The mother of all blow-offs???R.N. Elliott was famous for saying that one of the hardest things about trading was believing what you were seeing, and that is currently the case with Copper.
Copper currently appears to be in the midst of breaking out from a 14 YEAR CONTRACTING TRIANGLE! If this breakout succeeds, and it appears it has, it would portend the greatest bull run in copper in the history of the financial markets. It would also have massive ramification for the major averages as well. Taken to its logical conclusion, Equities would be primed for a blowoff top that would usher in the mother of all bear markets; a financial reset that has been decades in the making, and one that is necessary to clear the effects of the financial malfeasance perpetrated by central banksters around the world. As Copper climbs, so will bond yields and equity prices. However when the party ends, don't be that guy holding your glass over the empty punchbowl, cuz the party will be over!
CA1! trade ideas
Gundlach ratio suggests 10 Year Yields will continue to climb. The Gundlach ratio tracks the ratio of copper prices to gold as an indicator of future US 10 Year Yields. Gundlach believes in the predictive value of the ratio since copper is sensitive to swings in the economy, while gold climbs when investors get frightened. You can see the correlation with the US 10 Year Yield rate is around at least 95% most of the time, although the correlation does loose connection, but then returns.
Copper has been on a tear (especially since the Chinese returned from their Lunar Holiday) hitting a most recent high of 4.18 per lb, while Gold has dropped below $1800, bottoming at 1760 at the prospect on real yields becoming positive. This has increased the Gundlach ratio and you can see how US10Y rates have also been driven higher.
With copper forecast to go even higher and Gold's future potentially a little less certain (especially as funds are diverted to Bitcoin) this bodes well for future higher 10 year rates.
Traditional|HG1!|Long and shortLong and short HG1!
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the triangle consolidation.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
Copper is heading to a new ATHFundamentally, COMEX:HG1! has a potential with the new green economy and its new applications. China was the dominant consumer of it but in the next term, not a country or countries but a sector, including EVs, will dominate the market and prices.
This is a long term prediction. I think current supply CAPEX is not enough for the next term. Thus, we can expect further real price increases in the next term.
The chart is based on Wyckoffian method. I think this is a re-accumulation phase. The next step will be the sign of strength.
COPPER showing strength. Buy opportunity.Pattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the RSI and MACD are approaching their Support levels, while the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is closing in.
Target: 4.200 (the 3.5 Fibonacci extension).
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