0LJ9 trade ideas
Easy Trend Trade on XPretty straightforward setup that might come up on X. Reason why I like the trade:
1. The asset has a multi-month market structure of printing higher highs and higher lows.
2. It is obeying retracement levels fairly well
3. EMA 50 is acting as support
4. We have a local, naked point of control for support
5. We have a confluence of retracement levels including a local golden channel as well as some macro retracement levels overlapping.
6. Weekly S2 can act as additional support between stop loss and entry albeit depending on how long the retracement takes this could change.
This trade idea will be null and void if start printing a new higher highs that will throw off the local retracement.
Entry point will be at the confluence of fib retracements with the SL set just below the last higher low.
Take profits is highly subjective but my risk assessment profile has me taking some profits at the local GC retracement level (30.61) and then set the stop loss to the entry price to secure a winning trade. TP2 and beyond is subjective and depends on how long you like being in a trade.
X (Steel)Drop with most commodity sensitive stocks on friday.
30$ resistance is tough. We closed Friday on 28 fib support. If we lose support X could correct to 25$
Keep in mind the 50sma at 27.20 high chance it dead cat there but if it closes below that 50 sma things will drop quickly.
A higher dollar doesn't help commodities either
X United States Steel Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the X United States Steel options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $29 strike price Calls with
2023-2-3 expiration date for about
$0.83 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
US STEEL ANALYSISThe rally from July 22 is corrective in nature taking a form of a zigzag. The rally as retraced .618 fib of the impulsive decline. The rally is in its final stages and the decline will resume taking the market is lows beyond the jult 22 low. The market still remains the final arbiter.