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SIBANYE STILLWATER LTDSIBANYE STILLWATER LTDSIBANYE STILLWATER LTD

SIBANYE STILLWATER LTD

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$JSESSW - Sibanye: Looking More Bullish On Technical IndicatorsSee link below for previous analysis. It's been tough going for Sibanye since reaching an all time high in March 2022. A 78% drop saw price plummet to 1756 before bulls came in to nibble. The question is, has the stock bottomed at 1756? Here are a few technical reasons to be bullish: *Elliott Wave count suggests wave (C) is complete having unfolded in an impulse. *Price has broken the upper trendline with wave (C). *Wave (C)/MACD made a double convergence which is a bullish sign implying downward momentum is waning. With all these indications one can never be certain so I will keep a close eye on 1756 as my invalidation level.
JSE:SSWLong
by Loyiso_BlaqueSoros_Mpeta
Sibanye downtrend broken - Warning for shortersSibanye has dropped beautifully with the INverse Cup and Handles... That was until this month where the price broke above the downtrend for the first time. Now to short is a risky business as the momentum is looking up and the buyers are taking over control. This overlays with the boost in the Gold and Platinum price and the general resource market upturn. We can say the bias is short still but it could turn very quickly...
JSE:SSWShort
by Timonrosso
Our opinion on the current state of SSWSibanye (SSW) is a mining house which has been on a rapid acquisition trail accumulating platinum and gold mines in South Africa and America and is now broadening its scope to include base metals and minerals, especially so-called "green" metals. The company is run by Neal Froneman who is well-known in the mining industry for his toughness, expertise, and experience. The acquisition of the Stillwater palladium mine in America was a brilliant move, but it added $2,2bn of debt to SGL's balance sheet which left it very highly geared. That debt has now been substantially cleared. Sibanye also bought Lonmin for shares which gave it a very valuable extraction plant but resulted in more than 13 300 job losses. Sibanye is now the world's largest producer of platinum group metals (PGMs). Froneman has said that he intends to retire in about 2024/5 but intends to double the size of the company before he does. Sibanye is also considering moving into the base minerals used in motor vehicle batteries like vanadium, copper, nickel, and lithium. On 1st June 2021 the company announced a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 5% of its issued shares. On 30th June 2022 the company announced its intention to increase its stake in Keliber, a Finnish lithium producer to 80% at a cost of about R7,7bn. On 9th November 2023 the company announced that it is to acquire Reldan, a US-based metals recycler, for $211,5m. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported headline earnings of R5,89bn compared to R11,94bn in the previous period. The company said, "The impacts of the precipitous decline in PGM prices and operational disruptions at our US and European regions, were cushioned by a significantly improved financial contribution from the SA gold operations". In an update on the 3 months to 30th September 2023 the company reported, "SA gold operations generated R344m (US$19m) adjusted (Adj) EBITDA, a R1.2bn (US$67m) turnaround; ongoing S189 process at Kloof 4. US PGM operations resume planned mine production run rate in October 2023 driving improved outlook for production for Q4 2023". Technically, the upward trend which was in place since July 2018 came to an end in March 2021 reflecting weaker commodity prices, loadshedding and the flooding at Stillwater. A notable achievement was the 5-year wage deal which locks in wage increases of 6,3%. We believe that in time Sibanye will continue to make new all-time record highs in time in due to superb strategic management - so this drop in the share price is probably a buying opportunity. Froneman believes that Sibanye shares are undervalued and we agree with him, but everything will depend on the prices of the metals which he sells. On 14th September 2023 the company announced that it had commenced section 189 consultations for the retrenchment of 2389 employees at Kloof mine. On 6th November 2023 the company announced that it had made a five-year deal with AMCU at its Kroondal PGM operation for a minimum 6% per annum wage hike. On 21st November 2023 the company announced that it would raise $500m by issuing a convertible bond that will pay 4% to 4,5% until it can be converted in 2028. The news caused some shareholders to switch out of the shares resulting in a 20% drop in the share price.
JSE:SSW
by PDSnetSA
UPDATE: Sibanye drops another 23% almost at targetYes we made a probability prediction on this large move down. It's close to the target of R16.89. But it's never good betting or hoping for a stock to crash and burn. There is no scrip to short, so the only good thing about this analysis is brining awareness to investors who think it's cheap to buy and then they wake up 23% down... This is a reminder that when markets are dropping, they are dropping for a reason. They aren't falling to go back up - They aren't roller coasters... So don't think you've caught the bottom when the bottom is still a while away. We can expect more downside and with Sibanye-Stillwater launching a US$500 million senior unsecured guaranteed convertible bonds coming in 2028. We can expect more turbulence. Be careful out there. It's a moshpit for those who aren't risk averse.
JSE:SSWShort
by Timonrosso
Our opinion on the current state of SSWSibanye (SSW) is a mining house which has been on a rapid acquisition trail accumulating platinum and gold mines in South Africa and America and is now broadening its scope to include base metals and minerals, especially so-called "green" metals. The company is run by Neal Froneman who is well-known in the mining industry for his toughness, expertise, and experience. The acquisition of the Stillwater palladium mine in America was a brilliant move, but it added $2,2bn of debt to SGL's balance sheet which left it very highly geared. That debt has now been substantially cleared. Sibanye also bought Lonmin for shares which gave it a very valuable extraction plant but resulted in more than 13 300 job losses. Sibanye is now the world's largest producer of platinum group metals (PGMs). Froneman has said that he intends to retire in about 2024/5 but intends to double the size of the company before he does. Sibanye is also considering moving into the base minerals used in motor vehicle batteries like vanadium, copper, nickel, and lithium. On 1st June 2021 the company announced a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 5% of its issued shares. On 30th June 2022 the company announced its intention to increase its stake in Keliber, a Finnish lithium producer to 80% at a cost of about R7,7bn. On 9th November 2023 the company announced that it is to acquire Reldan, a US-based metals recycler, for $211,5m. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported headline earnings of R5,89bn compared to R11,94bn in the previous period. The company said, "The impacts of the precipitous decline in PGM prices and operational disruptions at our US and European regions, were cushioned by a significantly improved financial contribution from the SA gold operations". In an update on the 3 months to 30th September 2023 the company reported, "SA gold operations generated R344m (US$19m) adjusted (Adj) EBITDA, a R1.2bn (US$67m) turnaround; ongoing S189 process at Kloof 4. US PGM operations resume planned mine production run rate in October 2023 driving improved outlook for production for Q4 2023". Technically, the upward trend which was in place since July 2018 came to an end in March 2021 reflecting weaker commodity prices, loadshedding and the flooding at Stillwater. A notable achievement was the 5-year wage deal which locks in wage increases of 6,3%. We believe that in time Sibanye will continue to make new all-time record highs in time in due to superb strategic management - so this drop in the share price is probably a buying opportunity. Froneman believes that Sibanye shares are undervalued and we agree with him, but everything will depend on the prices of the metals which he sells. On 14th September 2023 the company announced that it had commenced section 189 consultations for the retrenchment of 2389 employees at Kloof mine. On 6th November 2023 the company announced that it had made a five-year deal with AMCU at its Kroondal PGM operation for a minimum 6% per annum wage hike.
JSE:SSW
by PDSnetSA
3
Our opinion on the current state of SSWSibanye (SSW) is a mining house which has been on a rapid acquisition trail accumulating platinum and gold mines in South Africa and America and is now broadening its scope to include base metals and minerals, especially so-called "green" metals. The company is run by Neal Froneman who is well-known in the mining industry for his toughness, expertise, and experience. The acquisition of the Stillwater palladium mine in America was a brilliant move, but it added $2,2bn of debt to SGL's balance sheet which left it very highly geared. That debt has now been substantially cleared. Sibanye has also bought Lonmin for shares which gave it a very valuable extraction plant but resulted in more than 13 300 job losses. Sibanye is now the world's largest producer of platinum group metals (PGMs). Froneman has said that he intends to retire in about 2024/5 but intends to double the size of the company before he does. The price of PGM's has been rising, especially rhodium and palladium (produced by Stillwater). Sibanye is also considering moving into the base minerals used in motor vehicle batteries like vanadium, copper, nickel, and lithium. On 1st June 2021 the company announced a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 5% of its issued shares. In its results for the year to 31st December 2022 the company reported a profit of R19bn compared with R33,8bn in 2021. The CEO, Neal Froneman, said, "Global macro influences, including significant inflationary cost pressures globally, ongoing supply chain disruptions and a deteriorating economic outlook, which reflected in lower demand and lower prices for the metals we produce". On 30th May 2022 the company announced that it had received notice from Appian Capital for it to defend itself in a court case arising from its decision to back out of a deal to buy two mines for $1,2bn. On 30th June 2022 the company announced its intention to increase its stake in Keliber, a Finnish lithium producer to 80% at a cost of about R7,7bn. On 13th March 2023 the company announced that there had been damage to the Stillwater shaft infrastructure which would temporarily affect production. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported headline earnings of R5,89bn compared to R11,94bn in the previous period. The company said, "The impacts of the precipitous decline in PGM prices and operational disruptions at our US and European regions, were cushioned by a significantly improved financial contribution from the SA gold operations". In an update on the 3 months to 30th September 2023 the company reported, "SA gold operations generated R344m (US$19m) adjusted (Adj) EBITDA, a R1.2bn (US$67m) turnaround; ongoing S189 process at Kloof 4. US PGM operations resume planned mine production run rate in October 2023 driving improved outlook for production for Q4 2023". Technically, the upward trend which was in place since July 2018 came to an end in March 2021 reflecting weaker commodity prices, loadshedding and the flooding at Stillwater. A notable achievement was the 5-year wage deal which locks in wage increases of 6,3%. We believe that in time Sibanye will continue to make new all-time record highs in time in due to superb strategic management - so this drop in the share price is probably a buying opportunity. Froneman believes that Sibanye shares are undervalued and we agree with him, but everything will depend on the prices of the metals which he sells. On 14th September 2023 the company announced that it had commenced section 189 consultations for the retrenchment of 2389 employees at Kloof mine. On 6th November 2023 the company announced that it had made a five-year deal with AMCU at its Kroondal PGM operation for a minimum 6% per annum wage hike.
JSE:SSW
by PDSnetSA
Sibanye Still-Water: Medium Term ViewSibanye-Stillwater price has been guided by the green resistance and support, now reaching a convergence of these lines, the support line intersects with pink upsloping support of broadening wedge. Previously this support has propelled price to upper resistance, this would mean Sibanye setting new highs. There is a risk of price falling out of the tight triangle, we therefore must work with confirmations, weekly swing & closing above the green line on a weekly basis gives a higher confidence that trend looks up.
JSE:SSWLong
by runyamhere
Our opinion on the current state of SSWSibanye (SSW) is a mining house which has been on a rapid acquisition trail accumulating platinum and gold mines in South Africa and America and is now broadening its scope to include base metals and minerals, especially so-called "green" metals. The company is run by Neal Froneman who is well-known in the mining industry for his toughness, expertise, and experience. The acquisition of the Stillwater palladium mine in America was a brilliant move, but it added $2,2bn of debt to SGL's balance sheet which left it very highly geared. That debt has now been substantially cleared. Sibanye has also bought Lonmin for shares which gave it a very valuable extraction plant but resulted in more than 13 300 job losses. Sibanye is now the world's largest producer of platinum group metals (PGMs). Froneman has said that he intends to retire in about 2024/5 but intends to double the size of the company before he does. The price of PGM's has been rising, especially rhodium and palladium (produced by Stillwater). Sibanye is also considering moving into the base minerals used in motor vehicle batteries like vanadium, copper, nickel, and lithium. On 1st June 2021 the company announced a share buy-back program to repurchase up to 5% of its issued shares. In its results for the year to 31st December 2022 the company reported a profit of R19bn compared with R33,8bn in 2021. The CEO, Neal Froneman, said, "Global macro influences, including significant inflationary cost pressures globally, ongoing supply chain disruptions and a deteriorating economic outlook, which reflected in lower demand and lower prices for the metals we produce". On 30th May 2022 the company announced that it had received notice from Appian Capital for it to defend itself in a court case arising from its decision to back out of a deal to buy two mines for $1,2bn. On 30th June 2022 the company announced its intention to increase its stake in Keliber, a Finnish lithium producer to 80% at a cost of about R7,7bn. On 13th March 2023 the company announced that there had been damage to the Stillwater shaft infrastructure which would temporarily affect production. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported headline earnings of R5,89bn compared to R11,94bn in the previous period. The company said, "The impacts of the precipitous decline in PGM prices and operational disruptions at our US and European regions, were cushioned by a significantly improved financial contribution from the SA gold operations". In an update on the 3 months to 30th September 2023 the company reported, "SA gold operations generated R344m (US$19m) adjusted (Adj) EBITDA, a R1.2bn (US$67m) turnaround; ongoing S189 process at Kloof 4. US PGM operations resume planned mine production run rate in October 2023 driving improved outlook for production for Q4 2023". Technically, the upward trend which was in place since July 2018 came to an end in March 2021 reflecting weaker commodity prices, loadshedding and the flooding at Stillwater. A notable achievement was the 5-year wage deal which locks in wage increases of 6,3%. We believe that in time Sibanye will continue to make new all-time record highs in time in due to superb strategic management - so this drop in the share price is probably a buying opportunity. Froneman believes that Sibanye shares are undervalued and we agree with him, but everything will depend on the prices of the metals which he sells. On 14th September 2023 the company announced that it had commenced section 189 consultations for the retrenchment of 2389 employees at Kloof mine.
JSE:SSW
by PDSnetSA