had begun to rise until the advent of the Ukraine crisis. Since October 2023, the share has been in an upward trend. We see this rand-hedge company as relatively cheap at current levels.
LTE trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of LTELighthouse Capital (LTE), formerly known as Greenbay, aims to redefine its market position and strategic focus in the wake of challenges faced by the Resilient group of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts), which also includes Resilient, Rockcastle, and Fortress. These companies were previously embroiled in controversy following a report by 36One Asset Management, which criticized their cross-shareholdings and their impact on share prices. Lighthouse, particularly, experienced a significant drop in share price from 5420c in December 2017 to as low as 688c in February 2019, following a 20-for-1 share consolidation in November 2018.
Under the leadership of CEO Stephen Delport, Lighthouse Capital is pivoting towards investing predominantly in high-performing assets in Europe, allocating about 80% of its capital to this region. The company's decision to change its name from Greenbay to Lighthouse signifies an effort to distance itself from the Resilient group and establish an independent identity within the property investment sector. This rebranding comes after the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) cleared Lighthouse of any involvement in price manipulation within the Resilient group, and subsequent findings in September 2019 exonerated all members of the group from any wrongdoing.
Lighthouse's investment strategy includes significant holdings, such as 882 million shares in Hammerson, valued at approximately 405 million euros as of 3rd May 2021. Additionally, following Resilient's increase in shareholding to over 35% in May 2021, a mandatory offer for the remaining issued shares of Lighthouse was announced at 713c per share. The successful raising of R2.6 billion through an oversubscribed bookbuild in August 2021, aimed at acquiring four shopping malls in France, underscores Lighthouse's ongoing investment activities and growth initiatives.
For the fiscal year ending 31st December 2023, Lighthouse reported a distribution of 2.7 euro cents per share, slightly down from 3.25 cents in the previous period. However, the company's net asset value (NAV) increased to 42 euro cents from 40.5 cents, with a low loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 14%. Looking ahead, Lighthouse forecasts a distribution of between 2.40 and 2.50 EUR cents per share for FY2024, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook in the context of improving macroeconomic conditions, with anticipated reductions in inflation and short-term interest rates in 2024.
Despite experiencing an extended period of sideways market movement, Lighthouse shares have shown signs of an upward trend since October 2023. This positive momentum, coupled with Lighthouse's strategic refocusing on European assets and its status as a rand hedge investment, suggests that the company is positioned as an attractive investment option at current levels for those seeking exposure to the European real estate market.
Our opinion on the current state of LTELighthouse Capital (LTE) (previously Greenbay) was one of the Resilient group of REIT's (real estate investment trusts) along with Resilient itself, Rockcastle and Fortress. These companies were the subject of a damning report by 36One Asset Management who said that their share prices were too high because of their cross-shareholdings. Because of this, Lighthouse's share price (after a 20-for-1 consolidation in November 2018) fell from 5420c in December 2017 to as little as 688c in February 2019. The CEO, Stephen Delport, says that going forward, the company will focus about 80% of its capital on owning market-beating investments in Europe. Clearly, by changing its name, Lighthouse is attempting to distance itself from the Resilient group of companies and establish itself as an independent property company. The Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) found that Lighthouse had not been involved in any price manipulation in the Resilient group. Later in September 2019, the FSCA found that there had been no wrongdoing by any of the members of the group at all. Lighthouse held 882m shares in Hammerson worth about 405m euros on 3rd May 2021. On 14th May 2021, Resilient announced that its shareholding of Lighthouse has passed 35% and so it would make a mandatory offer for the balance of Lighthouse's issued shares at 713c per share. On 12th August 2021, the company announced that it had raised R2,6bn in an oversubscribed bookbuild. The funds will be used to purchase four shopping malls in France. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported revenue up 19% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 38,5%. The company's loan-to-value (LTV) was 21,77% and its net asset value (NAV) increased by 3,9% to 40,4 euro cents per share. The company said, "...the Lighthouse Board revises its guidance for FY2023 from 2,8 EUR cents per share to 2,7 EUR cents per share." In a pre-close update on 4th December 2023 the company reported, "The year-to-date performance of the Iberian portfolio has been strong with year-to-date footfall and sales increasing by 3.7% and 13.3% year-on-year, respectively, at 30 September 2023. The French portfolio continued its recovery with year-to-date footfall and sales increasing by 13.3% and 10.1% year-on- year, respectively, at 30 September 2023. At Planet Koper year-to-date footfall and sales increased by 8.1% and 8.9% year-on-year, respectively, at 30 September 2023." Technically, the share has been in an extended sideways market and had begun to rise until the advent of the Ukraine crisis. Since the Ukraine war began it has been falling, but it is beginning to recover. We see this company as relatively cheap at current levels.
LTELighthouse Capital (LTE, 636c) | technically, the setup is improving with the price having this past week cleared it's downward trend since it's most recent peak on 08 June 2020 at a price of R11.20. The technical indicators are also supportive of a trend reversal with the MACD looking to cross back above zero, with the 7-14 RSI's are at the highest levels since June. For the period ended 30 Sept, management indicated that the groups was in a strong financial positin following the capital raise of €278m during the year. The group’s gearing at September 2020 was 21,4% which remains below the board’s limit of 45%. Trader looking to get long could use a stop of 595c, with targets of 675c and 715c.