MSTR Time To RipLooking for long trades at these key levels, mainly anchored vwap from the low for what may be a face ripper rally
0A7O trade ideas
monthly and 2week @255.43 i doubt MicroStrategy will be able to hang on when all other crypto and stocks are breaking structure. the yellow trendline is the most touches i could get. all trendlines are on daily.
just broke below 100ema today. look where 200ema is. ???
since its going2b that kinda party, imma gonna stick my dikc in the mashpotatos~
MicroStrategy's Breakdown Looms: A Warning for BTC Bulls? Despite MicroStrategy's latest Bitcoin accumulation and bullish US crypto policy shifts, price action tells a different story that could spell trouble for BTC if key technical levels give way.
📉 MicroStrategy's Struggle: Bullish Accumulation vs Bearish Structure
MicroStrategy (MSTR) ended Q1 2025 with a deeply concerning price structure that signals the bulls are losing momentum despite an environment rich with crypto-positive headlines. From regulatory optimism to corporate adoption and even MicroStrategy's own record-breaking Bitcoin accumulation, the narrative seems bullish on the surface.
Between March 17 and March 23, MicroStrategy purchased an additional 6,911 BTC for $584.1 million, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to over 500,000 BTC, valued at roughly $44 billion. Yet, instead of rallying, the stock plunged over 10% on Friday, March 28, closing just above the critical $288.20 support zone—a level highlighted in our March 10 analysis as a make-or-break point.
This divergence between news and price action is precisely why technical structure matters more than headlines. As MSTR continues to mirror Bitcoin's moves, failing to hold $288.20 could trigger a cascade of selling that reaches beyond equities and into the crypto market itself.
📊 Technical Setup: The Last Stand at $288.20
On the daily chart, a symmetrical triangle has formed, tightening price action and pointing toward an imminent breakout or breakdown. For now, pressure is building to the downside.
Failed breakout attempt at $342.97 confirms short-term weakness
Critical support: $288.20 (three-month major level)
Immediate downside targets: $264 → $248
Bearish continuation targets: $208 → $168 → $135
To avoid this bearish progression, bulls must defend $288.20 with conviction. If they can reclaim and hold above $327, it may revive short-term optimism and re-establish the recovery narrative.
But the longer the price stalls below $300, the more vulnerable MicroStrategy—and, by extension, Bitcoin—becomes.
🔗 The MSTR–Bitcoin Connection: Deeply Intertwined
The relationship between MicroStrategy and Bitcoin is unlike any other corporate-stock pairing in modern finance. With over half a million BTC on its balance sheet, MSTR doesn't just reflect Bitcoin's value—it amplifies it, functioning like a leveraged BTC ETF in the eyes of the market.
This is why Bitcoin's rejection at $87,355 last week happened almost in lockstep with MSTR's price failure at $342.97.
BTC bounced from $78,540 to $87,355, only to reverse.
As of writing, Bitcoin trades at around $82,194 after testing key support at $81,934.
Just like MSTR, Bitcoin is sitting on fragile ground.
📉 Bitcoin Levels to Watch:
Support: $81,934 (short-term) → $78,540 (major)
Breakdown zone: Below $78,540 → opens the path to $71,974
Upside trigger: Reclaim $87,355 → could push toward $91,000
The concern now is whether the bulls can sustain this support, or it's only a matter of time before Bitcoin follows MicroStrategy lower.
🧾 Fundamental Forces: Optimism vs. Reality
This pullback is happening despite favourable macro and crypto-specific developments, adding another caution layer.
✅ Positive Developments:
MicroStrategy's aggressive BTC accumulation
US administration signalling support for crypto reserves
Corporate adoption stories (GameStop exploring Bitcoin, growing ETF inflows)
🚨 But Price Action Isn't Responding:
Risk markets are stalling, with equities pausing near highs
Yields remain sticky, providing no support for risk-off demand in Bitcoin
The Dollar (DXY) remains in a fragile position, yet BTC hasn't capitalized on it
As we've said before: "What you need to know is usually revealed on the chart—before the news." This disconnect between headlines and price is a red flag.
🔄 Scenarios to Watch: Rebound or Breakdown?
📉 Bearish Scenario:
MSTR loses $288.20, BTC loses $81,934
Price accelerates to $264 for MSTR and $78,540 for BTC
Breakdown opens the door to deeper selloffs: $135 for MSTR, $71,974 for BTC
📈 Bullish Scenario:
MSTR reclaims $327, BTC reclaims $87,355
Momentum could rebuild toward $342.97 and $91,000, respectively
Macro tailwinds, such as Fed clarity or risk rally, would be required to sustain it
⚠️ Final Thoughts: Bulls Are Running Out of Room
While MicroStrategy's aggressive Bitcoin strategy has made it a flagship of corporate crypto adoption, the market doesn't trade headlines—it trades structure. And right now, that structure is deteriorating.
Unless bulls step in to defend $288.20 for MSTR and $81,934 for BTC, the risk of a breakdown grows sharply. Bitcoin and MicroStrategy may continue to move together, but if one fails, the other is unlikely to stand alone.
3/27/2025 MSTR_BearishHi traders,
There’s a high probability that MSTR will move lower from here. Friday’s session will determine its direction, as the weekly candle is forming a shooting star, but getting in early isn’t a bad idea.
The BTC chart also looks bearish— the 0.618 Fib level from the previous high and low has been acting as resistance for several days. We need to watch if the 50 SMA will hold as support, but I don’t think it will, given my bearish outlook on SPY.
My target is 250 area, 200SMA will act as support.
May the trend be with you.
AP
MSTR - Next ShortThere it is, at the U-MLH, stretched again.
Confluence with the 1/4 line of the white Fork.
Cheap short down to the CL and beyond, if it's able to crack it.
Long term, my view is, that it's going to zero, because it's a Scam in plain sight, accepted by the big rulers.
MSTR is a ticking time bomb.....down downMSTR is up almost 50% from 2 weeks ago. There is very little upside at the moment, and short term investors are itching to cash out asap! Great time to get into MSTZ (inverse) before this pops ahead of next weeks new round of tariffs that will depress stocks and crypto even more.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Buy when it doesn't close below reversalThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
Not closing above 344.85 will be a move downThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
Assortment of OTM MSTR Puts
MSTR is filling my alerts for the optimal short zone mentioned previously.
I've explained the various macro bear trend setups in MSTR previously. For some additional stuff;
Generally a correction will be two legs. When it's not, there's usually at least 4. 3 corrective legs is rarer. Breaking under might have been a bear break.
If it was, a retracement is always fair game but now we're into the zone this can be faded.
Selling calls into the rally and buying an assortment of deep OTM puts on MSTR
Put $210.00 - Last: $1.22, Bid: $1.07, Ask: $1.21, Vol: 44.0, IV: 115.0%, OTM
Put $205.00 - Last: $1.09, Bid: $0.98, Ask: $1.12, Vol: 53.0, IV: 118.4%, OTM
Put $215.00 - Last: $1.27, Bid: $1.16, Ask: $1.34, Vol: 33.0, IV: 111.9%, OTM
Put $200.00 - Last: $1.00, Bid: $0.90, Ask: $1.04, Vol: 123.0, IV: 121.8%, OTM
Put $220.00 - Last: $1.40, Bid: $1.28, Ask: $1.40, Vol: 22.0, IV: 108.3%, OTM
MSTR is likely going northMSTR is likely going north.
My buy view for Microstrategy with risk-reward ratios of 1:2 & 1:4.7
Trade 1: RR 1:2
Trade 2: RR 1:4.7
Trade with care
MicroStrategyIt does not matter what we might think of Saylor or MicroStrategy. Throw your emotions away.
What matters most is what the aggregate of market participants think.
This is the chart defined, objective and unbiased analysis.
329 for sure... 353 maybeThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
MicroStrategy To $370?Hello friends! I'm back with an analysis of MSTR. As we can see, the price had a significant drop of 57% from November 2024 to March 2025. The price is highly correlated with Bitcoin, and said cryptocurrency is in a wave 4 within an Elliott wave pattern. Therefore, Bitcoin will be returning to test $110,000. Therefore, MSTR, holding 499,096 bitcoins, will see a very significant rise in its price. In the short term, MSTR will be going to test its luck at $370 per share. However, it is highly likely that it could return to $410 per share. MSTR has many technical and fundamental indicators in its favor to be a highly profitable value asset. The best buying zones are below $300 per share.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
$MSTR ready for it's next leg!Strategy has been consolidating for months now and is breaking out of it's bull flag.
It retested the 20 SMA on the 2W with a lot of buying power. Holding 1,272 btw. Not the time to be bearish!
$MSTR - WE HAVE IGNITION! 107% UpsideNASDAQ:MSTR - WE HAVE IGNITION 🚀
🎯$448🎯$543🎯$600
✅Falling Wedge Breaking Out
✅Wr% Breaking Out of DownTrend
✅Weekly Hammer Candle
Not Financial Advice
StrategyThe Strategy hasn’t changed. Ride MSTU to lofty heights. MSTU holders just went through max pain, and it couldn’t produce a 50% drawdown in one day, which would have wiped out MSTU holders, but I’ll tell ya, it came close. That was sketchy.
MSTR Is this normal? from Jan 22 it shows projection into the future but if I cut it from Feb 14 it does not
MSTR with Gann BoxIs this normal? from Jan 22 it shows projection into the future but if I cut it from Feb 14 it does not
MSTR...to $260Downward channel, lower lows and lower highs. What else do you need to see? Oh, a ponzi model that is based on selling high volatility digital coins to unsophisticated retail investors. High chance of MSTR dipping to mid $200s esp. with this crappy economy. Leverage MSTZ (inverse) to profit from this!!
Best of luck and always do your own due diligece!
StrategyHi y’all. I’m seeing Strategy attempt to find support on prior resistance, as BTC finds support on the 200DMA. Also, there is a MSTR/BTC divergence, where MSTR runs bullish sats again. You can look at my MSTR/BTC charts to see my target. I bought the dip even heavier.
Will it close above 298.70 on weekly basis?This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
MicroStrategy, IncStock traders may advise shareholders and help manage portfolios. Traders engage in buying and selling bonds, stocks, futures and shares in hedge funds. A stock trader also conducts extensive research and observation of how financial markets perform. This is accomplished through economic and microeconomic study; consequently, more advanced stock traders will delve into macroeconomics and industry specific technical analysis to track asset or corporate performance. Other duties of a stock trader include comparison of financial analysis to current and future regulation of his or her occupation.
MSTR: Is 300 Enough?MicroStrategy is seeing tremendous strength off the lows along with the rest of the crypto space. We are eyeing this 300 level to see if it offers a proper buy zone to coincide with Bitcoin 85,000 which has also seen tremendous outperformance relative to equities. Watch the overhead trendline drawn here as well as Bitcoin 90,000 for profit takes or continuations. We will decide which if and when we get there.
