West Pharmaceutical (WST) short.All description on the chart.
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Time for WST to Get Back on Trend Track and Pick UpWST has been off trend for a few days with a small downwards correction (which affected most of the market given all the news downers lately), but this baby is ready to pick it up where it left and get back into main channel and up.
wst REACHED FIB. LEVEL 1.618 FROM MARCH LOWS SO TAKE PROFITSIF YOU ARE LONG ON WST ITS A GOOD IDEA TO PUT A TRAILING STOP LOSS JUST A BIT BELOW THIS LEVEL OR TAKE PROFITS IF YOU WENT LONG AT THE MARCH LOWES OR AT THE PREVIOUS TOP EARLYER THIS YEAR AND YOU ARE STILL IN PROFIT NOW. IT ALSO BREAK OUT THE UPPER TRENDING CHANNEL SHOWN!
West Pharmaceutical Services Inc [ NYSE: WST ]West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
Pending Order Placement
Entry Placement 201.82
Take Profit Placement 226.96
Stop Loss Placement 185.06
Projected 1.6 Fibonatchi retracement from bottom to top Price prediction based on fibonachi tool on recent top and bottom of market flash crash.
WSTSystem T Performances: Annual Compound Profit 40%, Win Rate 55%, Risk/Reward Ratio 1:2, 20 Years of Backtesting Data, Over 100 Markets.
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Hi Traders,
I'd like to introduce the System T, a computerized trading system that analyzed and backtested the 20 years history data of over 100 markets.
This post is my sharing of how I think about systematic trading and the signals generated by the System T.
(This is my opinion only, NOT the financial advice.)
I think that for the system to open a trade and manage risk, it only needs a buy signal & a stop-loss signal clearly on the chart.
Once the system finds a good trend, it will ride it as long as possible. The stop-loss will be adjusted accordingly to the new price movement.
(Remember to follow this trade idea and follow my profile to get updates about the stop-loss adjustment and sell signal based on the latest price and market conditions daily.)
System T performances above will give you an idea of how it performs in the last 20 years.
Notice that this result was achieved only if I strictly followed the rule: "Only and Always Buy & Sell based on the System Signals".
Don't sell when there is no sell signal as we all want to follow the good trends til the end like everything in life does. \(^-^)/
Also, my system is extremely diversified through over 100 markets so that it only risks less than -1% of the total capital per trade.
Thank you and good luck!
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West Announces Quarterly Dividend and Share Repurchase Program WST: West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.
2019-02-21 06:00:00
West Announces Quarterly Dividend and Share Repurchase Program
WST - Inverse fallen angel formation short from $92.87 to $88.68WST Seems very interesting short setup. It is rolling over like inverse fallen angel formation. We think it has good down side potential.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- July 5, 2017
Pattern/Why- Inverse fallen angel formation
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $92.87
Exit Target Criteria- 1st Target $88.68
Stop Loss Criteria- $95.42
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
WST - Head & shoulder formation short from $78 to $8.84WST seems forming a downward neckline Head & shoulder formation, and it appears to break below the neckline.
On the long term chart it seems forming a larger scale H&S formation. Moreover it has 1.2million (approximately) worth recent insider selling.
We think it will be an interesting short play at the break of $78
WST: Outrageous valuation, Time at mode signals a top is in placWe can short $WST without much difficulty here. Short at the open and risk either a new daily high, or use no stop and size the trade based on 0.5-1% exposure, considering a $4.83 risk per share.
Target on chart, but, keep in mind this can evolve into a longer term downtrend here as well due to the valuation the company has up here. It's practically a bubble, once it pops it'll get ugly, and fast.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
WST: Overvalued, short if opening below 79.06WST offers a low risk short trade, specially if we open below 79.06 tomorrow. Risk a move back above 81 or higher.
You can enter a half position first, so keep risk to 0.5% or less. Max risk shouldn't exceed 1%.
Props to Tim West for all his help and insights.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
WST - West Pharma holding Key Earnings Level Support - 9% upsideTarget: 59+, +9%
Stop: <53 (approx 52.5), -4%
Reason: Oversold to "Key Earnings Level" that has held declines after the last three earnings reports.
Risk: Less than half of the upside potential.
Reward: Up to the last earnings release level at the 60 level.
With the S&P futures up strongly this morning and relief from a Chinese market rally despite terrible export numbers, market participants can see that the market is oversold and short covering is the game of the day. With the idea that we want to buy low risk long positions here OR go after heavily shorted names to go long, here's a safer one that is right on support that isn't looking UP big this morning.
Cheers.
Tim
9:18AM Tuesday Sept 8, 2015
10 Year Fundamental Analysis of West Pharma - WSTFor those of you just putting your toes in the water in the investment world, this is a good example of the long term wealth that can be built in the stock market.
What causes long term wealth? The compounding effect of sales growth through a profitable venture.
The investment world always has to say that the past does not predict the future and that past results are no guarantee of future results. We all intuitively know this, but I thought I would say it anyway.
If you look at revenues from 2005 around the $500 million mark and how it steadily increased to $1.4 billion today AND you look at profit margins, after tax, that were in the 7%-4% range in 2004. and have been over 8% a few times and back down under 6% in 2011: What you can see is that there is no recession in 2008-2009 that the rest of the world seemed to see, so you can conclude that this company has some "recession-proof" factors to it. In other words, the earnings of the company are not tied to the economy in general.
You can also see that the dividend has been raised from 6 cents per quarter on the left side of the chart (back in 2005) and now the dividend is up to 11 cents. Granted, the dividend rate was 24 cents per year with the stock at $12, for a yield of 2%. Now that the stock has quadrupled and the dividend has nearly doubled, the current dividend is 44 cents per year on a $56 stock which is roughly 0.8%.
The marketplace is currently giving a value of this stock where the AFTER-TAX earnings yielded 9% in the past year. How does this compare to the market overall? I can use TradingView to pull up with elements of the S&P500 to find out this information. I will add this later. You can also compare what the yield is on T-Bonds offered by the US Government and other securities to see how they compare.
The beauty of owning a stock over a bond, however, is that as prices rise at the company level, they can raise prices to the customers and stay ahead of the game. If the price level increases, stocks will do far better than bonds in the long, long run. If, however, price levels decline overall, then stocks would suffer and bonds would have an advantage.
To begin your investing career, consider these long term variables and use TradingView to graph out your research.
Many happy "returns".
Tim
1:31PM EST 9/10/2015
West Pharma - WST - Daily - Big Top Pattern BUTA very obvious distribution pattern (we all call a H&S top) and a clear downtrend, but it is right into support from the last KEY HIDDEN LEVEL - EARNINGS SUPPORT and furthermore, earnings are due shortly.
So, If we can see 51-52 to sell against AND earnings are out, then I would go for a short for a 49-47 target and risk $1-$1.50 from entry.
Tim 9:52AM EST Monday, January 26, 2015
Portfolio Management Position Sizing Example: Stock versus SPYPORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT USING 5% and +/-1% Position Size
Use a starting allocation of 5% of a portfolio to this stock: When the stock outperforms relative to the S&P by 20%, the weighting will have risen to 6%. Therefore, trim the position back to 5% by selling shares. Sell 16.66% of your shares to trim the position from 6% back down to 5%.
Then, you wait for either a 6% weighting again, or a drop down to 4% weighting. If the position drops by 20% relative to the S&P, it will be down to a 4% position. Therefore, buy shares by 25% (once or twice, at most) to get from 4% position back up to 5%. Once relative outperformance increases by 20%, then sell back down to 5%. Sell 16.66% of the shares.
If you have a $500,000 Portfolio, then a 5% weighting will be $25,000. Therefore: Each $5K buy/sell will yield (roughly) a $1000 profit or 20% return. $1000 return is 4% return on the $25,000 weighting. There are 6 completed buy/sells for a total of 24% additional return to the position, and an incremental 1.2% return to the overall portfolio. ($6,000 profit roughly / $500,000 portfolio)
All of this work may seem like a waste of time at first glance, but over time this is a way of capturing volatility and making extra return, all while managing risk to a systematic method. For portfolio managers trying to justify their fees of 0.5% per year, finding multiple ways to bank extra "risk-free" returns seems like an easy decision to me.
One pitfall: Don't keep buying and loading up. The key is to have a max amount of buying that you will do, or else you will keep buying on 20% relative drops and that isn't the point. Pick a strict limit and stick with it.
Best regards,
Tim 11:34PM Tuesday, November 18, 2014
West Pharmaceuticals WST low volume rally into overhead supplyTechnical forecast for short term price movement.
24 days of "supply" sit at $49 for WST.
Risk is 3 times the 10-day ATR.
Downside potential down under $45.
Low volume rally back into key, and maximum overhead supply zone.
Warning: Thin stock - average volume 410K shs.
Tim 2/18/2014 1:38PM EST
