P/E rerating by end of 2023Long story short - the market will likely rerate the earnings multiple upwards as oil continues to remain elevated. Do keep in mind that the GOAT is buying chevron and occidental. The cash flow here is going to continue to impress and in a difficult global environment it will suddenly attract capital , causing that multiple to inflate towards the 2 digit mark.
SOLBE1 trade ideas
SASOL - Trailed out After reaching a low of R256.44 , price printed a reversal and has trailed out the remaining position on the short.
Sasol is back at the key resistance zone around R323 and the 200dma . I will be watching to see how price action develops around here to see whether another short opportunity will present itself or if a breakout occurs.
NB: Stock has been upgraded / punted of late by various analysts.
SOLFrom this morning's research note to clients.
SOL | Buy dips 278-280c. Note the 7-day RSI is 70 (‘Strong’ but nearing the ‘Approaching Overbought’ range. Could rally to 295 at which it could be in the ‘Approaching Overbought’ range. This is also in line with the downward trend line connecting the peaks from 14-October.
'This note is geared toward ultra short term/active traders. In addition, the instruments covered assumes no existing positions held by the trader i.e. the next best buying level or next best selling level .'
SOL: some swing upside potential?A bullish trend seems applicable.
Ideal long entry around 27200.
Increase exposure around 29400.
Target at 328000 (just below its 200-day simple moving average)
Stop-loss at 26100.
A complex Elliott wave pattern is busy developing (see the red A B C D and E as well as the blue W X Y).
Time exit: +/- 17 March 2023
Technical rating: medium
SASOL - Swing trade (BUY)It seems that SASOL is ripe for a turn higher.
Today (Dec 6th) price turned in a BUY zone between R267 - R273.
As long as price remains above R265 the trade remains valid for a retest of R330 as T1 (15-18% profit)
Target 2 longer term is R370 (30% profit)
TRADE STRATEGY
Aggressive entry - Buy the open price of SOL on Dec 7th or around R280
Conservative entry - wait for retest of price below R275
STOP LOSS - below R265 (5-6%)
BRENT CRUDE OIL
Possible turn today @ $80 for run higher which also bodes well for the Sasol analysis
Sasol is continuing to tank further to R225.43Bear Rectangle is forming on Sasol as it previous did a few months ago. There are bearish signals as the downtrend is continuing.
The 200 > 21 >7 MA which once the price breaks below R277.95 we will have our next target at R225.43.
This confirms with the ongoing drop in oil price...
Sasol closes the gapSasol initially managed to find some support around R280.85 - then a strong day on Friday saw Sasol close the gap higher up and simultaneously break it downtrend. It now faces resistance at its 50DMA (R311.18) but should it rally from here and close above R320 or so, we could see Sasol run up further to its 200DMA (R350). Stop loss on a close below R280.
Sasol (SOL): Bearish Trend ContinuationSasol price has gone below the price of 30 September signaling that more downside is coming restricted by the upper green trendline. Ideally price should reach the orange circle before where shorts can be closed and go long.
Price closing the week above the resistance green trendline will be the stop loss.
SOL bears in full controlSasol bulls have struggled to get the price sustained above the R320.00 ( which is also the 1 year moving average) level in the last 2 weeks, today -10% drop is the result of their exhaustion.
Bears are still in full control and eyeing the R250 level as a next possible support zone.