Sasol – Running out of FuelIn one fail swoop, Sasol not only dropping 13% in one day, but also broke a very strong support line at R383.50. Main reason was the Lake Charles Project not only seriously going over budget, but also starting to look like the Never-Ending Story. Debt levels are becoming a serious concern and although the lowish PE multiple, the outlook still doesn’t look good.
$JSESOL now extremely oversold according to its 14-day RSI and also serious price underperformance relative to the FTSE/JSE All Share. Any person brave enough (not one of them) to go long in Sasol for a possible recovery, should watch that R357 support level. This will surely be my stop-loss if I were long.
SOLBE1 trade ideas
Crazy Sasol tradeCall me crazy, but today's Sasol shocker provides an excellent trading opportunity. Today's "flash crash" has taken the price back down to a monster support level and I really think this is one for the punters. If fortune truly does favor the brave, then I should be just fine. I have bought this support level for a bounce back above R400.00 and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw R420.00 in the coming weeks. Given the information we have on the additional $1 Billion over-spend on the project, I think this morning's move is a MASSIVE over-reaction and many many forced sellers got hurt. Be brave and get back in
SASOL (SOL) 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME SHORTThis stock is moving in a downtrend, and the weekly timeframe shows a possible right shoulder forming. A break of the neckline on this weekly timeframe will signal further bearish momentum. On the 1-hour timeframe, price are trickling down as the momentary uptrend has finished and prices are below that ascending trendline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows and also forming a series of bear flag patterns. My figures are as follows:
Entry: Now
Stop Loss:44 000
Target Take Profit: 40 000
Is it just a coincidence that the crude oil prices are also falling? We will never know.
Sasol ADR - Monitoring For A Long Term Downside Break Sasol ADR (NY): Taking a step back, I’m once again having a look at Sasol’s US listing. At current levels, the share trades just above a 3-year incline support that appears to be a part of bigger bear flag formation that had been in development since the share made a ‘final’ peak in September 2014. It should also be noted that the 200-month moving average, which acted as support from April 1999 to July 2015 is now serving as resistance. Holders of Sasol within a long term equity portfolio should monitor the share for break of support as this may signal a shift in trend from sideways to bearish.
NYSE:SSL
SOL - On Support level of handleSOL has reached the R440 Support - Retraction Confirmation here will indicate (CUP and Handle) handle downtrend STOP -----followed by an uptrend towards resistance to complete handle.
Breaking through R440 support level may lead to a fall towards next support of around R385.
Just hang in and then decide to go LONG or SHORT
$SOL Breaking down from its bullish channel and losing 200 dmaSasol has broken down from the strong upward channel that has been in place since February of this year. In addition, it has also failed to make any progress above the 200 day moving average which makes this technical structure look very shaky. There is some strong support between R385-R400 should we get there in the weeks ahead which could potentially be a good opportunity to buy the stock once more.
SASOL 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME NEUTRALThe stock price for SASOL is moving in an ascending channel, and my natural bias would be for a short position. However, it is always best to wait for price to show its hand before making any bets or predictions. It is still possible for prices to continue up as the general trend has been bullish.
JSE:SOL Sasol Breaking the Trading RangeSasol has formed a smaller Trading Range (TR). There has been a steady decline in volume indicating absorption. Divergence on the Volume RSI points towards accumulation. Price is approaching the Yearly Pivot Point and 200MA. If it jumps across this resistance we can see a markup but if it finds resistance we this could indicate distribution.