$SOL we are approaching a possible reversal area.Watch the area between R290 - R295 which has a high probability of becoming another area of resistance for Sasol. Ever since the update came out in May regarding the LCCP project and further budget overruns, the stock has battled to trade above the 20 day moving average. There is a good chance that the 20 day moving average could once again provide resistance and halt any further advances for the stock (also take note of the 40 RSI level which has been resistance on the daily chart). Should we trade above the high point of last week (R295) as well as start to see two consecutive daily closes above the 20 day moving average, then only would i start to believe that we have seen a change of trend. Until then, as they say, the trend is your friend!
SOL trade ideas
$JSESOL Three large corrections in the last 15 years.The first correction happened during the financial crisis. The other two corrections are in a large part self inflicted with the massive Lake Charles project. Once that project comes 100% online and the drag on earnings due to capital expenditure subsides, the Sasol share price should recover. Not for short term investors.
Sasol - Refueling?So, Sasol’s R357 support held up and between it being oversold (according to it’s 14-day RSI) and have Rand weakness, made a nice little bounce. Will watch that long-term support line at R383.50 as my first target. Should that break, it could see us test the next resistance level of R405.50.
SOL - Long InitiatedLooking at SOL, we may derive the following from the weekly chart:
1. We are at a major support level.
2. Keep in mind the growing bid on wti/crude.
3. I am favouring a move to upside.
4. Stop loss is in a non traded zone (good for limiting risk).
5. As always - risk management.
Let's see what happens.
Note: The views provided herein do not constitute financial advice.
$JSESOL Sasol - Multi year consolidation Sasol has been treading water for 4,5 years now. This time as many times before it has hit support. Is this a case for channel wash, rinse, repeat, or will support break this time around. Shareholders seems to be losing some patience if you look at the action in the last few weeks.
Go long on SasolSasol fell sharply when news surfaced of further overspending at its Lake Charles facility in Louisiana. But, with oil on the rebound, it might be a good time to buy the stock at these new lows.
As you can see from the above chart, there is a big gap between price on 21 May 2019 and 22 May 2019. In technical circles, there is a common saying: The price always fills the gap. This is exactly how we see SOL playing out.
Action: Place a Limit Order to go Long with your Limit Price set to R380.00. Set your Stop Loss to R340.00 and your Take Profits to R420.00 and/or R460.00.
Sasol – Running out of FuelIn one fail swoop, Sasol not only dropping 13% in one day, but also broke a very strong support line at R383.50. Main reason was the Lake Charles Project not only seriously going over budget, but also starting to look like the Never-Ending Story. Debt levels are becoming a serious concern and although the lowish PE multiple, the outlook still doesn’t look good.
$JSESOL now extremely oversold according to its 14-day RSI and also serious price underperformance relative to the FTSE/JSE All Share. Any person brave enough (not one of them) to go long in Sasol for a possible recovery, should watch that R357 support level. This will surely be my stop-loss if I were long.
Crazy Sasol tradeCall me crazy, but today's Sasol shocker provides an excellent trading opportunity. Today's "flash crash" has taken the price back down to a monster support level and I really think this is one for the punters. If fortune truly does favor the brave, then I should be just fine. I have bought this support level for a bounce back above R400.00 and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw R420.00 in the coming weeks. Given the information we have on the additional $1 Billion over-spend on the project, I think this morning's move is a MASSIVE over-reaction and many many forced sellers got hurt. Be brave and get back in