0JXD trade ideas
Macy's "LONG"I think this trade will take more than a while to breakout.. it looks very much like a triple bottom or even an inverse head and shoulders.
Macy's right now is a great buy considering we are opening up again (not saying this is the end for COVID-19 but the markets will pump).. I would consider taking 75% profits on this trade around 6.50-7.00 for short term plays. Macy's is one of the stocks which has plenty of room for profit.
SHORT: $MWave Count:
- Wave C
Reason(s) to short:
- Bearish divergence at 1 hour time frame
- Reached the channel top
- Reached the 1 trend-based Fibonacci extension
Note:
- This might be a short term pullback until 0.382-0.236 trend-based Fibonacci extension. If it bounces around this area, prepare for Wave 3.
Macy's Falling Back to Support?With Macy's expecting to report massive loss, we see the price of the stock falling back towards its support of $4.80. $5 might look like a support too but seeing how often it dipped to $4.80 in the past 1 month, I think it is too risky to buy in at $5. If Macy's continues to fall I would wait to see if $4.80 is being supported.
Macy's Stock Analysis - M Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBased on Technical Analysis - Hold the position before buying as the stores will open starting from Monday:
Macy’s is planning to reopen 68 department stores Monday.
It expects to have all of its roughly 775 stores reopened in six week
Fundamental Analysis - as usual gives us bed news (that perhaps they have already been discounted by the prices)
Macy's will delay its first-quarter earnings until July 1 due to the "significant business disruption"
On June 9, Macy's will release "select and preliminary" first-quarter results before the markets open
Macy's at a Downward Spiral, but has Long PotentialPlease don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. First off, for buying Macy's as a stock right now prior to the earnings call, there is no way I am doing that (even if it goes up). Given the dramatic hit that retail took, the earnings call is expected to not be so positive and the risk is too high. However afterwards, Macys does have potential for a long asset hold. The demand curve for retail is expected to go back up when everything is back to normal, and it took a hit from being $17 shy of few month ago.