CAT Distribution Trading Range About to Enter MarkdownCAT appears to be in testing its Last Point of Supply (LPSY) as it continues to fail to rally back inside the Trading Range. This Trading Range is particularly nice as it also illustrates the failure of its market to maintain support of the "ICE" (in our case the "ICE" is perfectly displayed by the 200 EMA). I grabbed a short on the last test of the 50 EMA and I'm now waiting markdown to take profit on my short.
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0Q18 trade ideas
$CAT Fibonacci & SVE Pivot PointsFibonacci Pivot $123.68
SVE Pivot (TOS) $123.61
1HR 9eMA $123.62
Fibonacci Pivot S1 $119.40
SVE Pivot (TOS) S2 $119.33
COG Mean Retrace $119.40
Fibonacci Pivot R2 $127.96
SVE Pivot (TOS) R2 $127.91
Monthly Chart to 2009 + Fibonacci Retracement shows $115.38 critical (Monthly Chart not identified here)
- China/Tariff news or activities has immediate directional impact (Scalping Opps)
- 11/1/18 – Trump/China have ‘Nicely’ Tone of progress gave strength in China or Tariff impacted tickers
If Apple pull back impacts DOW & additional positive sentiment not rec’d for China Talks by open...
#tekmunnee strategy for 11/2/2018 thru weekend on $CAT
- Note 9 eMA on 1HR at $123.62; is same range as Fib/SVE Pivot $123.68/61
- If below $123.68/61 Fib/SVE Pivot, will look for Short/Puts to test Fib Pivot S1 $119.40 & SVE Pivot S2 $119.33; COG Mean is also $119.40 (Max Pain 11/2 = $120; if relevant we may see this price level into closing)
- If above $123.61/68 Fib/SVE Pivot, potential upside to $127.91/96 Fib/SVE R2, however, strong news/catalyst, or market sentiment (China) to upside, w/ volume needed
Looking to scalp/swing intraday to overnight & recycle until we have conviction/directional tone on China/Tariffs. If China/Tariff talks ease and/or stabilize, $CAT becomes extremely bullish, with many others impacted by it this year, i.e. $BA
CAT at upper resistance - flag breakout or drop?CAT is testing the upper resistance of it's flag-like pattern.
Potential next moves - continuation of the bullish rise from earlier in the year as the flag pattern ends..... or a fall back into the channel.
With trade fears and steel tariffs, the latter is more likely at this time