APP: Buy ideaOn APP as you can see on the chart we have a hight probability to have an uptrend after the breakout with force the resistance line by a big green candle follow by a large green volume....
0ADE trade ideas
APP Gap up, fade for a short trade?
Long APP 250221P470 @ 19.50
Some fair value estimate at $340. Are the current levels overvalued after the earnings gap up?
APPLOVIN’S Q4 2024—$APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGEAPPLOVIN’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGE
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! AppLovin’s Q4 2024 earnings hit—$1.37B revenue, up 44% YoY, crushing $1.26B estimates 📈🔥. AI-powered AXON drives a 37% stock pop. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:APP ’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.37B, +44% YoY ($953.3M Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Ad Revenue: $999.5M, +73% YoY
• Apps Revenue: $373.3M, -1% YoY 📊
• EPS: $1.73, beats $1.24 est.
• Net Income: $599.2M, +248% YoY
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Stock Surge: +37% post-earnings (Feb 13) 🌍
• Buybacks: $2.1B retired 25.7M shares in ‘24 🚗
• Debt Play: $3.55B notes issued Nov ‘24 💸
• Q1 ‘25 Guide: $1.355-1.385B, tops $1.32B est.
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $175B (Feb 13) 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 116 vs. TTD (50), META (33)
• Growth: 44% YoY beats TTD (26%), META (19%)
• 1Y Stock: +1,000%, 2Y: +3,000%
Premium price, growth screams value!
(5/9) – RISKS TO FLAG
• Valuation: 116 P/E—high stakes, no misses 📉
• Debt: $3.51B vs. $567.6M cash—leverage looms ⚠️
• AI Rivals: Google, Meta eye AXON’s turf 🏛️
• Regs & Economy: Ad spend cuts lurk
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 44% revenue, $599M profit soars 🌟
• Margins: 62% EBITDA, $2.1B FCF in ‘24 🔍
• AXON: 73% ad surge—AI’s the champ 🚦
NASDAQ:APP ’s a profit powerhouse!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Apps dip (-1%), $3.51B debt 💸
• Opportunities: E-commerce ads, AI edge, acquisitions 🌍
Can NASDAQ:APP turn risks into riches?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:APP ’s Q4 stuns—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation bites back.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AppLovin’s Q4 dazzles—$1.37B revenue, $599M profit, stock blazing 🌍🪙. High P/E, but AI growth shines. Debt and rivals loom—gem or peak?
AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖
AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency.
Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮
The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions.
E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒
AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market.
Analyst Confidence 📊
Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors.
📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
What I'm doing with APPSo I had call options into the earnings 🥳 , here's my plan... $584 Should act as resistance or potential future support. That's why I'm going to close them there. That protects those options for a potential pullback to $417. If instead Applovin breaks above resistance I'll look for a pullback to consolidate back into the $584 support and get long once again.
Good luck!
AppLovin or something APPI don't know anything about this ticker..
But it should go down, I bought some Put options.
My posts are not trading advises, do your own analysis. I am not responsible for your losses.
New Setup: APPWe're going into Earnings and normally stocks tend to head-up going into Earnings. One additional factor that I missed to point out is that the 20 and 50-SMA are converging below it as support.
$APP Double bottom. Approaching $390 target next?NASDAQ:APP double bottom on daily here. Also It has relative strength compare to the market. Putting nice bullish pennant here. As long as $358 doesn't break we can see $390+ in upcoming week here.
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time
AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report
With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating.
From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street
AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value.
At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach.
AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore.
Performance
In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers.
Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions.
The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year.
Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform.
Valuation
Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective.
In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth.
Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably.
Risks
Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet.
Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction
Conclusion
Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
APP VCP pattern setting up for explosive move?My swing trade method didn't trigger yet, but the stats are impressive and the set-up is getting ready, so I will be watching this one closely.
What do you think?
APP Long Now above key moving averages, and a bounce off prior support APP is looking good to the upside. NASDAQ:APP
Dodged a Bullet on APPI was intrigued looking at App Lovin's (APP) rapid climb and what looks like a very high-margin line of business - but I was suspicious at that recent jump, the S&P 500 inclusion rumors, and the P/E ratio was getting scary - it would even make TSLA blush (at TSLA's current price!) The jump was all post-11/5 so I think what originally drew my attention was "Is this a Peter Thiel company that I didn't know about?"
Once I pick a stock, I do automated trading (and do so with something close to 100 symbols between my eTrade retirement account and what I would call more of a day/swing trade account at IB) - so once I load my interest, strategy, calendar or time-of-day rules, and a budget for the symbol, I let it fly on it's own volition. Why? .
So back to App Lovin -
My picking process is pretty diligent - I look at chart patterns, sure, but I also dig deep into the fundamentals.
1.) I doubted the S&P rumors - S&P 500 companies usually have a couple of things in common - resilience and multiple streams of revenue, not one-trick ponies. That's not intended as a dig against APP, but it seems to be a marketing engine for mobile devices, and it's impressive as a business for the founders, but an unexpected shift in platform interest by consumers or a new ad blocker technology, or whatever, would rapidly impact a business model like that. Getting in the S&P would be a goldmine because they are suddenly included with automatic ETF-purchases for millions of 401k accounts. I doubted that would happen here.
2.) There is a LOT of short-interest in the stock... so much (around 8% of outstanding shares) that some of the price could be a short-squeeze, and while I'm all-in on a good meme stock short-squeeze on a $5 stock to make a few bucks (and I've been known to do that when I have done my homework) - I'm not touching a $350'ish dollar symbol to throw down like casino chips on the craps table..
3.) Insider activity - these guys were selling their own shares like candy canes, immediately after the 11/5 run-up started. I mean - it's all insider-selling... 30,000 shares, 170,000 shares, 5.5 million shares... One LLC took $1.6 billion off the table. Yikes.
4.) And then they are giving themselves more options & shares... usually by 30,000 to 70,000 share tranches (so they can sell more).
Today's news ("No" from S&P) and the rapid rise... I trust my research, but I don't trust the lemmings on this.. I'm a buyer - but at a 30-35x P/E (typical for marketing/tech companies) - so more like $98.70 - $115 / share.
APP: price in the important macro-ristance True market leader of past and this year, both fundamentally and technically, is approaching an important mid-term resistance zone of the uptrend from 2022 lows: 322-370-470.
Although the uptrend on the date of writing is very intact and looks strong (since august lows price respects 8/21 ema), these resistance area might provide profit taking or position hedging opportunities for both swing/position traders and investors. These might become especially important when/if price starts trading bellow 8/21 with ema reversing their slope to the down-sideß.
Until price is bellow 470, next important, mid-term support zone 255-175. While price is above 175 resistance level, suggested macro up-trend structure is valid with higher potential price levels in years to come.
Thank you for your attention!
P.S. This is my biggest mistake and investing regret from last and this year. Had a perfect entry on 10th of July with 26.68 cost level and long-term hold-intentions but ended treating it as a short term swing position loosing big picture view, selling everything on 14th of July and moving it out from my focus list.
Good to observe and reflect from this experience of mine and move on being inspired by life-changing potential of TML's like NASDAQ:APP : )
Textbook Cup and handle on $APPIm not a pattern type of trader but on NASDAQ:APP this looks almost to be a textbook Cup and Handle ... whats your thoughts?
AAP trendline breakdown , US Stock tl breakdown possible 78.50 below
77/73 /70/65 can test soon
21 ema below close yesterday
Another gift for my group Hellooo
Yes, I say "Gift" because I know and I have experienced that how a true investment can change your account balance.
Please consider all risks and money management. I just try to share all I have in my watch list with you that might be useful for your trades.
Maybe you as yourself why I do this.
I do not any intension for the future and I just enjoy to share what I have (if it is profitable) because in my first days of trading there was no one help me or guide me and all people I knew tried to take money from me.
I really love to get your ideas and share what you think about my works.
Thanks
APP ContinuationAPP daily pullback is looking very constructive. We've also received a mean reversion signal to the upside on the intraday chart.
AppLovin continues to outperform competitors in the ad market Mobile games and software company AppLovin Corp. has received a positive recommendation from global financial services company Macquarie. Analysts believe now may be a good time to buy AppLovin shares amid adverse investor reactions.
This was due to Apple's presentation of its AdAttributionKit program for advertising analytics. While it complies with the European Union's strict requirements for personal data treatment, it has naturally raised concerns about AppLovin's ability to purchase advertising space in App Store apps.
Macquarie believes that AdAttributionKit only updates Apple's old advertising software and does not threaten AppLovin's business. AppLovin has its Axon 2 technology, which utilises artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to manage ad bidding. This technology still has substantial competitive advantages and can work under restrictions on personal data usage.
Let's review the technical analysis of AppLovin Corp. (NASDAQ: APP) shares to explore potential trading opportunities.
On the daily (D1) timeframe, resistance has formed at 87.95 USD, with support at 73.45 USD. The breach of the support line suggests a potential formation of a side channel. However, as long as the support level is not breached downward, there remains significant potential for further growth. In case of a downward trend, the target for the fall may be set at 66.50 USD.
If an upward trend persists and the resistance level at 87.95 USD is broken through, the short-term target could be set at 97.15 USD. In the medium term, the price may rise to 106.50 USD.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
APP LONG POSITIONCup pattern with high handle. Buy if the stock breaks above the buy line with high volume. The first buying point was on the day of the earnings announcement.
APP April 29, 2024: Resuming the UptrendNASDAQ:APP has been one of the top-performing tech stocks during the latest uptrend from the beginning of 2024.
The stock is still one of the best performing since the market fell into correction in April. At the close of April 26, NASDAQ:APP crossed up a yellow trendline as shown in the chart, moving above its MA-20 and MA-50, providing an aggressive buy point here or any pull back to its MA-20/MA-50
AppLovin stock rallies following Mobile Apps Unlocked conferenceFollowing a standout presentation at the Mobile Apps Unlocked conference in Las Vegas last week, shares of AppLovin Corp., a developer of mobile games and applications, experienced a significant uptick . The event, a gathering point for mobile app marketing professionals, witnessed AppLovin making a notable impression, leading to a series of positive endorsements from Wall Street analysts.
Central to AppLovin's business model is its innovative platform, designed to monetise programs on smartphones, TVs, and other devices capable of running applications and displaying advertisements. Additionally, AppLovin's venture into mobile game development has substantially bolstered its stature among both advertisers and application publishers.
Let's investigate potential trading opportunities by delving into the technical analysis of AppLovin Corp. (NASDAQ: APP).
The Daily (D1) timeframe reveals that a support level has solidified at 72.50 USD, while resistance is pegged at 78.30 USD. The stock is currently on a solid upward trajectory, indicating room for further growth if it breaches the resistance. Conversely, should the stock dip below the established support level, a decline to 66.20 USD could be on the horizon.
For traders looking for short-term strategies, targeting a buy with an aim for 85.70 USD could be considered. Those with a medium-term perspective might consider maintaining a long position to reach 95.60 USD.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
