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OIL - Key Fibonacci Levels and Potential Market MovesThis chart presents a detailed technical analysis of Crude Oil Futures on the 1D timeframe, highlighting key Fibonacci levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and potential price movements. Key observations: - The price is currently around $71.44, moving towards a key decision zone. - A significant Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618 - 0.65) is marked near $74, aligning with a key resistance area. - The "Golden Pocket" from the greater downtrend remains a crucial area to watch for a potential reversal. - Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG & IFVG) are identified, which could act as liquidity zones. Possible Scenarios: 🟢 Option 1: Bullish breakout, price moves above $74 and continues toward $78+ levels. 🔴 Option 2: Rejection from resistance, leading to a potential pullback below $70. 🔴 Option 3: Strong rejection, price drops back towards the Fibonacci 0 level (~$64). Which option do you think is most likely? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Louigi_24
14
OIL: Retest and drop or bear trap?MARKETSCOM:OIL Hello Looks like this patterns might decide Inflation or deflation. I would guess deflation based on tariffs, due to the below reasons: 1. People have low purchasing power 2. Job losses 3. High prices due to tariffs. 4. Higher interest rates, so tough market conditions. Fed should step in very soon to ease the market with interest rate reduction and then start stimulating the economy. If Fed hands are tied for next few months and tariffs continue, it will be a biggest self inflicted economic tragedy in US and can be seen bad economic state out side of US. Easy guess: 1. Tariffs are reduced and eventually removed on negotiations. 2. Fed will lower interest rates due to fear of deflationary recession, China is a biggest example. 3. Markets rally till end of the year. 4. Bull cycle comes to an end, starts the bear market in 2026 and 2027. Hard guess: 1. Tariffs will move manufacturing companies away from US and adjust to the rest of the world. 2. US suffers lack of partners, hard to gain back trust. 3. Dollar will slowly move down. Recessions and market crashes make millionaires, be always to grab an opportunity. Happy investing
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by MarathonToMoon
OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern. The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume. Key levels to watch: - Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance) - Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50 This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Louigi_24
15
5 Top Oil and Gas Stocks to InvestThe oil and gas industry remains a powerhouse in the global economy, fueled by steady demand and shifting energy policies. With President Donald Trump’s inauguration in 2025 ushering in a pro-industry administration, the sector is poised for both opportunities and challenges. A relaxed regulatory environment and boosted U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports-reversed from a prior pause under President Joe Biden-are set to drive growth. However, within the sector, the outlook for gas appears more favorable than for oil. While gas demand is expected to rise, driven by LNG exports and power generation needs, oil faces a prolonged stage where its growth may lag behind inflation, though this could be offset by the profitability of producers. Tariff policies could also spark a global trade war, potentially hiking inflation or tipping economies into recession, impacting oil and gas demand. Despite this volatility, the energy sector leads the S&P 500 in year-to-date performance, making it a compelling space for investors. For those looking to gain exposure to the sector without looking into second-tier companies, the following five stocks stand out as leading options. 1. Exxon Mobil Corp. ( NYSE:XOM ) Dividend Yield: 3.4% Exxon Mobil, a vertically integrated giant, spans the full oil and gas supply chain-from exploration to refining and retail. Its production has surged, notably doubling in the Permian Basin (the U.S.’s top oil patch) after acquiring Pioneer Natural Resources in 2023. The company also holds a stake in a major U.S. LNG export facility, slated to start operations in 2025. Trading at a discount to the S&P 500 based on enterprise value to EBITDA, Exxon offers a 3.4% dividend yield-well above the index’s average. Beyond fossil fuels, it’s investing in carbon capture, hydrogen, low-emission fuels, and lithium for electric vehicle batteries, positioning it for long-term resilience. However, as a major oil producer, Exxon Mobil may face headwinds if oil prices lag behind inflation, though its diversified operations and cost management could mitigate this risk. 2. Chevron Corp. ( NYSE:CVX ) Dividend Yield: 4.1% Another supermajor, Chevron mirrors Exxon’s integrated model but stands out for its disciplined approach to capital. With world-class Permian Basin assets and a robust LNG portfolio, it’s well-equipped for volatile gas prices, which have climbed in 2025 due to cold weather and shrinking U.S. and European inventories. Chevron’s 4.1% dividend yield and aggressive share buybacks enhance its appeal. Its focus on cost efficiency and selective investments in lower-carbon solutions further solidify its position as a reliable pick for stability and growth. Nonetheless, Chevron’s significant oil assets expose it to the risk of oil price growth lagging inflation, though its strong balance sheet and efficiency provide a buffer. 3. Occidental Petroleum Corp. ( NYSE:OXY ) Dividend Yield: 1.9% Occidental Petroleum blends traditional oil production with forward-thinking innovation. Berkshire Hathaway, holding a 28.2% stake as of December 31, 2024, underscores its potential, making it the sixth-largest position in the portfolio, just behind Chevron. The company hit record U.S. production in Q4 2024 and is a leader in carbon capture technology. However, risks linger: a federal court ruling (currently under appeal) has raised its environmental liabilities, and its 1.9% dividend yield is modest compared to peers. Additionally, its focus on oil production means it could be affected if oil prices underperform inflation, though its innovative approaches and cost controls may offer some protection. 4. Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ) Dividend Yield: 3.7% Spun off from ConocoPhillips in 2012, Phillips 66 thrives in refining, chemicals, and pipelines rather than upstream production. Its infrastructure assets, including a vast pipeline network, promise steady cash flow growth, yet the stock trades at lower multiples typical of refining businesses. With a 3.7% dividend yield and a legacy dating back to 1917, it’s a recognizable name with untapped potential. Some investors see room for value creation if its midstream assets were spun off, though even without that, Phillips 66 remains a strong contender. However, the refining business can be cyclical, and Phillips 66 may face challenges if demand for refined products weakens. 5. EQT Corp. ( NYSE:EQT ) Dividend Yield: 1.2% EQT, a leading natural gas producer, operates in the Marcellus and Utica shales of the Appalachian Basin. As the U.S.’s largest LNG exporter, it’s primed to capitalize on rising gas prices-up in 2025 amid cold weather and speculation-and growing demand from AI-driven data centers and exports. Forecasts suggest U.S. natural gas demand could surge by double digits through 2030. While its 1.2% dividend yield is lower, EQT’s exposure to these trends makes it a growth-focused pick, though it’s sensitive to commodity price dips tied to global GDP. As a gas-focused company, EQT is well-positioned to benefit from the sector’s stronger gas outlook. Why These Stocks Stand Out Oil prices, slipping in 2025 due to high U.S. production and OPEC’s plans to restore output, face counterforces like China’s stimulus boosting demand and potential Iran sanctions tightening supply. Moreover, OPEC is maintaining record spare capacity, and when combined with non-OPEC producers, estimates indicate that global spare production capacities could reach up to 15 million barrels per day within six months, leveraging existing infrastructure. This substantial spare capacity, equivalent to nearly 25% of daily global oil production, could play a pivotal role in market dynamics, potentially stabilizing prices or responding to geopolitical or economic shifts. Gas prices, meanwhile, are expected to stay above historical averages. Global oil inventories sit at low levels, hinting at a possible undersupplied market if dynamics shift. These five companies-Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Occidental, Phillips 66, and EQT-offer a mix of dividends (ranging from 1.2% to 4.1%), innovation, and exposure to both oil and LNG markets. While a recession could dent energy demand, their strategic positioning makes them worth watching in this volatile yet promising sector. If it is stipulated by the strategy, it is better to pay attention to such companies. Investors should note that while gas offers promising growth, oil may face headwinds with prices potentially lagging inflation, though the profitability of producers can help navigate these challenges.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by igorisaev
US-OIL Long Buy due to lower SupportHello Traders In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XTIUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by ForexMasters2000
Oil head and shoulder ( must read caption)This chart shows a Head and Shoulders pattern on a Crude Oil Futures (4H) timeframe, which is a bearish reversal signal. Key Points: 1. Pattern Formation: The Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are clearly marked. A resistance level is identified around $68.00, where the price previously failed to break higher. 2. Breakdown Confirmation: Price has broken the neckline (support level), confirming the bearish pattern. The breakdown suggests further downside movement. 3. Price Targets: First target: $64.84 (-2.58%) Second target: $63.66 (-1.89%) Final target: $63.00 (-1.93%) Trading Strategy: Bearish Bias: Traders may look for short opportunities below the neckline. Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$68.00) to limit risk. Take Profit: Scaling out near $64.84, $63.66, and $63.00. This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, indicating a likely continuation of the downtrend. However, traders should monitor volume and external factors like oil supply data and geopolitical events for confirmation.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
2
So far, so good... WTI oil price continues to please the bears. So far, the our stance is unchanged, we remain somewhat bearish on the price of MARKETSCOM:OIL in the near-term. That said, certain criteria still need to be met for us to get comfortable with further declines, especially from the technical side. Let's dig in! TVC:USOIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
4-hr Oil: Dropping Prices on Fear From Slowed Growth, Tariffs Oil continues its downward trajectory, despite occasional pullbacks. The overall trend remains bearish, reinforced by multiple Death Cross patterns, a classic sell signal indicating further weakness. Adding to this bearish outlook, the critical 38% Fibonacci resistance held firm, and after a retest, prices resumed their decline. Given these factors, we are placing a market sell order to capitalize on further downside movement. Our profit target is set at $67, a significant support level from recent price action. To mitigate risk in case of a temporary rebound, we are positioning our stop-loss above $71.80, which aligns with the 61% Fibonacci retracement—historically a strong resistance zone. By entering at these levels, we align our trade with prevailing bearish momentum while maintaining a well-defined risk management strategy. This approach enhances our risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring we capitalize on the ongoing downtrend while protecting against potential reversals.
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Trendsharks
Oil and Fuel Markets: Inventories, Imports, Supply ConstraintsCrude Oil Inventories Rise as Imports Decline: What It Means for Prices Inventory Build and Supply Dynamics. U.S. crude oil PYTH:WTI3! inventories increased by 4.6 million barrels last week, bringing total commercial stockpiles to 432.5 million barrels. Despite this buildup, inventories remain 3% below the five-year seasonal average, signaling that supply constraints are still present in the market. A key driver behind this inventory rise is the sharp decline in crude oil imports, which fell by 488,000 barrels per day (bpd) over the past week. This marks a significant shift, as the U.S. has increasingly relied on domestic production and exports to balance supply. Meanwhile, crude oil exports surged by 472,000 bpd, reinforcing the trend of strong outbound shipments despite fluctuating global demand. Impact on Prices and Market Sentiment Despite rising inventories, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices www.tradingview.com fell to $72.05 per barrel, reflecting broader market concerns over economic slowdowns and demand uncertainty. This represents an $8.60 year-over-year decline, indicating that supply pressures alone are not enough to drive prices higher. The key question for traders is whether this inventory buildup will continue in the coming weeks. If imports remain low and exports persist at high levels, domestic supply could tighten, providing support for prices. However, if refinery demand weakens, further inventory accumulation may put additional pressure on WTI and Brent www.tradingview.com prices.   Gasoline and Diesel Market: Supply Squeeze and Demand Trends Refinery Production and Inventory Shifts. U.S. refinery throughput declined slightly, with crude oil processing falling to 15.4 million barrels per day (bpd), down 15,000 bpd for the week. Refinery utilization stood at 84.9%, reflecting seasonal maintenance and potential market shifts. Gasoline production CAPITALCOM:GASOLINE decreased to 9.2 million bpd, while distillate fuel output increased to 4.7 million bpd, suggesting stronger demand for diesel and heating fuels. However, inventories tell a different story: • Gasoline inventories fell by 0.2 million barrels, leaving stocks 1% below the five-year seasonal average. • Distillate inventories dropped sharply by 2.1 million barrels, now standing 12% below the five-year average. • Propane inventories declined by 3.6 million barrels, though they remain stable compared to last year. Demand Trends and Pricing Impacts Over the past four weeks, total petroleum demand increased by 3.7% year-over-year, reaching 20.4 million bpd. Notably, gasoline consumption edged up 0.4% to 8.4 million bpd, while distillate demand surged by 14.2% to 4.3 million bpd, reflecting strong industrial and freight sector activity. Retail gasoline prices rose to $3.148 per gallon yet remain $0.121 lower than a year ago. Meanwhile, WTI crude settled at $72.05 per barrel, down $8.60 year-over-year, as broader market concerns weighed on prices.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by igorisaev
U.S. Gasoline and Distillate Markets: Production and InventoriesThe U.S. gasoline and distillate fuel markets are seeing diverging trends, with production rising while inventories decline. According to the latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report , gasoline production increased to 9.3 million barrels per day (bpd), slightly above last week’s level. However, despite this rise, total gasoline inventories fell by 3.0 million barrels, bringing them 1% below the five-year seasonal average. Distillate fuel oil production, which includes diesel and heating oil, dropped to 4.5 million bpd, reflecting lower refinery output. While inventories of distillates showed a marginal increase of 100,000 barrels, they remain 11% below the five-year average, signaling a tighter supply environment. Rising Demand and Seasonal Effects Total products supplied, a proxy for demand, averaged 20.3 million bpd over the past four weeks—2.8% higher year-over-year. Within this, motor gasoline demand stood at 8.3 million bpd, up 0.9% from last year, while distillate fuel demand surged by 13.6% year-over-year, indicating strong industrial and transportation fuel usage. With the winter heating season still in effect and freight transportation activity remaining robust, diesel prices may see upward pressure, especially if refinery output does not keep pace with demand. Price Trends and Market Outlook • The national average gasoline price increased to $3.128 per gallon, up $0.046 from last week but $0.064 lower than a year ago. • The national average diesel price edged up slightly to $3.665 per gallon, though it remains $0.444 below year-ago levels. • The New York Harbor spot price for conventional gasoline rose to $2.181 per gallon, while No. 2 heating oil increased to $2.381 per gallon. Given the combination of tight distillate inventories and increased demand, diesel prices may continue to trend higher in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, gasoline prices could see moderate volatility, influenced by refinery utilization rates, crude oil price movements, and seasonal demand shifts. Investment Considerations For traders and investors, key factors to watch include: • Refinery utilization rates, which stood at 85% last week, impacting refined product supply. • Crude oil price movements, as WTI recently dropped to $71.32 per barrel, affecting refining margins. • Demand trends, particularly in the transportation and industrial sectors, which influence fuel consumption patterns. TVC:USOIL TVC:UKOIL
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by igorisaev
OIL1.4H 2.upt 3.resist/needs to reteset/ 4.inverted head and shoulder/ 5.rsi41/sto95/vol//rsi62/sto83/ 6. 7.fibext cross/ 8.fibretrac crossing / 9. 10. 11.1/2 12. 13.three white soldiers 14.reverse to sell ,retrace and buy back/ 1.2H 2.upt 3.resist 4.symmetrical exp triangle/ 5.rsi41/sto95/vol 6. 7.fibext above 4h frame/ 8.fibretrace above/ 9 10 11.1/2 12. 13.three white soldier 14.can reverse or retrace/ 1.1h 2.upt 3.resist 4.double botton/ 5.rsi67/sto96/vol 6. 7.fibext above/ 8.fibretrace above/ 9. 10. 11.1/2 12. 13.three white soldiers 14.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by Forexnation237
4-hr OIL: Bears to Drive Oil Down $4There is a clear shift in the momentum in the Oil market, with the commodity dropping with nearly 10% for the past 2 weeks. The Death Cross, a classic sell signal, is indicating that sellers are indeed in control and we are lookin now at a strong downward momentum. The minor pullback from 72.40 to 74 wasn't unexpected, after all it was triggered by early sellers taking profit, which is healthy for the broader trend. This correction was also very short lived, as it only tested the immediate resistance at 23% Fibonacci retracement. Besides the technical set up, looking at the broader market we see rising demand for risky assets such as stocks, which further supports the hypothesis speculators are shifting from Oil to equities. This is why we prefer to enter a sell trade with a target $4 below the current price.
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Trendsharks
Brent and WTI: Quarterly OutlookBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst At the end of January 2025, Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices have shown significant movements in the global energy market. Brent is trading around $77.47 per barrel, while WTI stands at $73.81. Economic Analysis Several economic factors are influencing the current dynamics of oil prices: 1. economic data from China: the recent contraction in Chinese manufacturing activity has raised concerns about a possible decline in demand for crude oil, given that China is the world's largest importer. 2. U.S. Trade Policies: The Trump administration has announced the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, and is considering similar measures for China. These actions could affect oil imports, as Canada and Mexico are key suppliers to the United States. 3. Production Efficiency: Oilfield services companies in the U.S. face a decrease in demand for hydraulic fracturing and increased production efficiency, which has led to a reduction in the number of active rigs and could influence future crude oil supply. 4. U.S. Inventory Expectations: U.S. crude oil inventories have shown an increase in recent weeks, indicating lower consumption or an increase in production. According to the latest reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), stockpiles have increased by approximately 3.5 million barrels, which could put downward pressure on prices in the short term. If this trend continues, it could reinforce bearish expectations for Brent and WTI. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, in the short term Brent (Ticker AT: Brent) , after reaching lows since January 9, has shown a slight recovery. Immediate resistance is around $80, a level that, if overcome, could open the way for further gains. However, the inability to overcome this barrier could result in a consolidation or pullback to previous supports. The Brent price has been moving in a very high volatility range since March 18, 2023 to date with its mid-zone being $84 - $80.74 indicated by the checkpoint (POC). Looking at the chart it has pierced its uptrend on August 8, 2024, to fall to a new support zone at lows of $68.46. Looking at the 3 consecutive touches below the $95.12 high to the current price zone, it does not appear to be evolving in a bullish direction from the March and June 2022 highs. The commodity trend has been moving downward since then. Since July 29, 2024 there has been a bearish crossover of averages reversing the trend of the averages. At the moment since January 3 of this year there has been a crossover in the opposite direction and currently the 50-average has overtaken the 200-average, but the 100-average has still lagged behind. We will have to watch to see if the price pierces the indicated checkpoint again, if this is the case as a new checkpoint the next two ceilings around $88 and $91.56. In a more than likely bearish scenario, if the strong price of $70.08 is pierced it will mean that industrial production has increased to a large extent. In the case of WTI (Ticker AT:Lcrude) it has reached a key trend line around $72.50, suggesting a possible support point. Price's ability to hold above this level could indicate a continuation of the uptrend, while a break below could signal a deeper correction. The WTI price has been moving $79 and the $72.40 in the last period of the year, it has been similar to brent with a similar bearish tone to its European counterpart. The strong support zone is found at lows of $63.94 and $68.37. Its current average zone is around $78.88 and $72.50. Its current control point (POC) is at $72.30, so it will be necessary to observe if, despite the conflict between Donald Trump and OPEC in its lack of productivity, the production increase forecasts are fulfilled at least on the US side. If we observe the bearish context and this is fulfilled, the price could retake the $60 area, although this is also unlikely due to OPEC's disinterest in listening to an American government with a “Drill baby Drill” anthem that only Canada and in particular Alberta, its main supplier, listens to. Future Outlook Projections for 2025 indicate a downward trend in oil prices, with an expected average of $73 per barrel for Brent and an average of $71.50 for West Texas. This forecast is based on the anticipation of an increase in global inventories and a moderation in demand. In summary, the Brent and WTI crude oil market is being shaped by a combination of technical and economic factors. Investors should closely monitor production trends, trade policies and global economic indicators to make informed decisions in this volatile environment. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:LCRUDEShort
by ActivTrades
Does WTI Oil have enough energy to travel back up?After an unsuccessful breakout in mid-January, MARKETSCOM:OIL made its move back down. That said, it's currently finding support near the 200-day EMA. On one hand, it may seem that this is the place for a potential rebound, however, the bulls should not get their hopes up, because there some indication for a possible drift further south. Take a look at the video idea. TVC:USOIL RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
4-hr CRUDE OIL: Retesting $71.50, before the Up Trend ExtendsOver the past month, oil prices have surged by $8, marking an impressive 15% return in less than 20 business days. The commodity is clearly in an upward trend, with buyers maintaining strong control. This bullish momentum is further validated by two Golden Cross patterns, a classic buy signal. However, since Friday, a decline in buying volume suggests potential conditions for a correction. Early buyers might be taking profits, increasing supply and potentially triggering a broader pullback. We anticipate the price may correct to $71.50, a swing high from mid-December, which coincides with the crucial 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If this support holds, the broader uptrend could resume. Buyers looking for a better risk-to-reward ratio might wait for this correction before entering the market.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by Trendsharks