Growth and High Short-FloatKey Positive Aspects and Company Growth
1. Stable Dividends: SL Green Realty Corp, the largest owner of office real estate in Manhattan, continues to pay monthly dividends, which is a positive signal for investors.
2. Strong Market Position: The company maintains a leading position in the Manhattan real estate market, as confirmed by the latest financial reports that exceeded analysts' expectations.
3. Active Development: SL Green is actively involved in development and investment projects, contributing to the strengthening of its portfolio and growth potential.
Risks and Cautions
1. High Short-Float: An important factor is the high level of short float (over 20%), which may indicate a significant number of investors expecting a drop in stock price. This can lead to increased volatility and potential risks for long-term investors.
2. Market Volatility: Like any real estate market stocks, SL Green's stocks are subject to market volatility and may be sensitive to economic changes.
3. Mixed Analytical Ratings: Some analysts express caution regarding investing in SL Green, which requires additional analysis and assessment by investors.
0KZ6 trade ideas
SL Green Realty May Have BottomedCommercial real estate struggled for more than a year as interest rates rose. But now there may be signs of a turn in one of the most actively traded names: New York office-building owner SL Green Realty.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price action on October 31 and November 1. SLG dipped under the previous week’s low on an intraday basis before rebounding. It then jumped to end Friday at its highest level in 12 sessions. The result was a bullish outside week, which can signal an upside reversal.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has been above the 200-day SMA since August. Is the longer-term trend getting more positive?
Third, the recent bounce has left the stock somewhat overbought. Buyers may watch for potential chopping between $32 and $33, which is near the 8-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Speaking of the 8- and 21-day EMAs, the faster EMA is rising toward the slower EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.) A potential crossover may signal more bullishness in the near term.
Finally, the bigger issue for SLG could be the macro environment of interest rates. SLG has a large debt load and trades at a discount to book value. It also carries a heavy short interest. Further easing of conditions could make bears think the worst of the crisis has passed and lead them to unwind downside positions.
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SLG technical prediction for late August Key numbers for next 19 Days:
30.66 (lower Fair Price),
34.66 (resistance), and
38.66 (Expected Fair Price)
On Aug 21 my estimated FAIR PRICE for the next couple of days is 30.66.
Over the next 19 days my 19-DAY FAIR PRICE is 38.66 if the price manages to cross above 34.66.
If the price does not cross above 34.66 then FAIR PRICE will remain at 30.66.
Annual Fair Price for 2023 is: 26.42
I plan to hold my position as long as the price is above this Annual Fair Price.
A 30% Yielding Setup On High Quality Manhattan Real Estate 🤔IDEA :
Sell SL Green $12.5 strike puts expiring 5/19/2023 for $50 per contract (Currently $0.50 market bid. Be sure to check prices.)
NOTE :
Your broker will reserve $1,250 in buying power for every contract sold.
STATS :
-46% breakeven (We have this much “room” until we would be underwater at option expiry.)
30% annualized return
92% chance of max profit
COMMENTS :
SL Green. A company we never thought would be in the “trash” bin, but here it is. No company better exemplifies the modern troubles facing commercial real estate than SLG.
A leading owner of A+ level Manhattan office buildings, the company has been under immense stress as the pandemic WFH requirements shifted popular culture and paradigms surrounding remote work. With offices less necessary than ever before, companies are re-evaluating their big office leases, which has hurt SLG tremendously.
And, while FCF hasn’t dipped negative yet, many believe it’s only a matter of time as tenants continue to dribble out and SLG faces the prospect of converting office buildings to residential use, which would be an incredibly expensive undertaking.
That said, the stock is so hammered that a further 46% discount on the portfolio of real estate, or a 92% chance of a 30% annualized yield, has our mouths watering.
RISKS :
The company uses debt to finance its purchases. While payment ratios are fine now, the market may lose confidence in the ability for executives to effectively manage the company’s debt load and cash flow, which could lead to a BIG write down in shares. This could cause losses.
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Traditional|SLG|Long and shortLong and short SLG
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
$SLG has good potential for climbing to pre-COVID highs$SLG is on it's way to pre-COVID highs with clear targets ranging from 12-43% gains. It's currently in a channel or a broadening wedge. If it's in the ascending broadening wedge I would wait for confirmation that it's not going to break down. I'll wait for another bounce off the support of the channel/wedge before entering.
SL Green at a crossroadSL Green is forming a possible downward channel that could take it back to the earlier levels, retracing the gains since November. 2020. Being an NYC REIT, there's a lot of tough sledding ahead.
I'm guessing that it pays to be patient and see where the trend leads.
the Fidelity Equity Summary Score is 6.7 (neutral).
If you're a reflation bull, buy some for a long term hold. If you're an alligator, you wait.
on my radar from this article
Disclaimer: I don't pretend to have no clue what I'm doing. Follow me over a cliff at your own peril.
SLG bullish inclined naked puts - 20 Nov expirySLG is a REIT, I identified this company through Finviz, so far it seems like a pretty decent tool to identify opportunities. Real estate similar to travel is another sector that has been beaten so badly. As such I don't think there are many speculators monitoring this company to move the price wildly
Since the drop in Mar, unlike the broader market. SLG has not recovered and has been ranging for the entire Q3. The recent earnings has been pretty positive but it did not result in a spike or a huge price movement. This gave me the confidence to sell PUT options.
My PUT sells also aligns to the broader bullish market movement and RSI is at a low of 45
Sold 30 PUTs @ 0.87, Strike 40
BP block: 14k
Implied Volatility is contast around 0.62
Max gain est: $2610
SLG opportunity for short-term profitOffice REITs in the US have been beaten up for a long time since 2015, differently than stocks. SL Green seems to have finished a primary wave Y down and it is developing its first impulse wave in the upward direction. The most probable scenario is that Minuette wave 5 started at the first minutes of the section with a good volume. If this scenario persevere SLG should reach more than 10% gains in the next two days. A retracement below 46.00 would invalidate this case. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPTDATES.
SL Green should enter cycle wave B up, chance for gainsCURRENCYCOM:SLG
After reaching a massive correction of 60% since 2015, SLG seems to have finished the cycle wave A correction after retracing the Fibonacci level of 0.618. If cycle wave A is finished, we should see chance of gains in cycle wave B up,