Only the technically strong will surviveAfter a wild 3 weeks of selling, one thing is for sure. If you dont have strong technical analysis skills, you might want to step aside.
0A7R trade ideas
Palantir’s Uptrend May Be at RiskPalantir Technologies has climbed steadily since the summer, but some traders may think the run is nearing an end.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since early August. The software company is now under that line, which may suggest its uptrend is at risk.
Second, PLTR has made lower highs while holding its February 3 low of $78.47. That descending triangle is potentially bearish.
Third, prices have failed to hold the 50-day simple moving average. Is its intermediate-term direction changing?
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Prices also hit resistance at the 8-day EMA yesterday and MACD is dropping. Those patterns may be consistent with a short-term downtrend.
Finally, PLTR is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (It’s averaged about 1.3 million contracts per day in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That could make some traders look to position for moves with calls and puts.
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My take on using AVWAPsTrying to remove the hard work of selecting multipliers for your anchored VWAPs, I came up with this idea of a AVWAP band and built an indicator for it.
$PLTR Making Higher HighsAfter a -37 Drop in less than 9 days, NASDAQ:PLTR should see some upside.
Nice Risk Reward Setup Forming.
How far do you predict NASDAQ:PLTR to go?
PALANTIR: It's a buy but don't expect a rally any time soon.Palantir is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.509, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 35.869) as it's trading under the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that gives a strong buy signal every time it hits its 1D MA100. As a matter of fact, the February 19th High has been a HH for the pattern and last time the price hit that top (July 31st 2023), it entered a lengthy Accumulation period. As in today, the 1D RSI was again on a similar Bearish Divergence. Consequently we believe that every 1D MA100 test is a buy opportunity, but the breakout rally will probably take another 4-5 months to happen. Aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 200.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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PLTR: Buy ideaOn PLTR we would have a high probability of buying after the bounce on the support line as you can see on the chart.
Further Bullish Moves on Palantir. PLTRA pretty clear bounce of a long term trend line. Four indicators paint a picture of bullish move here to follow.
PLTR Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels
* Current Price: $90.60
* Support: $84.40, $78.58
* Resistance: $95, $100
PLTR is showing bullish momentum after bouncing off key support near $84.40. The price action has shifted, breaking multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) levels to the upside, signaling a potential reversal.
Reversal Zone Analysis
PLTR has rebounded from the liquidity zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $90 - $95. If price holds above $90, a move toward $95 and possibly $100 is likely.
Options & GEX Analysis
* IVR: 77.2
* IVx Avg: 82.5
* GEX: Green (indicating bullish positioning)
* Put Walls: $80, $75, $70
* Call Walls: $95, $100
Options flow suggests that PLTR has strong put support at $80, while gamma resistance lies at $95-$100, making it a key area to watch for rejection or breakout.
Trading Plan & Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
* Entry: Above $90 with volume confirmation
* Target: $95, then $100
* Stop-Loss: Below $88
Bearish Scenario (Less Likely)
* Entry: If price rejects at $95
* Target: $85
* Stop-Loss: Above $95
Options Trade Idea
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $90 Calls, Sell $100 Calls (April Expiry)
* Credit Put Spread: Sell $85 Puts, Buy $80 Puts
Final Thoughts
PLTR appears to be regaining momentum, but $95 is a key test level. If price sustains above it, expect continuation toward $100. Otherwise, a rejection may bring a retrace toward $85. Watch volume and option flow to confirm direction.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
The Palantir of tradingA Palantir, if you did not know, is otherwise known as a crystal ball; a seeing stone. It was what Saruman used in Lord of the Rings to "see" and that ultimately led to his corruption by Sauron. I've seen this stock corrupt the career of aspiring traders...
I was asked my advice on Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR . I don't like to give "advice" on what for other traders to do... but I will say what I have done, what I am doing, and tell you a story that hopefully help traders be better.
I bought PLTR at an average price of about $9/share. Great! Not really, it was July 2022, and I bagheld all the way down to $6: a -33% unrealized loss over about a year of time. But what I had done was only purchased 200 shares. My position was relatively small; it didn't bother me. I slept just fine.
I was encouraged to buy PLTR by a good trading buddy. We would talk and trade every day for years since the pandemic. He was super bullish on this stock and I really bought it and held it in solidarity with my friend.
Then in May 2023 the stock finally took off. I had my shares and my friend traded PLTR options. However, they were short duration options. In the May - August rally he multiplied his account many times. More money than he had ever had in his young life. Things were going great. He was finally RIGHT! But then...
The stock stopped moving. Unfortunately, my friend had taken his success and tried to repeat it. Options need movement. PLTR did not move enough. He lost it all. He left our group and quit trading altogether...
...just before the August 2024 rally.
If you like the company, OWN THE SHARES
Since the pandemic I have tried my best to educate traders that the short term, gambler's mentality inherent in options is a path to disaster for the vast majority of traders. Patience. It's hard but it pays.
I still have my shares. They are up big. They are pulling back, sure. But I don't care. I was small, I have a very low buy price, and I can just wait.
Now that PLTR has moved though... inevitably people want it. Since the start of the year I've been asked repeatedly about buying it. What I tell people is that any tech or volatile stock like this WILL have AT LEAST a -50% (usually more) pullback. Be patient. I do not get interested until that happens. Even then it still may get even cheaper.
Be patient.
Trade wisely.
PLTR: Buy ideaHigh probability of buying on PLTR as you can see on the chart after the break of vwap and resistance line.
Palantir (PLTR) Approaching Critical Levels!📊 Technical Analysis (TA):
1. Trend & Structure:
* PLTR is in a strong downtrend, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals.
* Change of Character (ChoCH) attempts have failed, reinforcing bearish control.
* Key Resistance: ~90-95 (supply zone)
* Support Zone: ~78-80 (high liquidity demand zone)
2. Indicators:
* MACD & Stochastics indicate weakness, signaling further downside potential.
* Volume remains high on selling pressure, further validating the downtrend.
🔹 GEX & Options Flow:
1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧
* 100-105: Heavy resistance, unlikely to be breached in the near term.
* 120: Major CALL wall, a strong gamma resistance.
2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑
* 75: Significant put positioning, acting as short-term support.
* 70: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a strong breakdown could accelerate to this level.
3. IV Rank & Skew:
* IVR 82.7, signaling high implied volatility.
* IV skew heavily favors puts, suggesting continued bearish sentiment.
* Calls only 21.5%, confirming put dominance.
📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions:
* Bullish Scenario:
* A reclaim above 85-90 could push PLTR toward 95-100.
* Calls or spreads with April expiry could benefit from a bounce.
* Bearish Scenario:
* A breakdown below 78-80 could send PLTR toward 70-75, leading to strong put activity.
* Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 80P or 75P targeting 70-75.
⚠️ Key Warning: If PLTR holds 80, we might see a sharp bounce due to short covering.
🔥 Conclusion: PLTR at a Crossroad – Major Move Incoming!
PLTR is hovering near key liquidity zones, with options flow favoring downside. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining direction. If it fails to hold 78-80, expect further selling pressure. Watch for reaction levels before entering trades. 🚀📉
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Opening (IRA): PLTR February 21st 62/68/94/100 Iron Condor... for a 2.16 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.16
Buying Power Effect: 3.84
ROC at Max: 56.3%
50% Max: 1.08
ROC at 50% Max: 28.2%
Palantir: Bullish Outlook Despite Recent DeclinePalantir has dropped ~31% in 9 days due to market volatility and defense spending concerns. However, strong fundamentals suggest a bullish rebound.
❓Why Palantir Can Rebound
✅ AI Leadership – Palantir’s platforms (Gotham, Foundry, Apollo) dominate AI-driven data analytics. The AI Platform (AIP) enhances adoption.
✅ Strong Financials – Revenue surged from $742.6M (2019) to $2.86B (2023), with Q4 2024 net income at $165M.
✅ Growing Commercial Sector – U.S. commercial revenue up 43% YoY, reducing reliance on government contracts.
💡Recent Developments:
AI & National Security – CEO Karp’s insights on AI’s role in global security.
Industry Recognition – Palantir experience is highly valued in tech.
Defense Contracts – Competing for Pentagon AI-driven contracts.
With innovation, strong financials, and expanding market reach, Palantir is well-positioned to reclaim its highs and beyond. 🚀
PLTR at a Key Turning Point – Reversal or Breakdown? Technical Analysis (TA) – Key Price Action Insights
* Trend: PLTR has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel. A breakout above this structure could signal a reversal.
* Reversal Zone: The stock is testing a critical resistance zone around $85-$90, which aligns with the Volume Profile Point of Control (POC).
* Support Levels:
* $80: Key short-term support; failure to hold could send price towards $75-$72.
* $72: Strong historical support—a breakdown here could accelerate selling pressure.
* Resistance Levels:
* $90: First major upside level where a rejection is likely.
* $100-$105: Strong supply zone and potential breakout confirmation area.
Indicators:
* MACD: Recently crossed bullish, indicating possible momentum shift.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought, suggesting a possible pullback before continuation.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* $90 (72.6% Wall): Heavy call positioning here could act as a major resistance.
* $100-$105: Next key call walls—if PLTR can clear these, a strong gamma squeeze could take it towards $120.
* Put Support:
* $80: Highest negative NetGEX level, which aligns with dealer positioning to support price.
* $75-$72: Strong put walls—if these break, expect dealers to hedge by selling stock, increasing downside pressure.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 71.4 – High implied volatility means options are expensive.
* Options Positioning: Calls 26.4% → Mixed sentiment, slightly bullish bias.
Trading Plan & Strategy
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If PLTR holds above $85 and breaks $90, it could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $100-$105. A daily close above $105 could lead to $120+ in the mid-term.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $80 could trigger dealer hedging, leading to a breakdown toward $75-$72.
Final Thoughts & Suggestions
* Options Traders: Consider selling puts at $80 or a bull call spread if bullish. For bearish setups, a bear put spread targeting $75 makes sense.
* Equity Traders: Look for confirmation at $90 for a bullish entry or wait for a retest at $80-$75 for better risk-reward.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚀📉
PLTRPLTR hit the 1.0 I have been waiting for and looks primed for a move higher. The main question I am asking myself, is this just wave A, or is it all of wave (4). We've hit the target area for wave (4), but it was very short. Wave (2) was long, so I expect (4) to be short, but damn, talk about SHORT lol. This consolidation has lasted all of 9 days (7 trading days). This next move higher will tell us the answers we seek based upon the structure that it takes on. If it appears corrective in nature, then it is likely wave B carving itself out. Should it be impulsive in nature, then we know that (4) was short, and we're within wave (5) already. Either way I see this though, we should be moving up very soon if not already starting to.
What’s Driving PLTR’s Recent Rally, and What’s Next?What’s Driving PLTR’s Recent Rally, and What’s Next?
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has delivered a remarkable performance, surprising many investors and traders with its rapid ascent.
The stock surged from approximately $64 on December 20, 2024, to a peak of around $118 on February 11, 2025—an impressive 89% gain in less than two months.
This substantial rally raises an important question: Is PLTR at a critical turning point?
A key technical consideration is whether the stock will retrace to fill the $15 gap visible on the chart. Historically, gaps often get filled, but strong momentum can sometimes defy this pattern.
Traders and investors should closely monitor price action, volume trends, and any fundamental catalysts that could either sustain the uptrend or trigger a pullback.
As always, exercise caution and apply sound risk management strategies when trading.
📊 My chart analysis tells the story—trade wisely.
Bullish Opportunity: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Current Price: $83.00
TP1: $90 (Analyst target)
TP2: $100 (Psychological resistance)
TP3: $120 (Upper channel target)
🚀 Why Palantir is a Bullish Opportunity
1️⃣ Strong Q4 Earnings Outlook 📊
Earnings Report Due: February 3, 2025 – Analysts expect another strong quarter.
405% Growth Over the Past Year – Palantir was the best-performing S&P 500 stock in 2024.
Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Calls Palantir’s Q3 a "Masterpiece" – Revenue surged 30% YoY to $726M, driven by AI demand.
2️⃣ AI Leadership & Competitive Edge 🤖
AIP Named Best AI Platform by Forrester Research – Ranked ahead of Google Cloud, AWS, and Microsoft Azure.
AIP Growth Driving Revenue – U.S. commercial revenue is expanding rapidly, with unprecedented demand for AIP solutions.
Dan Ives Sees Palantir as the Next Oracle – If true, this would mean 185% upside from current valuation.
3️⃣ Institutional Confidence & Price Upgrades 💡
Wedbush Raised Price Target to $90 – Signaling continued AI-driven momentum.
Strong Hedge Fund Interest – Institutional investors remain bullish on Palantir’s AI expansion.
Market Cap Nears $185B – With 81.1% gross margins, Palantir is positioned as a high-growth AI leader.
4️⃣ Government & Commercial Expansion 📈
$400M+ Partnership with U.S. Army – Reinforcing Palantir’s role in defense & AI applications.
Strong Commercial Growth – Demand for AIP is driving both new customer conversions and existing client expansions.
The Biden Administration’s AI Push – Government spending on AI infrastructure directly benefits Palantir.
🔎 Conclusion
Palantir is positioned as a leading AI company, with institutional backing, strong earnings momentum, and government contracts fueling growth. With analyst upgrades and AI adoption surging, PLTR could see a breakout toward $100+ in the coming months.
PLTR Hits Rock Bottom! Will $84 Hold or Break Lower? Feb. 28Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Palantir (PLTR) is trading within a falling wedge pattern, indicating that the downtrend may soon be nearing exhaustion. The stock has reached a critical support zone at $84-$85, aligning with the highest negative NETGEX and significant PUT support.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: PLTR remains in a downtrend, but a reversal is possible if this key support holds.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $90-$93 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $84 (highest negative NETGEX, strong support zone).
* Breakout Target: $100-$105 if momentum shifts.
* MACD Indicator: Showing continued bearish momentum, but near a potential bullish crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold, suggesting a bounce could be imminent.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights significant PUT dominance, with extreme negative gamma near $84. A break below could trigger a major sell-off toward $80, while a hold at this level could lead to a sharp reversal rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 74.2, with IVx avg at 82.4%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 27.6% of options flow, meaning bullish bets are increasing.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $84 → A breakdown could bring $80 as the next stop.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $90 → A move above this level could send PLTR to $100+.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $86 with strong volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $90
* Target 2: $100-$105 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $82
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $83 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $80 → $78
* Stop-loss: Above $85
Final Thoughts
PLTR is at a high-risk, high-reward level, with $84 acting as the major support zone. If buyers step in, a short squeeze rally toward $90-$100 is likely. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $84 could accelerate losses toward $80. Watch volume and market conditions closely before making a trade.
📢 Risk Management: Keep tight stop-losses, wait for volume confirmation, and manage position sizing carefully.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
PLTR forecastAbove the monthly trendline ✅
Closed the gap, which was also a resistance level for several months and turned into support ✅
Above the 150 moving average ✅
Broke the downward trendline on the 4-hour timeframe, which aligns with the support level ✅
It will simply bounce off and go further up. Pltr super bullish.Lorenztian classification line. Bounces off at 60-80. Goes up again. Simply clear pattern.
Pltr super bullish.
Magic word - AI . Dont go against AI , especialy gov AI.
pltr top is in.crypto / stocks dump 2025.. back to bullish in 2026.
buy zone 30-45 for NASDAQ:PLTR
look at the stock market cheat sheet.. for the cheat code..
