PLTR WAIT FOR THE CRACK!The double top is complemented with a bearish rising wedge stuck in a rising bearish F flag.
A straightforward, short setup if you wait for the CRACK!
0A7R trade ideas
Palantir has a 7 peg ratio, it was cheap at 2. now what?palantir stock is trading at 7x its growth rate in pe, over 200 pe.
Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch would hate this valuation, even though the business is great.
Id be a buyer at 33, roughly where the 200 week or 1000 day moving average is, but thats because I want bargain prices and growth stocks.
PALANTIR Channel Up intact. Eyeing $185 on this rally.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up and is currently on its most recent Bullish Leg following the approach f the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Having also rebounded on its long-term RSI Support Zone, the buying pressure is the strongest we've seen inside this pattern, having recovered all loses in just 4 weeks.
Given that the most usual rally was +183.03%, we expect this Leg to reach at least $185.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
into the close May 5Some possible Bearish implications, but still the bias is up and another move higher can occur into tomorrow.
PLTR NEVER disappoints Market Context
NASDAQ:PLTR | Current Price: $120.28
1-Month Move: +50.83% (from $82.30)
1-Year Move: +449.91% (from $22.60)
Options Data
IV Rank: 77.2 (juicy premiums )
Put/Call Ratio: 0.90 (slightly bullish tilt )
Max Pain: $115.00
High OI: $125 calls , $110 puts
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk)
Instrument: PLTR
Direction: CALL
Strike: $130.00 (premium $0.85, fits $0.50–$1.00 band)
Expiry: 2025-05-09 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.85
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-05)
Profit Target: $1.70 (~100% gain )
Stop Loss: $0.43 (~50% loss )
See you after earnings.
BEST Ai Signals on the market :)
Good PalantirianNoticed recently there is very few NASDAQ:PLTR stock for sale on the market. As a good and kind trader I decide to borrow ad sell couple of NASDAQ:PLTR like a good move to provide liquidity to the market and help other traders to obtain so passionately desired Palantir stock.
Dear Palatirians pls don't get me wrong. I'm not betraying our faith, just need to step back for a while
Pltr $151 🧠 Palantir Bull Thesis: $136–$150 Short-Term Target (Post-Earnings)
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
Want a matching chart or visual post for this thesis?
as always safe Trades
SHORT AGAIN 100 95run it back they still dont make enough money for this valuation risky short yet again. grabbed may 23 100 90P
PLTR eyes on $109.xx: Possible End of bounce wave to Dip next?PLTR coming back strong after the tariff tantrum.
Now approaching a key resistance at $108.52-109.02.
Elliott Waves also point to a completed 5-wave structure.
Looking for a dip here, to either $103 or $96, will post updates.
$PLTR 50%+ decline ahead, $39-56 targetNASDAQ:PLTR looks like it's topping here and that it has a long road to the bottom.
If we continue to reject at this resistance, then it's likely that we'll at least see the $56 target on the downside, but I think the $44 target is the most likely area to see a bounce.
Bulls should enjoy a 50%+ drop from here. You've been warned.
Harmonic Shark Pattern and Palantir's Stock CorrectionBased on harmonic analysis, specifically the Shark pattern, the price of Palantir (PLTR) stock may face a potential decline from the $129 mark.
This projection hinges on the identification of a completed Shark pattern, indicating a possible reversal zone.
Within this framework, the Fibonacci ratios of 0.88 and 1.138 are critical levels to observe.
The 0.88 retracement level suggests a potential area for a first retest and possible bounce, while the 1.138 level represents the pattern's leading edge, indicating a possible reversal point after a more significant extension.
$PLTR Possible bullish setup targeting 102 and 112 by earning!High volume with green candles, RSI breakout, still facing strong resistance at 94-95 , if breakout then targets are 102 and 112 before coming earning report. stop loss at 76 . Good luck!
$PLTR Update: New Long Entry at $82 in a Strong Uptrend!Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) continues its “Strong Uptrend” on a 1-week chart. 📈 We bought at $21.84 and sold at $121.81 previously. Now at $114.65, we’ve entered a new long position at $82. The Trend Score is 8/8, but a short-term projected price of $123.2 ( -9.1% ) and bearish MACD suggest a potential pullback.
How to Trade This Setup:
• Monitor the Trend: The uptrend is strong with high volume, but bearish signals indicate caution—watch for momentum shifts.
• Set Targets: Resistance 1 at $137.66 is a target; Support 1 at $75.65 is key if a pullback happens.
• Adjust Risk: With bearish MACD, consider tightening stops or taking partial profits from $82.
What’s your next move on NASDAQ:PLTR ? Let’s discuss in the comments! 💡 #Trading #PLTR #Analysis
Palantir Goes to Repeat Tycoon Buffett Early 1990s AchievementSomewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas.
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
Here's what we answered:
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
- Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here .
Current result is 5X, to $80 per share.
Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here .
Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share.
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
- Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
It's gone 4 months or so... (Duh..? Ahaha.. 4 months, really? 😸😸😸)
Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX
First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean.
Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is better vs SPX
Falling (Red) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is worse vs SPX
Conclusion
Palantir. The stock that outperformed S&P 500 Index, 11 consecutive months in a row.
Palantir. The stock that printed 11x since inception. 5.5x over the past twelve month and 1.5x in the year 2025 (the best one result so far over the all S&P 500 Index components).
Palantir. The stock that goes to repeat Tycoon Buffett achievement early 1990s (in 1992-93 Berkshire Hathway outperformed S&P 500 Index for a straight TWELVE MONTHS.
Palantir. Were we right with this stock on contest and won it? Exactly! Even though our prize has been toadly strangled. 🤭
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
PLTR, It's Been RealAt a high of 125, it's had a great run, but a double top has formed going into earnings and a US government which may be forced into austerity. Insiders have been selling for months with no net buys
- First Price target down to the neckline at 76
- Next price target would be 42 for the last real breakout test
- Final PT would be 24 if the double top played out completely
TD 9 Sell Setup almost cooked High of today's candle gonna be a setup trendline for current sequence. Doesn't guarantee price drop but at least it may end up with 1-4 candle correction. As I post before I've already took some short position last Friday.
Put sale on PLTRNice drop on earnings. Appears to be a double Bottom on a daily chart. Strong up trend.
This is a nice buy low, sell high opportunity.
PalantirPalantir has continued to push higher, but if you look at MACD, it is running into resistance. Also, it is within the white target box for an impulsive wave, and has officially hit the yellow 1.0 if it is to be an abc pattern for the (a) of minor B. Due to the impulsive looking structure it seems to be turning into, and the duration/level of this move higher, I am officially making the bullish count my primary. That being said, the yellow count can still play out, but given the current price action and time duration, I find the white count most plausible.
We're due for a consolidation lower regardless of what count comes to fruition. Both patterns point to an abc move next to the $80 area if it is to be standard. The part that comes after that is what will answer the question of which count is correct. Once we get that move lower, if it is in the form of an abc, I will try to enter into a long position around the 0.618 retracement fib. That will be the least risky place to enter.
If the white count is what is playing out, then a minor wave 3 will come after the consolidation lower. If the yellow count is to play out, then it will be a minor C wave that takes us to the $120's. Either way you look at it, I am forecasting price to move significantly higher after our next move lower.
Let me know if any questions linger. I have added an orange label above the white box to signify we can still very easily get another high for minor wave 1. Once we do have a top in, I will add some retracement fibs to track the move lower.
PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation | (May 2025)PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation + Hype Exhaustion Risk | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Palantir has been riding the AI hype wave, but valuations are extremely stretched. Despite strong growth, price action shows signs of slowing — making this a "watch closely" rather than "chase blindly" setup.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Watching for short setup — not entering yet
Entry Zone: If price retests $19–20 and stalls again
Stop Loss: Above $121.50 (breakout continuation risk)
TP1 (potential short): $117.00 — minor structure support
TP2: $15.50 — deeper pullback zone
TP3 (optional): $113.90 — if broader correction plays out
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Fundamentals at a Glance:
Revenue: $2.87B | Net Income: ~$460M
Market Cap: $291B (!) — over 10x revenue, signals extreme overvaluation
P/S Ratio: 19x
Price to Cash Flow: 272x — typical range for healthy companies is 20–40
EPS and Book Value: Weak vs market cap (Tangible BV: $2.13)
Beta: 2.45 — very volatile
✅ Business Model:
Palantir builds AI-driven software for government and commercial use. Notably, government revenue and commercial segments both grew ~40% YoY — great performance, but possibly priced in already.
❌ Current Market Behavior:
Everyone's talking about PLTR — hype levels are extremely high
Price currently sitting near previous all-time highs
Technicals show signs of exhaustion — money is slightly flowing out on 30min charts
Daily chart still bullish, but 4H shows price stalling — a correction seems likely
A dip to ~$19 or lower (4–5% pullback) would be normal, even healthy
❌ Short Setup Caution:
Although the chart leans bearish short term, this is a hype-driven stock. Fighting it blindly with a short could be risky. If a correction does set in, it's more likely to be a measured move rather than a full trend reversal — for now.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching for a short opportunity if rejection confirms near $20–21. No position for now — observing price behavior closely as hype may still carry it higher in the short term.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Down to 70$ ?The quarterly report just above expectations
P/E ratio over 600
The double top on the chart
The spending cuts by the US government, which is the main client
All the ingredients are there for a significant decline that could go down to the blue support where the 200-day SMA (blue line) will be located, around $70.
back to 100 if it doesn't break resistence Good catalyst, but needs to break the high; looking for a reversal at 115.
$PLTR momentum is heating up - ATH's INBOUND!🔥 NASDAQ:PLTR momentum is heating up!
All-time highs on the horizon! 🎯
✅ Indicators curling bullish
✅ Volume Shelf ready to launch 🚀
✅ Wr% pendulum swinging in favor
Big move incoming—are you in? 👀
Not Financial Advice
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