An Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price ChartAn Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price Chart
Today, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), a Chinese manufacturer of "smart" electric vehicles, is trading above $4 – a development that may be viewed as an optimistic scenario following the drop to $3 in the first half of April, marking the lowest level in nearly five years.
Why Has NIO’s Share Price Risen?
Bullish sentiment has been supported by news that the company: → increased vehicle deliveries by 40.1% compared to the same period last year; → is launching its premium ET9 model, expanding its range of offerings.
Additionally, news offering hope that high tariffs in international trade may not hinder the company's growth has also had a positive impact on NIO’s share price.
Technical Analysis of NIO’s Share Price Chart
From the perspective of candlestick analysis on the daily chart, a "Three White Soldiers" pattern (marked with an arrow) can be observed. This is considered an important bullish signal, as according to Thomas Bulkowski, author of Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, following the formation of a "Three White Soldiers" pattern, a bearish trend (highlighted by the red channel) reverses to the upside in 82% of cases.
However, it is important to bear in mind that resistance may be encountered at:
→ the $4 per share level, as it previously served as a support;
→ the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the downward move between 12 March and 8 April.
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0A1K trade ideas
NIO - Clear Skies AheadFor those looking to invest in Nio or already invested and praying on a better sky - the bullish way is predicated on price following the road i have outlined on the chart. We are at an area of price where we can start to see institutional players step in now after accumulating very cheap positions in what is in my opinion one of the outstanding EV companies in the world.
NIO - the downtrend about to end?hi traders
Let's have a look at NIO stock.
With terrible earnings at the end of March, the price faced a strong rejection and continued a major downtrend.
On the 8th of April, due to the whole market correction, NIO dropped heavily and the price reached 3,05$, where we saw the downsloping support line playing a big role and stopping the price from further decline.
RSI was very oversold, and now it looks like it was a bottom (at least for now).
The price bounced back to 4,20$ but it seems like it's getting rejected at 100SMA line.
RSI was overbought at the moment of this rejection, so I expect the price to give a bit of pullback but overall, I expect the price to try to retest the major downsloping resistance (a yellow trendline). If it breaks the downtrend, we will see fireworks and 7$+ will be a target.
If the price gets rejected, expect another 40% drop.
NIO needs a solid catalyst, such as strong earnings. With weak fundamentals, it will be hard for the price to break this major downtrend.
Is Nio’s ambition outpacing reality?Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio faces significant challenges despite strategic efforts like the recent launch of the Firefly brand. A successful and innovative company known for its battery swaps, Nio is now grappling with increasing domestic competition, slowing economic growth, and significant financial losses reflected in its low share price and market cap. The company’s path forward, and particularly its ambitious global expansion, increasingly appears fraught with external pressures and technological hurdles that threaten its long-term viability.
Chief among these challenges is rising geopolitical risks. Rising trade tensions between major global powers, including potential tariffs from the US and Europe, directly threaten Nio’s access to the international market and its growth prospects. More critically, the unresolved situation regarding Taiwan poses a serious risk of conflict (a Chinese invasion of Taiwan) and subsequent international embargoes. Such a scenario could disrupt global supply chains, especially for critical components such as semiconductors essential for electric vehicles, and cripple Nio’s production and sales.
Furthermore, Nio is in an expensive technological arms race, particularly in autonomous driving, competing with global leaders such as Tesla. While Nio uses a multi-sensor approach with LiDAR in its Navigate on Pilot Plus (NOP+) system, Tesla’s vision-only strategy and extensive data collection pose a formidable challenge. Both companies face obstacles, and with the complex task of perfecting autonomous technology in diverse environments, Nio must not only adapt to technological advances but also navigate complex regulatory landscapes and execute flawlessly to compete effectively and justify its significant investments in this space.
NIO - the long playThere is a long road to go to see any bullishness in NIO. This diagram is a simple annotation of the steps for higher prices and bullishness on NIO. Right now we might be seeing the beginning of a shift to bullishness if we star displacing higher and price signatures such as bullish fair value gaps left open would help strengthen the bullish bias.
NIO - The Bullish RoadThere is a long road to go to see any bullishness in NIO. This diagram is a simple annotation of the steps for higher prices and bullishness on NIO. Right now we might be seeing the beginning of a shift to bullishness if we star displacing higher and price signatures such as bullish fair value gaps left open would help strengthen the bullish bias.
NIO the road to higher pricesThere is a long road to go to see any bullishness in NIO. This diagram is a simple annotation of the steps for higher prices and bullishness on NIO. Right now we might be seeing the beginning of a shift to bullishness if we star displacing higher and price signatures such as bullish fair value gaps left open would help strengthen the bullish bias.
$NIO You're updated roadmap for $NIOcopy & paste from twitter & stocktwits:
We have to see how it develops, but expecting to see an expanded flat with a 5 wave impulse to complete this sideways correction that started April 15, 2024 before we make the final move down to complete the macro structure and unfortunately filling gaps below....cont
The TVC:HSI & NYSE:BABA appear like they will make new lows over the next 24 mo. paying closer attention when new lows are made on TVC:HSI and around 12k. I thought we found the bottom going into March/April last year but wrong as this developed into a corrective flat for NYSE:NIO
lastly the volume profile isn't capturing the correct data - if we view only $66.99 to the current low, there is a massive volume gap at the ~0.382 fib correcting wave W (the 5-3-5 structure) at $11.02 which is the highest tgt for this bounce & HSI finishing correction from 2007
NIO long pivot for the record $NIOWXYXZ. Z = Y @ log .618
they wanted a longer description so.. long pivot on deck, bullish divergences multiple timeframes. I like to have fibs AND geometry supporting the count as shown on the chart but it lacks geometry. the 5-3-5 zz we want to see in wave Z is a harder sell but im running with this anyway. Weekly timeframe looks obvious but we can nit pick on tiny timeframes.
$NIO downtrend or recover?Looking at the daily chart, it's obvious that the 30/60 EMA crossover with downward movement likely confirms that the price hasn't finished dropping and is heading toward new lows. The decline began on 10/28/2024, and at some point, the price tried to pull out of its steep dive on 03/11/2025 - even showing some volume - but it was all in vain. After forming a cup pattern, the price never completed the handle formation and simply slid downward.
A couple of scenarios could play out from these lows: it might suddenly shoot upward, signaling that it won't return to the downtrend in the near future, or alternatively, it could continue "testing the bottom" and provide a good entry point below $2.38. The volumes of recent trading sessions add to this suspicion - it feels like deliberate selling pressure, or perhaps dumping based on fears about Trump's new tariffs.
NIO bottomed out or nothi traders,
Some time ago we shared the trading idea:
but this NIO set-up failed as the stop loss at 4,05 was reached.
Since then, NIO dropped 22%.
I see a potential that a local bottom is in as RSI hit oversold levels and the price is kind of respecting the downsloping channel.
I won't be calling any huge reversal yet because NIO has a lot to prove but expecting the bounce towards 4,90-5$ is reasonable here.
However, if the price drops and closes below 3,10$ , this set-up will be invalidated.
Falling Wedge, a bullish caseMy previous analysis back on Nov 2024 hit its' target support around 3.70 and is currently proving to be a good support. Assuming this holds for the next few days, I would expect this to traverse within this falling wedge and should compress along. If it this upward and confirms, I'd expect resistance around5.54. If it continues, should have another resistance around 7.00.
I would watch to see what the indicators reveal as this progresses. But as it stands today, it may have found the floor.
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection.
Green Zone:
We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone:
0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top
MO – Monthly Open level
Volume cluster from previous local consolidation
Blue Zone:
If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone.
High Time Frame Channel projection:
NIO Wave Analysis – 31 March 2025
- NIO reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 4.00
NIO recently reversed from the support area located between the multi-month support level 3.60 (which has been reversing the price from April of 2024) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the C-wave of the earlier intermediate impulse wave (B).
Given the strength of the support level 3.60 and the oversold daily Stochastic, NIO can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 4.00 (former strong support from January).
Big Trend Reversal As seen in my previous post NIO has followed my prediction which was to draw back to the 3.60 price range and form a triple bottom, its final sale, in my opinion this is the best time to buy.
- A very strong triple bottom has formed.
- Low RSI on the1D indicates the stock is Oversold.
- Strong RSI divergence as seen with the blue arrows indicates a reversal.
I will be looking for a strong bounce off the 3.60 Price line followed by some consolidation to prepare for the uprise or vice versa (consolidation followed by a big jump, maybe a reverse head and shoulders formation in the near future).
This is not financial advice, but if you have been waiting for the best time to add shares/buy into NIO, I cannot imagine a better time to buy.
Seems that NIO is till somewhat respecting the large green trendline but has gapped below it, what do you guys think about that? Would love to hear your thoughts and feed back.
NIO Stock Trades Below $5 Following Earnings ReportIn just three trading sessions, the stock of the Chinese electric vehicle company has dropped more than 14%, now hovering around $4.50 per share. The ongoing bearish move remains steady after the company reported a net loss of approximately $985 million and weaker-than-expected sales of $2.7 billion, compared to the $2.8 billion forecast. These disappointing results have fueled consistent selling pressure in recent hours.
New Lateral Range:
Recent price action has led to the formation of a sideways range, with resistance near $5.00 and support around $4.17. The recent bearish movement has pushed the stock to stabilize near the bottom half of this range, giving the current sideways formation more relevance, with no clear signs of a breakout in the short term.
MACD:
The MACD histogram continues to fluctuate near the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of recent moving averages is balanced, with no dominant directional bias in the short term. This suggests that the lateral formation may persist, keeping price movements neutral for now.
ADX:
However, it’s worth noting that the ADX line remains consistently above the 20 level, which may imply that recent price moves are gaining trend strength. If the ADX continues to rise above 20, this could reinforce the bearish momentum observed in recent sessions.
Key Levels:
$5.00 – Remains the most important resistance level , located at the top of the current range. Sustained moves above this level could mark the end of a long-term downtrend that has been in place since September 2024.
$4.53 – A key mid-range leve l, where the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages converge. This may act as a neutral zone, where indecisive price action could continue, extending the current lateral formation.
$4.17 – Critical support level , aligned with the recent multi-month lows. A break below this level would signal a potential bearish breakout, possibly triggering a more aggressive downward trend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst